Jiang Xueqin Finally Breaks His Silence With PBD | PBD #772

Patrick Bet-David sits down with Jiang Xueqin to discuss his predictions on Trump’s return and a U. S.–Iran war, his argument that the U. S. would ultimately lose such a conflict, and his views on global power structures including claims about secret societies and geopolitical strategy. --------- 📳 SUBSCRIBE TO JIANG'S SUBSTACK: https://bit.ly/4dzGPtl Ⓜ️ CONNECT ON MINNECT: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://bit.ly/4kSVkso⁠⁠⁠⁠ https://bit.ly/4kSVkso Ⓜ️ PBD PODCAST CIRCLES: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://bit.ly/4mAWQAP⁠⁠⁠⁠ https://bit.ly/4mAWQAP 👔 BET-DAVID CONSULTING: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://bit.ly/4lzQph2⁠⁠⁠⁠ https://bit.ly/4lzQph2 🥃 BOARDROOM CIGAR LOUNGE: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://bit.ly/4pzLEXj⁠⁠⁠⁠ https://bit.ly/4pzLEXj 🇰 KALSHI: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://kalshi.com/pbd⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ http://kalshi.com/pbd⁠ 💬 TEXT US: Text “PODCAST” to 310-340-1132 to get the latest updates in real-time! ABOUT US:Patrick Bet-David is the founder and CEO of Valuetainment Media. He is the author of the #1 Wall Street Journal Bestseller “Your Next Five Moves” (Simon & Schuster) and a father of 2 boys and 2 girls. He currently resides in Ft. Lauderdale, Florida.

Speaker names marked ? are inferred from speaking time and the show’s known hosts — they are not voice-verified.

• 0:14Speaker 00

  My handshake is better than anything I ever signs, right here.

• 0:18Patrick Bet-David?

  You are a one of one?

• 0:19Speaker 00

  My son's right there. I don't think I've ever said this before.

• 0:27Patrick Bet-David?

  So my guest today is Jiang Chichuan, and I did my best to pronounce the last name. I've been looking forward to the conversation with you for quite some time. The day the interview came out with you and I believe it was Sagra and Crystal, which I thought it was fascinating, how a man in July of 2024 can predict that Trump's gonna win, then he's gonna go to war against Iran, and then Iran's gonna win, which was your prediction. And I said, I want to talk to him. And then so let's get the nasty stuff out of the way. Because I actually want to have a civil conversation with you. I'm actually very curious about why you think the way you think. One, at the beginning, when we had that, our team reached out to you to get on the podcast. And I think on a podcast, you said you thought it was gonna be a hit piece interview.

• 1:12Patrick Bet-David?

  What gave you the impression I was gonna do a hit piece on you?

• 1:15Speaker 02

  Well, it was just the timing, because the day you got in touch, there was a coordinate smear campaign against me on Twitter, meaning that there were some influencers who were using the same talking points against me, just saying that I just make stuff up. And it seemed very similar, so I was very afraid. Also, at that time, I was under a lot of stress. So I didn't want to put myself in a situation where I would be asked hard questions, and I didn't think I would be able to respond properly to hard questions. And I watched your show, I'm a huge fan of yours, Patrick, so I know you're very good. You ask very good questions.

• 1:55Patrick Bet-David?

  I appreciate that and that's a fair assessment and then again the other part I want to get out of the way on Mehdi Assam when you were on there and professor, not professor, we've all seen that viral stuff that's been out so if you're comfortable, I'm gonna call you Jiang if that's okay with you as we're going through it.

• 2:10Speaker 02

  That's perfect, that's perfect.

• 2:12Patrick Bet-David?

  Beautiful.

• 2:12Speaker 02

  Yeah, absolutely.

• 2:13Patrick Bet-David?

  So, so, so I appreciate that. A question for you, so when you said, again, I've seen the entire interview and I've seen a lot of your stuff because what I like is seeing what the market is saying and why, right? Some people have certain patterns and your experience is a very interesting one because you went to Yale College, you've lived in Canada, you're now in Hong Kong if I'm not mistaken.

• 2:36Speaker 02

  No, no, no, Beijing, I'm in Beijing.

• 2:38Patrick Bet-David?

  I'm sorry, my apologies, you're in Beijing right now and so you have a very interesting perspective of these three different worlds and there's a lot of things to talk about. What, what, what analysis or what patterns did you notice for you to say, you know, not the first one that Trump was gonna win because let's set that one aside, but the one that US is gonna go to war with Iran and then we're gonna lose. What gave you the analysis or something to say? I think that's what's gonna happen?

• 3:03Speaker 02

  Right, so in school I teach history and I try to teach world history, an entirety of human history stretching from the cave paintings in the United States about 10,000 years ago to today. And while teaching history, I've noticed some patterns emerge in history and the major pattern is how empires tend to decline and they decline for a particular reason which is hubris. So empires believe that they are invincible and that no one can touch them. So they engage in activities that are not very strategic.

• 3:42Speaker 02

  For example, the Persians invaded the Greek mainland in about 490 BCE with a massive invasion force and they were destroyed by the Greeks. And then the Athenian Empire which emerged after the Persian Empire started to engage in hubris as well and in 415 BCE during the Peloponnesian War against Sparta, they launched an Well advised, silly invasion of Sicily. Um, and they lost the war because of this uh invasion. And so a pattern emerges where empires in decline, they tend to engage in risky um wars that they believe they can win easily,

• 4:23Speaker 02

  but which uh but which forces them to expand valuable resources on a quagmire. So most recent example, of course, was Vietnam. So it is my belief that um if the United States would go to war with Iran, then it would lose this war. Because the United States would not have the manufacturing capacity, the larger social network in order to sustain a war in the mountainous terrain of Iran. And so the big question was, would Iran go to war? Uh, sorry, would the United States go to war with Iran? And if you look at Trump's first presidency, um, there were clear signs that he was um being heavily influenced by Israel. Uh, he moved the uh American Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.

• 5:07Speaker 02

  He promoted the Abraham Accords. Um, he recognized Israel's control over the Golan Heights. Uh, he ordered the assassination of General Qasem Soleimani in January twenty twenty. Um, and so if he had a second term, he would have most certainly gone to war against Iran. So that's how I came to my conclusion.

• 5:27Patrick Bet-David?

  Got it. That's fair. And by the way, there's a very book, a good book, uh, book written by Jim Collins, where he says, uh, why the mighty fall? Why the mighty fall? And he goes through five steps, stages of the glen, and it validates what you're saying. Number one is hubris, born of success. We're great because we're great and we're untouchable, right? Number two, an undisciplined pursuit of more. We all fall for this trap when we succeed. Uh, let's go do more, faster, bigger, right? Number three is denial of risk and peril, which is we're fine, we have nothing to worry about. Number four is grasping for salvation. This is what we need to save, what we need help in. And then number four is capitulations to irrelevance or uh irrelevance or death, which is over. I'm a Syrian, trust me. We lost our empire many, many years ago.

• 6:12Patrick Bet-David?

  And we were very, very powerful. We don't have a country right now. So you have to always stay a little bit paranoid about what could happen. Now let me go to the tweet of what President Trump. Posted on Truth Social this morning, the world is reacting to it. Lot of people are not happy, a lot of people are curious, some people are saying this is good. But I would say a lot of the people are probably on, this is crazy what's about to happen today. JD Vance said something this morning that it's probably coming to an end. A whole civilization, President Trump said on Truth Social, a whole civilization will die tonight. Never be brought back again. I don't want that to happen, but it probably will.

• 6:51Patrick Bet-David?

  However, now that we have complete and total regime change, where different, smarter and less radicalized minds prevail, maybe something revolutionary, wonderful can happen. Who knows? We will find out tonight. One of the most important moments in the long and complex history of the world. Forty-seven years of extortion, corruption and death will finally end. God bless the great people of Iran. How do you interpret that tweet?

• 7:19Speaker 02

  I think that Trump is trying to go for maximum leverage in negotiation. But the reality is that the Iranians will not back down. And American forces already assembled in the Middle East. So I think that we will see a ground invasion as early as this weekend. And it'll be a multi-vector ground invasion, meaning that right now the Americans are attacking Khark Island, which is where Iran will export 9% of its oil from. And so the Americans intend on seizing Khark Island and strangling the Iranian economy. There will probably be an attack on Khasan Island as well in order to wrestle control of the city of Hormuz.

• 8:03Speaker 02

  There will also be an attack on the Iranian coastline in order to scout out your defenses. So I think that we are approaching a major escalation over the next few days.

• 8:14Patrick Bet-David?

  So, so try to decode this, because the average person who reads this... They say, "Who talks like that?" You know, "What do you mean a whole civilization will die tonight?" Never brought back again. But if you're somebody that's... You seem like a pattern recognition type of guy, and you kind of watch how people speak. And we know this is how he speaks, right? He's not the most predictable guy. He's got predictable side, but also unpredictable side. Decode what he's saying here. Is this his last chance of negotiation for there not to happen? Is this his last chance of saying, "I hope somebody says, 'Hey, let's go out there and negotiate with them,' because Pakistan tried to bring the peace deal on both sides, and US declined it, and so did Iran."

• 8:59Patrick Bet-David?

  So if you were to decode this a little bit more on where President's mind's at, what would you say?

• 9:04Speaker 02

  Well, I would say that Trump has a history of working in reality TV. He thinks in terms of television. He asks himself, "What will draw attention? What will look good on TV? What will get people very emotional and afraid and anxious?" So he spent a lot of time in the world wrestling entertainment with Vincent McMahon. They had a feud, a television feud. And that's really how you speak in the WWE. You are rhetorical, you are bombastic, and you try to instill fear and rage in people.

• 9:42Speaker 02

  And so what Trump is trying to do is he's trying to huff and puff. It's really flexing. The other issue that's very worrying right now is that Trump has started himself with advisors who are psychophants. And they're not actually relaying to him good strategic advice. So for example, what just happened this weekend was that Trump announced the rescue of a downed American pilot. And if you watch the press conference yesterday, he fought a tremendous success and was very proud of the military for doing the impossible, going deep into enemy lines and rescuing a wounded pilot.

• 10:23Speaker 02

  And this is a great tribute to the professionalism and self-sacrifice of the American military, especially the special forces. But on Twitter, on X, on social media, what they're saying is that this was actually not necessarily a successful pilot rescue operation.

• 10:46Speaker 02

  It seems that evidence is emerging that this was a failed seizure, a failed attempt to seize Iran's uranium, enriched uranium in the Asafan power plant. And if that is the case, then that was an extremely risky mission. And it's very consequential because America lost by $300 million worth of planes and equipment in this failed raid. So my concern is that Trump has surrounded himself with advisors who feed his ego. And Trump himself believes that just by flexing, just by taking a very tough negotiating

• 11:29Speaker 02

  position, he can bully the Iranians into a compromise. So I think that we are in a very precarious situation right now.

• 11:38Speaker 03

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• 13:51Patrick Bet-David?

  What do you think is the worst case that could happen? The best case? Walk me through what? And by the way, just out of curiosity, would you consider yourself a... Like, if we're in July of 2024, would you say you were a supporter of Trump? Like, you wanted to see him win?

• 14:08Speaker 02

  So, I'm pretty politically neutral. But in July 2024, I was very confident Trump would win. And I felt that America needed a change. So if I were American and had the opportunity to vote in November of 2024, I would have voted for Trump over Biden.

• 14:25Patrick Bet-David?

  Okay, got it. That's very important. That's very important for the audience to know that, because I don't think you've revealed that. Because your criticism is just what you think's going to happen. But you still would have chosen a Trump over a Biden or a Kamala. Now, here's the question that we're... You know, everywhere we're talking to others, what's the best-case, worst-case? Okay, of what could happen here?

• 14:48Speaker 02

  The best-case scenario is that the Americans and Iranians reach a compromise where they agree to share the Shavuot moves. So they'll be tolls collected because the Iranians want reparations for the damage that Israelis and Americans caused these... this past month. But they agree to share it with Americans. And they agree to collect the tolls in US dollars. And all sanctions are lifted, and peace comes to the Middle East. And there is a possibility. I'm not saying this is impossible, but it is a very low probability. And this would be the best-case scenario.

• 15:27Patrick Bet-David?

  Best-case scenario. Give me the worst-case scenario.

• 15:31Speaker 02

  The worst case scenario is that Trump follows through and bombs all of Iran's power plants. And the reason why this is the worst case scenario is that there are certain individuals who are now trying to protect the power plants with their bodies. So the Iranian government has called on for the young people of Iran to make ultimate sacrifice and make a human chain around all power plants in Iran. And so the Americans go in, they blow up all the power plants and kill a lot of young people. Well, in this case, the Iranians are obligated now to destroy the entire economy of the GCC. This would include all oil fields. This would include all these oil engine plants.

• 16:15Speaker 02

  This would include all data centers. And this would be the absolute worst case scenario.

• 16:19Patrick Bet-David?

  What's your likelihood of that happening? Give a percentage. Like if you're gonna do a Kalshi type of, I think that's a 1%, 2%. If you were a betting man, what would you say it is?

• 16:29Speaker 02

  So I would say best case scenario is 1%. I would say worst case scenario is 10%. And I would say a limited ground incursion would be about 40%.

• 16:40Patrick Bet-David?

  Okay, so you have a higher likelihood of us hitting the power plants than the best case scenario happening. 10 times more likely the worst case than the best case. How does Trump, because your prediction was Trump wins, Trump goes to war with Iran, and America loses. Define losing, because some people could say Afghanistan was a loss, right? The way Biden left, you know, we left whatever, 83 billion dollars of cost us. We left 7 billion dollars of equipment there, whatever the numbers are. Define loss. What does loss mean to you?

• 17:11Speaker 02

  Right, so loss means that America is forced to retreat from the Middle East. And this will enable Iran to control the GCC countries. Because remember, the GCC is very important for the petrodollar system, where the GCC sells its oil in US dollars and then recycles this back into the American economy, primarily by investing in AI. So a lot of these AI data centers are financed by investment from these GCC sovereign wealth funds. And so if America were to retreat from the Middle East, they would lose the petrodollar. The American economy would collapse, and you would have a civil war emerge in America.

• 17:53Patrick Bet-David?

  A civil war emerge in America. Okay.

• 17:57Patrick Bet-David?

  Interesting. Do you think, do you think the president has a team of rivals right now that are trying to prevent that from happening? So I think that you and I both know the president is a what do you think? Asking everybody. What are your thoughts? What do you think? What do you think? Including his enemies? I mean, this guy called Elizabeth Warren and said, hey, what do you think about us doing this to the credit card companies? And Elizabeth Warren's like, he just called, I was confused when he called me. You know, President Trump will bring Mamdani in and say, hey, don't worry about it. Be critical. Say whatever you want to say about me. I'm okay with that. You don't need to explain yourself. So he talks to everybody. Do you think he is fully

• 18:39Patrick Bet-David?

  aware of the risks of what could happen if he goes aggressive here? Do you think he's fully aware of it?

• 18:47Speaker 02

  I think unfortunately, he started himself with psychophants, right? So President Trump said about a couple of weeks ago, when people asked him, why are we in this war? Because he has never really articulated a reason or an objective for this war. And he basically said that, well, Jared Kushner, Steve Lukov, Peter Hegseth, Marco Rubio talked me into it. So what he's done is he's basically elevated the hawkish elements of his administration and basically ostracize or put on the sidelines the more

• 19:23Speaker 02

  cautionary conservative elements of his administration, who include J.D. Vance and Tulsi Gabbard. So I think I believe that J.D. Vance has been very vocal in trying to negotiate a peace treaty as soon as possible. And now he's in Hungary, far away from the action. And there's rumors of Tulsi Gabbard being removed from the administration at some point.

• 19:43Patrick Bet-David?

  Yeah, Tulsi, I think there was another name as well. Tulsi and Howard Lutnick were the two names that were brought up yesterday that may be next on the, you know, chopping blocks that he may move on from. Going back to it, Iran, IRGC, your opinion on them, you hear the phrase, you know, they're the biggest producers of terrorism. There's many different phrases people use against them. How dangerous do you think Iran is, led by the current regime to the world? Especially to the Gulf states, the six GCC countries you're talking about. But how dangerous do you think they are to society if this regime stays in power?

• 20:22Speaker 02

  So I think there are many factions within Iran that are very concerned that if this war continues, the Revolutionary Guards will be able to control all of Iranian society. So right now they control about 50% of the economy. But if this war continues, they might control 100% of the Iranian economy. And this would be disastrous for the, for other factions within Iran who want a progressive, secular society. And remember that this, these people have a grudge against America. So in 1979, students in Tehran overran the American embassy and took people hostage. People don't know this, but those students are now running the Revolutionary Guard Corps.

• 21:07Speaker 02

  Also, their leader, Qasem Soleimani, was killed by the Americans in January 2020. And they wanted revenge against Americans for the longest time. And now it's a perfect opportunity. So there's a, there's a lot of blood, bad blood between the Americans and the Revolutionary Guard Corps. And the Revolutionary Guard Corps see this as an opportunity to destroy the Americans once and for all, even at the cost of their own society. So there's a real threat here.

• 21:32Patrick Bet-David?

  That's interesting. So if you know, have you ever watched The Godfather, the Godfather series? I'm assuming you have.

• 21:37Speaker 02

  I have.

• 21:38Patrick Bet-David?

  Okay. So if you know this and you know that if Iran hated us a year ago, if Iran hated us eight years ago when we killed Qasem Soleimani, how much more do they hate us today after taking out the 50-plus leaders that we have in the last, you know, four or five weeks? Whatever, how many days are we at? Forty-three, forty-four days? I don't know the exact days. How much more do they hate us? So don't you think from a purely a power play standpoint, if you went this far and you killed everyone and you back off, whether you support this happening or not, we're already in it. Of course, we could have had the debate 45 days ago, "Don't do it." But now we're in it. If you're this far and you get out,

• 22:23Patrick Bet-David?

  didn't you just make Iran even angrier to want to retaliate to US and the rest of the world?

• 22:33Speaker 02

  Yeah, I mean, I, I think it's very hard to see off ramp here because Iranians will not give up. Even if Americans were to leave, the Iranians would assert control over the GCC, right? And that's why Saudi Arabia and the UAE are pressuring Trump to finish this war, right? So what, so it's easy to start a war.

• 22:52Patrick Bet-David?

  What do you think is the right move? What do you think is the right move? What, what do you, you're an advisor. You, you've said a lot of crazy things, which is, which is very interesting and I, I like to hear what you're saying because we, you know, when everybody is saying the same exact thing, you're not learning leaks. You need to hear and what other people are saying. What do you think is the right move to do here right now for both US and the Gulf States?

• 23:15Speaker 02

  If I were the Gulf States and, and if I were the United States, my advice would be to organize a conference for four countries. The United States, Russia, Iran, and China. Do not include the Europeans, do not include the GCC, do not include Israel. Just these four countries, United States, Russia, China, and Iran. And come to a collective agreement where these four nations agree on a new trade relationship based on the US dollar. I think all four nations are interested in maintaining the US dollar as the global reserve currency because no one else wants that global reserve currency status.

• 23:53Patrick Bet-David?

  Why would, why would you, why would you do that if the, if those three all hate you? And if you're in a meeting with them, China's not necessarily an ally, Russia's not necessarily an ally, Iran's not necessarily an ally. Why would I hold this meeting knowing it's three against one? Trump would never host a meeting like that knowing the leverage isn't on him, right? And, and so he, he's got the support of Gulf States, they're on his side. He knows he doesn't with China, he knows he doesn't with Russia, he knows he definitely doesn't with Iran. Why host a meeting like that? I, I don't see the logic behind that. Feel free to push back, I don't see the logic behind that.

• 24:33Speaker 02

  Well, I mean, the reality is that America is gonna have a hard time holding on to its empire. And Trump has said this many times. Because America is the world reserve currency. Because America is responsible for protecting the sea lanes. Then America is basically screwed by the world, especially Europeans, who don't have to pay for their own defense. And who can use their savings to fund their lavish welfare and pension system. Right? So it's not in the best interest of America to maintain its empire. If you're an average American, you're paying way too much for this empire. So why not just retreat back into the Western Hemisphere?

• 25:18Speaker 02

  The Western Hemisphere is completely self-sufficient. It has Canada, it has Mexico. Hey, if I'm Trump, I'm like, you know what? Screw Iran, screw Ukraine, I don't need these places. I'm looking over Canada and Mexico. Because Mexico has a surplus of labor, cheap labor, and Canada has infinite resources.

• 25:34Patrick Bet-David?

  A lot of people agree with you on that. A lot of people agree with you, but here's the problem, though. Jiang, the problem is, we're in too deep right now. So this is a good conversation 45 days ago. I'm saying to you, we just killed the top 50 leaders. They're a martyr-type community. Like, you know how you ever go against a company and they're very litigious? And you want to play nice? And they're like, no, we're litigious. Sue, sue, sue, sue, sue, sue. You have to fight, you know, fire with fire. So I'm talking today. If you go in the room and say, okay, let's play nice with Iran. They're like, you're out of your flipping mind. And if we say, hey, Iran says we want to play nice. You're out of your... And we know Russia and China are gonna side with them.

• 26:17Patrick Bet-David?

  I don't know if that strategy works today. I do know... Do you think Trump has a ton of leverage over NATO right now? Do you think the leverage he has over NATO?

• 26:27Speaker 02

  Look, you can make the argument that Trump is not just at war with Iran. Trump is ultimately at war with the globalists, right? The City of London, Wall Street, a little financed, right? So NATO represents the globalists and Trump hates NATO and NATO hates Trump. I think Trump has been trying very hard to come to an agreement with Putin for the longest time. They had that Angkor, Alaska meeting. And what happened afterwards, well NATO and Ukraine are continuing to attack Russia. There was that drone assassination attempt against Putin.

• 27:00Patrick Bet-David?

  Yep.

• 27:01Speaker 02

  The Ukrainians have blown up forty percent of Russia's oil exports, most recently. So there's a lot of bad blood between Ukraine and Russia, between the globalists and Trump. So if you're Trump, right, who's your enemy? Is your enemy Iran, Russia and China, or is your enemy NATO and the globalists?

• 27:24Patrick Bet-David?

  Well, he's constantly complimentary of his relationship with Xi and Putin. If you ever notice when he speaks, he's like, you know, I'd rather be friendly than not friendly. We had a good talk, we're gonna go visit back in May. We have some scheduling conflict, we're gonna go back. I had a good talk with Putin, had a good talk with Xi. So he knows how to speak to these power players and have them under control. It looks like, you know, that night when he was giving a speech, the twenty-three minute speech, which nine PM, I think this was last week. I thought he was gonna say something radical like, we're leaving NATO. I thought he was gonna say the Gulf has announced they're funding the war. I thought he was gonna make some kind of a big announcement like that.

• 28:06Patrick Bet-David?

  I don't think there was any big announcement there, but to me, if you had an easier way to get rid of IRGC. Question for you, is the world a better place with IRGC no longer being in power? And it being replaced by some sort of a democracy?

• 28:23Speaker 02

  Look, I completely agree with you in that the great fear is that Iran becomes much more extremist and much more theoretical, uh, theocratic than it is now. The Ayatollah Khamenei was considered a pretty moderate individual. His son is not considered moderate and also is considered incompetent. And so the people around him will be able to control him. We can expect like the most hardline elements of, in Iran society will emerge triumphant from this war if this war continues. So my, again, my best advice is for these four countries to sit down together. See Putin and Trump will agree to pressure together Iran to come to a settlement.

• 29:09Speaker 02

  Listen, at the end of the day, Russia is supporting Iran. If Russia was, was support, support, sorry, if Russia were to pull its support, it'd be very hard for Iran to continue with this war effort. That I agree with. Putin has a lot, a lot of leverage over Iran, right? And that's what I'm saying. You need these four countries to sit down together to come to an agreement. If, if Trump were trying to negotiate with Iran directly, you'd get nowhere. But if China and Russia entered the negotiations and they agreed on a mutually beneficial global trade relationship, then I, I think you, you can get somewhere. And Trump would, would, I think, excel in such negotiations.

• 29:44Speaker 03

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• 31:15Speaker 06

  Now, more than ever, we need someone on our side. But Rob Whitman? Whitman's votes drove up costs, cut Medicaid, and risked 350,000 Virginians' health care to pay for tax breaks for himself and his donors. He's not on our side. Shannon Taylor will fight corruption, cut taxes, and bring down costs. This November, vote for Shannon Taylor. She's for us. Paid for by HMP, the HouseMajorityPact.com. Not authorized by any candidate or candidate's committee.

• 31:44Speaker 09

  How many discounts does USAA Auto Insurance offer? Too many to say here. Multi-vehicle discount, safe driver discount, uh, new-vehicle discount, storage discount, legacy discount.

• 31:53Speaker 10

  How many discounts will you stack up? Tap the banner or visit usaa.com/autodisc counts. Restrictions apply.

• 32:00Patrick Bet-David?

  Yeah, maybe the meeting is a better meeting if it's Russia, China, and US and not involve in Iran on Phase 1. Just to kind of get the pulse there, because the leverage, you're right, because Russia's... They kind of help each other, right? Because they were selling the cheap drones, the Shahids, I don't know what they're called, Shahids or Shahids to Russia. And Russia was buying it from them back and forth because Iran makes some of the best small drones similar to Ukraine. Shahid, yeah, the drones that they make, the loud ones that are very effective in a war like this. Okay, so that's interesting to see what happens there. But you do agree... That the level of extremism that IRGC has,

• 32:42Patrick Bet-David?

  if there is a way to get rid of that regime and be more of a democracy, the world would be a safer place with them being gone. You would agree with that?

• 32:53Speaker 02

  Yeah, no, I would agree that it is not good, it is not in the best interest of Iran to be a theocracy. I think these are Persian people. These are the most enlightened people with a long history. They want to be Persian. And so I think that what emerges after this war is a more vibrant Persian nationalism as a counter to Shia theocracy.

• 33:18Patrick Bet-David?

  So you would want to see the religious, the Ruhalah, the Khomeinays, all that to be gone and it's just ran by a government, not a theocratic type of a government? You'd like to see that happen? Do you think there's a safe landing where we can get there? Do you think there's a possibility where we can get there?

• 33:36Speaker 02

  Given what's happened so far, and given that Trump seems intent on attacking Iran's critical civilian infrastructure,

• 33:46Patrick Bet-David?

  Yep.

• 33:46Speaker 02

  I think this will only embolden and empower the most extreme religious elements in Iranian society because these are the ones who are willing to die for what they believe in.

• 34:00Patrick Bet-David?

  Yeah, I lived with them. I lived there for almost 11 years. So I witnessed what they're like and the level of radicalism that they have is a whole different story. Let me ask you a couple of other questions about China with, since you're in Beijing right now. There's this data that's going around when China went to the one-child policy that maybe the population isn't as big as they claim it is. I'm sure you've seen this, where the numbers are going around. It's, oh, you know, we're at 1.4 billion, we're at 1.3 billion. And there's like, nah, not necessarily. You may be at 6, 7. One lady said 400 million. Mathematically, it's impossible to be at 400 million. But some of the numbers could say 8, 900 million. What is your guestimation of what China's population is today?

• 34:44Speaker 02

  Look, I live in Beijing, I visited China. There are a lot of people in China. I mean, just ride the subways, packed every single day, just walk the streets, they're packed all the time. You know, and I travel a lot, there are a lot of people in China. I can't tell you what the exact statistics are. There's probably some overcounting because local governments tend to lie. Because obviously, like, the more people you say you have, the more government subsidies you can get. So I imagine there's some population inflation, but I believe it's still over billion people. The issue in China is not actually population count. The problem in China is twofold in that you have a rapidly aging population. You have young people who refuse to have kids.

• 35:28Speaker 02

  I think it's possible in five years' time, China has the lowest fertility rate in the world. Right now, it's South Korea at 0.8, China's about 1. But I can easily see China overtaking South Korea in like five years' time. So that's the real issue facing China. China still has a lot of people, but the demographic curve is going to be a huge issue for China, especially as the population ages.

• 35:54Patrick Bet-David?

  Why would they lie? How does it benefit them to lie about the population? Is there a benefit? Like, if, because, why would, who cares if you're at 800 million or if you had 1.3 billion?

• 36:06Speaker 02

  Right, the issue in China is that local governments tend to lie all the time. Because a lot of their promotions depend on the performance locally, right? So it's in their best interest to inflate, just not population statistics, but also economic performance. So I, so...

• 36:28Patrick Bet-David?

  So does Xi, so does Xi incentivize local governments to lie? Is it, is it more, hey, we got a safe face for the world? The world cannot see that we're a declining country? What is, what is the, who, who is incentivizing who to lie with the data?

• 36:48Speaker 02

  Right, so China doesn't really care much about the world, but China is an enclosed insular bureaucracy. So the local governments are lying in order to get more funding from the central government, right? So obviously, if you have more children, you can get more healthcare subsidies, more education subsidies from the federal government, especially if you're a poor province. So that's the logic of lying. And this happens, this is a very common practice in China, where if you are in Beijing, you just have to assume that all the information you're getting from the local areas are just inflated information.

• 37:22Patrick Bet-David?

  Got it, okay. But you don't think there's a reason, there's a good or a bad thing for the world if all of a sudden we got the right data that the population isn't 1.3 billion, it's really only 800, 900 million? Would that be an embarrassing moment for China? Would Xi see that as an embarrassing moment? Or no, it wouldn't be a big deal?

• 37:41Speaker 02

  You know, there is concern in the central government, and the reason why is that China is very much a metric-based society, it's very utilitarian, right? So it's very focused on economic growth. And what drives economic growth is population growth. So there's a real concern that as the population declines over time, China's economy will stagnate. But personally, I think that this may be in the long term a good thing for China, because having over 1 billion people is not necessarily a good thing. What it has led to ultimately is massive exploitation over the people. Because when you have like too many people, it's like free energy, right?

• 38:23Speaker 02

  So all you have to do is basically exploit them, and that's what runs your economy. But because you're exploiting people, that hampers innovation, that hampers political development. So I think if China were to face a population crisis, this in the long term would be good for Chinese society and civilization in the long term.

• 38:42Patrick Bet-David?

  Yeah, you kind of talk about the tank ping movement, right? The line flat, I think they call it, where young kids are kind of like, screw it, there's no reason for me to give my best, so I'm gonna be a minimalist, I'm gonna do this, I'm gonna do that. How are they countering that, where kids are seeing, there's no reason for me to do 996, right? Work 9:00 AM to 9:00 PM, six days a week, I don't want to do it, who cares about this? How are they fighting against that?

• 39:09Speaker 02

  So in the 1980s, China was embarking on economic reform. And there was a real concern among party elders, like people who went through the revolution that brought the Communist Party into power in 1949. There's a real concern that capitalism would degrade and pollute Chinese civilization. They call it spiritual pollution in 1980s. And this was a huge concern in 1980s. And it turns out, this was correct. Because free market reform, without political reform, has led to a very utilitarian society where it's basically get rich or die trying.

• 39:49Speaker 02

  And so what this has led to is massive corruption, massive inequality, massive debt in China. And this has led to tremendous apathy among young people. Because there's absolutely no chance for a young person to get ahead. If you started a business, if you bought a million dollars and you started a business, I guarantee you, no matter what business you started, you lose all of your money. Because it's a rigged game, and that's why people are opting out. And because of spiritual pollution, because there's really no ideology, there's really no sense of nationalism in China. There's really no motivated factor for people in China. Right before, it was just like make money, and that was the point of your existence.

• 40:33Speaker 02

  Before the Cultural Revolution, it was about serving the people, contributing to the motherland, building a socialist paradise. You and I can disagree about that, but regardless, during the Cultural Revolution, people were motivated to make the self-cyclical necessary in order to build a better China. And now, people are too utilitarian, they're indifferent, they're apathetic, and that's why they're like, you know what, screw this, I'm just sitting home all day.

• 41:00Patrick Bet-David?

  And who pays them though? Who pays them? Like, is there entitlement programs? Are they able to stay home all day? What is the system for me to stay home all day?

• 41:10Speaker 02

  A very common practice is for young people to go work as nurses or maids for their retired parents. Their parents collect a very nice pension. Chinese are very frugal. You know, during Covid, when everyone was locked in their apartments for four years, they ate, they ate rice and vegetables all those four years. So Chinese have a lot of money saved up. They have saved up about forty percent of their income, which is the highest in the world. So, I mean, Chinese can just get by on like white rice for the next forty years.

• 41:42Patrick Bet-David?

  Yeah, and the idea is they don't, they don't invest much in the stock market. They don't believe in the market, but they do believe in the real estate side, even though the real estate has taken a bit of a hit. But you've always learned the discipline, the frugality part of folks from China. Let me ask another question in regards to, you know, the lie flat, I'm going more on the business side with Jack Ma. You know, in America, everybody knows Jack Ma. They think about Jack Ma, they think about his sit down with Elon Musk, the good exchange that they had where Elon kind of like, you're out of your mind, AI's gonna take over. Jack's like, no, it's not. And then Jack made some comments. I'm sure you remember when he gave a, not, not that strong of a critical comment, but you know,

• 42:23Patrick Bet-David?

  the, probably the CCP didn't like it. And then all of a sudden, Jack Ma disappeared. Here's a guy at the time, I don't know what he was worth, fifty billion dollars, give or take. He's a very wealthy man. He disappeared. What is your impression of what happened to him? Because no one's talking about Jack Ma anymore.

• 42:42Speaker 02

  Right. So, when President Xi came into power, there's a real concern among Chinese economists that the economy was overheated, meaning, to put it very bluntly, there's too much corruption in the system. There was too much fraud, there was too much speculation. And so it was really about how to make a more productive economy. So there are too many Chinese people who were engaged in real estate speculation. And that's what was causing the real estate bubble. And you can't really have that as an economy. You want people to actually work hard, start a business, and save their, their money, and make proper investments. But everyone was just pouring the money into real estate scams. These-

• 43:24Speaker 02

  Entrepreneurs, these billionaires, were basically creating financial Ponzi schemes. And so, there's a commitment among Chinese regulators to crackdown. And this is what led to the crackdown on Jack Ma. Because Jack Ma pushed back against central authority. And you can't do that in China. You can't question the authority of the government. And Jack Ma, you know, he was the richest man in China. He was the most popular man in China at that time. And he thought that he could change the system. And he found out that unfortunately, you cannot.

• 44:00Patrick Bet-David?

  God, and what is the difference between him and the other fellow Jimmy? I'm trying to get his name right, his last name right. Is it Jimmy Lei? Jimmy Lei, do you remember the Jimmy Lei story?

• 44:12Speaker 02

  Right, so these are two different societies. These are two different political systems. Hong Kong is considered like a quasi-sovereign part of China.

• 44:22Patrick Bet-David?

  Is that kind of like the equivalent of like a Puerto Rico in America?

• 44:26Speaker 02

  Exactly, exactly. And I mean, Jimmy Lei is an outspoken critic of the Communist Party. He is very pro-democracy. But he probably pushed too many buttons. He probably crossed too many red lines. So I think what led to his arrest was the fact that you had protests in Hong Kong about a few years ago that called for democracy. And this was a red line for the Communist Party in Beijing. And so he ordered a crackdown. And vocal opponents of the government were arrested or forced into exile.

• 45:09Speaker 02

  Jimmy Lei had the option of seeking exile. But he believes in democracy, and so he chose to be a martyr. And so now he's in prison.

• 45:18Patrick Bet-David?

  Who is he in China to America? Like, is there a comparison you can? Because this is a guy that was a billionaire. In 2020, he was pushing democracy. Then I think China passed a law. That, you know, there are certain things you couldn't do in June of 2020, June of 2021. I could get some of the dates off. I think it's June 30 of 2020. That, once the new national security law was passed, 11 days later, he got convicted and then he went away for 20 years. And this is a guy that owned Apple Daily, newspaper brand that played a big role in the 2014 umbrella movement, the 2019 Hong Kong protests. So, pretty heavy guy, but to the average person in America that doesn't know who Jimmy Lee is,

• 46:02Patrick Bet-David?

  how would you say Jimmy Lee is to China what XYZ is to America?

• 46:08Speaker 02

  Well, I mean, America has freedom of speech. America respects its business people. America respects its entrepreneurs. So, it's very hard for me to find a analogy who is American. But you do have Russian people, uh, you know, these billionaires who ran foul of the Putin regime. And so, they were put in prison and then they died in prison. Um, so, that's what happens in these societies, Russia and China, when you try to defy the government. There is a red line in our society and that is you cannot challenge the ultimate authority of the government.

• 46:45Patrick Bet-David?

  How much interest do you think there is in China of wanting to be a democracy? Because you know, you guys got, you're one party, right? One political party. You don't have a lot of choice. This is what we're doing. It's just, hey, who do you want? We're not changing this. It's not like you have a lot of say. How much interest do you think there actually is in saying, you know what? Why not? Why don't, why don't we go try to have a democracy in China?

• 47:08Speaker 03

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• 48:08Speaker 04

  When you shop Kroger delivery, you can expect the savings you love and fresh groceries delivered right to your door. From delicious produce to everyday essentials, enjoy the convenience of delivery and the trusted selection you've come to know from Kroger. Because bringing you fresh, quality groceries is what we do best. Right now, enjoy free delivery on orders of $50 or more with your digital coupon. Restrictions apply. See site for details. Kroger. Fresh for everyone.

• 48:38Speaker 06

  Now, more than ever, we need someone on our side. But Rob Whitman? Whitman's votes drove up costs, cut Medicaid, and risked 350,000 Virginians' health care to pay for tax breaks for himself and his donors. He's not on our side. Shannon Taylor will fight corruption, cut taxes, and bring down costs. This November, vote for Shannon Taylor. She's for us. Paid for by HMP, the HouseMajorityPac.com. Not authorized by any candidate or candidate's committee.

• 49:07Speaker 11

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• 49:20Speaker 06

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• 49:20Patrick Bet-David?

  Kayak. Kayak.

• 49:21Speaker 11

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• 49:30Speaker 02

  So I've been in China for twenty-five years. And I can tell you that there is almost no interest in democracy in China. Because for democracy to exist in China, for democracy to happen in China, you would need to have people who respected human rights, individual liberty, who had empathy, who believed in rule of law. And the reality is that in China, the system is set up so that

• 50:04Speaker 02

  the ultimate objective is to become a bureaucrat. That's what all Chinese people aspire to.

• 50:10Patrick Bet-David?

  Oh, aspirationally, meaning coming up, you want to be a bureaucrat one day.

• 50:14Speaker 02

  Exactly. And the higher you climb the bureaucracy, the better. Because traditionally, China is an empire. And the way you survive in empire is to become a civil servant. And that's why Chinese work so hard in school, because they want to pass that civil service examination to become a bureaucrat. So then they can provide guarantees and protection to their family.

• 50:36Patrick Bet-David?

  How long did you live in Canada and the US?

• 50:40Speaker 02

  So I was born in China.

• 50:41Patrick Bet-David?

  Okay.

• 50:42Speaker 02

  And then when I was six, we immigrated to Toronto, Canada, where I grew up. I went to high school there. I did five years of high school because, you know, in Canada, we're slower than Americans. You guys can finish high school in four years, we need about five years.

• 50:55Patrick Bet-David?

  Yep.

• 50:56Speaker 02

  And then after that, I went to Yale for college. I spent four years there. And then I came to China, and I've been in China ever since, ever since nineteen ninety-nine.

• 51:04Patrick Bet-David?

  So how many years did you live in US?

• 51:08Speaker 02

  Well, four years.

• 51:08Patrick Bet-David?

  Okay. So if you were to say, the dream for a kid in Canada, when he grows up, he wants to be A. The dream for an American, when he grows up, he wants to be A. And you already said it with China, right? When he grows up, he wants to be a bureaucrat. What is your impression of what China is, Canada is, US is?

• 51:27Speaker 02

  Well, in Canada, everyone wants to be a hockey player. When I grew up, I didn't play hockey, but I wanted to be a hockey player. I wanted to play for NHL.

• 51:33Patrick Bet-David?

  Yep.

• 51:34Speaker 02

  I mean, I couldn't, I can't even skate, okay? But I wanted to be a hockey player. In America, I think you want to be an entrepreneur. You want to start your own business, such as yourself, and you want to make it and be independent. You want to be free of government control. And you want to be able to speak your mind. And in China, as I mentioned, you want to be a bureaucrat.

• 51:54Patrick Bet-David?

  What do you like about each country? Because you chose to go back to China. And if I'm not mistaken, what happened with the PBS documentary that you tried to do? That they kicked you out? And then eventually, they let you come back in in 03? I don't know what the timeline is there. You know, because you have a choice to be in Canada, US, or China, but you chose China. So maybe walk through what happened when they kicked you out and then why you chose to go back to China.

• 52:20Speaker 02

  So I came to China to teach English. And eventually, I became interested in journalism. And I was hired to do freelance journalism. I got a contract from PBS to do a documentary on China's WTO entry. And this required filming a worker protest. And there were quite a few worker protests during this time because there was a restructuring of state-owned enterprises. And while I was filming a worker protest, I was arrested by plainclothes policemen. I was put into a car. And then I was sent to a hotel for 48 hours where they interrogated me. And I didn't get much sleep. I ultimately signed a confession

• 53:03Speaker 02

  that I was working in China illegally as a journalist. So to work in China as a journalist, you need a journalist visa. And I was not, I didn't have a journalist visa. And so they deported me, but they didn't charge me. So I could at any time return to China. And so eventually, I chose to return to China because at that time, I had Chinese language skills. I had some journalism experience. And so there were more opportunities for me in China than there were in the United States and in Canada. So the question is, what do I see the particular strengths of each country are? Well, Canada, you know, it's a very stable society. People there are very nice, perhaps too nice.

• 53:46Speaker 02

  It's almost like they're on Valium every single day. Um, you've been to Canada, so.

• 53:52Patrick Bet-David?

  I have many times.

• 53:53Speaker 02

  Yeah, right. You know, Americans are the most creative people in the world. Very open, very generous. If you have, if you are, if you want to work hard and you have talent, you will make it in America. And that's not true for anywhere else in the world. It, you know, it doesn't matter how much time you have in China. No one cares. It, it, all, all that matters is how powerful your family is. And that's true for most of the world. It's not just unique to China. I, I would say for most of the world. What matters is family connections, family background, as opposed to hard work and talent. So I, I deeply admire Americans, um, and I have tremendous respect for American society and culture. Um, China at that time was um, an open canvas. It seemed promising.

• 54:36Speaker 02

  It's, it, it, it at that time could go in many different directions. And so I was young and I was really curious and I felt that I could learn a lot more in China and experience much more interesting opportunities in China than I could anywhere else. And so.

• 54:51Patrick Bet-David?

  Cause you, you're very curious. You're very talented. Uh, you, you know, you ask, you're a very good communicator. I mean, these are all great qualities to be here in the States. Why, why choose to use those talents in China?

• 55:05Speaker 02

  So my, so I was in the United States for college and when I was at Yale, I found that um, there wasn't as much openness and freedom to curiosity as I imagined. So Americans are extremely entrepreneurial. They're very good at business. But I didn't feel as though um, America was going to change a lot in ten, twenty years' time. And I felt that I wanted to experience a society in flux, in change. I thought America was much too stable. Um, you know, I could have easily gone to law school and become a very uh, wealthy lawyer or maybe even go, gone and become a professor, right? There were lots of these career paths open to me because I had a Yale education.

• 55:51Speaker 02

  But I knew exactly what hap, what, what I would be like in fifty years' time or sixty years' time because, you know, I still got my professors and I, I know how they live their lives. My friends were lawyers and I know how they live their lives. And I wanted to experience a world in which um the world was unpredictable. And that was China, you know, I I I like when I came to China, I I knew China was going to change a lot in twenty thirty years time. And so during this time of massive change, this would offer me opportunities to do things I couldn't really do in the United States.

• 56:25Patrick Bet-David?

  Got it. So that was the opportunity to go over there and uh and by the way, your content that you create in China that you upload on YouTube. Do you also upload it on the channels in China or is it mainly for the content in US?

• 56:38Speaker 02

  So I have a very strict policy of not engaging in Chinese social media. I do not have a Chinese social media account. Um Chinese reporters have reached out to have interviews with me and I've said no. Chinese people have reached out to me and said they want to work with me and I've said no. And the reason why is that um.

• 56:56Patrick Bet-David?

  And when you say they reached out, who reached out to you, like the bigger platforms or media companies or all the way from the top to CCP?

• 57:06Speaker 02

  Well, Tsinghua professors, professors at the very elite universities in China, Tsinghua University. Um and I don't want to talk to these people because they represent the government. And I don't want want want to put myself in a position where I'm compromised and have to become a propaganda, a mouthpiece for the government. And so um my main priority is to maintain my independence, my freedom. Because I operate in a gray zone in China where I'm not a Chinese citizen. So I'm not bound by uh Chinese surveillance laws. Um and I make content for Westerners. And so I have a lot more freedom uh to comment about Western society than say if I were in Western society, right?

• 57:49Speaker 02

  So so Canada has become very authoritarian society. Um they I I if I said the certain things that I said uh in Canada, then it's possible that I get visited by the police. Um and that might be true for Europe. Uh it wouldn't be true for the United States, but there would be some other issues as well.

• 58:05Patrick Bet-David?

  Yeah, that's interesting. So have they ever knocked on your door and said, hey, you cross on a Li Jing, pump the brakes, that's too much, relax? Or no, they leave you alone, nobody's knocked on your door?

• 58:17Speaker 02

  I work at a school, I'm employed by the school, they have legal responsibility for me. And there was one time when I wrote a subsect essay that mentioned China. And I was given a call by the school leadership and told to pull it down. I'm not at liberty to tell you what the comment was, but I will tell you that I'm being monitored very heavily.

• 58:38Patrick Bet-David?

  I can only imagine that. I can only imagine that. Do you feel safe for yourself in China long term?

• 58:46Speaker 02

  I do not plan on staying in China long term.

• 58:47Patrick Bet-David?

  Okay, I figured.

• 58:49Speaker 02

  Because, and I'll tell you why, because right now China is very interested in soft power. And right now I have a lot of soft power, I have a lot of influence overseas. And so they want to co-opt me, they want to compromise me and turn me into a weapon that they can use to promote their agenda overseas. I don't want to do that.

• 59:06Patrick Bet-David?

  The longer you stay, the more people are gonna think that you are somebody that's representing the CCP, that you're working with the government. Just so, because I know you, the criticism, the moment you went viral, I'm like, okay. Let's see what happens the next two weeks, because they're gonna come for his throat. It happens every single time and and then we all move on with the filtering process. You're not really a professor. Are you a spy? Are you tied to the government? Are you tied to this? If all of a sudden you leave and you go to Singapore or Dubai or a different place, or maybe, maybe not even Dubai, but a couple, you know a couple of places that you can go to, to speak, then that means you truly are a citizen of the world, that your concern is, here's what I think about, here's what I want to talk about, do whatever you want with this information.

• 59:48Patrick Bet-David?

  And I'm sure your ad sense is picking up anyways with YouTube, which allows you to drop your job as a teacher, to go live anywhere. That's the beautiful thing about YouTube, so you kind of have a little bit of freedom to be able to do that. And I'd love to see you continue doing this, because, you know, you're, again, you say some crazy things, but that's good. We need to kind of think about some of the crazy things that can possibly happen and then let's hash it out, let's debate it out. Now let's see what comes out of it. Another question for you. I love what you said. In Canada, everybody wants to be a hockey player. In US, people want to be an entrepreneur. In China, they want to be a bureaucrat. What do you think, what do you think kids want to be in Iran? What's the dream in Iran today, under this regime? I know you're not there, I'm not there, but what do you think?

• 1:00:31Speaker 02

  Well, I mean, I've never been to Iran. It depends where you are in Iran, right? So the cities are very different from the rural areas. But I think that, given what's been happening in this war, I think there are a lot of young children who fantasize about fantasize, and they grow up and they want to fight the Americans. So I feel as though this war, given the fact on the first day, the Americans struck a school in southern Iran that killed 168 schoolgirls, and they killed an 86-year-old man with prostate cancer.

• 1:01:07Speaker 02

  I feel as though there are a lot of young people who want to go to war with America right now.

• 1:01:13Patrick Bet-David?

  Yeah, and I agree. I agree with, you know, the "I'm gonna be a hero one day." You're seeing in some videos with mothers celebrating that their sons gave their lives. It's like, "My son's a hero. He did the right thing." It's a very different way of thinking about what happens there. You know, very different way of thinking about. Let's talk about COVID.

• 1:01:33Patrick Bet-David?

  You know, COVID is the time when I started talking about politics. Up until COVID, I had no desire to talk politics. All I did was business, and I would do my whiteboards. You know how you do your whiteboards? I would do my whiteboards, except nowadays, we can do with the nice little markers where our hands don't get dirty. I did it at the getaways back in the days where I would get paint all over my suit and ties, and it was a hot mess. But during COVID, you know, story comes out. It came out from the Wuhan lab. No, it came from the wet market. No, China had nothing to do with it. Yes, China had to do it. Nancy Pelosi goes to Chinatown. "Stop being so racist." Trump's like, "What are you talking about?" It came from China. What does China say about COVID with their position?

• 1:02:17Patrick Bet-David?

  Because when the state media is telling their stories, and I'm living in Iran, and they're saying, "Let me tell you, US is the devil, and US is this, and death upon America," and all this other stuff. And, you know, China's a pretty controlled environment, kind of like what you talked about earlier. How does China state media control the narrative of what really happened with COVID?

• 1:02:38Speaker 02

  Okay, so unfortunately, covid has been memory-holed in China. So no one talks about it. It was a traumatic three or four years for Chinese society. And people have basically just forgotten about the experience. No one even mentions covid anymore. People still get covid, but no one mentions covid anymore. So all this has been memory-holed, and people would rather just move on with their lives. Because there's absolutely no point in talking about it. But the Chinese government have said on multiple occasions that covid started off as an American bioweapon. And so that's what the Chinese believe. That covid was an American bioweapon. It was leaked into China in order to hurt Chinese society.

• 1:03:22Speaker 02

  And there are a lot of elite Chinese who I talked to who believe the same thing.

• 1:03:27Patrick Bet-David?

  So they believe it was a bioweapon released from US in China? That's the narrative they say?

• 1:03:33Speaker 02

  That's what they believe.

• 1:03:34Patrick Bet-David?

  And is it tied to Fauci? The gain-of-function? Is that kind of how they spin it? Or what's their method of connecting the dots?

• 1:03:45Speaker 02

  So I'll tell you what I believe happened. Okay? And so I believe that this was an American bioweapon funded by Tony Fauci. Obama had put a moratorium, a ban on gain-of-function research. And so Fauci subcontracted gain-of-function research to the Wuhan lab, which was actually a military installation. And I don't know, it was accidental or deliberate, but it got released into Wuhan. And when it did get released into Wuhan, the early reporting was that this was killing a lot of people. It was actually burning your lungs. It was like a furnace. Your lungs became a furnace. So it was pretty deadly.

• 1:04:30Speaker 02

  And they locked down the city too late. And about a third of people, like, you know, escaped into other cities as well as boarded flights for Europe. And this spread around the world very quickly. So I think that's what happened. But Chinese, what they believe is that this was an American bioweapon designed to hurt the Chinese economy. And that's their story. But they downplayed China's role in it.

• 1:05:00Patrick Bet-David?

  Yeah, they downplayed China's role in it. And culturally, is China a culture where if the government says that, don't question it? You don't have to write to question it, just buy it. This is what happened. Don't come back and question us because of freedom of speech.

• 1:05:15Speaker 02

  Chinese people know where the political red lines are. And they know how the political winds are shifting. And so there's really no questioning of the government.

• 1:05:28Speaker 03

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• 1:05:58Speaker 04

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• 1:06:28Speaker 08

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• 1:06:58Speaker 06

  Now, more than ever, we need someone on our side. But Rob Whitman? Whitman's votes drove up costs, cut Medicaid, and risked 350,000 Virginians' health care to pay for tax breaks for himself and his donors. He's not on our side. Shannon Taylor will fight corruption, cut taxes, and bring down costs. This November, vote for Shannon Taylor. She's for us. Paid for by HMP, the HouseMajorityPact.com. Not authorized by any candidate or candidate's committee.

• 1:07:27Speaker 09

  How many discounts does USAA Auto Insurance offer? Too many to say here. Multi-vehicle discount, safe driver discount, uh, new-vehicle discount, storage discount?

• 1:07:36Speaker 10

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• 1:07:46Patrick Bet-David?

  What an advantage for the enemy to be able to see in America, where in America, we bash each other, and we're going at it, and everything's being exposed from congressmen on the left and the right, and nobody in the world can see what's going on with China because no one can bring up anything. God forbid if you do, something could happen.

• 1:08:05Speaker 02

  I disagree.

• 1:08:07Patrick Bet-David?

  Tell me.

• 1:08:08Speaker 02

  I think if you want a healthy, creative, resilient society, you need free and open debate. The best thing about America is the First Amendment. The best thing is that anyone can criticize the president. And there's rigorous debate right now over this Iran war. And this allows for America to pivot and to be resilient and to discover its weaknesses and to improve on its vulnerabilities. China has been China for the past 5,000 years. This is not a good thing.

• 1:08:40Patrick Bet-David?

  Yeah, no, I'm with you. It is, if a person that thinks they can have that kind of a chokehold on their people for a long time and see the enemy as debating each other, a lot of information comes in. But if, so, social media apps are not available in China, right? There is no Facebook, there is no YouTube, there is no X, there is no, nothing like that is available in China.

• 1:08:59Speaker 02

  There are Chinese equivalents, but yes, these western social media platforms are banned in China.

• 1:09:05Patrick Bet-David?

  Are there any, like, if you and I go to a dinner, and, you know, if you live in California at the peak of Covid, you have to be very careful if you were a Trump supporter, a lot of people would say, but there were parties you would go to, to houses like, hey, man, me too, hey, me too, but God, if you wore MAGA hat in 2017 in California, go walk through the mall and see what happens to you, it's a very different climate than today, right? Are there small pockets of people in China, small communities that are growing, that they're criticizing the government, or none of that exists?

• 1:09:39Speaker 02

  None of that exists in China.

• 1:09:41Patrick Bet-David?

  Okay, all right, and I don't think you agree with that, I think.

• 1:09:43Speaker 02

  Well, well, well, no, I mean, the reason is that China has developed an AI surveillance state that is the most advanced in the world, right? So China has digital ID and digital currency.

• 1:09:52Patrick Bet-David?

  Right.

• 1:09:52Speaker 02

  And so with that, everything you do online can be monitored, right? And so when you use your mobile phone, it's a, it's a, like, all your app is on your phone. So the government knows exactly where you go.

• 1:10:06Patrick Bet-David?

  Yeah.

• 1:10:07Speaker 02

  What you buy, who you hang out with, and from that, from this data.

• 1:10:11Patrick Bet-David?

  Yep.

• 1:10:12Speaker 02

  They can do a micro-analysis of your political leanings and then influence you in a certain way. So China has developed the first AI surveillance state.

• 1:10:22Patrick Bet-David?

  Interesting, interesting, yeah, you know, you just reminded me of a story. Uh, when I, when I, I made a handful of videos criticizing China, and I brought a General Spalding who went very hardcore at China, got millions of views all over the place, and he was revealing some things about China. So it was about a six months of going after China pretty hardcore. One day I get an email from a PR firm saying, somebody from China wants to invite you to an event, it's a charity event. I said, okay, so let's do the Zoom, so I got on the call. It's me, Mario, another guy named Gerard, and we get on the Zoom, and we said, so what's the outcome? They want to pay you $600,000. I have this email till today, documented. They want to pay you $600,000,

• 1:11:05Patrick Bet-David?

  but they want you to give a $300,000 check to XYZ charity. So you get to keep $300,000, but you give the $300,000 to the charity, we'll take care of your hotel, food, flight, everything, don't worry about it, and we'll give you $300,000. Of course, my answer was no. But why would China do something like that? Why would they want somebody like me to come in to get $600,000 and donate $300,000 to charity?

• 1:11:33Speaker 02

  Right, so the Chinese approach to soft power is co-opting elites, right? So in China, the elites have all the power, the people have no power. And they assume that's just how the power works, that's how the world works. So if I'm gonna spend money on soft power, that basically means I bribe influential media elite such as yourself, such as Tom Friedman. So Tom Friedman has visited China quite a lot, and he said very nice things about China. And quite honestly, this works, right? Because if you come over to China, they treat you very well. It's great food, the people are very friendly.

• 1:12:10Speaker 02

  They show you the best aspects of China, and you leave with a very good feeling in your heart. So Chinese are very good at co-opting individuals. And they only focus on individuals who have tremendous influence in the world, such as yourself.

• 1:12:25Patrick Bet-David?

  It's a brilliant strategy if you're able to succeed with it, and people can come back and be complimentary about it. You know, that's what you want, especially in an enemy state. Last question here. With Muslims, and how? What is the position that Xi Jinping or the Chinese government has towards Muslims, the religion of Islam? Of course, on the outside, they have a lot of relationships with a lot of people. But on the inside, we read about the Uyghurs. We read about the treatment of what's happening in Muslims. We read about how some stories of what they think that religion is all about. What is the sect of Muslims in China? And what is the relationship with Islam and the Chinese government?

• 1:13:10Speaker 02

  Right, so there were some prominent terrorist attacks where Muslims, Uighurs, launched knife attacks in train stations, killing dozens of Chinese. And a lot of these Uighurs came back from wars in the Middle East. So these were radicalized people. And there was real fear among the Chinese government that this radicalization had penetrated Muslim society. So there was a massive crackdown across Muslim society.

• 1:13:50Speaker 02

  But this goes into a much larger trend in China, which is the promotion of ethnic Han civilization. So China has about 55 minorities. The majority, like 90% of people, are Han. Like, I'm a Han person. But there are lots of minorities in the borderlands. And it was a policy of the Communist Party in 1949 to be as tolerant as possible to these minorities, meaning that they were given their own autonomy. Their language was promoted. There was heavy state subsidies to protect their culture, to protect their language, to promote ethnic minorities in mainstream Chinese society.

• 1:14:35Speaker 02

  And recently, there's been a push to promote Han nationalism, which means a clapping down on the rights of ethnic minorities. And the most obvious example is that schools in many places are not allowed to teach a second language. If you're a minority, you're only allowed to learn Chinese as opposed to your local dialect.

• 1:14:59Patrick Bet-David?

  Interesting. So does that include English, or they teach you English in China?

• 1:15:04Speaker 02

  They are trying to reduce the teaching of English as well, but it is much too popular among middle-class Chinese who want to send their kids abroad. But the official policy is to promote Chinese teaching over English teaching.

• 1:15:17Patrick Bet-David?

  And are there enough, like, you know, the Muslims are fairly... If I'm looking at the population right now, it says 20 to 25 million Muslims live in China, right? And roughly 1.5% to 2%, I don't know if those numbers are right or not. That's just, you know, chat bringing that number up. And it explains the largest group being the Hui Muslims, ethnically similar to the Han Chinese, which you were kind of talking about right now. What can they do and what can't they do? Because the Muslim religion in America grows because we have the freedom of speech. You can go out there and be in the streets praying. What can they not do in China?

• 1:15:54Speaker 02

  Look, the reality is that the Communist Party prides itself on being atheistic. So it is trying to downplay religion. Not just against the Muslims, but also against Christians, against people of all faiths. And they're trying to promote communist ideology above everything else. So you can be religious as long as you accept that communism is the ultimate god, which is, which means that most people who are religious are not going to accept this, right?

• 1:16:29Patrick Bet-David?

  Makes sense. Okay. So is there things that you... Do you know your limits of what you can and cannot talk about yourself? Like, what can you not talk about?

• 1:16:42Speaker 02

  Right. So in China, there are lots of things I cannot talk about. But I'm not on social media. I'm not on Chinese social media. I don't talk to Chinese reporters. So I, so I'm not constrained by this. But because I'm based in China, I also have to watch... I also have to watch what I say overseas, right? So things I can't talk about is...

• 1:17:09Speaker 02

  The Tibet, Taiwan issues, the Xinjiang issues, I cannot talk about this. I cannot name specific individuals in China who hold leadership positions. So you will not hear me talk about or criticize the leadership of China. I'm not allowed to discuss that. I'm not allowed to discuss the limitations of the military because they are invincible. And they are always right. There are lots of things I can't talk about.

• 1:17:44Patrick Bet-David?

  That is funny because they're always right. I like that because that's like, you know, something tells me that was a bit of a dig is what it was. I'm trying to see your facial reaction to what you just said to see if it was a dig or if it was what you know you can't talk about.

• 1:18:07Patrick Bet-David?

  Did I lose you?

• 1:18:09Speaker 02

  Yeah, yeah, so the connection isn't great, actually.

• 1:18:12Patrick Bet-David?

  Okay, well, we're at the end of it, about to wrap up. Last thing, Canada, China, US, China's buying up a lot of farmland in US and Canada. Why do you think that is?

• 1:18:24Speaker 02

  Look, the reality is that if you're a wealthy Chinese person, your dream is to move your assets and your family to America. And right now in America, there are not that many assets that you can buy and create value. So farmland is just one of these assets where you can store your wealth. And so this is why a lot of Chinese are buying up real estate. This is what Chinese do, they love buying real estate. It's not just America, it's like everywhere.

• 1:18:52Patrick Bet-David?

  So it's not, it's not any other reason but that. To your impression, it's just, they're just buying it for real estate. They're not buying it because they want to control farmland and they want to control produce and any of that stuff. You're not going there.

• 1:19:03Speaker 02

  That's right. Look, I'm 100% confident that this is individual Chinese behavior where they're trying to store their wealth.

• 1:19:13Speaker 02

  Look, the reality is that if you leave your wealth in China, there's no legal protection. The government can take it away at any time.

• 1:19:21Patrick Bet-David?

  Yep.

• 1:19:22Speaker 02

  So you want to move it overseas. And American farmland just happens to be a pretty good investment.

• 1:19:28Patrick Bet-David?

  Do you have any travel plan to come to the States? Are we going to see you in the States next 30, 60, 90 days?

• 1:19:35Speaker 02

  Probably not.

• 1:19:36Patrick Bet-David?

  Probably not.

• 1:19:39Speaker 02

  Given how much, yeah. Look, look, look, look. I mean, I would love to visit the United States. I would love to meet you in person. There's quite a few people who have asked me to visit to be on the show.

• 1:19:50Patrick Bet-David?

  Sure.

• 1:19:50Speaker 02

  But I'm pretty sure if I go to the United States, I'm gonna punch in the face at some point.

• 1:19:55Patrick Bet-David?

  I, I think if you, I think if you're, you know, giving your perspectives, like today's interview, very fair. I want the world to watch this. I thought this was a very good conversation. That some may say it could have been antagonistic, but I actually was looking forward to having the exact conversation you and I just had here together. I'll give you the final thoughts before we wrap up. Is there anything else you want to share with the audience before we wrap up?

• 1:20:22Speaker 02

  Yeah, so I think these next few days will be crucial for the world. I pray to God, even a lot religious, that we come to a peace settlement. That Trump tackles again and Iran offers a, a settlement that the Americans can agree on. I think that the settlement that the Iranians have offered so far, which to share control of the civil war moves, has, has been very fair. And it's quite honestly one of the most generous offers that the Americans will get from the Iranians so far. So I pray to God that we come to a settlement over the next few days. But it's also possible these few days, we'll see a major escalation where the Americans

• 1:21:07Speaker 02

  are targeting critical civilian infrastructure in Iran, which will force Iran to go into total war and respond forcefully against the GCC. In which case, it's possible that we lose access to 20% of the world's energy and we lose 30% of the world's fertilizer. And this means that the entire world is going to be drawn into this war. And this means that every person will be affected.

• 1:21:35Patrick Bet-David?

  Well, appreciate that perspective. Thank you for making the time to get on. I really enjoyed talking to you and looking forward to doing it again.

• 1:21:42Speaker 02

  Absolutely, absolutely. I'm available anytime. It's a great conversation. Thank you so much.

• 1:21:46Patrick Bet-David?

  Anytime. God bless. Take care. Bye bye.

• 1:21:48Speaker 02

  Okay. Bye bye.

• 1:21:53Speaker 05

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• 1:22:22Speaker 04

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• 1:22:51Speaker 06

  Now, more than ever, we need someone on our side. But Rob Whitman? Whitman's votes drove up costs, cut Medicaid, and risked 350,000 Virginians' health care to pay for tax breaks for himself and his donors. He's not on our side. Shannon Taylor will fight corruption, cut taxes, and bring down costs. This November, vote for Shannon Taylor. She's for us. Paid for by HMP, theHouseMajorityPac.com, not authorized by any candidate or candidate's committee.

• 1:23:21Speaker 11

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• 1:23:51Speaker 09

  How many discounts does USAA Auto Insurance offer? Too many to say here. Multi-vehicle discount, safe driver discount, uh, new-vehicle discount, storage discount, legacy discount.

• 1:24:00Speaker 10

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