Pod Insights How I Built This with Guy Raz Shooting for the moon with Steve Altemus of Intuitive Machines About this episode Our modern way of life requires more resources than ever before — resources that are becoming increasingly scarce and environmentally taxing to extract.
Intuitive Machines co-founder and CEO Steve Altemus believes a solution to this problem could be waiting in the cosmos.
This week on How I Built This Lab, Steve breaks down the logistics and economics of sending the first-ever commercial spacecraft to the moon. Plus, an overview of today’s newfound global space race, and how Steve embraces failure as part of working on hard technological problems.
This episode was produced by Carla Esteves with music by Ramtin Arablouei.
It was edited by John Isabella with research by Carla Esteves. Our audio engineer was Neal Rauch.
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Transcript Speaker names marked ? are inferred from speaking time and the show’s known hosts — they are not voice-verified.
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5:07 Guy Raz? Visit mobilefuels.com for details. Hello and welcome to How I Built This Lab. I'm Guy Raz. So December 7, 1972, that was the last time humans landed on the moon, the Apollo 17 mission. Among the reasons astronauts haven't returned is because we thought we discovered most of what we needed to. And the second is that it's really, really expensive. But it turns out neither of these things is as true today. The moon may contain vast deposits of important minerals, and getting to the moon could cost
5:48 Guy Raz? a fraction of the amount it did, adjusted for inflation, of course, back in 1972. Steve Ultimus is an entrepreneur who wants to make all of this happen. He founded a company called Intuitive Machines that plans to commercialize space exploration, particularly on the moon. Steve spent most of his career at NASA, and while he loved it, he was also frustrated by the bureaucracy and what he felt was the lack of ambition.
6:16 Speaker 01 And I was just getting frustrated because here I was in charge of an organization that was essentially the NFL of engineering, right? Imagine just a premier engineering organization.
6:27 Guy Raz? Yeah, the best.
6:28 Speaker 01 Yeah, so we're like a Ferrari running at idle.
6:31 Guy Raz? Yeah.
6:32 Speaker 01 And I really wanted to step on the gas and see what we could do.
6:35 Guy Raz? Yeah.
6:36 Speaker 01 And not be, you know, entangled in a bureaucracy that was forced through legislative direction to to kind of dither and and just study capabilities.
6:50 Guy Raz? Yeah, this was during, this was 2013, I think you left and not, and again, not in any way to blame any particular administration because NASA budgets were just like cut, you know, progressively cut over years, but I think during this time, the Obama administration really cut down on NASA's budget significantly. And so presumably, I mean, you had all these highly talented engineers, but there wasn't really, you were limited with what you could do.
7:19 Speaker 01 Exactly right.
7:21 Speaker 01 The moon was a four-letter word at the time.
7:24 Guy Raz? Yeah.
7:25 Speaker 01 We've been there in Apollo. We don't need to go back. And so, you know, I came home for dinner one Friday evening and I told my son, you know, I'm just NASA is just not going anywhere. And he said, Dad, you never talk bad about NASA. What's the matter? And I told him and he said, Well, what are you going to do about it? And so he and I came up with an idea to put a walking robot on the moon in a thousand days.
7:51 Guy Raz? You and your son did?
7:53 Speaker 01 Yeah, so we, he went upstairs, made a video of a robot on the moon, looking back at Earth, saying, you know, I see you in sign language.
8:03 Guy Raz? Like an animated video?
8:04 Speaker 01 Yeah, an animated video. And so I took it to work on Monday and showed my divisions and said, Let's go do something amazing. Unleash our minds from these imposed constraints and do something that just shocks everybody and put a walking robot on the moon in a thousand days. We went ahead and built a lunar lander test bed for to flying on Earth and we built a walking robot. We flew the walking robot to space station and we flew the lander by itself about 37 times, successfully launched it from Earth and landed it on a simulated lunar landscape at Kennedy Space Center at the at the shuttle landing facility.
8:44 Guy Raz? Right. And just to be clear, you did not land a robot on the moon, just to be clear.
8:51 Speaker 01 No, the farthest we got with that robot was to deliver it to International Space Station, where it walked up and down the space station, cleaning the ductwork.
8:59 Guy Raz? Yeah, still pretty cool.
9:01 Speaker 01 Yeah. And that was the beginning of Intuitive Machines. That was where a true sense of entrepreneurship came from. And I subsequently left the agency to form Intuitive Machines in 2013, realizing that you had to take control of your environment to make an impact, and one person was absolutely capable of changing the world.
9:26 Guy Raz? So what was the idea of Intuitive Machines? I mean, at that point SpaceX was formed and certainly successful, and you got Blue Origin, a bunch of other private companies. What was Intuitive Machines' place in what was beginning to be a crowded environment?
9:46 Speaker 01 So the agency was still, and the executive branch and the legislature were still about a capabilities-driven architecture with no plan to go back to the moon.
9:58 Guy Raz? Right.
9:58 Speaker 01 And so there was no real thirst to go after NASA work or to do spaceflight work. So we formed ourselves kind of as a think tank. And what we did was, we stepped outside the gate of Johnson Space Center, which is here in Houston. And we said, what are the industries in and around us? Well, it's mainly oil and gas.
10:19 Guy Raz? Oil and gas, yep.
10:20 Speaker 01 Healthcare, the Texas Medical Center is one of the largest medical centers in the world.
10:25 Guy Raz? Yep.
10:26 Speaker 01 And aerospace, right outside of Johnson Space Center. So let's solve intractable problems in those three industries, using our human spaceflight engineering techniques and methodologies and practices, which are, you know, highly refined. And that was the genesis. That's all I had, was like, that idea. And I struck a deal with my co-founder, Cam Gaffarian, and we shook hands over a dinner meeting. And he says, Stephen, it would be a shame if the music in your head was never played. Let's go do this. I'll support you. I'll invest in you. Let's go build this company.
11:10 Guy Raz? All right. So the idea, the idea was to develop capabilities to land material or, or humans specifically on the moon. Was that, is that what you were aiming to do?
11:24 Speaker 01 At the time, no, it actually wasn't. What we were trying to do was to provide solutions for those industries. And so we were inventing, we had 24 inventions in the first five years of the company. We had four ventures that were spinning out of the company. We were just producing things. One of them was a long range, over the horizon, fixed wing drone of 55 pound class drone that could avoid traffic in the airspace and, and fly over the horizon for pipeline inspections. Well, that all was well and good. And we were kind of, you know,
12:05 Speaker 01 bouncing on the bottom somewhat, you know, single digit millions revenue, not really gaining traction with any of the inventions. We found it difficult to work in the healthcare industry and to provide medical devices in that institutional bureaucracy of, of, you know, healthcare. We had trouble breaking into oil and gas and, and the drones were restricted by the FAA. The regulations weren't allowing them to fly in the airspace. Where it turned, Guy, was in 2018. The National Security Council and the National Space Council declared that the moon was now of strategic interest.
12:48 Guy Raz? Yeah.
12:49 Speaker 01 China was coming on strong and the US needed to set the norms and behaviors of how we live in, and work in space to be more peaceful and more civilian focused. And so they created a directive that said, let's return humans to the moon in a sustainable way. And that was in 2018.
13:12 Guy Raz? What you're talking about is the, you know, the United States government, obviously, looking at what China was doing. They did eventually land a spacecraft on the moon in 2019. India would, would follow suit in a couple of years after that. So presumably, the US government is thinking, you know, we can't, you know, if, if other countries are going to start making claims on the moon here, we better get back, back in, into this space.
13:37 Speaker 01 Yeah, exactly. They, um, the, the Chinese were, were ramping up their program and having success after success after success, orbiting the moon, landing on the far side of the moon, roving on the moon, returning a sample from the moon, those kinds of things.
13:52 Guy Raz? So you, at this point now, start to shift your focus on figuring out how to get a lander onto the moon. Let's, let's kind of talk a little bit about, there's so many things to talk about, the, the cost, the associated costs, uh, the complexity, um, but, but I want to just go right to the, the jugular here. Why? What, what is it about? I mean, we've been to the moon. I, you know, anyone who goes to the Air and Space Museum can touch that moon rock. It's amazing and inspiring. But from what, from what I gathered, even going to the Air and Space Museum, is that we've gathered pretty much everything we need to gather. We've gathered the rock samples. We know what the atmosphere is like. And there really isn't
14:36 Guy Raz? that much left to learn about the moon. Is that wrong?
14:40 Speaker 01 You know, think about trying to describe what the planet Earth looks like. From those handful of missions where you have just small, small excursions away from your lander, you know, nothing about the planet Earth at that point. You don't know oceans. You don't know terrain. You don't know mountains and desert. You know where you landed from a very, like, looking through a straw, um, very small amount of knowledge.
15:07 Guy Raz? Right.
15:07 Speaker 01 I think that's where we are now. You know, for all of the moon rocks that we brought back in the history of humanity, there's only 360 kilograms of material. There are so many unknowns about the moon. How much water ice is entrained in the soil?
15:24 Guy Raz? Yeah.
15:24 Speaker 01 Where are the rare metals and minerals that are, have bombarded the moon for, um,
15:30 Guy Raz? Four and a half billion years.
15:30 Speaker 01 Billion years, right? So four and a half billion years. What are those? And what are the constituents of the moon? Is it a source of, um, rare materials for us, uh, back on Earth?
15:41 Guy Raz? And, and that information, you, you have to gather that by, by having a physical presence there in some capacity? You can't gather that through, you know, satellites or, or, or other, other orbiting equipment?
15:58 Speaker 01 Well, certainly, from Earth and from satellites in and around the vicinity of the moon, you can gather imagery data that can
16:06 Guy Raz? Yeah.
16:07 Speaker 01 That can tell you, hey, let's go to the South Pole. The South Pole looks like it has incredible amount of water ice entrained in the soil. Let's go see if it's actually there. How much water is there? Can we make drinking water from that? Can we make propellants, liquid oxygen from that? Can we make consumables for humans from that? And so you can get some idea. Then the question is, do you want to take the next step and actually go explore on the surface?
16:36 Guy Raz? We're going to take a quick break, but when we come back, more on why going to the moon is worth it and how collaboration with SpaceX is making it all possible. Stay with us. I'm Guy Raz and you're listening to How I Built This Lab.
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18:39 Guy Raz? you can select pre-made boards for pretty much any use case. It saves you the hassle of building from scratch. And what's really cool is that a new template has just been added, this time for me. We partnered with the folks over at Miro to create a "How to Build a Podcast Miroverse" template to help kickstart your journey to making a podcast. Go to miro.com/hibt to check out our Miroverse template for yourself. That's M-I-R-O.com/hibt. And I'm excited to hear what you think.
19:22 Guy Raz? Welcome back to How I Built This Lab. I'm Guy Raz. Here's more from my conversation with Steve Altamis, co-founder and CEO of Intuitive Machines. I guess my question is, and I'm not pushing back to be difficult, I'm just really curious. Because part of me is like, well, if this was really critical, you would think that these missions wouldn't have stopped in 1972, that they would continue on. I mean, they're very expensive, maybe $100 billion. That's what NASA estimated to put a man or a woman back on the moon today. But so do we know there are rare earth minerals? I mean, you mentioned this idea of the moon being bombarded for billions of years, which makes sense. But at the same time, like, so has Earth. The moon is much smaller than the Earth. So like,
20:06 Guy Raz? I mean, how often does it get hit by stuff?
20:08 Speaker 01 Well, it's, you know, you could see all the pockmarks on the moon with a naked eye, right? And then with a telescope, it's just Swiss cheese.
20:16 Guy Raz? Yeah.
20:16 Speaker 01 But, you know, if we think about mining,
20:21 Speaker 01 at the rate that we consume rare earth minerals and materials, we now have pristine areas that would have to be stripped mined to find the last bastion of materials that we're looking for. Um, we don't want to do that. We don't want to destroy our earth. So if there's an alternate source, mining on the moon can become a real source of commerce for, for us as a planet.
20:47 Guy Raz? And again, you're working on this. It hasn't happened yet because I think the only countries that have landed besides the US and Russia are India and China. And I think that the only, India and China are the only countries that have landed anything on the moon this, since the year 2000, if I'm not mistaken.
21:02 Speaker 01 No, you're correct. The, it, it, very recent history, it's only been India and China.
21:07 Guy Raz? Yeah.
21:08 Speaker 01 India being the latest and the, and you saw the recent Russian mission to the moon failed on the way.
21:13 Guy Raz? That failed. Yeah. And, and I read something like 45% of attempts have crashed and burned. So why is it so hard? I mean, if we, if, if the United States did it, you know, multiple times in the sixties and late sixties and early seventies, we know the terrain. Um, I mean, why is it so hard to land something successfully on the moon? Why do they crash so, so often?
21:39 Speaker 01 It's an incredible challenge to go to the moon when you transition from flying, highly dynamic environment of flying from earth.
21:49 Guy Raz? Yeah.
21:49 Speaker 01 Through the atmosphere.
21:50 Guy Raz? Yep.
21:51 Speaker 01 Into space and then capturing into the moon, orbiting the moon, descending down to...
21:58 Speaker 01 A surface that's not defined by sea level.
22:01 Guy Raz? Ah.
22:02 Speaker 01 It's a very mountainous terrain with craters and, and there's no navigation. And so what you have to do with no pilot in command, have the ability to navigate on your own, to carry everything with you, you need to sort out where the surface is. We have kind of a, a mean surface of the moon, a general idea of what the surface of the moon reference line is.
22:28 Guy Raz? Yeah.
22:28 Speaker 01 Um, but if you land on a crater.
22:31 Guy Raz? You're done.
22:32 Speaker 01 If you, either a rock, a slope.
22:34 Guy Raz? Yeah.
22:35 Speaker 01 So that's, that's part of the challenge.
22:37 Guy Raz? So, all right, in 2019, NASA awarded three companies, private companies, contracts to build robotic lunar landers, your company, Intuitive was one of them. Um, and you obviously have been building it and testing it. First of all, where do you test it? Do you, do you like to, I don't know, like, like Hawaii? Like where, what, where do you, just what kind of rocky surface do you look for?
23:04 Speaker 01 So what we do is, um, right here in Houston, um, we have been building the Nova Sea Lunar Lander, which is about 2,000 kilograms, uh, stands about 14 feet high. Uh, maybe six or seven feet diameter. And we make everything basically vertically integrated as a company. There's a few items that we purchased, but a bulk of them, we manufacture in-house. We actually additively manufacture or 3D print our own engines. And then we test them right here. We're on Spaceport Houston, the Ellington Airport.
23:40 Guy Raz? I'm looking at a, a photo of the Nova Sea, it may be an old photo, but it's, it's interesting because it doesn't look that different from, you know, lunar landers of. The 60s and 70s, I mean, it has sort of the same shape, sort of a vertical kind of, you know, cylinder with like tent pole legs. And I'm sure it's much more sophisticated. But in terms of the design, are there reasons why that that design is not that different?
24:08 Speaker 01 Yeah, so you want to have the lightest weight lander that you can because it takes so much energy to get out of the gravity well of Earth to the moon and then descend it softly to the surface of the moon inside its gravity well. So all of that is energy management. You know, our business economics for the lander are to sell payloads at a price per kilogram. So every kilogram of lander mass is one less kilogram of payload mass that we could sell to make the business profitable.
24:46 Guy Raz? Yeah, let's talk about about the the business model. I mean, obviously, you had to raise a ton of money just to get this, just to do the research and to build prototypes. But tell me a little bit about the model. I mean, you will, basically, you will sell material that is gathered from the moon that returns to Earth. Like, is that initially how you're going to make money?
25:09 Speaker 01 We've actually diversified to the point where our business model is really to install the infrastructure in and around the moon to support sustained human presence. So if you think about it like an expeditionary force, the first thing you need to do is land.
25:25 Guy Raz? Yeah.
25:26 Speaker 01 Then you establish communications, then you establish navigation to move further away from your lander, and then you start bringing up heavier and heavier cargo. So we built an entire mini Apollo program, if you will, one that you could operate the mission from a mission control. And then you need a rocket to get you off of Earth, and we contract with SpaceX to buy their Falcon 9 rockets.
25:52 Guy Raz? You go on the rocket, yeah.
25:54 Speaker 01 And and they take us through that first phase out of the Earth's atmosphere and into space. So now we have the infrastructure to launch and transport our lander to the moon. And the first lander takes about 130 kilograms of payload to the surface.
26:11 Guy Raz? And what's on there?
26:12 Speaker 01 So we put scientific instruments.
26:15 Guy Raz? Right, because these are unmanned, I should be clear.
26:17 Speaker 01 Totally robotic autonomous missions at this point. They're really precursors to the human missions.
26:23 Guy Raz? So like rover type, type things that can basically leave the, the, the lander and start to poke around?
26:31 Speaker 01 Yeah, we have rovers, hoppers, which is a drone, rocket propelled drone that
26:36 Guy Raz? Oh.
26:36 Speaker 01 can fly 25 kilometers away from the lander.
26:41 Speaker 01 All kinds of items that extend from scientific instruments to commercial sponsorships, to art projects, to telescopes that stare at the Milky Way.
26:54 Guy Raz? Yeah.
26:54 Speaker 01 All of those are payloads that we fly and we can charge roughly a million dollars a kilogram to take those payloads to the moon, whether that's a government payload or a commercial payload. So if you can do that, that's roughly a hundred million dollars plus of revenue that you can generate with each mission to the moon. Now you say, okay, how do you fly fixed price to the moon for less than a hundred million dollars?
27:21 Guy Raz? And you have to figure that out.
27:22 Speaker 01 Yeah, and that I think is disruption. The disruption of, you said it earlier, that it costs a hundred billion dollars for Apollo missions. And we're trying to land on the moon for a hundred million dollars. It's orders of magnitude cheaper.
27:39 Guy Raz? Yeah.
27:39 Speaker 01 Launch access has become affordable again. And SpaceX caused that disruption and it's, and it's fantastic for us.
27:47 Guy Raz? I, I understand the, the need to commercialize this because obviously taxpayers cannot finance these, these missions in perpetuity. So it makes sense that you've got private companies doing it. But I imagine, you mentioned, you know, you're operating out of Houston, obviously important oil and gas center of the United States of the world, really. Imagine there's an incentive from some of these companies to, you know, to be, to have some equipment, you know, as part of the payload in order to, to use it as a way to explore potential for extracting minerals. How does, how does like?
28:24 Guy Raz? I mean, how would it work in terms of like, you know, claiming a part of the moon to, you know, to extract material? Like, who owns? How do we figure out who owns what? I mean, I know that there are international treaties, but what happens if, you know, your lander discovers like some rare earth mineral in that area? Who can claim that?
28:46 Speaker 01 That's a great question. And there's very little policy and governance, but there is some framework. So the Outer Space Treaty governs how we live and work in space. But how do we live and work on the moon? The United States offered to the world an agreement called the Artemis Accords, and it's very friendly to allowing commercialization rights of the moon. So if you land on the moon, you can bring back samples and own those samples, per the Artemis Accords. It's not where they belong to the sovereign governments. They can belong to commercial companies.
29:30 Speaker 01 And I think that's important for the future of building a space economy centered around the moon. And we're, I'm sure, there'll be a lot of legal opinions when the first samples come back.
29:43 Guy Raz? Yeah.
29:44 Speaker 01 But technically, you don't own the real estate if you land. It's not the frontier days of the Wild, Wild West where you went out and did-
29:55 Guy Raz? Plant a flag and it's yours.
29:56 Speaker 01 Plant a flag and you own the land, the property, the stake, staked it out. You land, you own what they call a heritage site. And that means other countries or other companies that want to fly near you, if you're declared as a heritage site, need to coordinate with you before they land and damage any of the equipment that you have there. But you don't own the land or the mineral rights because you've landed there. But what you cache on the surface and what you bring back can be yours.
30:28 Guy Raz? We're going to take another quick break. But when we come back, why Steve is embracing the possibility of failure as his first lunar launch approaches. Stay with us. I'm Guy Raz, and you're listening to How I Built This Lab.
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34:31 Guy Raz? Welcome back to How I Built This Lab. I'm Guy Raz. Here's more from my conversation with Steve Ultimus, whose company is planning to send its first lunar lander to the south pole of the moon early next year.
34:44 Guy Raz? Okay, let's talk about your, um, your launch. I know there've been some scheduled launches that have been nixed. There are a variety of reasons, weather and other challenges. And your next window is, I think, is January of 2024, right?
34:59 Speaker 01 Yes, we had a launch window in November, but you know, there's priorities going off the launchpad all the time. And so we have to fit within the manifest of what's going off of Launchpad A at Kennedy Space Center. So SpaceX has given us a launch date for January 12th of 2024. We have a five day window to get off. There's only a certain amount of days per month that you can fly to the moon where it's in the right position to where we can land at our designated landing site. So we're very excited about it. The lander has been ready for some time now, since the end of September, and we will ship it later this month to the
35:42 Speaker 01 Cape for processing. We'll take Christmas off and get it, find touches to it and get it on its spacecraft adapter and get it encapsulated on the Falcon 9 and get it out to the launchpad, do a rehearsal and launch it on, I think the launch window opens at 11:59 PM on January 12.
36:07 Guy Raz? So, you know, when humans were trying to figure out flight, there were a lot of accidents. The Wright brothers had a lot of crashes. But over time, they figured out how to successfully land aircraft. You know, as we know, there've been not an insignificant amount of attempts to land on the moon. But what is the sort of the holy grail? Like, what is the thing that that humans have to figure out to make it foolproof?
36:34 Speaker 01 Well, it's time. It's time in the seat. It's time. It's flying missions. So I like the idea of a number of shots on goal. The more shots on goal, the more attempts, the more the learning. You learn, we're at the edge of an envelope of eking out the performance of a system. You know, think about the early days of Ferrari and racing and how they're on the on the edge and the limit and the failures they've had and how they've recovered and how the automotive company has has come automotive industry has come a long way in reliability, the aircraft industry and a long way in liability.
37:16 Speaker 01 You're seeing through commercial endeavor and innovation SpaceX come a long way in terms of reliability.
37:23 Guy Raz? Yeah.
37:23 Speaker 01 Of the rockets and frequency of flight. It's almost becoming routine as they aim for 100 missions in a single year. So the moon, we're at our infancy. We've had a handful, like you said, of missions to the moon. And so intuitive machines, as we build our landers, we're building the same lander over and over and over again to make sure it's right and practiced and learning from every attempt. And so every attempt we try, and we have three on the books and adding a fourth here shortly, those missions will help us understand the performance of the systems and we can adjust and tweak and redesign and fly another one and adjust and tweak and design and fly
38:04 Speaker 01 another one before we change to another model of lander or another category. And so I hope that that will help improve reliability as we go over and over again to the moon.
38:15 Guy Raz? So what, I mean, you know, you're talking about moving material to and from the moon. And we've had, and this is not a perfect analogy, but we've had companies on the show that make autonomous vehicles and some of them aren't interested in moving around humans. They just want to move around equipment, you know, or be delivery vehicles. Do you, do you think that, that, I mean, you want to be the first private company to land, you know, to have a lander successfully land on the moon? Do you also want to move human beings to the moon one day? Is that, is that part of your plan?
38:53 Speaker 01 Uh, yes, we actually are in the competition today. Uh, we submitted a, a proposal to NASA to build their lunar terrain vehicle, which is the F-150 pickup truck that would take astronauts around the surface of the moon. And though it's a very interesting and very disruptive kind of procurement that NASA is doing where we would own the rover and we would use it autonomously and commercially to move things around the surface of the moon. But NASA would buy it from us as a service when the astronauts are present. So they would take control of it. They would operate it with astronauts on board. And when the astronauts leave,
39:37 Speaker 01 we would operate it and we would move material and we would move logistics and we would do assembly with a robotic arm. Um, and, and make a business out of it. I think it's really exciting to see the kind of partnerships that we're creating with the government to, who is now embracing the commercial model and seeing how we blend the federal dollar with the investment dollar to stretch the capabilities of this country and, and, and to our, our speed and execution uh, of moving out into space. And Intuitive Machines bid that to develop that. And so we will deliver it to the surface if we win. Um, and then we'll defer to NASA when they want to put their astronauts in it.
40:21 Speaker 01 So, um, it's a really exciting model and I, I, I think that's a, a breakthrough in business. And you know what it does? It makes us more globally competitive where we no longer have these government run monolithic programs that take decades to deploy. We now have an ability to move with the speed and agility of the US economy. And that's a competitive edge for the United States all day long.
40:45 Guy Raz? I, predictions are dangerous, but. What's your best prediction for when we're going to have another human on the moon? I know Blue Origin was selected to lead that mission with NASA, but you know, who knows what that will mean? What's your prediction? 10 years, 20 years, 30 years? Faster than that?
41:02 Speaker 01 Well SpaceX and Blue Origin both have SpaceX Mission 1 and Blue Origin Mission 2. They want those procurements to land humans on the moon. I was up on Capitol Hill and talking to the appropriators and authorizers and different committees about Artemis. And you know, optimistically NASA tends to be optimistic about when it can fly and maybe over promises and then the dollars don't materialize and the hardware doesn't cooperate and they tend to under deliver and the programs cost more and take a lot longer. And so being realistic as a business, as certainly as a public company, we have to
41:42 Speaker 01 factor in our anticipated best guess of delays that are going to come associated with the Artemis program. And so I think it's 2030 before we see boots on the moon.
41:53 Guy Raz? Hmm. It's exciting. Exciting.
41:56 Speaker 01 It's incredibly exciting to be, you know, people as aerospace engineers used to say, man, it was, it would have been a great time to be alive during the Apollo program.
42:04 Guy Raz? Yeah.
42:05 Speaker 01 And yet today, I think it's the best time to be alive as an aerospace engineer, working on returning the United States to the moon for the first time in 52 years as a commercial company and the first ever mission to the South Pole of the moon. That's our first one.
42:22 Guy Raz? Okay. So if in fact, okay, it launches and the statistics, and again, I don't want, I'm saying this to make you nervous, but the statistics aren't on your side, right? I mean, the, I think there hasn't been a single private space company that has landed anything on the moon this, since 2000, right? Or in a long time.
42:47 Speaker 01 Um, there has never been a commercial landing on the moon in history. Never. Um, so Intuitive Machines is aiming to be the first. And you're right, uh, forty to forty-five percent of the missions fail going to the moons. Yeah. Well aware of that, you know, imagine building a business where you put everything on the line at the moment you light the rocket and you, right? But there's some thoughts here I have, if you'll indulge me. Please. We have three missions to the moon. Failure is likely, um, like you indicated. We have now three shots at the moon. So we are not a company that builds one lander. And if it succeeds, we're, we're successful. If it fails, we go under. Right.
43:31 Speaker 01 We have diversified revenue streams. We have revenue from other business lines. The lander is something that we've taken great care to build with a lot of know-how from our days in NASA and in aerospace. And we've been able to go look at all of the people who have stood before us and tried to land on the moon. And we've in fact, looked at every failure that's occurred and thought about that. Uh, when we built our lander architecture, we've added redundancy in the systems, whether it's dissimilar redundancy, or it's multiple strings of, of redundant things. We've looked at, um, simplicity.
44:13 Speaker 01 We've looked at, um, areas to provide more robustness where there seems to be a, a number of failures. And so in my mind, I've taken our failure probability, um, to a seventy-five percent success rate. Um, so there is still a significant opportunity to fail. But if you think about it, all the work that we've done today, the propulsion testing, the software testing. And then you get to the launch pad and you light the engine and then you separate from the launch vehicle. Then you commission your engines and fire it for the first time. The further we get towards the moon, the more success we have. So if we've retired 95% of the risk on our way to the moon, that's a wild success for us.
44:58 Speaker 01 Even if we don't touch down softly and return NASA's data to them or the commercial data, we have retired significant risk. And we've proven the economic model of trying to build the lowest cost lander and land on the moon for less than $100 million and build that in four years is a proven theory then. And it shows that you can execute. So that's kind of the way I look at it. You know, embrace the chance of failure and stand in the arena and give it a try.
45:31 Guy Raz? Awesome, Steve. Thanks so much.
45:33 Speaker 01 Appreciate it.
45:34 Guy Raz? Good luck on the launches we'll be watching.
45:36 Speaker 01 I hope you and all your constituents tune in and hopefully we give you an exciting ride to the moon.
45:44 Guy Raz? That's Steve Altemus, co-founder and CEO of Intuitive Machines. Hey, thanks so much for listening to the show this week. Please make sure to click the follow button on your podcast app so you never miss a new episode of the show. And as always, it's free. This episode was produced by Carla Esteves with music composed by Rameen Arablui. It was edited by John Isabella with research by Carla Esteves. Our audio engineer was Neil Rouch. Our production staff also includes Alex Chung, Casey Herman, Chris Messini, J.C. Howard, Catherine Seifer, Kerry Thompson, Malia Agudelo, Neva Grant, and Sam Paulson. I'm Guy Raz and you've been listening to How I Built This Lab.
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