612. Is Macy’s Thanksgiving Parade Its Most Valuable Asset? | Freakonomics Radio

The 166-year-old chain, which is fighting extinction, calls the parade its “gift to the nation.” With 30 million TV viewers, it’s also a big moneymaker. At least we think it is — Macy’s is famously tight-lipped about parade economics. We try to loosen them up. (Part one of a two-part series.) You can find the transcript and show notes for this episode on our website here: https://freakonomics.com/podcast/is-macys-thanksgiving-parade-its-most-valuable-asset/ FOLLOW FREAKONOMICS RADIO: YouTube: https://freak.ws/3yIl6dl Apple Podcasts: https://freak.ws/3yAvQh0 Spotify: https://freak.ws/3TsdCmV ABOUT FREAKONOMICS RADIO: Discover the hidden side of everything with host Stephen J. Dubner, co-author of the Freakonomics books. Each week, Dubner speaks with Nobel laureates and provocateurs, intellectuals and entrepreneurs, and various other underachievers to uncover things you always thought you knew (but didn’t) and things you never thought you wanted to know (but do) — from the economics of sleep to the future of education, from markets for marriage to the surprising utility of wolves. ABOUT THE FREAKONOMICS RADIO NETWORK: Freakonomics began as a book, which led to a blog, a documentary film, more books, a pair of pants, and in 2010, a podcast called Freakonomics Radio. Hosted by Stephen J. Dubner, it’s one of the most popular podcasts in the world, with a reputation for storytelling that is both rigorous and entertaining. Its archive of more than 500 episodes is available, for free, on any podcast app, and the show airs weekly on NPR stations. Freakonomics Radio is now the flagship show of the Freakonomics Radio Network, which includes the podcasts No Stupid Questions, People I (Mostly) Admire, and The Economics of Everyday Things. FREAKONOMICS RADIO NETWORK PODCASTS: Freakonomics Radio: https://freakonomics.com/series/freakonomics-radio/ No Stupid Questions: https://freakonomics.com/series/nsq/ People I (Mostly) Admire: https://freakonomics.com/series/people-i-mostly-admire/ The Economics of Everyday Things: https://freakonomics.com/series/everyday-things/ Special series: https://freakonomics.com/topics/ CONNECT WITH US: [email protected] https://twitter.com/freakonomics https://www.instagram.com/freakonomics/ https://www.facebook.com/freakonomics/ https://www.tiktok.com/@freakonomicsradio https://www.linkedin.com/company/freakonomics-media Subscribe to our newsletter: http://eepurl.com/bKm0cf

Speaker names marked ? are inferred from speaking time and the show’s known hosts — they are not voice-verified.

• 0:04Stephen J. Dubner?

  Hey there. It's Stephen Dubner with a quick word before today's episode. We have a new listener survey that I would love you to take if you have the time and the interest. We are always trying to get better around here and feedback helps. So please go to Freakonomics.com/survey. It'll only take a few minutes. Thanks for that. And as always, thanks for listening.

• 0:32Stephen J. Dubner?

  I really only started paying attention to the Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade about 10 years ago, when my family and I moved into the neighborhood where the parade starts and where the night before, they stage everything. This is on the Upper West Side of Manhattan. They take over two extra wide streets to lay out the giant balloons. Each balloon arrives folded up, flat, in its own small, rolling cart. It gets unpacked, unfolded, laid out on the pavement, and then comes the helium. There's a truck nearby with big helium canisters stacked horizontally on a rack. Up close, the balloons are really big. You see this as soon as they start drinking up some helium and puff up to full size.

• 1:16Stephen J. Dubner?

  But tonight is Wednesday, the night before the parade. Inflation night, they call it. So the balloons aren't allowed to rise to parade height. Each one has a net thrown across the top, and the net is held down by sandbags. If you happen to be passing by on foot, this can provide an unusual view of your favorite balloon character. A bulging eyeball, a massive derriere, some very chubby fingers. Many thousands of people come see the balloons on inflation night. It is an unusual and joyful scene for the visitors and the locals. For many people, myself included, it is the best New York night of the year. A lot of people who live on these blocks

• 2:01Stephen J. Dubner?

  throw inflation parties up in their apartments. And when you look straight down out of your window, you get another unusual and wonderful view of the balloons. I've watched this whole operation for several years now, and every year, I'm a little bit more impressed. The parade people execute the mission with a blend of military efficiency and childlike glee. You can't help but marvel at how much planning must go into it. Also, how good the execution has to be, not just from the parade side of things, but from the city side and the broadcasting side. And it's not like they have weeks or even days to set up. On Wednesday morning, the streets are normal,

• 2:44Stephen J. Dubner?

  full of cars, trucks, jaywalkers, dogs, bikes. And then the balloon people come, and you get to see the real, up-close version of the thing that everybody else has to watch on TV in miniature. The cleanup begins as soon as the last balloon enters the parade on Central Park West. And by the time they reach the Macy's flagship store down in Herald Square, our streets are back to cars and trucks again, although not so many, since it's still Thanksgiving morning. Like I said, it's only recently that I began paying attention to the parade. I do remember it being on TV when I was a kid, but I don't know, I guess I just wasn't a parade person. Seeing it up close made me curious.

• 3:29Stephen J. Dubner?

  And after last year's parade, I took a look at the TV ratings. Holy... Nearly 30 million viewers. Another 3 million-plus watch in person from the sidewalks and grandstands. But the TV numbers blew me away. As you may know, the television juggernaut these days is the National Football League. Of the 100 most-watched broadcasts last year, 93 were NFL games. The Macy's parade was one of the remaining seven, beaten out only by the State of the Union address. A TV audience of 30 million must generate a lot of ad revenue. And then I got to wondering, how much? And then I got to wondering,

• 4:13Stephen J. Dubner?

  how much it costs to produce the parade? Simple questions, right? As it turns out, not so simple. Macy's is one of the oldest department stores in the US, and it has a lot of traditions. One of those traditions is not talking about the economics of its Thanksgiving parade. They like to call it their annual gift to the nation. And we all know it's not polite to ask how much a gift costs. But today, on Freakonomics Radio, we ask anyway.

• 4:45Speaker 01

  Why do I need to know how much lying can cost to produce?

• 4:48Speaker 02

  I can't tell you that. That's, we can't talk about sensitive, commercial topics out here.

• 4:54Speaker 03

  Oh, I can't say how much they pay. Good try.

• 4:59Stephen J. Dubner?

  This is the first of a two-part series. We will look into the cost of the raw materials. We do have our finger on the pulse of helium. We'll look at how New York City pitches in.

• 5:10Speaker 03

  I don't know how you guys found me, by the way. Because most people don't know I exist.

• 5:16Stephen J. Dubner?

  We will hear from the CEO of Macy's, who's trying to keep an old store alive when so much retail is dying.

• 5:24Speaker 01

  I want to be perceived as giving this gift to the city and to the nation. I also want to do a lot of business.

• 5:29Stephen J. Dubner?

  And we ask an industry expert what Macy's stands for today.

• 5:34Speaker 04

  Macy's doesn't stand for anything today.

• 5:36Stephen J. Dubner?

  So come along as we drink the helium and wonder if the Macy's Parade may be the most valuable asset Macy's has.

• 5:55Speaker 05

  This is Freakonomics Radio, the podcast that explores the hidden side of everything with your host, Stephen Dubner.

• 6:12Stephen J. Dubner?

  We are hardly the first people to wonder how much it costs to stage the Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade. There are published estimates ranging from around $10 to $15 million, but they're just estimates, and it's unclear where those numbers come from, which makes sense. Macy's doesn't like to talk about it, and therefore, it's hard to even identify all the costs. It's also hard to quantify the benefits. Keep in mind that most of the balloons and floats in the parade are sponsored by big brands that are presumably paying big money for the millions of eyeballs that will see them. And the parade itself is one big ad for Macy's. But let's start by focusing on the costs.

• 6:55Stephen J. Dubner?

  There is, of course, the expense of building and maintaining the balloons and floats. There is the casting and wrangling of the marching bands and other performers. And there are all sorts of city services, police and sanitation and counterterrorism that somebody's paying for. And then there are all the personnel costs for the Macy's Parade Unit, which is a year-round operation. So we figured we might as well start at the source.

• 7:23Speaker 06

  Will Koss, and I'm the executive producer of Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade.

• 7:27Stephen J. Dubner?

  And what does Will Koss actually do?

• 7:29Speaker 06

  The executive producer oversees the entire production of the parade, from our balloon and float design, construction, fabrication, and delivery to New York City on Parade Day, to all of the logistics as it relates to shutting down three and a half miles of New York City on the busiest travel day in New York.

• 7:49Stephen J. Dubner?

  Koss grew up in New York, in the Bronx, and he went to college nearby on Long Island.

• 7:54Speaker 06

  I traveled really far.

• 7:56Stephen J. Dubner?

  Have you ever lived outside of the New York City area, then?

• 8:00Speaker 06

  I've not.

• 8:01Stephen J. Dubner?

  Koss now lives on the Upper West Side with his wife and daughter. He's 44 years old. He started out as a producer for MTV, Nickelodeon, YouTube, and he got the Macy's job in 2021. But he sounds like a lifer.

• 8:15Speaker 06

  We are part of the tradition of Thanksgiving morning for millions of people. If you love marching bands, we've got that. If you love giant balloons, we've got that. We've got floats, we've got celebrity. We've been a staple. Whether you're sat in front of the television or have it on in the background, just using us as the soundtrack to your Thanksgiving morning, we're there.

• 8:36Stephen J. Dubner?

  Macy's itself was founded in 1858 by Roland "Hussy" Macy, a former Whaler from Nantucket. He ran dry goods stores in Massachusetts and California before settling in New York City. They sold everything from clothing and furniture to groceries and books. By 1902, according to one history of the store, the human wants were few indeed that the Macy's store could not meet. By 1924, the Macy's flagship store in Herald Square was the world's largest store with over one and a half million square feet. That year, Macy's sponsored its first parade, a six-mile march through Manhattan.

• 9:17Stephen J. Dubner?

  It featured three horse-drawn floats, four professional bands, and camels, elephants, and bears borrowed from the Central Park Zoo. In these early days, Macy's released big helium balloons into the sky after the parade and offered a $100 reward for their return. That tradition ended in 1932, when a novice pilot going for the reward crashed into a balloon in the sky. It has now been 100 years since the first parade, although this year's edition is only the 98th since they took three years off during World War II. The parade today looks a lot different than it used to. When there are 30 million people watching on TV, appearances matter.

• 10:02Speaker 06

  We are the largest televised variety show of the year. There's something about the work that we do that connects multi-generational. It's a responsibility that we don't take lightly, knowing that we have that impact on so many folks.

• 10:18Speaker 07

  The demographics are far and wide and are representative of everyone that's in New York City and America.

• 10:24Stephen J. Dubner?

  That is Jen Neal.

• 10:26Speaker 07

  And I oversee the strategy, the creative development, and the operations for all of our live events and specials across NBCU.

• 10:35Stephen J. Dubner?

  NBC Universal is the network that has carried the Macy's Parade for 71 years. Neal's team produces roughly three dozen big live events a year.

• 10:45Speaker 07

  Christmas at Rockefeller Center, New Year's Eve, the People's Choice Awards, red carpets around Hollywood's biggest nights like the Grammys, the Oscars. My role focuses on the entertainment side, but we have incredible teams on the sports side that do the Super Bowl and the Olympics.

• 11:02Stephen J. Dubner?

  Can you compare the production and coverage of the parade to the Super Bowl? I mean, obviously with the Super Bowl, there are many, many, many elements and features and so on, but it is, in the end, a self-contained athletic competition on one big patch of turf. Whereas a parade is this roving, multi-mile extravaganza through New York City.

• 11:27Speaker 07

  There's incredible complexity in terms of the production. Each year, there are a number of elements that stay the same. And each year, we are evaluating what we want to evolve and change. Do the Broadway shows kick off the show? Is it better to have them in the second or third hour? A Super Bowl is incredible, and there's many dynamics that go into that. But you're still covering a football game, which has the same rules and the same field of play each year.

• 11:58Stephen J. Dubner?

  What is the timeline from year end? When do you start working on a given year's parade?

• 12:03Speaker 07

  We start looking at it right after the parade ends, truly, the week or two after. In fact, this year is the 98th year of the parade, and we are already talking about the 99th and the 100th anniversary.

• 12:17Speaker 06

  The parade is an 18-month pre-production to execution process.

• 12:22Stephen J. Dubner?

  That's Will Koss again.

• 12:24Speaker 06

  My full Macy's Studios team is over 65 full-time folks that range from our partnership team to our creative team, to our studio production team, logistics, project management, production management. The 65 number is our full-time. As we get closer, we expand considerably.

• 12:43Speaker 07

  The week before, they paint the star on 34th Street. The Monday and Tuesday nights, we shut down 34th Street in front of Macy's. We're rehearsing with all the performers. Wednesday night, we've introduced in the last two years, a countdown show to bring to life the inflation of the balloons that happen magically on the Upper West Side. And then Thursday, we have a call time, the day of Thanksgiving, 2:00 AM.

• 13:09Stephen J. Dubner?

  And Jen, where do you spend parade day?

• 13:12Speaker 07

  I'm in the truck. I'm in the truck on parade day.

• 13:15Stephen J. Dubner?

  Which is where?

• 13:15Speaker 07

  On 34th Street or adjacent to 34th Street.

• 13:18Stephen J. Dubner?

  And what's that day like for you?

• 13:20Speaker 07

  There's a lot of energy, a lot of adrenaline. We go live at 8:30 through noon, so it's three and a half hours of that coverage. We have preparation and contingencies and plans for every single thing that can happen along the way. And then I do, once every parade, take 30 seconds during a commercial break and jump out into the streets and see the scale of, you know, Snoopy, or the Minion, or the Doughboy adjacent to the buildings in New York, and it's magic.

• 13:50Stephen J. Dubner?

  It also sounds incredibly expensive to produce from your side. Not just the coverage part, but the coordination and the run of show and talent and so on. Can you just talk about how extensive that is?

• 14:02Speaker 07

  We don't really get into the cost of everything, but what I can say is, we know that this is incredibly valuable to our advertising partners. And we know that advertising messages that are in the parade deliver stronger memorability and likability.

• 14:20Stephen J. Dubner?

  I did see on the NBC Universal site, a report about the power of the parade from a consumer perspective, said that the year-over-year growth demonstrates that NBC Universal is moving consumers down the purchase funnel. What does that mean, moving consumers down the purchase funnel?

• 14:38Speaker 07

  First, our job is, we gotta make sure that this is incredibly entertaining and relevant and great TV. And second, brands want to be associated with this because their messaging is woven in, and each brand takes a different strategy to do that.

• 14:53Stephen J. Dubner?

  Can you give me an example?

• 14:55Speaker 07

  When you are a Jennie-O turkey, and you want to have a turkey float, they're going to want to talk about the number of years of the big turkey spectacular and what Jennie-O brings to you.

• 15:07Speaker 08

  Well, the star of the Thanksgiving meal has arrived on a green and gold platter, the signature colors of its gracious host, Jennie-O.

• 15:15Speaker 07

  If you're the jolly green giant, you're going to talk about Holly Traditions and some of those products.

• 15:22Speaker 08

  Well, there in the valley, on the farm, the green giant oversees the fall harvest, ensuring that each vegetable for your Thanksgiving table is picked at the peak of perfection.

• 15:33Stephen J. Dubner?

  In other words, yes, the Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade is a parade. But unlike a memorial parade, or a victory parade, or a pride parade, this one is plainly a commercial venture, a marketing venture.

• 15:48Speaker 07

  If you have a Minions float, you're definitely going to talk about Stuart the Minions and the frantic bananas. Ronald McDonald, Smokey the Bear, all of these are traditions and floats that have their own unique messaging, from forest fires to fundraising for children's hospitals to the Wonder Ship float.

• 16:05Stephen J. Dubner?

  If I were to spec this out from a Super Bowl, I know the Super Bowl generates around $600 million in ad revenue. That's at an ad rate of about $7 million per 30 seconds, and that's viewership of 110 million, so significantly more than the parade. But I could imagine that the total ad revenue for the Macy's Parade might be in the neighborhood of like 100 or 150 million. Does that seem ballpark, or do you not know?

• 16:27Speaker 07

  You know, I'm focused on the creative side, on how are we covering this event in the best way to bring audiences at home this extraordinary tradition?

• 16:40Stephen J. Dubner?

  We did later find an estimate from Vivix, a company that tracks commercial ad spending. They report that brands spent $76 million to advertise on NBC during last year's parade broadcast. Macy's would, as the saying goes, neither confirm nor deny. And that TV revenue presumably wouldn't include money the brands pay Macy's directly for the rights to sponsor a balloon or a float. Although, we should say, not every balloon or float is bringing in sponsor money, because some of them are promoting Macy's itself. Here's Will Koss again.

• 17:15Speaker 06

  Tom Turkey and Santa are Macy's owned and are the iconic elements that open and close the parade.

• 17:22Stephen J. Dubner?

  Okay, so there's no royalties being paid to the Santa Claus Foundation or anything like that, I assume? So I want to ask you about the relationships with the brands and whatever you're willing or able to tell me about the financial relationship. My wife's favorite balloon, when she was a kid, she grew up in New York, was the Pillsbury Doughboy. And the first year- Year we lived on this block when we woke up the next morning at like 6 a.m. And we looked down, it's just this magical sight with the, you know, sunrise off the balloons. And there was the Doughboy and we could see like the patches, his butt was taped a little bit. And it was just so beautiful and endearing. And I thought, wait a minute, is that still the Pillsbury Doughboy? Like, does Pillsbury still even exist?

• 18:08Stephen J. Dubner?

  Then I started to think about Snoopy and I thought about Snoopy. I knew was the emblem of MetLife for a while. And I thought, oh, does that mean it's a MetLife balloon? So let me just make it an open thread for you to tell me what you can about why the balloons that are in the parade are in the parade and how that relationship works.

• 18:27Speaker 06

  Pillsbury Doughboy, Snoopy, our peanut characters, SpongeBob SquarePants. The goal with all of our balloons is to create a moment that's instantly recognizable in the sky. As it relates to selection of balloon, the most important goal is to ensure that each of the characters resonates with our audiences and our audience is one to 100. So we have some of those, we'll call them legacy characters. And then we have new characters that are appealing to a much younger audience.

• 18:59Stephen J. Dubner?

  And Will, what if someone like me came to you and I said, hey, Will, I've got this brand, Freakonomics, Freakonomics Radio. In some ways, it's a pretty big brand, but you know, it's kind of like a big niche brand. It's not Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles. It's not, you know, Spider-Man. I recognize that, but I've also got a pretty beautiful visual image, what we call an Orpul, right? It's an apple that you cut open and it's an orange in the middle and it's, you know, it's fruit. Who doesn't like fruit? And I think it would be worth my while to try to figure out how to get my brand in front of the world, these 30 million people that watch it on TV, these 3 million that are there. Would you even take a meeting with me?

• 19:39Speaker 06

  We're taking the meeting right now. You're underselling the brand, my friend. We're open to taking every meeting and every conversation. This is not an exclusive members only type of event.

• 19:53Stephen J. Dubner?

  Well, maybe not quite members only, but it is a small club. This year, there are 17 giant balloons in the parade. Sadly, the Freakonomics Orpul is not one of them, but this guy has one.

• 20:07Speaker 09

  I pinch myself when I see the balloon fly down the main avenue there.

• 20:11Stephen J. Dubner?

  That is Jeff Kinney.

• 20:12Speaker 09

  I'm an owner of an unlikely story bookstore in Plainville, Massachusetts, and I am the author of the Diary of a Wimpy Kid series.

• 20:20Stephen J. Dubner?

  Now, for those who are children or have children who have read those books, you are somewhere between, I don't know, Jesus Christ and pick your favorite cult hero ever. What's it been like to be you these last 15, 18 years?

• 20:37Speaker 09

  The ride for me has been a lot like The Truman Show. I feel like I created this character who's a stick figure, and somehow that has propelled me into the most unusual situations you could ever imagine.

• 20:50Stephen J. Dubner?

  How many books have there been now and how many copies sold globally?

• 20:55Speaker 09

  There are 19 books in the main series. I have four or five spinoff books, and there have been about 295 million sold.

• 21:05Stephen J. Dubner?

  For people who don't know the series, who don't know the character, just talk to me for a minute about Greg Heffley. Who is he? What is his interior and exterior life like?

• 21:14Speaker 09

  Greg Heffley is a complicated character. He's a bit of a mess. He doesn't always do the right thing. At the time that I was writing Wimpy Kid, I was reading Harry Potter, which is about a boy who's an aspirational character. He's heroic. Greg isn't heroic. He doesn't really want to hear about his best friend Raleigh's vacation and their awesome adventures. He's like a Larry David type in a way. He's very flawed, but hopefully still lovable.

• 21:43Stephen J. Dubner?

  Give me a little bit of the origin story of Wimpy Kid itself and Greg Heffley himself and how you brought them to life, how long it took, et cetera.

• 21:52Speaker 09

  My big dream was to become a newspaper cartoonist. When I was growing up, we got the Washington Post every morning. My father opened the paper to the comics page. So when I got up, it was already open to the Far Side and Bloom County and Calvin and Hobbes.

• 22:09Stephen J. Dubner?

  You had good taste in comics.

• 22:10Speaker 09

  Yes. And I was like, well, I know where I want to be. I want to be at the top of that page. And so in college, I created a comic strip that got the attention of the Washington Post. They did a big, full-page article on the style section and said, hey, this is the next big thing, this comic by this guy. And I believed it. Then I hit the reality of shrinking newspapers and the limits of my own talent and I couldn't break into the comics. So after about three years of bonking my head into the wall, I realized that it wasn't going to happen for me. At the time, I was keeping a journal. The journal

• 22:49Speaker 09

  was an organic mix of text and cartoon illustrations that kind of showed what was happening in my life at the time. I looked at it and I said, hey, maybe I've got something here. I can't be in newspapers, but maybe I can be in books. I thought, I'll fictionalize this. First, I'll write down every funny thing that happened to me in my life as a kid. I thought I could do that in about two months. Instead, it took four years. It was a 77-page sketch journal, but I filled it with enough ideas for five books.

• 23:23Stephen J. Dubner?

  And then, as I understand, but correct me if I'm wrong, you're working as a game developer for Pearson Education and you begin to publish some of this work online on a Pearson site called funbrain.com. Is that right?

• 23:35Speaker 09

  That's right. And my boss was looking for something to keep traffic up over the summer months. I said, hey, I'm working on this thing. It's not really for kids. It's more like the wonder years where an adult is looking back on their childhood, but it could work. So I started publishing online. After about a year, we had 12 million readers.

• 23:56Stephen J. Dubner?

  Holy cow.

• 23:57Speaker 09

  And I got a lot of encouragement from adult readers who were following my almost blog-like entries.

• 24:04Stephen J. Dubner?

  Okay. And then that leads to a book contract. Just walk me quickly through the mechanics. What came first? Was there an agent? Was there a reach out from a publisher or editor?

• 24:13Speaker 09

  I went to New York Comic Con. I walked around with a sample packet. I heard about a guy who published a webcomic called Mom's Cancer. I talked to the editor at a booth. He said, this is exactly what we're looking for. And I was off to the races.

• 24:29Stephen J. Dubner?

  So you wind up publishing with Harry N. Abrams, correct?

• 24:32Speaker 09

  Yes. At the time, Harry N. Abrams would be known as an art book publisher. So those gorgeous picture books that you have on your coffee table primarily, they weren't doing a lot of this kind of thing. What I really liked was that they treated books as an object to be valued. They put a lot of craftsmanship into their publishing. And I thought, if I sign with Harry N. Abrams, that might elevate the work itself. And that's the way it's been with Wimpy Kid. About two weeks after the book was published, it got on the New York Times Bestseller list, which was just an absolute shock. I remember my wife and I were jumping up and down on our kid's bed like we just couldn't believe it. Now it's

• 25:17Speaker 09

  been on the list, a combined total of something like 900 weeks.

• 25:22Stephen J. Dubner?

  And let's now talk about how you came to intersect with the Macy's Parade.

• 25:27Speaker 09

  In about 2010, Diary of a Wimpy Kid was doing pretty well. And we had an ambitious publicist named Jason Wells, who said, hey, I think we could get a balloon in the Macy's Parade. So he approached Macy's and said, hey, how about a balloon? They said, hmm, it might not be ready for a balloon, but how about a float? The idea I remember was that there was going to be a standing Greg Heffley. And at the base of the float would be a bunch of kids reading. So it'd be a float to promote reading and literacy.

• 26:04Stephen J. Dubner?

  Hmm. That sounds a little, what's the word I'm looking for, more reverent perhaps than the Wimpy Kid brand is?

• 26:11Speaker 09

  That's right. And we said, we're going to hold out a little bit and see if we get into balloon territory.

• 26:18Stephen J. Dubner?

  And then what happens next?

• 26:19Speaker 09

  So the next year, I think I got named to Time Magazine's Most Influential People list.

• 26:25Stephen J. Dubner?

  Congratulations.

• 26:26Speaker 09

  Thank you very much.

• 26:27Stephen J. Dubner?

  Theoretically makes you balloon worthy.

• 26:29Speaker 09

  Yeah, right. So Macy's said, yes, please. We'd like to do a giant helium balloon. And my publisher was kind enough to sign on for the terms.

• 26:40Stephen J. Dubner?

  Tell me what you know about that negotiation and the terms of the deal.

• 26:45Speaker 09

  As you can probably imagine, the terms are proprietary, so I can't talk about that. But it was a multi-year situation. You pay a certain amount to get the balloon made and then a certain amount to have it flown every year. That first balloon flew for three years and then we re-upped and flew it for another three. And that's really the pattern we've been in for now a good long time. I have no idea what Macy's deals look like with other creators, if we're standard, if we have our own separate thing.

• 27:18Stephen J. Dubner?

  Has Harry and Abrams continued to basically pay for or subsidize the participation?

• 27:24Speaker 09

  To their great credit, Abrams has continued to support the balloon. This past balloon, I chipped in because of course I have a big stake in this as well.

• 27:33Stephen J. Dubner?

  Any idea what it costs to make it?

• 27:35Speaker 09

  I don't know what the actual costs are to make a balloon, but I would guess it's somewhere around the low $100,000 range.

• 27:43Stephen J. Dubner?

  I guess the big question is, how do you and your publisher think about ROI? And all that that implies, not just, you know, whether it extends and grows the brand and sells more books and so on, but if it creates a different sort of awareness around the brand?

• 28:00Speaker 09

  That's a really good question. We think about it a lot. It's possible that the balloon is one of the legs of a chair. And if you kicked out that leg, maybe the whole thing collapses. The fact that Wimpy Kid is still going strong suggests that the balloon is a part of that equation. But there's also some real pride that's associated with the balloon. Everybody gets to hold the string and walk down the streets of New York City.

• 28:29Stephen J. Dubner?

  So what's that like?

• 28:30Speaker 09

  It's nerve wracking in a way because you're sort of presenting yourself to the world. You're saying, hey, my property is worthy of being here. I remember the first few years, like. We would walk the balloon down the main avenue and I think people were sort of scratching their heads, you know, what's this? Is this Charlie Brown? Who is this? And over time, one of the rewards of this has been that Wimpy Kid has sort of seeped into the cultural consciousness. So now most people know what the cheese touch is.

• 29:01Stephen J. Dubner?

  Explain the cheese touch for those who aren't familiar.

• 29:04Speaker 09

  There's a piece of cheese in the first book that sits under a basketball hoop and it becomes an existential threat to Greg and to all of the middle schoolers. Everybody's worried about getting the cheese touch because it means, you know, certain death in the middle school popularity ranking.

• 29:24Stephen J. Dubner?

  This year will be Wimpy Kid's 14th consecutive Macy's Parade. That puts him on the all-time leaderboard, but he's still way behind Snoopy with 43 appearances and Pikachu with 24. Kenny told me that a balloon typically lasts three to five years. He is now on the third version.

• 29:44Speaker 09

  I think we've gotten better and better at it. And now Greg really looks exactly like I'd like him to look.

• 29:49Stephen J. Dubner?

  Describe the current balloon.

• 29:52Speaker 09

  The current balloon has Greg sort of hunched over getting ready to touch the piece of cheese. So I said to Macy's, we really need to do something special. What can we do? And they came up with an idea that the cheese itself could be in a cart or a car. That's like a motorized vehicle that could spin and sort of spew green smoke into the air to make the cheese look like it's emitting smells.

• 30:19Stephen J. Dubner?

  Let's go back for a sec. Describe the design process and how involved you are.

• 30:24Speaker 09

  It's really exciting. It starts with a sketch and then it moves to kind of a pen and ink drawing. And then Macy's has to turn that into a 3D model, which is not so easy with my character. My characters are two dimensional purposefully. I don't have any sense of 3D space at all. And so the first time we saw a Wimpy Kid balloon was the first time we saw Greg Heffley articulated in three dimensions.

• 30:49Stephen J. Dubner?

  He has a butt.

• 30:51Speaker 09

  In the early days with Macy's, I'd go down to Hoboken, New Jersey, and there would be a clay model waiting for me. The clay was still pliable. And then we would make changes on the fly with a really skilled artist. It would spin around on a pole so we could see it from every angle and really imagine what it would look like from the street level.

• 31:14Stephen J. Dubner?

  Since Jeff Kinney's first Wimpy Kid balloon, the Macy's Parade studio has moved from Hoboken to nearby Menaki, New Jersey. And rather than clay, balloon modeling now is done with 3D printers. Coming up after the break, let's go to Menaki.

• 31:30Speaker 09

  Welcome to Macy's Studios.

• 31:33Stephen J. Dubner?

  I'm Stephen Dubner. This is Freakonomics Radio. We'll be right back.

• 31:48Stephen J. Dubner?

  Will Koss, the Parade's executive producer, met us at the Macy's Parade Studios in Menaki, New Jersey, just a few miles across the Hudson River from Manhattan.

• 31:58Speaker 06

  This is our 3D printing room. So this is Diary of a Wimpy Kid.

• 32:03Stephen J. Dubner?

  We're looking at a three-foot plastic model of Greg Heffley.

• 32:07Speaker 06

  We've got our character here, actually laying on a table at the moment. But if he was sitting in flight position, he'd be pointing at the stinky cheese, which will be preceding him down the line of march.

• 32:20Stephen J. Dubner?

  We are inside a sprawling brick and glass building that, from the outside, looks like an office building. But inside, it's a 72,000-square-foot warehouse with 44-foot ceilings and a variety of workshop stations. It's also a little bit noisy.

• 32:37Speaker 06

  The floor that we're standing on right now is our fabrication floor.

• 32:42Stephen J. Dubner?

  As we walk through, Koss points out some floats under construction, including a new float representing the Bronx Zoo.

• 32:49Speaker 06

  So we'll have giraffes, we'll have tigers, we'll have gorillas, birds.

• 32:55Stephen J. Dubner?

  These giraffes and tigers are not real, the way they would have been back in the beginning.

• 32:59Speaker 06

  Every element that you see here being sculpted by our very, very talented artists start as a block of foam. We're going to walk over to meet the legend himself, Mr. John Chaney.

• 33:13Speaker 10

  How did?

• 33:14Speaker 06

  Good to see you. I brought some friends to talk to you.

• 33:17Stephen J. Dubner?

  John Chaney is a carpenter who has worked on nearly 50 Macy's parades.

• 33:22Speaker 10

  I came to New York and I wanted to be an artist. So I went to the Art Students League and in a few months I started running out of money. But my dad used to always have the parade on and I met some girl who wanted to work in the costume shop. So I said, I'll just walk over to Macy's and see what's happening. Fifty years ago, it was a lot different than all of paperwork now. They had this hiring rail. You got up to the rail and there were all these kids around with very nice suits and everything and I got ripped up jeans and a T-shirt on. I said, I want to work the parade. And I said, hey, you want to work the parade? And that's how I got hired.

• 34:06Stephen J. Dubner?

  And how does it feel for Chaney to work year round on something that'll be seen for just one day?

• 34:11Speaker 10

  Well, millions of people see it. So the exposure is really great. But there is something mind boggling about doing all this work for one night and setting it all up for one day and now taking it down. And I guess that's part of the pressure. You have this incredible deadline and we work all night in the beautiful weather because we don't even dare say that out of the words. The week before is maybe the hardest time. It's like getting into the water, you know, once you're in there, damn it, we're doing it. I don't care what's going wrong. Let's go.

• 34:48Stephen J. Dubner?

  Chaney is one of a couple dozen members of a team of carpenters, sculptors, welders, electricians, costume designers, and what are called balloon technicians. Here's Will Cos again.

• 35:00Speaker 06

  Right now, we're on the balloon studio floor. Once our balloons are flattened, they make their way over to our heat sealing tables. And this is essentially a sewing machine, but instead of a needle and string, it's actually melting the two pieces together. And we actually have a balloon in process right now.

• 35:26Speaker 06

  This is Marshall, our Paw Patrol pup.

• 35:29Stephen J. Dubner?

  Marshall is a firehouse dalmatian from the animated kids' show Paw Patrol.

• 35:34Speaker 06

  So Marshall is presently rigged to one of our rigging points in the ceiling.

• 35:39Stephen J. Dubner?

  At this point, he just looks like a big, white, round blob with no distinguishable limbs. That's because of how these giant balloons are built.

• 35:49Speaker 06

  The head right now is the chamber that's inflated. The rest of the balloon is deflated because we're working specifically on the head unit. And that's how all of our balloons are fabricated. They're fabricated into chambers, which gives us some flexibility if we do run into a situation on parade day to quickly try to remedy that one specific area without compromising the integrity of the entire balloon.

• 36:14Stephen J. Dubner?

  Jeff Kinney had told us earlier about a mishap with the Wimpy Kid balloon.

• 36:19Speaker 09

  Yeah, I think Greg's hand popped this last year and it looked a little bit sad. But these things happen.

• 36:26Stephen J. Dubner?

  Marshall, the dalmatian, is a new balloon in this year's parade, one of six. All the new balloons will need to have a dry run outdoors before the parade.

• 36:36Speaker 06

  Our volunteers, our balloon handlers and our flight management team have an opportunity to see the balloons working in real time and reacting in wind conditions and take notes and prepare for Thanksgiving Day.

• 36:48Stephen J. Dubner?

  This dry run is called Balloon Fest. It happens in the parking lot of MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, about four miles from the Macy's Studio in Menaki. Balloon Fest is always held on the first Saturday of November.

• 37:03Speaker 11

  Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Balloon Fest.

• 37:09Stephen J. Dubner?

  There are several hundred volunteers to handle the balloons. On parade day, there will be 5,000 parade volunteers.

• 37:18Speaker 12

  Okay, I need 20 handlers.

• 37:21Stephen J. Dubner?

  The six new balloons, including Marshall and Minnie Mouse and a new Spider-Man, they are already inflated and held down under a net with sandbags. When the time comes, the sandbags are taken away, the nets are pulled off, and the volunteers slowly unroll the thin ropes that are attached to what they call the handling bones, which are plastic X-shaped grips.

• 37:58Stephen J. Dubner?

  Once the balloons are up in the air, the volunteers walk them around the parking lot. Will Koss is paying close attention. Everything looks good. Nearby is the helium truck.

• 38:16Stephen J. Dubner?

  Here's the helium guy.

• 38:18Speaker 02

  The trailer is about 40 feet long. There are 12 high-pressure steel tubes in there. If you could get all the helium out of each one of those tubes, you could fill about six to eight of these balloons with a single trailer.

• 38:31Stephen J. Dubner?

  His name is Kevin Lynch.

• 38:33Speaker 02

  I'm the vice president of global helium for Messer.

• 38:36Stephen J. Dubner?

  Messer is one of the big players in the helium market. It and the companies it has acquired have been providing helium to the Macy's Parade for decades.

• 38:45Speaker 02

  Helium material today started in an underground helium reservoir in Amarillo, Texas. And here we are, filling balloons. But if you put too much helium in it, that whole crew of people would be, you know, rising up into the sky.

• 39:00Stephen J. Dubner?

  Lynch tells us that each giant balloon takes around 15,000 cubic feet of helium. So how much does that cost Macy's?

• 39:08Speaker 02

  I can't tell you that. That's, uh, we can't talk about sensitive commercial topics out here.

• 39:16Stephen J. Dubner?

  The price of helium itself is not a particularly sensitive topic. Helium is used widely in medical settings and elsewhere, and there's a strong global market for it. Believe it or not, giant balloons consume only a tiny share of the helium market. We did a rough calculation of what it would cost to fill the 17 balloons in this year's parade if you paid market price. It was around $425,000. I asked Will Koss if this sounded about right, but he wouldn't take the bait. I also asked him what Macy's does about the occasional helium shortage.

• 39:51Speaker 06

  We do have our finger on the pulse of helium. It's a market that adjusts over time, but we plan for it. And we have good relationships with our vendors across our helium supply teams.

• 40:04Stephen J. Dubner?

  What's your biggest concern or anxiety or, you know, the thing on your to do list that keeps you up the night before? I guess I would assume the weather, but maybe I'm wrong.

• 40:15Speaker 06

  The weather is definitely a concern for us. We are a rain or shine event. So unless there's significant weather that would impact the flight of the balloons.

• 40:27Stephen J. Dubner?

  Wind particularly, yeah.

• 40:28Speaker 06

  Yeah. Wind is one of the most potential risks on our overall parade. We've had some snow in our history. I don't wish that on us. I've been fortunate enough to have relatively good weather. I know my time is coming at some point.

• 40:42Stephen J. Dubner?

  It's probably good for the broadcast, though, isn't it? Snow?

• 40:45Speaker 06

  It would look beautiful, but we do still have to get 5,000 people and 27 floats and 17 large balloons down the parade route. So I'd love it to snow at 12:01. How about that? Or 11:59.

• 41:00Stephen J. Dubner?

  So far, we've heard from the key people who create and broadcast the Macy's Parade, but there's one more partner, sort of silent partner, without whom it could not happen.

• 41:12Speaker 03

  If there were no permits, it would be a free for all.

• 41:15Stephen J. Dubner?

  I'm Stephen Dubner. This is Freakonomics Radio. We'll be right back.

• 41:25Stephen J. Dubner?

  Yes, there are giant character balloons drifting through the sky. And yes, there are floats and marching bands, Broadway performers. But the real star of the Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade, if we're being honest? Come on, you know who it is. It's New York City.

• 41:45Speaker 03

  My name is Dawn Tolson and I'm the Executive Director of Citywide Event Coordination and Management and the Street Activity Permit Office. And those are a lot of words.

• 41:53Stephen J. Dubner?

  Tolson has worked in New York City government for a decade. Her office issues permits for many types of events: street fairs and farmers markets, festivals, and of course, the Macy's Parade. We told her we were trying to put together the costs of the parade, and she did give us a little bit of pricing information.

• 42:13Speaker 03

  An application fee is nonrefundable, and that's $25. And then it ranges from zero, no cost whatsoever, up to something that could be 66K per block, depending on the use of space and the impact.

• 42:26Stephen J. Dubner?

  The Macy's Parade uses 40-plus blocks, and it is undeniably high-impact. Does that mean that Macy's pays the city something like $3 million? Forty-some blocks times 66K per block?

• 42:40Speaker 03

  Oh, I can't say how much they pay. Could try. Macy's is a partner with the city. They put on two very iconic events in New York City that are birthdays and holiday events for America.

• 42:56Stephen J. Dubner?

  The other one she's talking about is the Macy's Fourth of July fireworks, which, no offense to fireworks, is nowhere near as big a deal as the parade.

• 43:04Speaker 03

  And so, we know the importance of that, and we work with them. But I can say that they do work really hard with us to make sure that we are very cognizant of the amount of resources that we're using, that we're not overextending, that we're also being fair to the employees and the workers.

• 43:21Stephen J. Dubner?

  When Tolson talks about the resources the city is using, these are serious resources, including law enforcement and emergency crews. Here is Will Koss again from Macy's.

• 43:33Speaker 06

  The security plan is a quite detailed plan.

• 43:37Stephen J. Dubner?

  You could imagine if you were throwing a parade for 3.5 million people on the sidewalks and 30 million people watching a live broadcast, that you would invest a lot in security planning and execution.

• 43:50Speaker 06

  There's a variety of personnel that are visible on the parade route and other layers of security that are less visible.

• 43:58Speaker 03

  Hats off to the NYPD. There are people out there that were there since 1 a.m. in the morning, putting barricades in place and moving vehicles around. So you don't even hear a car honking. Then you've got, you know, counterterrorism, working with the FBI on any kind of threats. You've got TARU, their technical assistance unit, who are doing the counter drone stuff with the FBI. And then you've got the DCPI, their press group, doing press conferences with their chief of departments and chief of patrols. So basically, you're enacting the entire NYPD.

• 44:29Stephen J. Dubner?

  And what does it cost to enact the entire NYPD? And how much of that comes from Macy's? The parade, for all its goodwill and vibes, is a commercial event. So you could imagine Macy's contributing heavily to the city services. On the other hand, even if you don't buy my argument that New York City is the real star of the show, the city does get a lot out of the parade. When I was a kid and saw the parade on TV, I barely noticed the floats and balloons. I was staring at Central Park West. To a farm boy, which is what I was, the balloons and floats were cute, but the fantasy was New York.

• 45:12Stephen J. Dubner?

  So does New York City kick in all those resources for free for the Macy's parade? Does the cost of the permit itself cover all these services? Those are questions that no one would directly answer on either the city side or the Macy's side. And there are other city resources to talk about, other city agencies that get involved.

• 45:34Speaker 03

  We have four walkthroughs with all of those agencies, as in, we're walking the route four times. In New York City, the city of scaffolding, there's a lot of obstructions along the path. And so we have to walk that path to see what construction's going on, what potholes are in the street, what is up above.

• 45:53Stephen J. Dubner?

  Street lamps, for instance. In 1997, the parade was held on a very windy day. At Central Park West and 72nd Street, the six-story-tall Cat in the Hat balloon hit a lamp post and knocked off part of it. Several people were injured, including one woman who was in a coma for 24 days. Macy's and the city now work together to prevent that kind of thing. Will Koss again.

• 46:17Speaker 06

  All of our balloons and floats, starting up at 77th Street and all the way through 34th Street, that entire parade route has to be cleared of any aerial obstruction.

• 46:29Stephen J. Dubner?

  This clearing process includes what CAS calls "light swings."

• 46:34Speaker 06

  We have a team to physically move all of the light poles out of the way. So they're loosening them and then we're actually swinging all of the poles. It's done under the dark of night.

• 46:47Stephen J. Dubner?

  And Dawn Tolson again.

• 46:49Speaker 03

  Sanitation. We haven't even talked about sanitation. I didn't know this until a couple of years ago that there's a special unit that deals with the horse refuse.

• 46:57Stephen J. Dubner?

  This horse refuse comes from the NYPD and Parks Department mounted units that march in the parade.

• 47:04Speaker 03

  So we forgot to call them one year. It was not pretty.

• 47:09Speaker 13

  One of our responsibilities is to clean up the horse poop.

• 47:14Stephen J. Dubner?

  That is Jessica Tisch. When we spoke with her, she was New York's sanitation commissioner.

• 47:19Speaker 13

  We have one to two sanitation workers for every four to five horses.

• 47:25Stephen J. Dubner?

  Tish has just been named commissioner of the NYPD. As sanitation commissioner, her job was to make the parade route as photogenic as possible on Thanksgiving Day from 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time until noon.

• 47:39Speaker 13

  Those streets, about 42 blocks, they need to sparkle because New Yorkers and people from around the world all converge on that part of the city and we want those streets to look really good. After the parade is obviously a huge effort. We have about 150 sanitation workers who are involved in the post-parade cleanup. They are doing manual cleaning with brooms and baskets, but also our mechanical brooms, which can sweep 1,500 pounds of litter, are out in full force. About 71,000 pounds of trash is

• 48:22Speaker 13

  collected by the Department of Sanitation as part of the cleanup of the Thanksgiving Day parade.

• 48:30Stephen J. Dubner?

  Once again, we couldn't learn anything significant about how these costs are allocated or perhaps shared. New York City plainly derives value from the parade. There's the marketing value of the broadcast, but also 3.5 million in-person spectators generate a lot of economic activity. How much? Those numbers, too, are, shock of shocks, hard to come by. If we began this episode hoping to run even a rough cost-benefit analysis of the Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade, we have failed. Too many of the costs are privately held. We can guesstimate the overall TV ad revenues, but we don't know how that money

• 49:13Stephen J. Dubner?

  is split between Macy's and NBC and whatever agencies or other middlemen are involved. So we took one more shot. We asked to speak to the man at the top.

• 49:25Speaker 01

  Tony Spring, chairman and CEO of Macy's, Inc.

• 49:28Stephen J. Dubner?

  So Macy's refers to the parade as, quote, "a privately sponsored and privately funded event and is regarded by Macy's as its annual gift to the nation." I understand that, as with most gifts, you don't tell people how much the gift costs when you're giving it to them. But why is it so important that no one knows how much the parade costs? Because we've been trying to figure it out and really failing.

• 49:52Speaker 01

  Why? Do I need to know how much lying can cost to produce?

• 49:56Stephen J. Dubner?

  But I can figure that out.

• 49:57Speaker 01

  Okay, go to the Hayden Planarium and what did it cost?

• 50:00Stephen J. Dubner?

  I can figure that one out, too, Tony. I can't figure out the parade.

• 50:03Speaker 01

  I guarantee you, you're bright enough, much brighter than me, you can figure this out. But I would like to focus more on the fact that, you know, 100 years later, 98 parades later, this thing is still relevant and is a great example of if we were still marching animals up and down the street, it wouldn't be as relevant today. But the fact that it evolved over time and includes a level of modernity, includes a level of history, floats that have been there over the years, floats that are new this year, balloons that are new this year, that is, just like the fireworks, I think what makes it such an amazing spectacular.

• 50:39Stephen J. Dubner?

  Okay, so the Macy's Parade is still relevant. Here's a bigger question, especially for Tony Spring. Is Macy's still relevant? Coming up next time in part two of our series, brick and mortar retail has been declining for years and Macy's is planning to close 150 of their stores. Tony Spring took over less than a year ago and he is pushing for a renaissance. At least he's optimistic. Now is the time to buy Macy's. Next time, we go deep with Tony Spring and we get another view, too.

• 51:16Speaker 04

  Macy's has a hell of a challenge over the next few years to remain upright, let alone become successful as they once were.

• 51:24Stephen J. Dubner?

  We also visit Wimpy Kid author Jeff Kinney up in Massachusetts, where he is trying to launch his own retail renaissance.

• 51:32Speaker 09

  If you invest in your downtown, can you change the fate of a town? And I don't know the answer to that.

• 51:39Stephen J. Dubner?

  That's next time on the show. Until then, take care of yourself and if you can, someone else, too. Also, if you'd like to learn more about helium, be sure to follow another podcast we make, The Economics of Everyday Things. Host Zachary Crockett went deep on helium supply and demand in an episode that will be out very soon. Freakonomics Radio is produced by Stitcher and Renbud Radio. You can find our entire archive on any podcast app, also at Freakonomics.com, where we publish transcripts and show notes. This episode was produced by Alina Coleman. We also had recording help from Alexander Overington.

• 52:19Stephen J. Dubner?

  And special thanks this week to Thomas Recupero for the research paper and to Harlan Coben. Our staff also includes Augusta Chapman, Dalvin Abouaji, Eleanor Osborne, Ellen Frankman, Elsa Hernandez, Gabriel Roth, Greg Rippon, Jasmine Klinger, Jason Gambrell, Jeremy Johnston, John Schnars, Lyric Bowditch, Morgan Levy, Neil Carruth, Rebecca Lee Douglas, Sarah Lilly, Teo Jacobs, and Zach Lipinski. Our theme song is "Mr. Fortune" by The Hitchhikers. Our composer is Luis Guerra. As always, thank you for listening.

• 52:55Speaker 03

  When I see a crowd, I'm thinking to myself, "Wait a minute, did I issue a permit for that?"

• 53:05Speaker 05

  The Freakonomics Radio Network. The Hidden Side of Everything.

• 53:12Speaker 03

  Stitcher.