Skip to content

2025 was the year of agents, what's coming in 2026?

Practical AI

51m
Transcript

Original podcast

Summary

Written by a model from the transcript; not yet reviewed.

Daniel Whitenack (CEO, Prediction Guard) and Chris Benson (Principal AI Research Engineer, Lockheed Martin) review 2025 as the year AI agents moved from hype to practical deployment, and look ahead to 2026. Chris shares a personal story of producing six weeks of complex autonomy-based work in six minutes after hundreds of exploratory prompts, while Daniel notes his board observed dramatically faster product development without team expansion. They discuss why agent projects fail—citing Gartner's 11% production rate and 40% projected failure by 2027—and argue that domain expertise and iterative prompting are the key differentiators.

The conversation covers the rise of reasoning models (which Daniel calls mislabeled, since they generate text mimicking thought rather than actually reasoning), the input-heavy but output-light state of multimodal AI, and how power infrastructure has replaced GPUs as the industry's primary bottleneck. Daniel highlights that predictive models continue advancing while generative models plateau on transformer architecture, and that the real value lies in orchestrating predictive tools, SQL, and forecasting systems through an agentic layer.

For 2026, Chris predicts a consumer-level AI maker era driven by cheaper ASICs and embeddable AI, while Daniel argues models are commoditized and the valuable skill is architecting systems of MCP servers, databases, and RAG pipelines—citing his finding that NIST 601 compliance in Azure required nine services for only 39% coverage.

  • A well-crafted final prompt after hundreds of exploratory prompts can produce production-quality agentic output in minutes that would take weeks of manual work. 11:13
  • Reasoning models are mislabeled because they don't actually reason; they generate text that mimics a chain of thought before producing a final answer. 22:36
  • The industry's limiting factor has shifted from GPU availability to power consumption, since each inference run draws energy and reasoning models multiply that cost. 26:22
  • NIST 601 compliance in Azure required nine different services to reach only 39% coverage, illustrating how fragmented secure AI deployment has become. 48:26
  • The most valuable emerging role is architecting systems of MCP servers, databases, and RAG pipelines connected into an orchestration layer, not building individual models. 39:29

Highlights

  • 11:13

    Six Minutes of Six Weeks Workstory

    Chris describes how after hundreds of exploratory prompts, a single well-crafted prompt produced a complex autonomy-based project in six minutes that would have taken at least six weeks of manual work.

  • 14:20

    Domain Expertise Drives Agent Successstrategy

    Chris explains that his successful agent project required hundreds of exploratory prompts before the final one, emphasizing that domain expertise combined with iterative prompting is what makes agentic workflows work.

  • 22:36

    Reasoning Models Don't Actually Reasoninsight

    Daniel explains that reasoning models are mislabeled because they don't reason about anything; they generate text that mimics a chain of thought, then produce a final answer.

  • 26:22

    Power Replaces GPUs as Limiting Factorinsight

    Chris notes that the industry's limiting factor has shifted from GPU availability to power consumption, since each inference run draws energy and reasoning models multiply that cost.

  • 32:54

    Predictive Models Outpacing Generative AIinsight

    Daniel points out that while generative AI models have plateaued on transformer architecture, predictive and statistical models continue to advance rapidly, and the real multiplicative effect comes from orchestrating them with Gen AI.

  • 36:58

    Yann LeCun Leaves Meta for World Modelsstory

    Chris mentions that Yann LeCun, one of the three godfathers of AI, has left Meta after roughly a decade, partly driven by his belief that transformers have a limited ceiling.

  • 44:47

    Consumer AI Maker Era Emerginginsight

    Chris predicts that cheaper GPUs and ASICs will make AI capability accessible to consumers and makers, enabling task-specific robots and DIY AI projects previously only available to organizations.

  • 48:26

    NIST 601 Compliance Requires Nine Servicesdata

    Daniel shares that he mapped NIST 601 compliance in Azure and found nine different services were needed to reach only 39% compliance, illustrating how fragmented and labor-intensive secure AI deployment has become.

About this episode

In this start-of-year FC episode, Chris and Daniel break down what really mattered in AI in 2025, and what to expect in 2026. They explore the rise of AI agents, the practical reality of multimodal AI, and how reasoning models are reshaping workflows. The conversation dives into infrastructure and energy constraints, the continued value of predictive models, and why orchestration (not just better models) is becoming the defining skill for AI teams. The episode wraps with grounded 2026 predictions on where AI systems, tooling, and builders are headed next. Featuring: Chris Benson – Website https://chrisbenson.com/, LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/chrisbenson, Bluesky https://bsky.app/profile/chrisbenson.bsky.social, GitHub https://github.com/chrisbenson, X https://x.com/chrisbensonDaniel Whitenack – Website https://www.datadan.io/, GitHub https://github.com/dwhitena, X https://x.com/dwhitenaSponsor: Framer - The enterprise-grade website builder that lets your team ship faster. Get 30% off at framer.com/practicalai http://framer.com/practicalaiUpcoming Events: Register for upcoming webinars here https://practicalai.fm/webinars!

Transcript

0:00
51:14

7,957 words · 4 speakers

Topics

  • AI Agents
  • Reasoning Models
  • Multimodal AI
  • AI Infrastructure
  • Predictive Models
  • Agentic Workflows
  • AI Energy
  • AI Policy

Page updated · transcript and summary are machine-generated