Chris Hayes on Calibrating Your AI Anxiety

How should you feel about the AI boom? In this episode of Galaxy Brain, Charlie Warzel speaks with Chris Hayes about how to emotionally calibrate our response to this dizzying AI moment. Hayes describes why AI gives him “The Bad Feeling,” and how it led him to report on AI like an anthropologist would. The two discuss why AI is described as “the jagged frontier,” and they explore the distinction between using AI for creative thinking versus grunt work. Get more from your favorite Atlantic voices when you subscribe. You’ll enjoy unlimited access to Pulitzer-winning journalism, from clear-eyed analysis and insight on breaking news to fascinating explorations of our world. Atlantic subscribers also get access to exclusive subscriber audio in Apple Podcasts. Subscribe today at TheAtlantic.com/Listener. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Speaker names marked ? are inferred from speaking time and the show’s known hosts — they are not voice-verified.

• 0:00Speaker 00

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• 0:20Speaker 01

  From Rethink, the creative marketing studio at The Atlantic and Walmart, On Solid Ground is a new podcast exploring the increasing threat of natural disasters. I'm journalist Caroline Modaresi-Turani, and I spoke with those on the front lines of disaster response to understand how communities build resilience before, during, and after a storm. Listen to On Solid Ground wherever you get your podcasts.

• 0:54Speaker 02

  If you're having it do your brainstorming, like your brainstorming muscles are gonna get weaker. And I don't want my brain, that's my livelihood, my career is coming up with stuff. I gotta keep that. I gotta keep that sharp. Now, maybe in five years, they'll just have an AI do my show. And the AI will generate all the takes, and the AI will talk, and I'll be out of a job. Great. Fine. But until that happens, I don't want the AI doing that.

• 1:24Charlie Warzel?

  I'm Charlie Warzel, and this is Galaxy Brain, a show where today, we're gonna calibrate our feelings about artificial intelligence. There's this phrase that's coined by AI researchers that I can't get out of my head these days. It's called the jagged frontier. The phrase is meant to describe how AI can be extremely and unexpectedly good at some human tasks, and then also extremely and unexpectedly bad at others. Individually, this can mean that it's useful or even transformative for some people, while others see it as unnecessary or even more akin to snake oil. For example, large language models, and especially coding agents, have transformed the job of many programmers, making them more productive. That's not true of all industries, though, especially creative ones, where there are moral, or financial, or creative reasons to object to its use. The jagged

• 2:09Charlie Warzel?

  frontier is meant to apply to use cases in industries. In some ways, it's an echo of the old cliche, "The future is here, but it's not evenly distributed." But lately, I've been thinking about the jagged frontier as it applies to the broader AI moment and the discourse. This moment that we are living in, the AI boom, the hype cycle or revolution, you choose your own language. It's a weird one. If you try to keep up with industry news, it's easy to feel just instantly overwhelmed. There's the obvious existential stuff. Will AI replace all white collar workers? Is AI making us dumber or lazier? There's also a lot of what's being described as AI malaise. It's this ambient feeling that there's too much happening too fast and without most people's say. On places like X, there's all kinds

• 2:54Charlie Warzel?

  of breathless chatter about people setting up swarms of bots to run their computers and monitor their personal lives, or of people creating vibe trading platforms that can make and lose money while they sleep. CEOs aren't just talking about job loss. They're writing 14,000 word essays about a future where, quote, "our current economic setup will no longer make sense." Now, if you're a regular person, the type of person who's more worried about the price of gas right now, these conversations can sound like they are coming from another planet. And they're also making a lot of people ambiently anxious. If you're at all skeptical of the AI industry and the men who lead it, then you'd be right to be concerned about the future that these companies are outlining. So how do we calibrate our anxiety

• 3:39Charlie Warzel?

  and our expectations about AI in this moment? How is AI going to impact our politics in the coming years? Should you be scared, excited, angry, sad? Some unholy mix of all of that? Chris Hayes has been asking these kinds of questions for the last few months. Hayes is the host of All In on MS Now and the host of the podcast, Why Is This Happening? He's also written a great book on the attention economy called The Siren's Call. Chris has this new podcast series out about the AI endgame. And in it, he does something that I think is really crucial. He tries to make sense of this moment with an almost anthropological perspective. So many people in the AI discourse are just in so deep that it can be really, really hard to see the big picture. And so I brought on Chris to do just that.

• 4:28Charlie Warzel?

  Chris, welcome to Galaxy Brain.

• 4:31Speaker 02

  It's great to be here, man. Thanks for having me.

• 4:33Charlie Warzel?

  So you've described your feelings about AI in the first episode of this, the short run podcast series that you're doing about it, the whole generative AI revolution, the discourse, the whole thing, as having, I thought this was great, like a bodily, somatic effect on you.

• 4:48Speaker 02

  Yes.

• 4:48Charlie Warzel?

  So tell me, tell me about this feeling. I want you to describe it. What happens when you encounter the news or discourse about AI?

• 4:56Speaker 02

  There's this feeling that I've come to describe or think of as the bad feeling, like capital T, capital B, capital F, which is that just a feeling of kind of like anxiety, doom, shutdown, that I get, you know, from a lot of things. Some certain political news will give me the bad feeling. And basically, the AI discourse gives me the bad feeling usually because it feels like the end of something. It feels like it's going to destroy things I love, or maybe lead to the end of human civilization, you know, some, some version, some high-tech version of nuclear winter that we can only sort of hardly imagine. And I think it puts, because of that, it puts me in this kind of fetal position, defensive

• 5:39Speaker 02

  crouch. And I think also it's the case, one of the goals here is, there's a world of people who are very in the AI discourse. And that world is very fertile and intense, and it's, it's largely happening on, on X still. But it's also like its own kind of bubble.

• 5:56Charlie Warzel?

  Totally.

• 5:56Speaker 02

  And with, you know, and I think people outside of it find it scary and alienating. And I think that's actually like a huge amount of, that's most people at this point.

• 6:08Charlie Warzel?

  Yes.

• 6:09Speaker 02

  And so part of what I'm trying to do is like penetrate that from the outside, because I'm not, I had not really been in that discourse intensely, to try to penetrate it in a way that I can be a kind of guide for other people that are outside of it, if that makes sense.

• 6:22Charlie Warzel?

  It does. I mean, I have this theory essentially that we all have AI psychosis, right? Like, we've been using that term to describe this problematic relationship that some people have with chatbots. It's an informal, non-medical term. But like, broadly speaking, AI drives- driving folks, you know, informally insane. It's like your boss has AI psychosis and they will only accept marketing summaries that go through Copilot. Right? Like programmers have it because they're getting this competency high of like 10 X ing their productivity. And I feel like you have these people on X who definitely are marinating in this like micro discourse. That's very similar to the way that like Twitter, the weird in politics, right?

• 7:00Speaker 02

  Absolutely.

• 7:01Charlie Warzel?

  And then the skeptics, I think, also have a version of it because you either have skeptics who are like, I'm putting my fingers in my ears. I'm waiting for this to pass. Or you have people who are like, I believe that this is very dangerous. I'm curious, like, why do you think we can't have a regular conversation about AI?

• 7:19Speaker 02

  It's a great question. I mean, I think probably all discourses around transformative technologies tend to be a little berserk. So I think there's, that's part of it. I think we have an attention economy that is particularly inclined towards like psychosis. Because the crazier things are, the more intentionally salient they are, the bolder the claims, the more intentionally salient.

• 7:41Charlie Warzel?

  It also moves so fast, like the speed of it, which I saw someone the other day saying like, we don't talk about Claude Code anymore. Because we talk about Codex, like Claude Code was last week's thing. It is no longer like relevant to this thing. And I'm like, if you are moving in like the broad, everyone needs to be paying attention to our conversation. If you are moving at the speed of if you weren't paying attention on a, on a daily, weekly basis, like you don't belong in this conversation anymore. It almost feels to me like it's supposed to be a little bit exclusionary in that way.

• 8:13Speaker 02

  And that's fine, too. I mean, you know, specialist discourse is, is a thing that you find in all sorts of domains and realms. And I, you know, I don't even begrudge that. One of the things I'm trying to do is just open up to people that are inside the conversation. And not, again, I'm trying to do it. That's not in the hothouse, like very intentionally.

• 8:30Charlie Warzel?

  Yeah.

• 8:31Speaker 02

  Of like at the sort of coming from almost like intentionally coming to it from the outside. Because I think people who are making AI and doing AI are all doing each other's podcasts like constantly. That's all like, it's just this entire discursive engine that's just churning out, you know, code and content and models. I'm trying to find a way in as a kind of Virgil figure guide for people that are outside of that. Um, because it is, it is alienating, I gotta say, like, you know, it, it really is. It has a very cultish, hothouse, you know, true believer feel in there.

• 9:08Charlie Warzel?

  Well, and in the same way too, like I can see it radicalizing people. And again, that's why I think like the politics, the politics thing is so salient. Okay. So I love this idea. You're coming from it from the outside. And since you've been doing this and you've had this experience, I, I would love if you could kind of give me the optimist take and the skeptic take as, as you see it.

• 9:29Speaker 02

  One concept I've been playing with is let's think about a normal distribution of outcomes, a probability curve, a bell curve. I think a lot of the discourse ends up focusing on like tail outcomes as opposed to like the center of the bell curve. And I think partly that's because that center has moved so quickly that people are, you know, pulled towards the tails. And I think partly that's because of we're inheritors of an entire mythic superstructure. That again, I think the like, the AI people think is like nonsense, uh, you know, liberal arts major craziness, but is clearly structuring the way everyone thinks about this.

• 10:08Speaker 02

  Like the myth of Gollum and Frankenstein are obviously massively influential in the narrative structure people are imposing on this.

• 10:15Charlie Warzel?

  And the Terminator. Yes. Like, yes.

• 10:16Speaker 02

  Yes. And how like everyone, like, again, there's a reason that like our technology's ape science fiction. And it's not because science fiction was so prescient. It's because it's literally the thing that was consumed by the folks that are making the technology.

• 10:29Charlie Warzel?

  Totally.

• 10:30Speaker 02

  That's why it happens. It's not like, wow, how did they predict that? It's like, no, there was no future. We got those messages about what technology should look like. Everyone grew up with it and then they made the thing, right? So I keep coming back to this idea of like, let's think about it as a normal technology.

• 10:45Charlie Warzel?

  Right.

• 10:46Speaker 02

  Like, what does it mean for it to be a normal technology? And what that means is like, okay, automobile, personal computer, the internet, cell phones, radio, television, the telegram, electrification. These are all normal technologies, massively revolutionary, enormous consequences, like huge, huge costs and huge, huge benefit. But fundamentally, human life went on. Like, it didn't, it wasn't the end of us. So in some ways, I think that's kind of the optimistic take, right? Is that it's a normal, a normal technology with dislocations, costs and benefits that we can reason together around and try to find ways to distribute the benefits broadly and mitigate the costs.

• 11:30Speaker 02

  The pessimistic take I have is that similar to the way that, say, industrialization functioned, which required a sort of creation of wage labor and a concentration of capital, right? And a kind of extractive relationship from the beginning, that there is a inherent sort of pro-capital bias to the technology and that it basically becomes a tool for accelerating the concentration of wealth and power in smaller and smaller hands. And I think there's a lot of reasons to think that's the case, unfortunately.

• 12:06Charlie Warzel?

  I love pairing the, the normal version of this also with it being almost in some ways, less revolutionary than, than, you know, than put forward. The thing that like sticks in my head is, is like, that keeps me up at night. Part of this is not like, you know, the, the paperclip maximizer, we're all going to die, human extinction theory. And it's so much more like, look at the money that is being invested into this thing. Sort of an unfathomable, unprecedentedly quick amount of spend into the infrastructure and, and backing of this technology. All those people expect a return on an investment at a level Sort of never before seen.

• 12:42Speaker 02

  Yep.

• 12:42Charlie Warzel?

  Which would then mean it works really well, which would then mean like probably a lot of economic displacement in a way that we have no way of dealing with in the short term. And it's like, that's the thing that scares me.

• 12:55Speaker 02

  There's two options, right? I mean, a lot of people put it this way. This is not a unique insight of mine at all, right? But like, there's the success, which is all of that investment is rational and is producing a technology that is paying for itself with productivity gains. In which case, if that's the case, it's a dislocation unlike anything we've seen. Or it's irrational and there's an enormous bubble that goes bust. And that has enormous financial consequences that that leak out into the real economy and end up hurting a lot of people who had nothing to do with AI, right? Both of the, it's probably one of the two. And I think the railroad example, everyone keeps coming back to it, but I do think it's useful.

• 13:37Speaker 02

  Like, I didn't know this until I was going back in it, that like, the railroad was both transformative and also an insane gold rush of overinvestment and too much capital that ended up going bust multiple times in the last few decades of the 19th century, producing some of the worst cataclysms, including like a Great Depression in 1893, that the US economy had ever gone through. I mean, we didn't, remember, we didn't have a central bank. Thank you, Andrew Jackson. So, you know, there was no, and there was no FDR figure. It was just like, whoopsies, now we've got a Great Depression, everyone's out on the street, and your family might be starving because we devoted too much capital to the railroads.

• 14:20Speaker 02

  Which is, you know, again, what I think is useful about that example is, that doesn't mean the railroad was bullshit.

• 14:27Charlie Warzel?

  Right.

• 14:27Speaker 02

  It turns out the railroad actually was a pretty transformative technology. It can be the case that a transformative technology is also the subject of an irrational bubble and overinvestment.

• 14:37Charlie Warzel?

  I also think too, like, add another layer of confusion to all this is the fact that like, the markets are behaving supremely irrationally right now. Narrative may be more important than actual reality.

• 14:48Speaker 02

  The other thing I would say about the way the markets are acting, I mean, there's a, there's a bunch, there's a lot to say about that. I think there's really, really incredibly smart, sophisticated people who are, you know, making bets that are totally defensible bets, okay? But A, it's been 18 years since people got wiped out. And there's a whole group of people who are working in this world who never came into to the office to watch everything go boom.

• 15:16Charlie Warzel?

  Mm hmm.

• 15:16Speaker 02

  And let me tell you, that changes people like it just does. Uh, it, you know, again, these are all human beings doing this. There's a human beings who are the subject of culture and group think. And, and I know this personally from people like coming into work every day and watching your portfolio just absolutely get annihilated day after day while everyone's getting annihilated is an experience that is a generational experience that a lot of the people haven't, haven't had in a long time.

• 15:43Charlie Warzel?

  Yeah, we can't keep anything in our heads for more than like, like four seconds. We're not even talking about the assassination attempt on, on the president that happened like two weeks ago.

• 15:51Speaker 02

  When you just said that phrase, I was like, what?

• 15:53Charlie Warzel?

  When did that happen? Huh?

• 15:55Speaker 02

  So I think, I think that's part of it. But I also think the other thing I would say is there really is a lot of radical uncertainty, you know? So everyone's kind of, you know, making these bets about a, about a, about a future that is really is quite unclear. Since we came out of the caves, people want to know the future and you can't know the future. That's the fundamental human condition. Look at the go down trails. You can consult the oracle Delphi. You could look at polymark and Kalshi. You can subscribe to Nate Silver Substack. None of it will get you the thing you want, which is knowing the future. And everyone is making bets on the future, but the future is unknown. But first, a quick break.

• 16:36Speaker 00

  If you're trying to get news today, you'll find a lot of biased algorithms, rage bait and AI noise. Thanks, social media. That's where Inpress comes in. It's a social platform on top of factual journalism, not the other way around. Track your reading and earn points. It's like Strava for your brain. Plus you can connect with other users in your city who share your genuine curiosity. Ditch the echo chamber for reality with Inpress. Download it today for iOS or Android at inpress.app. That's I, N as in news nerd, press.

• 17:10Speaker 01

  From Rethink, the creative marketing studio at The Atlantic and Walmart, On Solid Ground is a new podcast exploring the increasing threat of natural disasters. I'm journalist Caroline Moderesi-Turani, and I spoke with those on the front lines of disaster response to understand how communities build resilience before, during, and after a storm. Listen to On Solid Ground wherever you get your podcasts.

• 17:42Charlie Warzel?

  Part of what I hear you grasping for in these pods and part of what I think we're all grasping for, again, it's not just the unknown part of the future, but it's also trying to calibrate for how powerful is this technology, right? And you had an episode with Alison Gopnik, the cognitive psychologist, philosopher, that I thought is really illuminating because it's exploring human intelligence in the ways that large language models are really working very differently than, say, like, you know, humans mind. And so you're hanging out with someone at a bar, they're asking you, like, are these models, you know, alive? Are they reasoning or whatever? How do you think about human intelligence versus what's being marketed as artificial intelligence? And how are you talking to people about that?

• 18:20Speaker 02

  That's a great question. I guess my feeling about it is it's built extremely differently than human intelligence, largely because of the sort of experiential stuff that Alison talks about, the way a child learns. But it may turn out at a sufficient level of computation and sophistication, like enough power and enough weights and enough complexity, things converge on each other, is kind of the way I think about it. Like, and one of the things I've found useful is we just do a lot of patterned behavior ourselves. And I think if you take a step back to think about that,

• 19:00Speaker 02

  it's actually really illuminating, that a big part of what we're doing is stimulus response off of patterned triggers. And that doesn't mean we're not conscious, and it doesn't mean that we don't have free will, and there's a bunch of interesting philosophical questions. But like, I always start with people when I, when literally they'll like, what is this thing? I'm like, you know how you write, someone invites you to a party and say, like, I'd love to, but I can't. And the last two words are make it? Like, we all know that. Why do we all know that? Well, that's just a pattern response. It's like, well, you can train a computer to figure that pattern out using a bunch of weights of words. And then- You start building out from there. You start getting like, there's a fair amount of human behavior, right?

• 19:45Speaker 02

  That's working off of that kind of computation.

• 19:50Charlie Warzel?

  Totally. People are always trying to, if not impress, actually impress. It's trying to relate to somebody in a way that makes sense, right? Which is taking all the cues, all the things you've known, trying to make yourself intelligible to another person is in some ways, your brain's saying, what comes next? What is the most normal, rational, smart, funny, provocative next phrase, right? Based off of everything that I know. And so I do like that a lot. What I found comforting is this idea that yes, we can throw as much compute and as many weights and as much pre-trained data and it gets a little bit better, or maybe a lot a bit better, right?

• 20:32Charlie Warzel?

  It starts to do something emergent that feels powerful. And yet, at the same time, the fundamental human thing is like the being a sack of meat walking through the world, getting sunburned, you know, seeing a baby cry, doing whatever, right? And that feeling, like there is nothing in the pre-training or the training or the whatever that can actually get to like the physical, you have senses.

• 21:03Speaker 02

  Totally.

• 21:04Charlie Warzel?

  Feeling that makes, that impacts reasoning more than I think a lot of people are talking about or thinking about.

• 21:09Speaker 02

  Yes, and I think it's, Jan Le Cun has this big point about this, right? Like unless it's got human vision and human touch and human smell and like you're like just even at a, at a kind of empirical level, the amount of data you're giving it is nothing. Compared to the amount of data that a human gets through their senses, right? You could read the whole internet. It's, doesn't touch like a year in the life of a two-year-old, right?

• 21:32Charlie Warzel?

  Right.

• 21:34Speaker 02

  So, but what I think is interesting about that, there's two, to me, that's interestingly a double-edged sword and this comes out in the conversations I have with Michael Pollan and David Chalmers about consciousness, which is like, this has made me more humanist in some ways, this whole, this moment.

• 21:49Speaker 02

  But it's also like, if we keep pushing on that, right? If the, if the big difference is that it doesn't, it's not the embodied meat sack that we are, and it doesn't have the senses, like, it's also not clear to me that's a theoretical limit as opposed to just a limit right now.

• 22:04Charlie Warzel?

  Say more about that.

• 22:05Speaker 02

  Well, I don't know. If you build the robot that's got like, vision and some version of hearing, and it's got some sort of olfactory sense, and you build sensors and you give it a model five years from now and unleash it on the world, I, like, things that I thought would only be us have fallen in very quick order. Which is, which is both scary, but also, I think, creates a little humility about what is that thing, you know? I mean, you already see it in the way people move the goalposts on AI, particularly when they're skeptical of it, like, well, it can't do this, and then it does it, well, it can't do this, and it keeps walking. It's like, well, it can't love. It's like, okay, well, it can't love, but it just went through my entire inbox and told

• 22:48Speaker 02

  me like, I should respond to these three emails, and it was right about that. And six months ago, it couldn't have done that. So like, I don't know if it's, it's gonna be able to love in six months.

• 22:57Charlie Warzel?

  Well, one thing that I think about with this, as a, as a positive offshoot, that sort of, you know, bridges the two gaps in, in that. What I love about the consciousness research, and the, and the research of all that, is, is not like, oh, is the AI conscious? Like, let's prove it, let's, you know, let's give Anthropic another thing to, to stand on or something. I don't really care about its corporate utility. What is awesome to me is when scientists are like, I'm, we're starting to ask different questions than we wanted to ask in 2019, because of the way that we don't understand how these things are doing this, we also don't know how this thing is doing it, so, now we get to, like, we get to do a different course of study.

• 23:37Charlie Warzel?

  And I think, to the extent that this revolution could impact other areas of like, let's figure out how this stuff works, we actually know nothing about consciousness, you know? That, to me, is like, really inspiring and interesting and cool.

• 23:53Speaker 02

  And I agree, and I think actually the place that this, that's, that's at the expert level, but to me, at the folk level, at the level of Just ordinary people. It's like, and one of the reasons I did the podcast is, you know, my background as an undergraduate in philosophy, I've always loved philosophy. Like it prompts a question of like, what it is, what makes us human? What, what is, what is special about us? What, what is distinct about being human? Why is that important? What? And, and I actually think we're in a moment in our politics where, you know, it's, it is so much trench warfare and, and it is such an intense national emergency and an emergency. I feel very deeply, obviously, and spend most of my waking moments devoted to trying to figure out these sort of grounding,

• 24:33Speaker 02

  foundational values. Like I, it's scary to think about a challenge from machine to my own personhood, but it also is doing something useful and important, which is all of us to think about what do we have in common? What does make us human? What do we care about? Where, where do our values come from? Like, and why should you treat people with kindness? Like all, again, this is, this is the glory and the difficulty of philosophy is ask very, very basic and simple questions that have incredibly elusive and difficult answers. And we don't have a lot of opportunity in our normal navigation of the world and the news cycle to have those. But if anything prompts it, it's this.

• 25:14Charlie Warzel?

  Yeah. I, I, I feel that so much. And I also feel the opposite part of that, which is like, I don't really want like Elon Musk and Sam Altman being the people who are like forcing me to answer these questions when I'm, or like Mark Zuckerberg, what I'm still grappling with in my day job. And I think we're all societally grappling with all of the stuff that they built and like the mess that has been left in the wake. And it's like, okay, no, no, we're, we're gonna like, it's almost, there's like a toddler element to it where it's just like, we're moving to the other room and we're gonna make more Legos and it's gonna be another mess. You're like, but you gotta put away the mess.

• 25:49Speaker 02

  I mean, the Tom and Daisy line from The Great Gatsby, which is now one of those kind of cliches, you know, like the party told you to disbelieve the evidence in your eyes. That it's just everywhere on the internet, but they, you know, they were careless people and they broke things and left other people to clean up the mess. I mean, it's just so true. I saw, you know, I saw a clip of the, the all in dudes who are You know, they're talking about, you know, R word maxing, very like self satisfied with their like transgressiveness and like, just do stuff and try. It's like, yeah, well, you know, things have worked out for you, you know? But the person that like, used to handle baggage for Spirit Airlines, like the just do stuff, like let's start a war there on, didn't work out for that person, nor did it work out for the families of the children that were killed on the first day.

• 26:33Speaker 02

  So you, certain people in certain positions can just try stuff and have a boundless risk appetite and never experience the downsides. And what happens is the other people experience the downsides. And this has been true forever. If you read the history of the wars of Europe of like, who's starting the wars and who's dying in the wars? You know, that's, that's sort of ever has it been thus, but it really feels that way right now in a way that I find kind of intolerable, actually, and, and, and pretty, pretty radicalizing.

• 27:01Charlie Warzel?

  I want to talk just about the, like, the actual, what it's doing to us right now. Also in relation to, you know, you wrote this wonderful book on attention and the attention economy. One of the salient parts in it is even just talking about our own capacity for boredom, the ways that, you know, all of the internet, all these tools are playing with our mind, how that's, that idea of boredom, that sitting with your thoughts has been eradicated for most kids, most adults even. And I, as I was thinking about this and how to frame it to you, I came across a Wired piece that came out about this survey from Carnegie Mellon, MIT, Oxford, UCLA. Top line takeaway, it's really good for a headline, is using AI chatbots for even just 10 minutes may have a shockingly negative impact on your ability to think and problem solve.

• 27:43Speaker 02

  I saw this.

• 27:43Charlie Warzel?

  I'm wondering how you are thinking about this also coming off of the social media, you know, this, the deepening and fracturing of our attention, our ability to, to attend to other things and ourselves, and then it being turbocharged by AI on this scale in ways that we can't even grasp. Like, what is, what's the sirens call analysis of this, of just like AI use right now?

• 28:06Speaker 02

  My first cut at the answer is that like, it's obviously going to make people dumber. Like, I mean, I just think it's clearly, and here's, I think, a distinction that I have made in my own AI usage. And I think it's an analog to a distinction I talk about in the sirens call about how people use technology. I put texting with your friends in a totally different category than. Scrolling vertical video. Like texting with your friends is a thing that you're using the medium to do something that's like a human thing. I used to talk to my friends on the phone every night, like vertical video is doing like some other thing algorithmically to your attention sensors. And yes, it's both the screen, but to me, they're, they're actually quite distinct.

• 28:51Speaker 02

  And I feel this way strongly about AI in this respect. People do a lot of really like the idea of AI doing the thinking, brainstorm ideas, generate. I never use it for that. I don't want it doing that. I use it a lot to be like, can you help me find this stuff? Can you go through my emails? Like the, this distinction to me between like generative and creative thinking and like basically what I would call grunt work. I really think there's a distinction between that. And I think one of the weird things also about the way AI got marketed from the beginning was like, we're going to do all the thinking now. We're going to do all the generation. We're going to make the paintings and make the, and like, and what then it's like, well, what am I going to do?

• 29:33Speaker 02

  I want to do that stuff. I want to come up with the title for my show. I don't want AI to come. I want to do that. I do want AI to like, tell me which emails I missed that I need to reply to. One of the things they, they talk about in that paper, which I was reading earlier today is like brainstorming. And I just think, man, that is a dangerous, dangerous road to go down. Because if you're having it do your brainstorming, like your brainstorming muscles are going to get weaker. And I don't want my brain, that's my livelihood, my career is coming up with stuff. I gotta keep that. I gotta keep that sharp. Now, maybe in five years, they'll just have an AI do my show. And the AI will generate all the takes and the AI will talk and I'll be out of a job.

• 30:17Charlie Warzel?

  Right.

• 30:18Speaker 02

  Fine. But until that happens, I don't want the AI doing that.

• 30:32Speaker 00

  If you're trying to get news today, you'll find a lot of biased algorithms, rage bait and AI noise. Thanks, social media. That's where Inpress comes in. It's a social platform on top of factual journalism, not the other way around. Track your reading and earn points. It's like Strava for your brain. Plus, you can connect with other users in your city who share your genuine curiosity. Ditch the echo chamber for reality with Inpress. Download it today for iOS or Android at inpress.app. That's I, N as in news nerd, press.

• 31:05Speaker 01

  From Rethink, the creative marketing studio at The Atlantic and Walmart, On Solid Ground is a new podcast exploring the increasing threat of natural disasters. I'm journalist Caroline Moderesi-Turani, and I spoke with those on the front lines of disaster response to understand how communities build resilience before, during, and after a storm. Listen to On Solid Ground wherever you get your podcasts.

• 31:38Charlie Warzel?

  What's so frustrating is there's always this, I mean, first, you have the, you have the reality that the news thing that's supposed to make you more productive is just going to free up time for more work, right? Email kills the memo. No, it doesn't. Slack kills emails. No, it doesn't. You know, whatever, like all these work productivity tools, they just, I think it's called Parkinson's Law, is it just, it fills the time. Anyway, you had this conversation in the first episode of the podcast where you're talking about writing and you posit like, maybe writing is similar to being handy, right? When everything was analog and you had to know how to fix your sink, your lawnmower, your car, whatever, a lot of people had those skills. Things became less analog, harder to fix. It was easier to get things fixed, less, fewer

• 32:20Charlie Warzel?

  people are handy in that way that, you know, my grandfather was handy. Maybe that's like writing and that technology. And it's like, absolutely terrifying, because writing

• 32:32Charlie Warzel?

  Like it's not just a skill, and I don't say this just because I'm a writer. It's the same as brainstorming. The creative act, whatever it is, those constraints of the mind and thinking and creativity are just how you do everything else. Like it's the building block for whatever. Doesn't have to be writing.

• 32:48Speaker 02

  Yes.

• 32:49Charlie Warzel?

  And I just think like, if you get rid of that, like that's the paperclip maximizer to me. That's the society, that's like, okay, we don't have anything to do here anymore. Like we're, we're doing Wally now, you know?

• 33:00Speaker 02

  Yes, I mean, I feel the same way. And I think this sort of question of like, are humans even necessary at a certain point is, is, is the question you end up sort of barreling towards, um, in a, in a world of AI, increased automation and declining birth rates. It's like, what, what, what do you need us around for anymore? I got a lot of feedback to that because I think it's, it's sort of a useful one. The reason that I said it to myself was, you know, in the context of that conversation with Derek is like, I'm a writer, like I have encountered handy people in my life who have remarked as I mentioned something that I'd hired someone to do, be like, a little like, why do you do that? You can do that, you can figure that out. And it's like, yeah, I probably could, but you know, life's short and I've devoted myself to a bunch of other skills. And maybe I'm just precious about writing because that's what I do.

• 33:43Speaker 02

  But I totally agree that it's in, you know, writing is thinking, brainstorming is thinking. And I think this, you know, it's interesting to come back, you're talking about programmers. A Neil Dash made this point that I thought was really useful. It's actually surfaced in conversations I've had with my, my good friends who are software engineers. We all have in our jobs, right? The stuff that's like the fun stuff and the drudgery. All of us have some version of that. And the, the reason programmers are so insane about Claude code is because it's, it's doing the drudgery and they're doing the fun stuff. In the world of programming, it perfectly does, partly, I think, because the models are built by coders.

• 34:24Speaker 02

  Like, again, to come back to the embodied sociological reality of this technology, which was not just like handed down from heaven.

• 34:31Charlie Warzel?

  Right.

• 34:32Speaker 02

  You know, my, my friend even said this to me, he said, a code, a session of work used to be like fun stuff. Drudgery, fun stuff, drudgery, fun stuff, drudgery. You sort of like be sort of toggling back and forth. It's like, for you and me, it's like when we're like, if you're doing footnotes. It's now just like, fun stuff, fun stuff, fun stuff, fun stuff, fun stuff. And then like in parallel sequences, like someone's just like, doing the drudgery. And, and it's Right, right. And it's awesome. I'm more productive, it's better. And it's like, when you describe it to me that way, I'm like, well, that does sound awesome. But again, the question of, is that how it's going to be deployed? Is that how people are going to adopt it? You know, the, the fun stuff, when we talk about fun stuff, we have fun jobs. We won the lottery of doing intellectually stimulating work. Like, yeah, a lot of people don't.

• 35:16Speaker 02

  And a lot of people also don't, aren't lucky enough to have been introduced to thinking or writing in these endeavors in a way that is fun and is creative, or does make them feel good about themselves. It is drudgery to them. And so you do really worry about this kind of mass automation and then this just mass atrophying of people's brains, similar to what we saw happen to people's health and fitness in the dawn of like, it does, you know, modern supersized me capitalism.

• 35:46Charlie Warzel?

  Mm hmm. Yeah. Well, and also the, like, the, I love the Ethan Mollick, I think it has the phrase, but the jagged frontier of AI, right? That this is like, what you're saying with coders, like seeing this like unbelievable, like, how could you not, how could this tool not be handed down from heaven because of, look what it does for me, right? And look, look how, how it's, how transformative it is versus like, somebody who like paints all day and is like, what are we doing? This is just stealing my paintings.

• 36:12Speaker 02

  Exactly.

• 36:13Charlie Warzel?

  And letting people make paintings and not pay me for the paintings. Like, what have we done?

• 36:18Speaker 02

  Exactly.

• 36:18Charlie Warzel?

  And like, there's part of that. But I do think in that sense, if the people on the, on the frontier part of it, right? That have, have achieved that, start making the decisions. And this is why like the discourse on X and these types of things freak me out sometimes. It's like, you get to make the decisions about how the rest of the people who, whose lives and careers and jobs haven't caught up, they get to make those decisions. And then, before you know it, there are the people who really can't, need to object, who are like, no, no, no, no, this is like, actually like the foundation of creativity. We need to maintain this. It's like, no, it's just not economically viable anymore. Or no, you can't, you can't have a job that way. And that to me is, is a scary proposition.

• 36:59Speaker 02

  Yeah. And I think, you know, when I think about the sort of backlash to it, and I think about the resistance to it, like, I don't want the backlash and the resistance to go away, even though it's interesting because at one level, I want to sort of say to people that are on the political left or share my values, like, this actually is an incredibly meaningful and transformative technology. It actually does have like, really clear use cases. There are ways in which it might make the world better, like 100%. Also, like, you don't have to use it, you don't have to swallow the Kool-Aid. If you want to go to protest the local data center, like, good on you. Like, I sort of feel both those things, but once I think people grapple

• 37:41Speaker 02

  the reality of it, I think there's kind of a, there has to be a kind of productive synthesis between how different people are encountering exactly that jagged frontier. That, like, why should a painter be psyched about this?

• 37:54Charlie Warzel?

  This is a great, a great way to segue into the politics of this, because, as you said, and as I believe, AI is on like a collision course with electoral politics that I think is going to be very meaningful. NBC News did this survey that's like so staggering, I thought. 26% of voters say they view AI positively, 46 negatively. AI ranks less favorably than US Immigration, Customs Enforcement, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, the Republican Party. Feels pretty notable to me that it's, it's just incredibly unpopular or people have these strong skeptical feelings that grassroots opposition to data centers is really like kicking up and, and it feels like it's going to be a thing. Tell me how

• 38:35Charlie Warzel?

  you see like the battle lines that are being drawn here, you know, as we approach the midterms, but also, you know, as we approach 28.

• 38:43Speaker 02

  Yeah, I wish that I, again, I don't have anything more prophetic than the observations that we're all dealing with. I mean, obviously, there's a growing backlash. I think it's a rational assumption on the part of most people that a thing being built by billionaires who, who say, every time they're in front of a microphone, it's going to put millions of people out of work. Is not going to be great for most people, which is not to say like sometimes masses of people are wrong. Sometimes the majority is wrong about stuff and sometimes backlash is are built out of nothing. I've seen it happen. But this to me, I think people have good reason to be fearful and to be skeptical and wary. One of the things that I think

• 39:25Speaker 02

  is inescapable about the technology is how concentrated it is, right? So think about, take a step back for a second. It requires enormous, nearly unprecedented amounts of capital to be invested to deploy nearly unlimited amounts of compute. Now compare that to the structural nature of the internet, which was created in a non-commercial environment in which there was zero profit motive, in which it was created purely for continuity of government purposes at first, and then communication between research agencies,

• 40:06Speaker 02

  and whose entire guiding structural engineering philosophy was distribution and non-concentration. Right? And now compare that to a technology whose entire inherent philosophy and engineering is as much power in as concentrated hands as possible. That's a challenge, man. You know, Dario says this the other day in a podcast about like, thinking about it like the way cloud computers are. This is naturally a concentrated industry, and it's naturally concentrated in people that are going to be the, in companies that are going to be some of the most powerful that exist. What will be the levers under those conditions

• 40:50Speaker 02

  that produce benefits for ordinary people? Like, and, and don't, and people don't get steamrolled. Right. And I think, so I think that's the way I think about it in terms of like, political economy. Now, the question is, well, how do you operationalize that? Is really complex. And I'm going to just admit that I don't know. I don't know the right answer. What's the right regulatory framework? I mean, I, you know, the two examples I keep thinking of are the Fed and the FDA. Right, which is like, oh, interesting. We don't want Congress voting on every like every drug to come to market and we don't want Congress, the president, like deciding interest rates, just the way that like, I don't think we should like be like, the president gets to decide what models get released, right?

• 41:33Speaker 02

  Like, there's, there are areas that we've had to build institutions in the modern regulatory state to deal with a very technically complex area that we still want democratic control, in which we create mediating institutions, which by the way, are under attack from both this conservative Supreme Court and the Trump administration, like precisely this kind of institution, the FTC, the FCC, the CFTC, the SEC, the Fed, the FDA, right? All of these are created for the same purpose. There's some really important, technical, powerful, high-risk, high possible cost, high reward area of activity, the modern state needs democratic control and accountability

• 42:12Speaker 02

  of, but you do not want to just have like plebiscites on or Congress voting on. You gotta create this kind of mediated technocratic space that's sort of halfway in between.

• 42:24Charlie Warzel?

  It seems like the opposition to this is relatively bipartisan in an interesting way with different quirks and whatevers. I'm just curious, like, do you see anyone, party-wise, like, in a better position here? Is there, does anyone seem poised to deal with this in a way that's going to be fascinating? Or is it a jump ball?

• 42:45Speaker 02

  It's a, right now, it's a jump ball. Ben, yeah, this is the word, you know, Ben Collins, the Onion, my former colleague, was talking about a jump ball the other day and, you know, DeSantis had some populist rhetoric about it the other day. Bernie Sanders has been doing some interesting stuff. One of the things he's calling for is National Data Center Moratorium. I'm not personally sure if that's the right policy, but it's like, at this point-

• 43:04Charlie Warzel?

  Somebody doing something, yeah.

• 43:06Speaker 02

  People are trying stuff, yeah. I think it's totally a jump ball and I also think it's one of those places where the distance between the power elite, the richest people in the world, the most powerful people in the world, and the rank and file is so enormous and it's, you're gonna see this crazy cross pressure because these politicians are in rooms with their donors and at fancy conferences with all the people making the models, all the stuff, or telling them all this stuff about it, and then they're gonna go back home and get yelled at about electricity prices and data centers and they're gonna be totally pulled in two different directions. So the political economy of this is really, really interesting and I think it's-

• 43:43Speaker 02

  It's going to be very interesting to see who navigates that and how and which parts of those went out.

• 43:48Charlie Warzel?

  I think Silicon Valley is in for like a really interesting reckoning with this in the sense too that like the people who are really into this technology too are also a lot of the people who are like, get your hands off my social media moderation. Like, I don't like the free speech, whatever thing. And yet what they're doing is building these like three companies that have taken all of the world's information and just consolidate it and put a bunch of opaque, unknown weights and references to then spit out convincing canonical answers about every fact ever. And it's like, oh dude, it's coming for you.

• 44:22Speaker 02

  Including, this is, here's the frontier, man. Here's the frontier. How are people going to go find out about politics and the candidates?

• 44:29Charlie Warzel?

  Right.

• 44:30Speaker 02

  And what answer is that model going to spit out? And who is going to be in the wiring of that model? Allah Elon Musk and the weird thing that he did the model around white South Africans that made Grok talk about the Boer War.

• 44:45Charlie Warzel?

  I, you know, it's real cynical of you, Chris, to go after the guy who was responsible for the Mecca Hitler stuff to suggest that there'd be any weird nefarious meddling here. Okay. I think that's real disingenuous of you.

• 44:58Speaker 02

  We cannot, we can, I should say for, for, for, you know, the purposes of journalistic rigor, I can't prove that he did that. Something weird happened to the Grok model.

• 45:07Charlie Warzel?

  It's true. He just owns the company. That's all. He owns the company.

• 45:10Speaker 02

  He owns a company whose model started spitting out reliably answers that aligned with his politics. But, but the reason I say this is, you know, this is replacing what for you and me was Google, right? And it's, it's going to be the portal for information. And imagine the power of being able to control what that information was about who's running for office and what they stand for and who you should vote for. I mean, that to me is a frontier that we haven't breached yet. And, and again, I think the models are so emergent at this point that I don't, I don't, I don't mean to, I don't think anyone's doing anything along those lines, like in the wiring of the models, but that, that's a real possibility.

• 45:48Charlie Warzel?

  And it's also the kind of ominous note that we like to end Galaxy Brain on so that people can go and shift from whatever they're watching or listening to this to just staring into the middle distance.

• 45:58Speaker 02

  To give you the bad feeling. Exactly.

• 45:59Charlie Warzel?

  Yeah, we're back at the bad feeling. Amazing. Chris, thank you so much for coming on Galaxy Brain. I appreciate it so much.

• 46:06Speaker 02

  I really, really enjoyed that.

• 46:11Charlie Warzel?

  That's it for us here. Thank you again to my guest, Chris Hayes. This episode of Galaxy Brain was produced by Renee Klar and engineered by Miguel Carrascal. Our theme is by Rob Smersiak. Claudine Abaid is the executive producer of Atlantic Audio, and Andrea Valdez is our managing editor. If you liked what you saw here, new episodes of Galaxy Brain drop every Friday. You can subscribe on the Atlantic's YouTube channel, or on Apple, or Spotify, or wherever it is that you get your podcasts. And if you want to support this work and the work of my fellow colleagues, you can subscribe to the publication at theatlantic.com/listener. That's theatlantic.com/listener. Thanks so much, and I'll see you on the internet.

• 47:05Speaker 00

  If you're trying to get news today, you'll find a lot of biased algorithms, rage bait, and AI noise. Thanks, social media. That's where Inpress comes in. It's a social platform on top of factual journalism, not the other way around. Track your reading and earn points. It's like Strava for your brain. Plus, you can connect with other users in your city who share your genuine curiosity. Ditch the echo chamber for reality with Inpress. Download it today for iOS or Android at inpress.app. That's I, N as in news nerd, press.