Pod Insights The Clark Howard Podcast 04.29.25 Ask An Advisor With Wes Moss About this episode Stock Market Fear Index and Missing the Worst Market Days Hurts You More Than You Think Feeling anxious about the volatile market in 2025? Fiduciary financial advisor Wes Moss breaks down why history shows us that peak fear always subsides. He analyzes past VIX spikes over the last 25 years to offer a reassuring perspective. Learn why it's unlikely this heightened fear will last forever and what history tells us about market recovery. Also, you've heard about the cost of missing the best market days, but what about the worst? Wes explains why trying to sidestep market downturns is often a losing strategy. Plus, Christa shares your #AskWes questions and Wes gives his take. All this and more on the April 29, 2025, Ask an Advisor episode of the Clark Howard podcast. Submit your questions at clark.com/ask. We hope you enjoy our weekly Ask An Advisor episodes, in which Christa and Wes discuss investing and retirement savings in depth. Let us know what you think in the comments! Learn more about Wes: Wes Moss, CFP® Learn more about your ad choices: megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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1:04 Speaker 02 Welcome to Ask an Advisor. I'm Krista DeBias here with fiduciary financial advisor Wes Moss. Welcome Wes.
1:11 Speaker 03 Thank you Krista D.
1:12 Speaker 02 And today we're going to talk about fear. I would say is the main.
1:17 Speaker 03 It's an uplifting version of fear.
1:19 Speaker 02 Yeah, there's so many.
1:20 Speaker 03 The good side of fear.
1:21 Speaker 02 Yeah, the fears around the stock market and you've got a couple of interesting topics around that.
1:26 Speaker 03 I would say they're, of course they're interesting. Yeah, I've been thinking a long time about what to talk about today and there's only a couple of choices and I think that we're here 2025 has been a roller coaster. Can I go right into it? Can we get started?
1:38 Speaker 02 Sure, yes, we'll do that and we'll get to your questions. And if you do have questions for Wes or for Clark, please go to Clark.com/ask.
1:45 Speaker 03 I think about this and in the swirl that we've been in in 2025 where the stock market has been, it's still almost not even in the roller coaster phase. It's still, I don't know if we talked about this last week, but it's more in the bungee cord phase where you have these really big drops. But then we have these really big gains. I mean, a thousand point days in the Dow have been almost normal in 2025. So we're not really even in the roller coaster phase. Remember, we had a couple of years that were more like the escalator phase. That's the one everybody loves. The escalators is the market that everyone loves. You kind of forget that there are big drops, but we had a couple of years where it was just steadily higher, down 2%, 3%.
2:27 Speaker 03 But 2025 has been a year full of volatility and we're going to talk about the VIX. The VIX is the fear index and we can watch in any given day what that level is. It's its own index and when we have an escalator year, the VIX settles in at 15, 13, 14, 15, 16, getting to 20, things are getting a little nerve wracking. And then when it gets above 20, 25, 30, you're getting into a little bit of investor panic. So the VIX is a measure of people buying safety to protect their portfolio from going down. So we know when the VIX is low, the world is to some extent calm and collected.
3:10 Speaker 03 When the VIX is high, that means investors are really, really nervous. And you usually see if the VIX is spiking, it usually means the stock market is cratering. And that's what we've seen in 2025. Huge moves higher in the VIX, lower in stocks. But I go back and I pull 10 different scenarios and I don't know if we won't go through all 10 of them, but I wanted to go back over the last, call it 20, 25 years and look at periods of time when the VIX spiked. Because all you have to do is look and see when the VIX spiked and then you can deduce, oh, that was the dot com crash. That was September of 2001. That was the 9/11 crash.
3:50 Speaker 03 Go back to the 90s, the Asian financial crisis crash, the global financial crisis. VIX spiked, markets to some extent really crashed over a period of time. The COVID pandemic, VIX spiked dramatically, got to, again, we're talking about 15 to 20 is a placid area, got over 80. It was four times the norm and
4:15 Speaker 03 We invariably get a period of time where you have peak fear and we can nail it to a day. The VIX is the highest on this day and that was essentially peak fear in any crisis. And then fear subsided and then fear subsided and it's happened every single time. And there's always a reason and it's very easy in retrospect to know what the turning point was. It's almost like the History Channel. We're watching the History Channel and we're talking about a war or crisis. And then the voice comes on and says something like, "With President Kennedy's careful, yet firm handling of the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962,
4:57 Speaker 03 a potential nuclear catastrophe quickly pivoted to peaceful negotiations and Cold War tensions eased." And you look in retrospect and you say, "Oh, well, that was, that week was really scary." And then fear subsided. And when fear subsided, or why fear subsided? Because calmer heads prevailed and the negotiation kind of got to a resolution. And it's essentially that same pattern over and over and over again. And the VIX starts to move higher when the market gets scared, investors get nervous. And then it really peaks and then it starts to calm down. And you can only in retrospect see, "Well, what, why did we calm down?" Well, let's go through a couple of these.
5:41 Speaker 03 And the punchline here is that we're still in that heightened VIX phase. We may have seen the peak fear because there were a couple of days where the VIX was in the 60s. Not quite as bad as where we were in the middle of the depths of the pandemic and the peak fear of the pandemic. But it was, we've already seen a really, really high spike in the VIX so far. We don't know what resolves it, Krista, but we do know at some point something will resolve it. Think about the COVID pandemic. Announcements of everything gets canceled. We get shut in our homes and the stock market's dropping like a bungee cord down a roller coaster. And then we
6:25 Speaker 03 Started to get the thought of, wait a minute, they're working on vaccines. We are not going to stay locked in our homes forever. Different states started opening things back up and say, no, you know, you can go to the grocery store. The you can go to XYZ establishment and then fear started to subside. In retrospect, the Federal Reserve came in, the Federal Reserve came in and did huge monetary stimulus and stabilized the market. So looking back, that's why fear started to really subside. The confluence of those pieces of good news. Same thing with the inflation spike and the interest rate shock in 2022.
7:05 Speaker 03 Inflation started to moderate and we look back, we say, oh yeah, inflation got to 9%. But then the new prince were starting to moderate and there was a path for Americans to say, okay, we're not going to have 10% inflation forever. European debt crisis, the European debt crisis, I remember back in 2011, we're worried that bonds all around the world weren't going to be able to be paid by governments. That was scary and the VIX spike, the VIX got to almost, almost 50 in 2011. That's a really scary level. Remember we were over 60 already this year at one point. And then Mario Draghi, who's the, he was the, the chief of their European central bank came out and said, we will do whatever it takes.
7:45 Speaker 03 And make sure that the bond market is in good shape and we're not going to let things slip and the plumbing's working in the financial system. And what happened? That's when fear subsided. It doesn't necessarily happen in a day, but you can look back and say, oh, that was the week Mario Draghi said, whatever it takes. So we look back over time and we see Fed intervention where the Fed comes in and says, okay, we'll lower rates. We'll stabilize the, the financial system. We've seen it here in the United States, we've seen it in Europe. We see things like, now we've got better news and, and maybe a hopeful eye towards the future during the pandemic. But we don't know why it gets better this time. We never know.
8:30 Speaker 03 You could say, well, the, the whole tariff issue is going to be solved and everyone's going to get along and we're going to do trade deals with the rest of the world and trade will come back and maybe there's some level of tariffs, but there will be some resolution around it. We just don't know what that looks like and we won't until we can see it only in retrospect, but there will be a day and maybe it's six months from now, maybe it's a month from now, maybe it's a year from now, but we'll look back and say, oh, that was the week and oh, that's why fear subsided. That's why fear subsided. So it's not a good bet to think we're going to stay in this heightened state of fear forever because history just doesn't show that. Krista. So that's my message today
9:15 Speaker 03 is that we're, we can watch the VIX, we've had a scary year. We don't know when it's going to end, but you can go back over history and always point to a week or a month or a few months where, oh, that's why things started to get better. The story's still being written, but it will have a similar resolution to the, the anxiety we're feeling as investors right now. We just don't know what it is just yet.
9:39 Speaker 02 Okay. Well, are you ready for some questions?
9:42 Speaker 03 I am absolutely ready. Stop talking about fear and stop talking about real life. How do we solve our financial questions? Happy to do so.
9:49 Speaker 02 Okay. Well, this is from anonymous in Maryland. I'm 36.
9:53 Speaker 03 We call her Annie in anonymous.
9:55 Speaker 02 I'm 36, earning $76,000 a year and contributing 6% to my Roth 401k. My employer matches into a traditional account, 100% of the first 3% and 50% of the next 2%. I have $51,000 in my current Roth plus $52,000 in a Roth from a previous job. My husband recently took a lower paying job to support our growing family. So I'm now the sole retirement saver. With a combined income of 116K, a second child on the way and no raises in two years, increasing my contributions is tough. I know I'm behind on the typical three time salary by age 40 benchmark. What should my savings goal be to get back on track by 67? And if I switch to a higher paying job in one to two years with a 10K to 20K bump, could
10:40 Speaker 02 that help me catch up by age 40? It would involve a longer commute, which I don't love, but I could handle when the kids are a little older.
10:48 Speaker 03 So she is anonymous Annie. Annie's in a situation where think about your mid 30s and life is just getting more and more expensive, right? Your twenties, it's just not that expensive. And you can, you have roommates and you, things are light and you can maybe save a little bit. And you're in your mid 30s and you have a bunch of kids and you're trying to work and your spouse is trying to work and you have this, you maybe you have a mortgage. Everything gets really expensive and you're supposed to save all at the same time. So it's a really hard period of time. So, and it gets, it keeps getting worse. We actually reached peak spending in America
11:27 Speaker 03 in our late 40s and then it starts to come down. That makes sense because our kids are typically out of college. By the time we're in our late 40s or early 50s and that's usually peak spending. It's everything that you have to spend normally on and some sort of college and school tuition.
11:44 Speaker 02 Sing it. Amen.
11:45 Speaker 03 You're in it. I'm not quite there yet, but I'm pretty close Krista. So this is a tough spot, but it's always a tough spot. Annie's saving really about 10%, 6% on her own and the way her match works out, it's about four. So it's really 10% and that's actually really good. Sure. 15 would be better. 20% would be better. But the fact that you're able to continue to do the essentially 10%, 6 plus the four, that's really good. If you can just keep doing that, if you do the math, she's got about a little over a hundred thousand saved already. If you just do some really simple math on saving that 6% plus the match, you do that for 30 years.
12:30 Speaker 03 So 30, she's what 36 or let's call it 36 to 66, 30 years. Just doing that and increasing your savings, say the salary or her salary goes up by 2% a year. So still not a huge additional savings.
12:49 Speaker 03 She still ends up with over a million and a half dollars. And I look at this as just a 6% rate of return. So conservative rate of return, just doing the 10, essentially doing 10% because of the batch. That still gets, you know, a million and a half dollars. And now granted, in 30 years, it's not going to feel like a million and a half dollars today. No, but it'll still be a really, really good base to be able to retire on and have an income from. There will be a time when hopefully you're both able to work more full time. Maybe your spouse is able to get back to a slightly higher salary. And then you start saving those raises. So instead of 10 a year, maybe it's 12 a year or 15 a year.
13:32 Speaker 03 But it's the methodical nature of doing it every single year, even when it's really tough. Right now, when you're in almost peak spending, you still get to a million and a half. Get to 2 million, 2 and a half million, depending on how much you've saved. I've seen it happen over and over and over again. I think she's on a great track.
13:50 Speaker 02 And doing it into a Roth, that 6%, that does have, that saves you on taxes later, so.
13:56 Speaker 03 Saves on taxes later, absolutely.
13:59 Speaker 02 Kathleen in Oklahoma says, if I'm still employed at age 72, am I required to begin taking RMDs? Or can I wait until I retire at 73?
14:07 Speaker 03 Kathy, okay, so now the RMD age is, remember it was 70 and a half? And it started moving higher, meaning that you didn't have to take your required minimum distributions. Remember what that's all about. That's, that's the government saying, look, you saved all this money pre-tax and we don't get any revenue from it until you start pulling it out of the account and we're going to tax it like ordinary income. That's what RMDs are all about. It's, hey, I want, I'm knocking on the door and saying, okay, by this age, you gotta start taking money out so we can collect our taxes. It's moved up to 73 and it continues to move higher over the next several years. The RMD age is, is actually going to continue to go up. I want to say to something like age 75 out into the future.
14:50 Speaker 03 But for now, if the rule around this is that if you are still working and you're working full time or part-time and you have a company 401K.
15:02 Speaker 03 Your RMDs get delayed. You don't have to take them. So the answer is that, look, if you're still working and you've got a 401k at work, you don't have to do your RMD. Now, let's take this, Kathy, one step further. What else could you do to take advantage of the fact that you're working at 73, which maybe you want, you want to be working, maybe you don't. If you have other IRAs that you could consider moving those IRAs into the 401k. We always think about rollovers from 401k to IRA. You could, you could consider, there's a lot to think about here, but imagine you had all of your retirement assets in the company 401k and you're working. Guess what? No RMDs for that period of time.
15:46 Speaker 03 So that's just another way to think about how to use the rules to your advantage.
15:51 Speaker 02 Okay. And then Martin in South Carolina says, my wife and I are 80 years old and planning to move into an over 55 age community. We will sell our current home to purchase a home in the new community. However, the difference between selling and purchasing will leave us with about $200,000 in shortfall. Our combined total investments are $2.5 million in our IRA, 1.4 in our Roth accounts and 2.1 million in our taxable brokerage accounts. Which would be the best sources for us to take money for our new home purchase concerning taxes and additional financial points that you are aware of?
16:23 Speaker 03 Okay, Martin, that's a lot of savings.
16:25 Speaker 02 It's a lot.
16:26 Speaker 03 She's got a lot of savings. Two and a half million IRA, 1.4 Roth, and then a million, over a million in taxable is what I'm seeing there. Here's my thought is that the quick reminder on the utility of the different accounts. They're all good. Saving, all the savings levels are good, all the, because you have cash reserves. But from a tax perspective, a regular IRA is probably the least good. Then you've got a taxable brokerage account and then the next best or the slightly better. And then the best, in my opinion, is the Roth, right? Tax free, no matter how much you pull out. So Martin, you have a $200,000 delta that you want to cover. We've talked so much about how great the Roth is. I also noticed, Chris, that nobody ever wants to use the Roth money.
17:11 Speaker 03 It's like, oh, I can't, can't take the Roth. Martin, you're 80. When are you going to, when are you going to use it? So this is when you use it. Now, I've talked a lot about the utilization of a Roth. And if you, if you talk to tax professionals, I've heard one of their opinions is often, the Roth works if you use the Roth. It only works if you use it. Sure, you can, it's great for your heirs to inherit the Roth because their RMDs are same thing, or they don't have RMDs. And when they pull money out, it's tax free for them too. So it's a great asset, legacy asset too. But I think in this case, because it's only, if you're doing the math, 200 over 1.4 million, it's only about 15% of the Roth.
17:55 Speaker 03 So this, I think this is the time to use it. I would wash away the guilt of using the forbidden Roth money. This is the time to use it. So you use the 200, you still have plenty in the Roth, 1.2 left versus 1.4. And you've done that, no taxes, no mortgage now. And to me, I'm giving you some permission to go ahead and at least consider using Roth. The second best option, if you do have a taxable account and you, you have some positions that don't have big gains, you can focus in on those positions, turn that into cash and use that as well. That'd be my second option, but I like the Roth option. When we get back, I want to talk about, there's lots of talk about missing the best days in the market. And of course, we don't want to miss the best days, but we, we tend to think, well,
18:40 Speaker 03 it'd be nice to miss the worst days too. Wouldn't that be nice? So we did some research around trying to hop out between the raindrops and miss the worst days, but the math on that actually gets really interesting as well and the, and the ability to even do that. So I want to talk about those numbers when we get back.
18:57 Speaker 02 Okay, great.
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21:14 Speaker 03 Welcome back to Ask an Advisor. I'm Wes Moss along with the Krista DeBias.
21:20 Speaker 02 Wes?
21:21 Speaker 03 Ready to go into? Market timing?
21:24 Speaker 02 Let's do it. And then I do have some more questions.
21:26 Speaker 03 I'm excited to get to the questions. The reason I wanted to talk about this today is that I hear about this a lot. I would think our listeners have heard these statistics. I've obviously talked about it here on the show. It's almost become, maybe this is just me because I've talked about this a lot. But after hearing about it and reading about it a lot over the past month, you hear about the adage of if you miss the best days, your rate of return goes down a bunch, right? And it's just a few of the best days. So you've missed just 10 of the best stock market days over a 30 year stretch. And what happens? Your rate of return drops in half. I mean, and that makes sense, right? You're missing out on gains. And really what you're doing is you're missing out on rebounds.
22:08 Speaker 03 So the next iteration of that is what if I were to just miss the worst days? What if I were to get out when markets were dropping? Well, of course, that works really well. Again, you take a 30 year stretch, 1995 to 2005, you'll see that that overall rate of return, and we just did this research as of, I want to say, last month, average rate of return, 8.3% for S and P 500, fully invested. But if you miss just five of the worst days in 30 years, your rate of return jumps to 10. So it works. Of course it works. If you miss 20 of the worst days in the market, your rate of return on average jumps almost 14%.
22:52 Speaker 03 And that is, I think that is, of course, why we have the inclination to try to dance between the raindrops and get out before markets drop.
23:02 Speaker 02 Sure.
23:03 Speaker 03 So intuitively makes sense. And then mathematically, it makes a lot of sense. You miss bad days and your overall rate of return goes through the roof. The problem with that and the reality check around that is that if you look at a chart, you'll see that almost all the rebound days are almost touching historically, right? It is very similar rate of time as the worst days. The rebounds come after the worst days. Then you get rebounds, then you get terrible days again. And we're kind of in one of those cycles right now. But if you look mathematically, 80% of the 50 best days in the market, this is over 30 years, so 80% of them happen within just one month of the worst days. So they're all
23:48 Speaker 03 really close together. And I think we're in, we're in one of those periods of time. Terrible days, great days, terrible, great. So the reality is that if we're looking at trying to get and miss the worst days, which intuitively makes total sense, then we almost invariably miss the good days as well. We miss the rebound days. So it's, it's not even really, I would say it's, I don't, I guess nothing is impossible, but I would say it's virtually impossible, Krista, to be able to do that. So what if you were to miss, there's some more math in history, if you were to be able to sidestep just the really volatile periods, you miss the best days and the worst days. You say, I know I can't time worst and best. So I'm just going to miss those really shaky periods
24:30 Speaker 03 and just be invested when things are maybe to escalator mode. We talked about 2022, or 2023 and 24 were kind of escalator years. What's interesting about that, if you do the math, that doesn't really work all that well either. So if we're fully invested over that same period of time, this is 95 to through April of 2025, fully invested 8.3%, you miss the 10 best days and you get to sidestep 10 of the worst days. It's 20 days, you're, you're out of volatility. Your long-term rate of return only goes up to 8.5. So you can get from 8.3 to 8.5. And you're doing something that's virtually impossible to begin with, but it doesn't really help anyway. So the point here is
25:15 Speaker 03 that because we're not able to time it perfectly, even if we get out of these volatile periods, we still don't really gain a whole lot of ground. Just another way, I think, to look at the reality of how we need to invest, which is not trying to time, it's timing and being in invested over time, taking our lumps when things are bad, but then enjoying the fruits of staying patient, staying objective, believing in the future. I think of one thing I believe very strongly of happy retirees is that happy retirees are tomorrow investors. So they're not unrealistic, but they have a general sense of optimism. And I think that helps us get through these
26:00 Speaker 03 these tough times like we're kind of in right now for markets, but tomorrow investors are worried about what's actually happening tomorrow. They're looking way out into the future. That's why I call them tomorrow investors.
26:10 Speaker 02 Okay, I love it. Okay, we'll go to questions.
26:13 Speaker 03 Go to some Q and A.
26:14 Speaker 02 This one's from Andrew in Iowa. ETFs are great for us as investors, but how do they benefit the institution that issues them, especially now that asset fees are incredibly low on most ETFs? I'm confused what the motivation would be for creating and issuing that product. Do those tiny asset fees really make them that much money across the whole market? Are they just sharing different investment options out of the goodness of their hearts? Or is there some other way they're profiting? Thank you for all your investing insight.
26:43 Speaker 03 Andrew, that's kind of a cool question. I've never had that before. So I'm thinking about this a little bit. Now, some companies, I think about a Vanguard, they are really mutually owned. So they, it's not a nonprofit. I think it's different than a nonprofit, but the bigger they've gotten, the more they've been able to lower their fees. But if, besides them, let's, let's look at the reality of the world. Think of the big ETF providers, BlackRock, they own iShares and State Street. I think the brand of ETFs they have are spiders. And think Fidelity, Schwab, all these giant companies, these are for-profit companies. And you're right, trading fees have essentially gone away. Now ETF fees are so small that I've
27:27 Speaker 03 thought the same thing. Like at some point, if you're charging point zero, there's 1%, and then there's 0.1%, and then there's 0.01%. Like, how do you make any money doing that? But here's some math. At 0.03%, so again, a third of a 10th of a percent, Krista, ultra, ultra cheap.
27:49 Speaker 03 At $100 billion, it's still $30 million a year.
27:53 Speaker 02 That's too shabby.
27:54 Speaker 03 It's all about scale. These companies don't have hundreds of millions and they don't have tens of billions. They have hundreds of billions and they have, in the case of the really big asset managers, under management for some of the top five, they have multi-trillions. So it is a game of scale and I think that's part of the reason we've been able to see rates and expenses come down. These companies have gotten so big. So first, it's so much about scale. Secondly, there is a kind of a hidden revenue stream. It shouldn't be costing you, the investor, but they, if an
28:37 Speaker 03 institution owns a bunch of stocks in an ETF, they can do securities lending on that. So that's another hidden way they make some money. There is something called creation and redemption fees. So think about the complexity of an ETF that owns 500 stocks and it stays almost perfectly at what the index, not exactly perfectly, but very close to what the index is. There's a lot that goes on behind the scenes. So there's something called authorized participants that handle the buy and the selling of some of the positions within the ETFs and the providers make money that way, too. And the cousin to scale is the concept of kind of loss leading. What's a loss leader? Maybe this is a bad example, but Costco's $1.50 hot dog.
29:20 Speaker 02 That's a great example.
29:21 Speaker 03 That's a loss leader.
29:22 Speaker 02 That's the ultimate loss leader, yeah.
29:24 Speaker 03 Okay, so it is.
29:24 Speaker 02 You're getting people in the door with something you lose money on.
29:27 Speaker 03 Obviously Costco's not making any money on a $1.50 hot dog plus Coke, but if one out of 100 people make the midday decision of, hey, I'll go get my $1.50 lunch and you end up buying a flat screen TV or a bar of gold at Costco, which you can do now, too.
29:46 Speaker 02 50 packs of toilet paper, like I do.
29:48 Speaker 03 That 50?
29:49 Speaker 02 No, you can only get two giant packs at a time, actually, when they're on sale. But I'll go multiple times.
29:54 Speaker 03 So they take a little bit of a loss. Maybe they lose a dollar on selling that lunch, but they make 20 bucks selling a TV. And that, I also think, is all the other services. Remember, the big ETF providers, if you look at the scope of their full business, they do way more than just ETFs. They do. Mutual funds that have, they do have higher fees. They'll do other ETFs that have higher fees. They'll do brokerage accounts, securities lending, and that full suite of services, they're going to have higher margins on typically. So I think of these ultra-low fees as kind of, as a Costco hot dog.
30:33 Speaker 02 Okay.
30:33 Speaker 03 Lost leader trick.
30:34 Speaker 02 This is from Laura in Georgia. Hi Wes, my husband and I both work full-time, but due to medical reasons, we're planning to retire in the next year or two. I'm 63, he's 77, and already receiving social security. We've paid off over $100,000 in debt and have $250,000 saved in traditional IRAs and 401K, which is no longer Roth. With uncertain markets and only needing about 20K a year to live on if social security remains intact, how much should we move to cash or liquid assets? When should we do it? And where should we put it for safekeeping to cover our bills? Love you guys.
31:07 Speaker 03 Love you too, Laura.
31:08 Speaker 02 Yes.
31:09 Speaker 03 I love these. I very much appreciate that.
31:11 Speaker 02 Yes, absolutely.
31:12 Speaker 03 We are trying to help and we're doing the best we can do. And they're not necessarily the perfect answer, but hopefully the guidance is helping. So Laura, the perspective I would have here is, first of all, you mentioned if, it was casual, but you said if social security is there. You're 63, your husband's 77. Social security will be there. It's not going away. It's easy to scare people that it's going to go away, but it's not going away. Particularly for somebody in their 60s and above. It'll get maybe reduced for the 20-year-olds watching today. I would be careful if I was a 20-year-old counting on what today would be a full, full, full
31:53 Speaker 03 social security payment. That's probably a question, but that's a really long time. We're talking 30, 40, 50 years from now. For you guys, social security is going to be there. So if that's the case, and you only need 20K a year from the portfolio, Well, what's the dry powder rule? Five years, let's call it of, it could be anything, but I kind of benchmark it at three years at least. Let's push it to five for you. Simple math, five years of spending, 20K is 100K. So I would have of the 250, 100 of the 250, which is only 40% in the dry powder areas, which would be CDs, a money market
32:34 Speaker 03 mutual fund, a shorter term treasury fund, or even a short to intermediate term treasury fund that is going to have some movement because bond prices do move if they're not ultra short term. But to me, those are all the areas, Laura, that you want to keep 40-ish percent in that dry powder. And then for utility purposes, cash, cash, cash, not invested, actually in a checking account, six months to a year, just so you're not having to sell something. So that's another 10 or 20 in just a regular checking account. Usually they don't, you don't get a lot of interest in those in the world we live in today. But I think that takes care of five years, dry powder, safety assets, and the really short
33:19 Speaker 03 term, six to 12 months of just utility money. That's what I would do it.
33:24 Speaker 02 All right. This next question is from Cheryl in Texas. What is the best way to give an elderly parent who is moving to assisted living soon, a small amount of funds, cash or credit or debit, weekly for things like light shopping and snacks, bingo, small fee events, et cetera, and do so without giving them full access to their entire bank account? And also, is there a way to track what they spend it on? If there is a way, then that would be a bonus.
33:48 Speaker 03 Cheryl brings up a really good point. So think about, if you're in your twenties, your parents are still probably in their forties or fifties. So this doesn't register. Well, of course, mom and dad, they can deal with their own cards. But if you are 50 and your parents are 80 or 90, and it's harder for them to maybe see, and technology's confusing, and they're susceptible to a text message, or one of these phishing scams where somebody ultimately gets access to an account, you do need to be worried and careful about having, let's say, a big, big brokerage account or savings account tied to a card or checking, because you can really leave the door wide open. So what Cheryl's thinking about here...
34:33 Speaker 03 Is how do you just siphon off enough for them to use it's and not be tied to the bigger accounts? And I think that's a super smart.
34:40 Speaker 02 It's kind of like a question we will get about people trying to, you know, give their teens money to spend or their smaller kids, not giving them full access, but how do they give them?
34:50 Speaker 03 Exactly.
34:50 Speaker 02 Yeah.
34:51 Speaker 03 And for sometimes the same reason or a similar reason, so which I've used the green light card as an example with my kids. So you essentially need a green light card for your parents. I think the simple answer right out of the gate is just, and this, I guess it's a little harder to track where all the money's going. It's just a prepaid debit card. So every single month you give mom and dad a prepaid debit card. It's got a thousand dollars on it or 2,000, and that takes care of all the spending they need to do in a given month. And it's not linked to anything else. So you've got some protection there. There's a couple of other companies though, that I want you to check out. I, full disclosure, I have not used some of these.
35:30 Speaker 03 So I want you to read about them and research about them, but the true link card is really designed, I've read about this, designed for kind of like a green light card for your parents and for seniors and for caregivers to solve this very problem. So I would check that out. Also, there are again prepaid cards, there's NetSpend, there's Bluebird by Amex. Those are all options for you to consider. But I think the bigger, the bigger point here, Chris, is just like, we don't want our kids to have a card tied to a video game where they can spend, you know, a thousand dollars or $5,000 on virtual coins.
36:09 Speaker 03 We want to protect our seniors as a caregiver, really more from A, from fraudsters and bad actors. So.
36:17 Speaker 02 And I would also say Cheryl, if you, I assume that you have fiduciary financial power of attorney. And if you have that and you have, they have a credit card, you, most cards allow you to set daily spending limits on them. And also, or checking accounts, if it's a debit card, you can set like a daily limit on the debit card. And so if the parents don't have access to that and they can't change it and you have that power of attorney, that might be an option too. And you can look in the account and see what it's spent on.
36:44 Speaker 03 Yeah, I think it's a really good point. So when mom and dad are declining and your parents are, you're worried that they're going to be taken advantage of, that's the time when the siblings and or the adult children really do want to step in. Maybe you start by just getting access to see their accounts and then you take the next step, which is a power of attorney on the financial accounts to really monitor it for them. So that's a really good point.
37:10 Speaker 02 Well, thank you so much, Wes. Thank you, everyone, for tuning in today. We'll be back next week. Clark will be back tomorrow with a new episode of The Clark Howard Show, and we hope the rest of your day is great.
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