Summary
Written by a model from the transcript; not yet reviewed.
This episode of the Money Guy Show examines the current U.S. housing market dynamics, where home prices are falling and mortgage rates are rising. Brian Preston and Bo Hanson explain that a growing inventory of over 1.14 million active listings, combined with 7 percent mortgage rates and dismal housing affordability, has created a buyer's market. However, they caution listeners that real estate is a slow-moving adjustment period, not a rapid V-shaped recovery. New home prices have actually dropped below existing home prices for the first time in years, forcing sellers to be realistic on pricing and giving buyers time to conduct proper due diligence.
- Check out the home buying calculators and stick to the 3-5-25 rule to avoid being house-rich and life-poor. 15:35
- List your home on your net worth statement at cost plus improvements rather than using phantom appreciation. 28:01
- Prioritize tax-advantaged employer-sponsored retirement accounts before jumping to taxable brokerage accounts. 33:01
- Keep home down payment funds in safe, liquid accounts like a high-yield savings account if buying within a few years. 56:03
Chapters
- 0:02Podcast Intro and Ad Read
Hosts introduce the episode and read the Michelob Ultra sponsorship ad.
- 1:06Mortgage Rates Rising, Home Prices Falling
Hosts discuss the current trend of higher mortgage rates and declining home prices.
- 1:59New vs Existing Home Price Dynamics
Analysis of how new home prices have dropped below existing home prices and the implications for buyers.
- 5:48Inventory Surge and Buyer’s Market Shift
Exploration of the surge in housing inventory and how it is turning the market into a buyer’s market.
- 7:47Interest Rates and Affordability Crisis
Discussion of how rising mortgage rates are crushing affordability and extending home sale times.
- 12:00Q&A: Home Buying and Investment Advice
Hosts answer listener questions about buying homes, investing, and financial planning.
- 27:56Net Worth and Housing Value Strategy
Guidance on how homeowners should value their homes on net worth statements to avoid phantom appreciation.
- 42:54Community Engagement and Moneyverse Milestones
Celebration of community milestones and invitation to join the Moneyverse Discord community.
- 44:48Celebrating Milestones and Community Wins
Hosts applaud listeners’ life achievements, from marriage to early homeownership, and highlight personal success stories.
- 45:47Jake’s Roth IRA Success Story
Jake’s impressive Roth IRA contribution and future growth potential are celebrated, illustrating the power of early investing.
- 47:24Seadog’s Retirement Planning Triumph
Seadog shares his confirmed retirement date and the rigorous planning that underpins his confidence in a smooth transition.
- 49:01Moneyverse Milestones AMA Announcement
The team announces an upcoming Ask Me Anything event on Discord, inviting listeners to join and engage with the community.
Highlights
- 2:53
New Home Prices Fall Below Existingdata
Due to a bad real estate market, home builders are offering incentives and dropping prices, creating a rare dynamic where new home prices are actually lower than existing home prices.
- 5:26
Inventory Catching Up to Demanddata
Active housing listings have grown significantly from under 400,000 in 2022 to more than 1.14 million by August 2026, shifting the market balance toward buyers.
- 5:48
The Reality of a Buyer's Marketinsight
US home sellers currently outnumber buyers by over 560,000, representing a 58 percent gap that officially makes the current environment a buyer's market.
- 10:33
First-Time Homebuyer Age Climbsdata
Due to crushed affordability and high interest rates, the typical age of a first-time homebuyer has climbed to a historic high of 40 years old.
- 11:34
Real Estate Is Not V-Shapedinsight
Unlike the stock market, real estate does not experience fast V-shaped recoveries because sellers remain anchored to historical prices and the market moves much slower.
Quotes
“new home prices have dropped about 15% over the past four years.”
Unnamed speaker · 3:14 “Because when you see charts like this, this is what I've been telling you guys is that a lot of, a lot of times we have what's called recency bias.”
Brian Preston · 6:27 “Just that one Roth IRA contribution has the potential to turn into over $700,000.”
Unnamed speaker · 46:58 “If I pursue this one goal, is there some other goal that might be adversely affected because I chose to pursue this goal?”
Unnamed speaker · 52:10 “I think if you've got a bunch of student loan debt, but you have a very healthy income like that, knock it out of the park.”
Brian Preston · 54:26 “I don't want to be, I don't want to sleep in the same bed with my sister anymore.”
Brian Preston · 1:01:43
Sponsored segments
- Michelob Ultra 0:02–0:28
- LinkedIn 0:49–1:00
- Moneyguy.com/survey 1:45–2:10
- Moneyguy.com/survey 29:55–31:42
- Moneyverse 49:04–50:21
- Kroger 1:06:29–1:06:58
About this episode
Home prices are falling in parts of the U. S. housing market, but does that mean 2026 is finally a good time to buy a house? We break down falling home prices, mortgage rates, housing inventory, first-time homebuyer affordability, and why new construction can now cost less than existing homes. You’ll also learn what today’s changing real estate market means for buyers and sellers, how to know how much house you can afford, and why our 3/5/25 home-buying rule can help keep housing from squeezing the rest of your financial life. Jump start your journey with our FREE financial resources Reach your goals faster with our products Take the relationship to the next level: become a client Subscribe on YouTube for early access and go beyond the podcast Connect with us on social media for more content Bring confidence to your wealth building with simplified strategies from The Money Guy. Learn how to apply financial tactics that go beyond common sense and help you reach your money goals faster. Make your assets do the heavy lifting so you can quit worrying and start living a more fulfilled life. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
13,286 words · 7 speakers
Speaker names marked are inferred from speaking time and the show’s known hosts — they are not voice-verified.
Topics
- US
- Roth IRA
- South Atlanta
- Abound Wealth Management
- Georgia
- Millionaire Mission
- Realtor
- National Association of Realtors
- The Millionaire Next Door
- 30-year fixed mortgage
Page updated · transcript and summary are machine-generated