NFL Week 9 Picks And Preview, TNF Sucked, Brian Baldinger Joins The Show To Talk Some Ball Plus Fyre Fest Of The Week
- 2h 50m
- Transcript
Summary
Written by a model from the transcript; not yet reviewed.
This episode of Pardon My Take covers the NFL Week 9 picks and preview, unpacking a terrible Thursday Night Football blowout win by the Jaguars over the Ravens where Joe Fagnano struggled under heavy rain. The hosts debate the viability of a long-term extension for Bryce Young, dissect Brian Baldinger's film breakdown on trench warfare and struggling teams like the Cowboys and Chargers, and delve into the chaotic fantasy football landscape and the viral 'watch guy' internet moment. Throughout the show, the hosts balance rigorous game analysis with comedic asides and emotional team breakdowns.
- Treat backup quarterback bets with extreme caution when a team refuses to let them throw downfield. 25:47
- Recognize when a franchise quarterback contract is a sunk cost trap rather than a necessity. 1:13:50
- Build trench depth on defense to generate consistent pressure and elevate the entire defensive unit. 1:57:25
- Prioritize balanced running attacks and tight end utilization to protect veteran quarterbacks in tight division races. 2:05:19
Chapters
- 0:00Intro and Sponsor Announcements
Hosts open the show, introduce sponsors and outline the episode’s focus on week nine NFL picks and preview.
- 1:02Brian Baldinger Joins for NFL Film Analysis
Former coach Brian Baldinger enters the conversation to analyze NFL film, discuss team preferences, and predict future signings.
- 2:56Thursday Night Football Debacle
The hosts discuss the disastrous Thursday night game, lamenting the poor performance and the decision to skip the office stream.
- 5:42Joe Fagnano’s Performance Critique
A heated debate over Joe Fagnano’s play, including ladder bets and the hosts’ frustration with the game’s outcome.
- 17:00Bazooka Joe and Eagles Preview
Hosts debate the impact of Bazooka Joe on the Eagles’ offense and defense, considering his fit and potential game plan.
- 23:49Week Nine Picks and Preview Overview
The hosts transition to the main segment, previewing upcoming games, key matchups, and potential betting angles for week nine.
- 25:47International Game and Falcons Analysis
Discussion of the Falcons vs. Bengals international game, travel logistics, and the Falcons’ recent performance and strategy.
- 37:40Jets vs. Chiefs Betting Debate
Hosts dissect the Jets vs. Chiefs matchup, sharing stats, insulting numbers, and betting strategies for the game.
- 44:02Lions vs. Dolphins Injury Update
The conversation turns to the Lions’ injury concerns, particularly Jack Campbell’s status, and its impact on the upcoming game.
- 45:17Dolphins vs Lions Preview
The hosts analyze the Dolphins’ struggles and compare them to the Lions’ early-season performance, noting Dan Campbell’s coaching history.
- 48:50Deshaun Watson Legacy Debate
Discussion centers on whether a win by the Browns would tarnish or reinforce Deshaun Watson’s legacy.
- 50:20Saints Defense and Jordan Tyson Update
The conversation shifts to the Saints’ defensive struggles and the potential return of rookie Jordan Tyson.
- 55:35Giants vs Eagles Spread Analysis
The hosts break down the Giants vs Eagles matchup, focusing on the spread, over/under, and key player matchups.
- 1:11:19Broncos vs Panthers Upside
A deep dive into the Broncos’ rushing attack versus the Panthers’ defensive weaknesses and the game’s betting angles.
- 1:20:10Chargers vs Texans Betting Talk
The hosts discuss the Chargers’ offensive struggles, the Texans’ bye‑week advantage, and the overall betting outlook for the game.
- 1:24:08Patriots vs Packers Statistical Deep Dive
A segment featuring a caller’s data on the Patriots’ performance with and without AJ Brown, highlighting key statistical differences.
- 1:29:45Packers Offensive Line Concerns
The hosts discuss the Packers’ offensive line issues and Jordan Love’s potential impact on the team’s performance.
- 1:30:52Tom Brady’s Return to Fox and Public Reaction
The conversation shifts to Tom Brady’s move back to Fox, the public’s mixed feelings, and the “dog in the fight” comment controversy.
- 1:32:13NFL Draft and Player Inductions Debate
The hosts debate the timing and significance of player inductions into the Patriots Hall of Fame, focusing on Gronk and Brady.
- 1:33:14NFL Week 9 Game Predictions
A detailed rundown of Week 9 matchups, including Raiders vs. 49ers, Cardinals vs. Seahawks, and Bears vs. Bucks, with betting lines and picks.
- 1:54:01DraftKings Ad and Betting Segment
The show features a DraftKings advertisement followed by a betting segment where hosts share their picks for upcoming games.
Highlights
- 2:45
Calling the Plugs Early on Thursday Nightstory
The hosts decide to stop watching an abysmal Thursday night game between the Jaguars and Ravens early, citing Joe Fagnano's limitations and a complete lack of offensive production in the pouring rain.
- 8:06
Trevor Lawrence Commands the Jags Offenseinsight
The hosts break down Trevor Lawrence's extreme confidence and complete mastery under Liam Cohen's offensive scheme, noting that he approaches the line of scrimmage feeling like he has every answer to the test.
- 35:19
The Most Lopsided Trade Falloutdata
The hosts review the blockbuster trade between the Jets and Colts that sent Sauce Gardner to Indianapolis for a massive haul of draft capital and young talent, leaving the Colts tanking without first-round picks.
- 55:54
Bazooka Joe Milton Sparks Philadelphiadebate
The hosts debate the high-ceiling, high-risk arrival of Joe Milton in Philadelphia, with the crew excited to see his massive arm strength despite past college stats and backup struggles.
- 1:13:57
The Sunk Cost Fallacy of Quarterback Extensionsinsight
The hosts debate whether teams are forced into extending mediocre or borderline starting quarterbacks simply because quarterbacks do not grow on trees and drafting replacements is risky.
- 1:56:56
Jeffrey Simmons Dominates Interior Trenchesinsight
Brian Baldinger explains why Jeffrey Simmons is the best interior defensive lineman in football, praising his unblockable one-on-one skills, extreme snap counts, and ability to elevate the entire defense.
- 2:06:12
Dallas Cowboys Defensive Collapsestrategy
Brian Baldinger analyzes the recurring disorganization and blown coverages on the Cowboys defense, highlighting the severe void left by the departure of Micah Parsons.
Quotes
“I think I actually might make a shirt that said, I ladder Joe Fagnano's passing yards and all I got with this shirt. I think I'm gonna do that.”
Unnamed speaker · 5:32 “The only problem with that is Kevin Stefanski has been coaching a team that didn't have an offense.”
Unnamed speaker · 30:28 “The Jaguars are one of the best teams in, in the NFL. They're, they're definitely at the top of the AFC.”
Unnamed speaker · 7:23 “I don't want to be a melting candle like Mincy. Be careful, Liam Cohen.”
Unnamed speaker · 11:30 “I think this also might be like Dan Campbell looking into a a past version of himself in a couple of different ways.”
Unnamed speaker · 45:30 “We're gonna do tug of war. And then on the second day, the offense walked in and they had black jerseys to wear in practice.”
Unnamed speaker · 46:34 “And then he said, because I'm laughing, that's actually me showing maturity.”
Unnamed speaker · 50:01 “Over the last six games, the Eagles have lost every game, been outrushed in every game, been outpassed in every game, committed five plus penalties in every game.”
Unnamed speaker · 1:03:30 “They haven't scored a touchdown since the third quarter of week five.”
Unnamed speaker · 1:22:13 “He's unblockable one-on-one, but Graves Abel's a good player. Like he beat him inside, he beat him outside, but the thing that's so interesting about him is he played ninety percent of the snaps.”
Unnamed speaker · 1:57:06
Sponsored segments
- Chevy 1:25–2:14
- DraftKings 21:33–22:54
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- King's Hawaiian 1:18:59–1:19:58
- DraftKings 1:49:20–1:50:35
- Twisted Tea 1:54:06–1:55:12
- BetterHelp 2:23:41–2:24:58
- Amazon Prime 2:52:40–2:53:11
About this episode
Thursday Night Football was an absolute stinker as Joe Fagnano wasn't allowed to shine and the Jaguars absolutely dominated the Ravens. Kyler Murray is injured and Carson Wentz is back in for the Vikings (00:00:00-00:20:55). Week 9 Picks and Preview we talk every game including another international game, the future of Bryce Young, Jordan Love antagonizing the refs on Halloween and Glen Tape Watch. We then do our picks and fahntasy preview (00:20:55-01:52:55). Brian Baldinger joins the show to talk some football, who is popping off in the film, teams he loves, teams he hates and more (01:52:55-02:21:38). We finish with Fyre Fest of the Week You can find every episode of this show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or Netflix. Prime Members can listen ad-free on Amazon Music. For more, visit barstool.link/pardon-my-take https://barstool.link/pardon-my-take
Transcript
34,913 words · 8 speakers
Topics
- Dolphins
- NFL
- Eagles
- Commanders
- Bears
- Giants
- Chargers
- Cowboys
- Lions
- Panthers
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