Summary
Written by a model from the transcript; not yet reviewed.
This episode features a conversation recorded live from the Rais Summit in Paris, where the guest, heading the global technology team at BlackRock, discusses the macro shifts in the tech industry driven by the artificial intelligence boom. The guest explains how the AI revolution has triggered a complete rebuild of the physical compute infrastructure, transforming a software-centric world into a compute-and-hardware-centric market where data centers require gigawatts of power and massive investments in memory, optics, and co-designed chip architectures. The discussion also covers the emergence of new categories like humanoid robotics and the long-term horizons of 2030 technologies including quantum computing and orbital data centers.
- Recognize that the AI era has shifted market capitalization and industry value from software to a compute-centric physical hardware stack. 0:16
- Anticipate increased demand for memory and custom co-design as AI models increasingly mirror the memory-intensive nature of the human brain. 11:21
- Factor long-term 2030 technological horizons into capital allocation, including quantum computing, small modular reactors, and orbital data centers. 32:41
- Watch the physical robot manufacturing wave coming out of Asia, which may combine mass-manufactured hardware bodies with Western AI brains. 46:01
Chapters
- 0:01Tony Kim’s AI Vision at Rais
Tony Kim introduces his role at BlackRock and outlines his participation in multiple panels at the Rais conference, highlighting the shift toward compute-centric AI.
- 8:09Co‑Design of Models and Chips
Kim discusses the symbiotic relationship between AI models and chip architecture, emphasizing co‑design as the new path for foundation labs.
- 9:39Hardware Renaissance and Physical Layer Trends
He highlights the resurgence of hardware, including optics, quantum, and new materials, as AI pushes the limits of physical design.
- 10:41Capital Allocation in the AI Era
Kim outlines his investment strategy, balancing short‑term AI opportunities with long‑term bets on infrastructure and emerging technologies.
- 12:36Memory Evolution and the RAMpocalypse
He explores the growing importance of memory in AI, the RAMpocalypse, and the mismatch between demand and supply in memory manufacturing.
- 1:03:32Closing Reflections on AI Progress
The host and guest wrap up the episode, reflecting on the future of AI and the progress being made.
- 1:04:05The Power of Surrounding Yourself with Mentors
Tony Kim shares insights on how surrounding oneself with supportive people influences performance.
- 1:07:46Thanking the Raze Team and Sponsors
The host thanks the Raze team and sponsors for their support and contributions to the event.
- 1:08:18Closing Call to Action and Outro
The host invites listeners to follow the series, subscribe, and stay updated on AI developments.
Highlights
- 0:04
Shift From Software to Computedata
The base layer of compute went up ten thousand times, transforming the tech market into a compute-centric environment.
- 0:48
There are roughly 130 to 140 robotics companies in China with 30 to 40 potential IPOs expected in the year alone.
- 4:09
The Primacy of Computeinsight
The stock market and Silicon Valley have undergone a structural shift from a software-centric world to a compute-centric world.
- 5:01
Data Center Physics and Scaleinsight
Data centers are transitioning from megawatts to gigawatts, driven by power density, bandwidth, and the laws of physics pushing data distances down to millimeters.
- 11:21
Mimicking the Human Braininsight
Chip and model development are increasingly incorporating memory to mirror the human brain, fueling a massive surge in memory demand.
- 22:50
Global Tech Capital Allocationdata
Global equity markets hold roughly 10 trillion in software, 22 to 23 trillion in the Magnificent 7, and over 30 trillion in chips and hardware.
- 47:45
Social and Companion Robotsinsight
Beyond industrial automation, the guest argues that a massive market will emerge around social robots addressing loneliness, elderly care, and companionship.
Quotes
“And we see that in the stock market and we see it in the investment market, is that the primacy of compute.”
Unnamed speaker · 4:06 “The best models, obviously, are trained on and built on the best compute and most optimized inference. But this co-design, this notion of co-design, of tightly integrating the design of your silicon to match the parameters and the specs of the model, and the model specs informing the design of the compute.”
Unnamed speaker · 8:32 “I think the primacy of memory will become even more important.”
Unnamed speaker · 14:20 “The other thing about that is that there's a mismatch of what I call duration. Because it takes three or four years to build a chip fab or a memory fab. But yet, everyone, there's a shortage today.”
Unnamed speaker · 13:18 “And, and, and basically gave me the freedom, the latitude, the keys to the kingdom and said, you know what?”
Unnamed speaker · 1:04:55 “I like to study, I mean, it'd be a huge study of, sort of history.”
Unnamed speaker · 1:06:34 “And then when I went to the real world, some people gave you a shot.”
Unnamed speaker · 1:07:18 “I try to always work with lots of young people to not mentor them, but just try to encourage them, give them a break if they can, or give them a shot.”
Unnamed speaker · 1:06:16 “I had people that believed in me at certain points in my life.”
Unnamed speaker · 1:04:50
Sponsored segments
- Brex 14:24–15:22
- MongoDB 36:51–37:31
- Assembly AI 37:33–38:15
- Brex 1:03:54–1:04:03
- Sorcery 1:08:18–1:08:31
About this episode
Tony Kim is Managing Director and Head of the Global Technology Team within Fundamental Equities at BlackRock. Recorded at the RAISE Summit in Paris, where Tony spoke on 4 panels, next-gen accelerators with d-Matrix, quantum computing with PsiQuantum, optics in data center design with Lumentum, and XPU and AI chip co-design with Broadcom. Tony breaks down the shift from a software-centric world to a compute-centric one, and why roughly $1 trillion of CapEx this year, and $10 trillion over the next 5 years, is being spent to move data centimeters and millimeters. He maps the market cap transformation, roughly $10 trillion in software, services, and internet, $20 trillion in Mag 7, and $30 trillion in non-Mag 7 chips and hardware. We cover the RAMpocalypse and why memory intensity is skyrocketing as AI models start to mirror the human brain, the 3 to 4 year duration mismatch between fab buildouts and today's demand, and the move from copper to light inside the data center. Tony also lays out his capital allocation framework, 90% in the 3-year AI vortex and the rest on frontier bets like quantum, orbital data centers, SMRs, and 800-volt power architectures, all converging on 2030. Plus, the coming wave of 30 to 40 Chinese robotics IPOs, mixing Chinese robot bodies with Western brains, his contrarian case for social robots addressing loneliness and aging populations, token flow as the new enterprise framework, and the mentors who shaped his career. We cover: › Why AI is forcing a complete rebuild of data centers › The shift from software to compute › Why memory becomes the next critical bottleneck › The future of AI chip co-design › How investors should think about AI infrastructure › Quantum, orbital data centers and the road to 2030 › Why robotics could become AI's next trillion-dollar market › China's robotics advantage › The enterprise AI stack and "token flow" › How BlackRock evaluates long-term technology investments Tony Kim: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tony-kim-3150053/ Molly O’Shea: https://x.com/MollySOShea Sourcery: https://x.com/sourceryy 𝐄𝐏𝐈𝐒𝐎𝐃𝐄 𝐋𝐈𝐍𝐊 YouTube : https://youtu.be/zXB-LI7skL8 𝐒𝐏𝐎𝐍𝐒𝐎𝐑𝐒 • Brex https://brex.com/sourcery—The modern finance platform, combining the world’s smartest corporate card with integrated expense management, banking, bill pay, & travel. https://brex.com/sourcery • MongoDB https://mongodb.com/ai–Millions of developers and more than 65,200+ customers across industries, including ~75% of the Fortune 100, rely on MongoDB for their most important applications. With integrated capabilities for operational data, search, real-time analytics, & AI-powered data retrieval, MongoDB helps organizations everywhere move faster, innovate more efficiently, & simplify complex architectures. https://mongodb.com/ai • AssemblyAI http://assemblyai.com/sourcery–Millions of developers use AssemblyAI to power their voice ai applications and features. One API gives you access to best-in-class speech-to-text, voice agent, and speech understanding models for both pre-recorded and real-time audio. Granola, ClickUp & HeyGen are scaling with AssemblyAI - get $50 of free credits today at http://AssemblyAI.com/sourcery http://assemblyai.com/sourcery 𝐓𝐈𝐌𝐄𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐌𝐏𝐒 (00:00) Tony Kim, Head of BlackRock Fundamental Equities Global Technology (01:10) Secret Location, Croissants, and the RAISE Summit (03:52) Why Compute now rules everything (05:17) Why old data centers can't survive AI (07:43) Why data centers are ditching Copper for Light (10:44) The shortage nobody saw coming: RAM (15:20) Only three companies control memory (16:03) Tony's Playbook for Investing in the AI Era (18:16) The 20-year lie: "Compute is just a Commodity" (22:38) How Hardware quietly became bigger than Software (27:49) The Investing Rule: Will you still be cool in 5 years? (38:16) Chips were never a Commodity (43:30) Inside the architecture of a Robot's mind (45:03) Why China Is winning the Robotics race (53:07) "Token Flow": Tony's Framework for the Future Enterprise (1:03:51) The mentors who shaped Tony Kim's worldview
Transcript
9,807 words · 3 speakers
Speaker names marked are inferred from speaking time and the show’s known hosts — they are not voice-verified.
Topics
- AI
- robotics
- BlackRock
- Lumentum
- semiconductors
- Raze team
- Cognition
- Cerebras
- Samenova
Page updated · transcript and summary are machine-generated