
677. Can Backgammon Save Us from Ourselves? | Freakonomics Radio
Hosted by Stephen J. Dubner
- 59m
- Transcript
Summary
Written by a model from the transcript; not yet reviewed.
This episode explores the ancient board game of backgammon, examining its current renaissance, its surprising mathematical connections to professional football, and its enduring parallels to life under uncertainty. Host Stephen J. Dubner speaks with top-ranked players and experts, including grandmasters Masayuki Mochizuki and Frank Frigo, Backgammon Galaxy co-founder Mark Olson, veteran writer Bob Wachtel, and New York City Backgammon Club founder Remy Davenport. The guests discuss how neural networks transformed the game by measuring error rates, how backgammon strategy helped NFL teams win Super Bowls by reframing risk aversion, and how the game offers a social, offline antidote to modern life.
- Treat decisions probabilistically rather than rigidly, accepting that a good choice can still occasionally result in a bad outcome due to chance. 5:34
- Shift your strategic objective from maximizing short-term gains to maximizing the overall expected probability of a win. 21:57
- Recognize that sunk costs belong in the past and should not dictate your current strategic choices. 28:49
- Improve your decision-making and mental resilience by engaging in competitive activities that provide instant negative feedback on mistakes. 30:54
Chapters
- 0:06Backgammon’s Enduring Appeal
The episode opens with a discussion of how backgammon captivates players and its resurgence in modern culture.
- 1:36Tournament Highlights and Player Profiles
The hosts recap the New York Metropolitan Backgammon Open, introduce top players like Mochi, and describe the tournament’s diverse field.
- 3:18From Gambling to Analytics
Frank Frigo describes how backgammon principles were applied to sports betting, NFL strategy, and other data‑driven fields.
- 6:23Backgammon as a Life Metaphor
Players explain how the game’s probability and timing mirror real‑world decision making and personal growth.
- 54:36Community, Clubs, and the New Renaissance
Remy Davenport shares her experience founding the NYC Backgammon Club, fostering inclusivity, and revitalizing the game’s social scene.
- 55:14Social Aspect of Backgammon
Discussion on how backgammon is a social game that can be played while drinking and its contrast to poker and chess.
- 55:58Entertainment Value of Backgammon
Guests explain why backgammon is entertaining, highlighting its unpredictability and the mental focus it requires.
- 56:52Acknowledgements and Social Media
The host thanks fellow backgammon players and directs listeners to Instagram and Freakonomics for game footage.
- 58:10Closing Remarks and Credits
The host concludes the episode with well‑wishes, production credits, and a brief farewell.
Highlights
- 1:36
Tournament Field in Jersey Citydata
The US Backgammon Federation drew over 400 players from around the world to a tournament in Jersey City, featuring top-ranked professionals like Masayuki Mochizuki.
- 8:47
Global Popularity and Player Tiersdata
An estimated 300 million people play backgammon globally across a spectrum that includes social players, casual tournament participants, and serious competitors.
- 9:19
The Mechanics of the Raceinsight
Backgammon is fundamentally a race to bear off checkers, but the interaction of landing on a single checker adds tactical depth and variable pacing.
- 21:52
Applying Backgammon Theory to Footballstrategy
Analytics models derived from backgammon principles demonstrated that NFL head coaches were overly risk-averse on fourth downs, leading to Super Bowl wins for teams that adopted the strategy.
- 26:26
Pivoting Backgammon Galaxy to Socialstory
After struggling to launch a regulated online money-gaming site, the founders of Backgammon Galaxy pivoted to build a massive YouTube following and a social mobile platform.
- 40:01
Neural Networks Kill Money Actioninsight
The arrival of neural networks in backgammon provided exact error rates and optimal solutions, which destroyed the delusional confidence of bad players and effectively killed casual money games.
- 47:43
Building an Offline Social Clubstory
Remy Davenport founded the New York City Backgammon Club to foster in-person community and provide an offline antidote to dating apps and digital fatigue.
Quotes
“Backgammon has had a few heydays in modern history, especially among gamblers.”
Stephen J. Dubner · 0:20 “It is a dice game, which means it can be volatile and the better player does not always win.”
Stephen J. Dubner · 2:30 “The game plan that you had in your mind that you wanna get, that's long gone.”
Unnamed speaker · 4:56 “If you make a good choice, you have a better chance to get a better outcome, right? But it's just a chance. So you may lose because of the good choice, right?”
Unnamed speaker · 5:34 “Backgammon is a lot like life itself.”
Stephen J. Dubner · 6:23 “The doubling cube is the only part of the game that can be unilaterally controlled.”
Stephen J. Dubner · 12:40 “The idea behind the doubling cube is that you're playing a game for a stake of a single point.”
Unnamed speaker · 10:07 “I don't regret a minute of it.”
Stephen J. Dubner · 55:02 “You may think that Madison Square Garden hosting a Backgammon tournament is absolutely impossible.”
Stephen J. Dubner · 55:40 “I also thought back to something Frank Frego said when I'd asked him the same question.”
Stephen J. Dubner · 56:12
About this episode
It brings strangers together. It teaches probability, strategy, and emotional control. It has even helped N. F. L. teams win the Super Bowl. Stephen Dubner explores why this ancient game is having a renaissance. (Part two of a series, “We Are All Gamers Now. (https://freakonomics.com/we-are-all-gamers-now/)”) You can find the transcript and show notes for this episode on our website here: https://freakonomics.com/podcast/can-backgammon-save-us-from-ourselves/ FOLLOW FREAKONOMICS RADIO: YouTube: https://freak.ws/3yIl6dl Apple Podcasts: https://freak.ws/3yAvQh0 Spotify: https://freak.ws/3TsdCmV ABOUT FREAKONOMICS RADIO: Discover the hidden side of everything with host Stephen J. Dubner, co-author of the Freakonomics books. Each week, Dubner speaks with Nobel laureates and provocateurs, intellectuals and entrepreneurs, and various other underachievers to uncover things you always thought you knew (but didn’t) and things you never thought you wanted to know (but do) — from the economics of sleep to the future of education, from markets for marriage to the surprising utility of wolves. ABOUT THE FREAKONOMICS RADIO NETWORK: Freakonomics began as a book, which led to a blog, a documentary film, more books, a pair of pants, and in 2010, a podcast called Freakonomics Radio. Hosted by Stephen J. Dubner, it’s one of the most popular podcasts in the world, with a reputation for storytelling that is both rigorous and entertaining. Its archive of more than 500 episodes is available, for free, on any podcast app, and the show airs weekly on NPR stations. Freakonomics Radio is now the flagship show of the Freakonomics Radio Network, which includes the podcasts No Stupid Questions, People I (Mostly) Admire, and The Economics of Everyday Things. FREAKONOMICS RADIO NETWORK PODCASTS: Freakonomics Radio: https://freakonomics.com/series/freakonomics-radio/ No Stupid Questions: https://freakonomics.com/series/nsq/ People I (Mostly) Admire: https://freakonomics.com/series/people-i-mostly-admire/ The Economics of Everyday Things: https://freakonomics.com/series/everyday-things/ Special series: https://freakonomics.com/topics/ CONNECT WITH US: [email protected] https://twitter.com/freakonomics https://www.instagram.com/freakonomics/ https://www.facebook.com/freakonomics/ https://www.tiktok.com/@freakonomicsradio https://www.linkedin.com/company/freakonomics-media Subscribe to our newsletter: https://stephendubner.substack.com/subscribe
Transcript
9,722 words · 13 speakers
Speaker names marked are inferred from speaking time and the show’s known hosts — they are not voice-verified.
Topics
- Backgammon
- New York
- Backgammon Galaxy
- Freakonomics Radio
- Jersey City
- Backgammon Galaxy AI influence
- US Backgammon Federation
- Backgammon Galaxy website
- Backgammon Galaxy subscription
- Backgammon Galaxy social coins
Page updated · transcript and summary are machine-generated