Pod Insights Bankless The 7 Most Bullish Crypto Narratives of 2024 About this episode The crypto bull market is here and nothing drives price like a good ol' narrative. On the show today we walk you through the top 7 that we're most excited about to watch unfold during this bull run.
Can you guess which one is our favorite?
------
➡️ Apply to the Cartesi Grants Program here:
https://bankless.cc/Cartesi
------
📣SPOTIFY PREMIUM RSS FEED | USE CODE: SPOTIFY24
https://bankless.cc/spotify-premium
------
BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS:
🐙KRAKEN | MOST-TRUSTED CRYPTO EXCHANGE
https://k.xyz/bankless-pod-q2
🔗CELO | CEL2 COMING SOON
https://bankless.cc/Celo
🗣️TOKU | CRYPTO EMPLOYMENT SOLUTION
https://bankless.cc/toku
🛞MANTLE | MODULAR LAYER 2 NETWORK
https://bankless.cc/Mantle
💸 CRYPTO TAX CALCULATOR | USE CODE BANK30
https://bankless.cc/CTC
🦄 UNISWAP | SWAP SMARTER
https://bankless.cc/uniswap
------
TIMESTAMPS
00:00 Start
06:19 3 Ways To Make Money in Crypto
10:25 #1 - Decentralized AI
18:29 #2 - Restaking
24:40 #3 - Bitcoin Renaissance
30:25 #4 - New Infrastructure
42:10 #5 - Alt Layer 1
50:34 #6 - DePin
55:09 #7 - Real World Assets
59:45 David's Top Choice
------
RESOURCES
https://www.bankless.com/the-2024-bull-run-narrative-glossary
https://www.bankless.com/this-is-the-ai-x-crypto-cycle
https://x.com/TrustlessState/status/1766087668595638336?s=20
https://dune.com/hashed_official/lrt
https://www.coingecko.com/en/categories/restaking
https://www.bankless.com/8-bitcoin-l2s-you-should-watch?ref=bankless.ghost.io
https://www.coingecko.com/en/categories/data-availability
https://www.coingecko.com/en/categories/layer-2
https://x.com/BanklessHQ/status/1764722637333229610?s=20
https://www.coingecko.com/en/categories/layer-1
https://www.coingecko.com/en/categories/depin
https://youtu.be/kdQi-N1BfO4
------
Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:
https://www.bankless.com/disclosures
Transcript 11,654 words · 2 speakers
Speaker names marked ? are inferred from speaking time and the show’s known hosts — they are not voice-verified.
0:00 Ryan Sean Adams? Bankless Nation, we have a Bankless Takes episode for you today. I think it's a continuation from our episode last week, David. Maybe by popular demand, a lot of folks liked that episode. So what we're going to talk about today is seven investment narratives for the 2024 bull market. We touched on one of those investment narratives in the last episode.
0:18 David Hoffman? Number one, yeah.
0:19 Ryan Sean Adams? We'll talk about that again, but then we'll give you six more that we think are very interesting. And how we're going to format this is I think we'll go one by one. We'll talk about what the narrative itself is, why it's important, and what some projects are in that particular category. What is investable? So that is the format for today's episode.
0:38 David Hoffman? Before we get there, a message from our friends and sponsors over at Cartezzi, the first modular execution layer in the crypto space that runs Linux. We all know Linux, but now Linux can be your virtual machine for your particular Layer 2, Layer 3 app chain on Ethereum. This is what Cartezzi allows you to do. Lets you use Linux runtime for your virtual machine for your chain. So you can build DApps that leverage all of the traditional open source libraries and toolings that, of course, Linux has. There is a $1 million ecosystem grant initiative from Cartezzi that is live right now. So there's a link in the show notes if you want to get some of that $1 million to build on Linux in Web 3.
1:16 Ryan Sean Adams? There's two things I like, David. I like $1 million and I like Linux. And Cartezzi provides both of those things.
1:23 David Hoffman? As we get into this episode, I want to just kind of like zoom all the way out and look at the crypto industry from like a satellite's view. Every single bull market, there are narratives. And there are many narratives in every single bull market. And every single bull market has their own specific set of narratives. So we are trying to define the set of narratives that we think will capture attention and energy from different corners of the globe. There's always more than one, some more relevant than others, some larger than others, and some will speak to you more than others. My suggestion is that you pick your favorite version, your favorite narrative to pay attention to in crypto and double down on just like one or a few. Trying to be an expert in all of them will make you an expert in none of them.
2:07 Ryan Sean Adams? Go deep.
2:08 David Hoffman? Yes, pick your flavor, pick your investment style, and also remember that these are narratives and narratives can be fleeting, just as a bull market will also be fleeting. There will be times when this narrative quells, when it dies down. And then also one more big just zoom out moment. The meta theme for all of these narratives is more or less airdrops. The point of crypto is tokens. We all like tokens. We like playing with tokens. We like speculating on tokens. We like investing in tokens. Airdrops for all of these projects, all of these narratives, all of these categories is going to be the way, the dominant way in which a lot of people speculate on receiving airdrops, receiving tokens, perhaps holding the tokens. But airdrops is really the big overarching strategy for how
2:52 David Hoffman? to get exposure to all of these, unless there is of course already a token that exists.
2:57 Ryan Sean Adams? That is especially true. I think it's great if you have not a lot of capital to play with. So if you're a second second cycle or a first cycler, right? You can like earn your way into these opportunities as well. So that is a nice feature.
3:10 David Hoffman? So let's go ahead and get into the seven different investment themes that are going to define the 2024 bull market. But first, a moment to talk about some of these fantastic sponsors that make this show possible, especially Kraken, our preferred way of getting capital into the world of speculative narrative investing in crypto. If you do not have an Kraken account, consider clicking the link in the show notes to getting started with Kraken today. If you want a crypto trading experience backed by world-class security and award-winning support teams, then head over to Kraken, one of the longest-standing and most secure crypto platforms in the world. Kraken is on a journey to build a more accessible, inclusive, and fair financial system, making it simple and secure for everyone, everywhere to trade crypto. Kraken's intuitive trading tools are designed to grow with you, empowering you to make your first or your hundredth trade in just a few clicks. And there's an award-winning client support team
3:54 David Hoffman? available 24/7 to help you along the way, along with a whole range of educational guides, articles, and videos. With products and features like Kraken Pro and Kraken NFT Marketplace and a seamless app to bring it all together, it's really the perfect place to get your complete crypto experience. So check out the simple, secure, and powerful way for everyone to trade crypto, whether you're a complete beginner or a seasoned pro. Go to kraken.com/banklist to see what crypto It's everyone's favorite season in crypto, tax season. And crypto tax is always an absolute headache, especially for all you D gens out there. But it doesn't have to be a nightmare. That's where Crypto Tax Calculator comes in, the software built for D gens by D gens.
4:35 David Hoffman? As Coinbase's official global tax partner, Crypto Tax Calculator focuses on making complex transactions into easy ones, supporting over 300,000 currencies across Ethereum, Arbitrum, Optimism, as well as 1,000 other integrations as well. It's as simple as connecting your wallet, pulling in all your transactions, and following the automated suggestions to quickly and accurately calculate your tax obligations. Plus, for all the airdrop farmers out there, Crypto Tax Calculator has your back as they are consistently adding support for new and upcoming Layer Ones, Layer Twos, and all the airdrops that you're currently farming. 2024 is the year where the D gens do their crypto taxes with speed and confidence. Make taxes this year easy and affordable with Crypto Tax Calculator. Sign up at cryptotaxcalculator.io and get a 30% discount with code BANK30. Click the link in the show notes for more information.
5:19 David Hoffman? Uniswap is revolutionizing the DeFi space, not just by enabling swaps, but by empowering you to swap smarter with a comprehensive suite of products for faster, safer, and more informed swapping. Say goodbye to pop-up wallet extensions. The Uniswap extension is coming soon, and this extension is not a pop-up. It is a sidebar in your browser that persists no matter where you are on the web. This means you can swap, sign, or send, and receive crypto anytime, anywhere, without obstructing your browser window. But that's not all. The Uniswap web app now features limit orders, so you can buy and sell any token at your price, on your terms, without having to watch the market. And the best part, limit orders are built on Uniswap X, which means no gas fees. Also new to the web app is the data and insights pages, with real-time candlestick charts, price data, transaction logs, and detailed pool data,
6:04 David Hoffman? all integrated into the Uniswap web app. All of these new releases come together to create one platform to help you swap smarter every time, no matter where you are, on web, mobile, or on the extension. Click the link in the show notes to sign up for the extension waitlist and download the mobile app. Start swapping smarter with Uniswap.
6:19 Ryan Sean Adams? David, before we get into the seven narratives, do you mind if I give them the quick dad talk?
6:23 David Hoffman? Please, we all need a good dad talk in crypto.
6:26 Ryan Sean Adams? All right, so quick dad talk here. The lens we are approaching this episode is not the typical bankless lens. And we said some of this at the end of our previous episode where we talked about AI tokens and narratives. But just a quick summary, there are three ways you can make money in crypto. You could be a trader, monitor the ups and downs on kind of like the daily, hourly, weekly. Quick moves. You could be a narrative investor. That's what we're talking about today. Seven crypto narratives and the focus there needs to be on the attention economy rather than fundamentals. So attention matters more than fundamentals in this lens and crypto investing, we'll call it, or you know, veers on speculation. And then you could be a fundamentals investor where you forget the noise.
7:08 Ryan Sean Adams? You denominate in Bitcoin and Ether and you buy assets with fundamentals and your time range is like, you know, three to 10 years. You measure it in years and in decades rather than in months, which is what a good narrative generally provides. It's weeks to months is a narrative. So this world of narrative investing is kind of a dark art in some ways, right? You're not actually speculating on real usage, real utility. You're speculating on attention. That's not to say these narratives don't have fundamentals because some of them do. But recognize that when you are speculating, trading in narrative, investing in a narrative, you are investing for the attention. Fundamentals are a subset of that, but fundamentals don't necessarily drive the attention.
7:54 Ryan Sean Adams? A bombastic founder could drive the attention. Elon Musk tweeting something about the project can drive the attention. A article in the New York Times, Trump, you know, giving a speech, like all of these things can actually drive the attention. And that is very frustrating if you're looking at these narratives from a fundamentals perspective. I'll also mention that this is an optional side quest. If you just want to ignore the narrative noise and be a fundamentals investor, you are totally free to do that. Just, you know, stack your crypto money assets, buy assets with good fundamentals and then just like wait things out because the narratives will come and go. So that is the preamble. The other thing I'll say is just like, don't get caught up in gambling.
8:38 Ryan Sean Adams? Entire crypto portfolio on narratives. All right, that is a dangerous track to go. Maybe if this is your first or second cycle, you want to be a bit more, you want to lean into the risk a little bit more. But remember, remember to sell, remember to sell, not just for stable coins, but sell for crypto money assets, the things that are durable, the Bitcoin and ethers of the world. So that's the dad talk and a quick preamble to the rest of this episode.
9:04 David Hoffman? One thing I'll say, we have, of course, like just a pyramid here, Ryan, laid out the three layers of the pyramid. Traders on top, narrative investors in the middle and fundamental investors at the very, very bottom, the longest term holders. The narrative investor section is kind of like speculation on what might become fundamentals. I'll call it the pre-fundamental layer. And that can be correct or incorrect, but we're more or less gambling, speculating on what will eventually become fundamentals. Whether they can achieve that or not will be up to history. But this is always kind of like where people move up the stack in the, in the bull markets where people go risk on. People go away from fundamentals and in towards like more of the trader archetype.
9:48 David Hoffman? And right in the middle of that is the narrative investor.
9:51 Ryan Sean Adams? There are also two sources we pull from. One is a fantastic article from one of a bankless writer, Arjun, called the 2024 crypto investing narrative glossary. Okay, he's got, you know, a bunch of narratives here. We've kind of consolidated some of them and simplified, but we'll include a link to the show notes for that article. If you want this in a more written digest, we'll also be pulling from the CoinGecko top crypto categories by market cap. So you could see examples of some of the assets that accompany some of these narratives, at least those that are public. So those are two sources for you as we get into the rest of this episode.
10:25 David Hoffman? Let's go ahead and get right into it. Coming in at number one, the thing that I think, I think Ryan also agrees is going to dominate the entire crypto cycle. The narrative is decentralized AI. The description is AI by the people for the people. AI, of course, is all the rage both inside and outside of crypto. It's capturing just massive consumer interest, general consumer attention. But the problem is that publicly accessible investment opportunities are like constrained. Young people, people generally, are not going to get rich from Nvidia at a $2 trillion market cap. That thing is already gargantuan. So how can we get exposure to the AI industry in ways that are young and upstarting?
11:09 David Hoffman? And has a lot of like growth potential left in it? And this is where crypto comes to serve some of that demand.
11:16 Ryan Sean Adams? Yeah, I think that's a great point. I mean, look at OpenAI. It's, it's, it doesn't have, yeah, it's closed, right? Anthropic, closed. Like, all of these things are completely closed. What is open as far as things that you can buy that can capture some of this narrative? It's not actually, you're not necessarily getting fundamentals attached to the AI economy, but you are getting the narrative upside. And crypto tokens provide some of that. I think that's the argument that you're making here.
11:44 David Hoffman? Yes, certainly, yeah. So it's, a lot of these things, I think, are going to be hot air. But there are already projects that have just painted in some absolute insane gains over the last years. Like BitTensor, I think, is the big one. Render, just a few other crypto projects that are working to improve the AI space. Like, Render is just putting all the GPU compute resources and coordinating them using crypto coordination mechanisms and then allowing people to tap into those resources. And there's a token. Like, sometimes you can, in the crypto space, you'll be able to just like slap some AI stuff around a token. And the narrative itself is going to make that token very successful just because people are looking to speculate. When crypto win token prices go up, they tend to go up even more.
12:26 David Hoffman? And when people are looking to AI as an investment opportunity, you just kind of need a name and a brand. Not to say that there aren't actually very real projects in the crypto space that are also working in the AI space. These are all very early, very speculative, and just a lot remains to be seen as to like what they can actually meaningfully produce in their fundamental, on their fundamentals.
12:49 Ryan Sean Adams? I think for me, Casey Caruso wrote probably the best distillation of some of the more fundamentals when it comes to this category of decentralized AI, let's say, right? Not to say that this won't get completely out of hand, but it probably will. But a few of her categories are crowdsourced compute. Okay, so this is the idea of decentralizing our CPUs and our GPUs. And you mentioned render, that's one example of that. There are a number of non-public startups that are doing this as well. Hyperbolic is one of them, which I know, there are a few others. But she also lists Akash, I/O.net, Jensen, these are examples of that. Then there's also decentralized interface. So running open source models in a decentralized manner.
13:32 Ryan Sean Adams? So examples of that are Ritual, for example. Also, on-chain AI agents. So these are on-chain apps that somehow use machine learning. So one example that I'm familiar with is MyShell. There's also fetch.ai, operator.io. Then there's also like the more geeky nerdy stuff, like data and model provenance. So this is basically having self-sovereign data and machine learning models that collect the value that are produced here. So Rainfall is an example of that, Vana is an example of that. Tokenized, we can tokenize incentivization apps. So think of character.ai, if you guys have ever used this tool, only with crypto token rewards.
14:17 Ryan Sean Adams? MyShell again is another example of that. Diva is another example. And we've got like token incentivized machine learning. So think about something like a Scale AI, but you just add tokenization. So you add crypto rewards, that's what BitTensor really is, and that's what Ritual is. And then you have on-chain verifiability. So this is how can you prove what the model actually ran? And it turns out the crypto industry has some ZK machine learning technology for that. There are a few startups doing that, Modulus Labs and Upshot. There's a lot of categories, and some of which I mentioned do have some fundamentals. But again, the kind of the narrative is going to get way ahead of these. A lot of these, though, are startups. And they are not publicly accessible by retail.
15:01 Ryan Sean Adams? Well, they're all startups, but they don't, a lot of these don't have a publicly traded token, let's say. You can't find it on CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap anywhere.
15:11 David Hoffman? One of the reasons why I think this particular narrative is so fun is because there are a lot of different parts of AI that make AI a thing. Like, there is the development of the model, there's the consumption of the data, there is the incentivization of the model layer, which is where like actual crypto money can can come in and crypto payment rails. And I think even just like all of the crypto AI startups are trying to slap a token into like every single one of the parts that make up the AI industry. The thing is, is like crypto and AI both move very, very fast. And doing a like an IPO for a speculative startups is just like it takes too takes too long. People don't want to go through that regulatory hurdles and cryptos is ready for them with
15:56 David Hoffman? like the ability to mint a token. And so there's so many different components that make up the AI industry, very real components. And there are very real ways to incorporate crypto and crypto speculation and crypto demand into those things. And when there is demand for tokens, which is what a crypto bull market is, there will generally be some sort of startup that will serve that demands. Like, oh, you want an AI token for some semi or very or not at all legitimate purpose in the crypto space? Well, here's a token for that. And so your challenge as an investor is trying to speculate and and answer the question, is this startup legit? Or are they only going to exist inside of one bull market cycle?
16:35 Ryan Sean Adams? Yeah, what's really like, so here's an example of this. You know, and CoinGecko, by the way, has a few categories that are useful. So you can look at, you know, top AI coins by market cap here, where you see BitTensor and Render and look at that category. That that gives you a sense of what projects you can begin to to filter for. Here's another category called top AI agents. And just a living example that I know you and I are familiar with here is, look, this is my shell. Okay, so this is like, spin up your own AI agent. A lot of these are like, you know, you're talking to some sort of anime character, but it can be really any any type of AI agent. And then a token incentivizing that AI agent. It's almost like friend.tech meets AI agents. And like you can buy and sell various AI agents.
17:19 Ryan Sean Adams? So again, it's like AI agents are A thing. Humans want to talk to these things like character AI, for example. And then you add a tokenization layer to it. That's what MyShell is trying to do. So you could, you could get a sense for for some of the ideas here.
17:32 David Hoffman? One could spend hours trying to go down all the different rabbit holes that is AI and how crypto will innovate and help AI. And as we kind of wrap this section, I'll just zoom all the way back out and just say like, hey, in crypto, you can mint tokens. AI is very exciting. At the very least, like, this is just all that's happening. It's like crypto tokens, AI. Some people are slapping these things together, and that's going to like generate a speculative frenzy. Like fundamentals or like reality aside, this is going to be a thing simply because of those two things. So definitely buyer beware. There's a lot of fun. There's a lot of research to do. There's a lot of like things to speculate and learn. But at the end of the day, because AI is interesting and because crypto has tokens, this is going to be a frenzy.
18:16 Ryan Sean Adams? Yes. What David is saying is when you're narrative investing, don't mid curve the thing. Okay. You don't have to think too hard about it.
18:24 David Hoffman? AI tokens. Slap them together.
18:27 Ryan Sean Adams? What's the next one? So that was number one. What's number two?
18:29 David Hoffman? Coming in at number two, restaking. What's restaking? It's when you stake your ETH and then you stake it again. So if ETH staking, Ethereum staking is the protocol enshrined bond market, the native bond market for Ethereum. Eigenlayer restaking is the surrounding corporate bond market around Ethereum. So companies call these AVSs, actively validated services. Think SaaS, but with crypto stuff. They will rent security from ETH stakers and pay them a small fee so they can leverage crypto economic security for whatever their app is. It's like the corporate bond market around the treasuries market, but all in crypto terms. So why is this a narrative?
19:10 David Hoffman? Well, it is a strong continuation on the arc of ETH as a monetary asset, which is something that is particularly interesting to me and Ryan. But also, I'll say mainly due to the airdrop meta. If you are participating in the restaking corner of the Ethereum ecosystem, the crypto ecosystem, there is speculation that there will be a ton of airdrops coming your way. So if you are restaking your ETH, you are getting the Eigenlayer points, which is speculated to turn into the Eigen token. But then there is also the token for the particular restaking app that you are staking through. So Eigenlayer has these liquid restaking tokens, which are kind of like LSTs.
19:52 David Hoffman? So Lido staked ETH or Rocketpool staked ETH in the traditional Ethereum native bond market. But with Eigenlayer, there is liquid restaking tokens and there are like so many of these, like eight, nine, 10 of these. And so you are farming both the Eigenlayer points for the Eigen token. You are farming both points for the liquid restaking token. But then you have all the AVSs, the actively validated services, AKA Eigen applications. This is, like I said, software as a service, except now in the crypto context, using crypto security. And there will be many of these that I think are going to do all their airdrops throughout Q3-ish, Q4.
20:33 David Hoffman? And so you are farming like multiple airdrops, hunting multiple airdrops, all with liquid restaking tokens. And so this is like kind of a way to get an index of the entire restaking space just by restaking your ETH. This is why I think it is in meta to say nothing about the power and excitement and hype around Eigenlayer. It's mainly a narrative just because like people think the Eigenlayer airdrop is going to be massive. And then they also get a bunch of follow-on airdrops as well. People like yield. What does Eigenlayer do? It gets you more yield on your ETH. There's $128 billion of Ether being staked to Ethereum. There is $13 billion being restaked in Eigenlayer.
21:15 David Hoffman? And all of this is because of yield. People love yield. Ryan, what do you want to add to that?
21:21 Ryan Sean Adams? Yeah, I think that's right on. People love yield and one reference point is DeFi Summer was really the summer of yield. That was 2020. And so we've called this as well restaking summer because this is another market about like airdrops, token and yield. I'll just add some more context to that number you said was an Eigenlayer. It's almost 13 billion dollars worth of Ether inside of Eigenlayer and it's over 3 million ETH as it stands. So it's like, you know, it's almost comparable to the size of all Bitcoin inside of the ETFs right now as a percentage of total supply. So there's a lot of Ether that's already gone in. And I think you're right on with respect to the categories. The
22:04 Ryan Sean Adams? categories are Eigenlayer itself and the game is collect as many points as you can. And then think about the LRTs. So there are a ton of different LRTs.
22:14 David Hoffman? The first concentric circle outside of Eigenlayer.
22:16 Ryan Sean Adams? Right. This is like yield on the potential AVSs later and there are a ton of these EtherFi, Kelp Dow, Renzo, Puffer Finance, Eigenpie, Genesis, Swell, Bedrock, Inception. There's a Doom board that we'll link in the show notes where you can see a bunch of those. And again, most of these do not have public tokens yet. So the way to get exposure is probably to start using these protocols and collecting points. And as always, there's risks, right? I mean, you're putting your Ether into a
22:43 David Hoffman? Brand new protocols.
22:44 Ryan Sean Adams? A brand new protocol. So be very careful here. And then there's also a category in CoinGecko that's worth noting. There's things like Pendle, for instance, which are part of this narrative.
22:56 David Hoffman? The financialization layer around LRTs.
22:59 Ryan Sean Adams? Yes.
23:00 David Hoffman? So like LRT applications.
23:01 Ryan Sean Adams? And then there's going to be a future category that doesn't have any tokens yet, but that you just mentioned of all of the AVSs, all of the applications that will be built on top.
23:10 David Hoffman? The point of Eigenlayer. AVSs are the point of Eigenlayer.
23:13 Ryan Sean Adams? And then AVSs themselves, they haven't, I mean, there's no, there's no public traded token for any AVS. It is still in just this very early stage. And AVS could be like Oracles, could be various coins. There could even be other networks like that resembles chains that could bootstrap using Eigenlayer economic security. So that's one to keep an eye out on.
23:34 David Hoffman? Yeah, the excitement around Eigenlayer really crescendos to the point of AVSs. There are 30, 40 different AVSs that are all working to come online. Some blue chip AVSs, some long tail AVSs. This will be kind of the final phase of the growth of the Eigenlayer ecosystem. First, Eigenlayer mainnet is going to hit sometime in Q2. Many of the LRT projects are going to launch their token in Q2 as well. EtherFi actually just announced the launch of their token using the Binance Launchpad. You can only imagine others like Swell have been very explicit about when their token is coming, sometime in Q2. So I think it goes LRT tokens in Q2, Eigenlayer mainnet in Q2, Eigentoken at some point, whenever they get to it.
24:17 David Hoffman? And then, just like the AVSs all drop their tokens, of which there are many. And where are the AVSs going to drop their tokens? It's got to be to the restakers. And so, this is just like, I think, one of the most efficient point token airdrop farms that exists. And that's why people are very, very excited about it.
24:38 Ryan Sean Adams? All right, give us number three, David.
24:40 David Hoffman? Number three, the Bitcoin Renaissance. There is a lot packed into the Bitcoin Renaissance. These are Bitcoin Layer 2s, these are Bitcoin ordinals, and also Bitcoin restaking. Bitcoin is also getting restaking as well, just like what we were talking about with Eigenlayer on Ethereum, but now with Bitcoin. So, the tagline for this section, Bitcoin is growing its first ever ecosystem of decentralized applications. Since the beginning of Bitcoin, it's never been able to have its own native applications. Building on Bitcoin has been too primitive to do anything meaningful or useful. The Lightning Network, which was Bitcoin's previous path to scalability, is now just kind of being acknowledged as just a failure in technology. It was just a dead end. And now, thanks to new technological breakthroughs,
25:23 David Hoffman? people have learned how to build real applications on Bitcoin. Unlocking the 1.4 trillion dollars of Bitcoin market cap to new native use cases. And the idea here is that applications, layer twos on Ethereum have already been proven out as finding product market fit in the crypto space. We have now learned how to put those projects on Bitcoin. So we're just taking a lot of the innovation that's happened elsewhere in crypto, layering it on top of the Bitcoin stack, which is one of the the theses, the ideas, the hypothesis that many Bitcoiners would have, like if the crypto industry would discover anything useful, you could put it on Bitcoin. The demand for Bitcoin Renaissance exposure was, I think, pretty well illustrated in
26:05 David Hoffman? stacks, which is one of these like Bitcoin sidechain Bitcoin app layers before really these technological breakthroughs were really discovered. So stacks is a project that's up 400% on the year. And that, to me, that's just illustrating how much demand there is. And it really doesn't stop at stacks. The thing that is, I think, really getting people excited, in addition to ordinals, which we'll get to in a second, is the BitVM. The BitVM is unlocking real Bitcoin layer twos as opposed to just like sidechains. And so this is a technological innovation that is still in research mode, but many startups are building Bitcoin layer twos under the assumption that eventually BitVM will be a fully fledged piece of technological infrastructure that they will be able to use.
26:47 David Hoffman? And so last cycle Ethereum layer twos went from infancy to maturity, and this this cycle they're getting even more mature. And now Bitcoin is like, okay, I'm going to take some of that technological innovation and layer that on my on the Bitcoin layer one. Babylon is the Bitcoin restaking project. And so just generally Bitcoin as a unit is being leveraged in highly productive ways. Last cycle, we had Celsius, and last cycle, we had BlockFi, these Bitcoin centralized lending applications. And now there's no good way to make your Bitcoins useful. So things like Babylon and also Bitcoin layer twos are allowing Bitcoin holders to do things with their Bitcoin. And in a bull market, people want to touch their tokens.
27:31 David Hoffman? People want to apply their tokens in productive ways, to get yield, to get upside in ways that are just beyond. On holding. Lastly, I'll say all of this kind of got started by the ordinals revolution, which is ordinals is basically NFTs on Bitcoin using Bitcoin block space to host images and data. And this is also getting kind of pioneered by the Taproot Wizards Project, Eric Wall and Udi Wertheimer. Magic Eden is an NFT platform and NFT marketplace, kind of like OpenSea, but they have specialized now recently in ordinals. And so NFT drops are happening on Bitcoin, and they are pumping, which is a sure sign of a bull market. So if you are just interested in
28:13 David Hoffman? holding Bitcoin and also playing with Bitcoin, the whole Bitcoin Renaissance narrative is probably for you.
28:20 Ryan Sean Adams? Yeah, I think one macro theme of Bitcoin Renaissance is it's basically following the path of Ethereum. So you see ordinals, these are sort of Bitcoin's version of NFTs. You heard about layer twos, right? This is something where Ethereum has already explored the frontier here, and this is Bitcoin following along. And you were also talking about Babylon, which is essentially sort of a early-stage restaking protocol using Bitcoin. It's kind of like the Eigenlayer of Bitcoin, let's call it. I think one thing to note, just to dampen a few things, is of course Bitcoin at the base level is less expressive. It hasn't dealt with some of the things that Ethereum has dealt with with respect to like MEV and like how do
29:02 Ryan Sean Adams? you actually expand the data availability layer, right? I mean, we just, as we're recording this, Ethereum has just completely upgraded its data availability layer and provided a ton more bandwidth to its layer twos. I expect Bitcoin will have to go through these same sort of things. And even something like the BitVM, which is a breakthrough, it seems like. It's not ready yet. It does seem to provide actual, real, legitimate layer twos. But these are optimistic rollups in Ethereum parlance. So we can't yet do a ZK rollup on top of Bitcoin using the BitVM technology. So there's some limitations there. Anyway, it's an interesting story because this is Bitcoin going through the same trajectory as Ethereum, just with a few more limitations.
29:46 Ryan Sean Adams? And a few years behind, I would say, but a lot of opportunity there. Number of the projects you mentioned aren't public. The one that we did talk about and we looked at a chart was stacks. And it seems to be getting a ton. It's up 400% 400% on the year. So it's getting a ton of this narrative activity. I expect many more Bitcoin centric layer twos and projects to launch this year. And people should keep their eyes open.
30:11 David Hoffman? Yeah, basically, if you have Bitcoin, then a lot of projects are coming online that are going to compete for your Bitcoin.
30:19 David Hoffman? In addition to the ETFs, one of the just, this is probably the second biggest source of excitement in the Bitcoin space. All right, moving on. Number four, new infrastructure is what I will call this section. If you're a nerd, you'll, we will call this section modular protocols and data availability. New infrastructure as a category is always a bull market theme every single cycle. It's also a bear market theme. It's just a theme in crypto in general. We always invest and build and spin up new infrastructure.
30:49 David Hoffman? Today in 2024, the theme of crypto infrastructure is learning how to interoperate with each other. Because every single bit of infrastructure, not every single bit, but like a large number of them are modules. Learning how to interop and share each other's resources and connect to modules together to build a global kind of interconnected crypto system. Investing in the modules that are the most useful in crypto is kind of a fun way to sift for gold. We're getting pretty down the crypto rabbit hole here. So this is the pretty, the, the technical side of things, the nerd side of things. If you really like to be on the frontier of trying to see where the crypto industry as a whole is going. Investing in new infrastructure or speculating on new infrastructure is like a fun place to do this.
31:32 David Hoffman? Building deep technical infrastructure is like kind of confusing for a lot of the crypto layman. But it is a great way to speed run your way into like, understanding why crypto is built the way that it's built. It's perhaps unnecessary. There's a meme that we have way too much infrastructure in crypto. And we're investing just in infrastructure over and over and over again, without ever focusing on the consumer applications. But this is largely fueled by because VCs will fund. And retail will speculate on it. And it really only takes about one out of every 100 projects to achieve a 1 billion dollar market cap. And then maybe one out of every 1,000 projects to actually improve the quality life of the users who use these systems. And all the other ones is just, you know, speculation.
32:15 David Hoffman? And so whether or not you can find the ones that will stick around is a fun game for some. But it's also a great way to stay educated, I say, if you can be informed about this part of the industry. You're more or less informed about everything there is to know about crypto, I'd say.
32:30 Ryan Sean Adams? I think one thing to point out is that when we're talking about infrastructure, we're often talking about protocols. And like new networks that need to be bootstrapped, which of course that is one thing that crypto does fairly well is decentralized networks and protocols with tokens attached to them. And so that's why it seems like there's a lot of upside in this category. But I want to zoom out and paint the picture of why we actually need another round of infrastructure investment. And the reason is basically because our blockchains don't scale today. If we want to preserve decentralization and want to scale them at the same time. You know, there's like low gas fees, low costs for transactions. Then we need a new set of infrastructure.
33:13 Ryan Sean Adams? And basically there are two parallel paths being explored by crypto right now. One is the modular path, which is sort of Ethereum and company. And the other is there are some monolithic chains that we'll get to that and kind of an upcoming narrative. Some of the alternative layer ones, the monolithic path. But basically in the modular path, which Ethereum has adopted, it's kind of outsourcing a ton of its capability. It's outsourcing the execution layer. It's creating surface area for the development of so many different chains. And that is both an opportunity, but it causes downstream challenges. Like now these chains are all fragmented and so we have to bridge them together. We have to interoperate, we have to share the sequencing of them.
33:55 Ryan Sean Adams? There's a new set of problems to solve that Ethereum is basically outsourcing to kind of the free market, these various modules that are springing up. And so that is the broader context for why. I think it's justifiable to have a new round of infrastructure investment. So we're going to need new execution layers, okay, like new virtual machines. And so we see parallelized, like virtual machine layer twos springing up, right? Eclipse is one of these, right? It's putting the SVM, that's the Solana virtual machine, in a, inside a layer two. We need sequencing, shared sequencing. So now our chains are fragmented. So how do we like unfragment them and have the ability to transact atomically from one chain to another?
34:40 Ryan Sean Adams? Well, we have Espresso doing some of that, Astria doing some of that, shared sequencing. We have a whole bunch in DA. I've got this in front of me from CoinGecko. This is data availability. So Ethereum has some data availability, but it's not enough to support the entire modular world. So Celestia has been one of the big stories of the year, I think, and its price run up, which is a dedicated data availability layer for chains. That supports kind of this modular approach. And I mean, look at the market cap of Celestia at this point in time. Fully diluted valuation of 17 billion, and that has been up only this year. So there are all of these like nerdy categories, not to mention layer twos.
35:21 Ryan Sean Adams? David, there are so many new layer twos coming online, both in inside layer two frameworks. So the big frameworks like the OP stack, Arbitrum Orbits, ZK, Hyperchains, Polygon Supernets. And then you have chains inside of these things, you know, pushing on the edges from a go to market perspective, things like Blast. There's so much to talk about with these new, with layer two chains as well. Anyway, all of this infrastructure will definitely catch a bid in various pockets. And what's your general advice for how to navigate this? I mean, in, in previous bull cycles, one thing we used to say is if you, if you want to see if a DeFi protocol has potential, like just use it.
36:05 Ryan Sean Adams? I think that is very, very true when it comes to chains. Like go use these layer twos and you can get a better sense for which ones are going to take off or not. That is still good advice, but it's kind, some of these infrastructure things, you know, like a DA layer. I mean, that's a very B to B type of thing and it's really hard to predict how that's going to play out. Do you have any general advice for how investors should look at the, this entire infrastructure class?
36:31 David Hoffman? Yeah, for me, the first bit of advice comes to the people who are really trying to become extremely knowledgeable in crypto, the most knowledgeable possible. All of these different sectors of infrastructure, like the execution layers, the sequencing layers, the data availability layers, the layer two frameworks, the roll up as a service providers, the interoperability applications. If you can define each one of these categories and articulate how they work together, because again, modularity means that one module is going to connect to another module, which will connect to another module. If you can articulate the ecosystem for how these weave together and become one global system, then you are basically as advanced as possible as you can get in the crypto space. So it's kind of like a research homework assignment to understand all of these things.
37:15 David Hoffman? And then from the people who are looking to gain exposure to these things, it's about which ones are going to hit main net first, and then can you actually touch some of this infrastructure? And so like right now, staking your TIA, your Celestia token inside of the Cosmos ecosystem is a target for receiving airdrops. It's been a pretty successful way to receive airdrops. So that's one way to gain exposure here. Staking TIA nets you some sort of like 20% of like network issuance. EigenDA, data availability from Eigenlayer, not yet a thing yet, and so people are keeping an eye on that. It's like, oh, when that comes online, maybe I want to go play in that world and see like what kind of footprint I can establish over there.
37:57 Ryan Sean Adams? That's a double hit. That's two narratives. We got restaking and also Eigenlayer has a data availability layer.
38:02 David Hoffman? Right, yeah, so it's really mainly about like, how can I grow my footprint? These are all deep infrastructure, and your wallet with transactions can establish like a presence on a lot of these bits of infrastructure, just by leaving traces of your activity on chain. And growing a footprint is kind of like growing a net. Generally, the larger net you have, the more optionality you have on like finding some way to have exposure, again, like largely via airdrops, but other ways as well.
38:32 Ryan Sean Adams? So many Layer 2s to explore. I mean, this is one of the most exciting areas, I think, to explore the frontier on. And the wallet experience has improved a lot. You know, one wallet I've been using a lot recently is Rabi, David, which provides a much more seamless like interface for navigating across chains, right? You don't have to like constantly switch which chain you're on. You could just kind of like see your assets irrespective of the chain. So really exciting area, I think, for sure. But man, it's so dynamic. It's hard to pick a specific subset of Layer 2s that are going to absolutely crush it this market because there's just so many new experiments spinning up.
39:12 David Hoffman? Coming up next, we're going to talk about the oldest pastime in crypto, that is the alt Layer 1 trade. And then we're also going to talk about DePin, decentralized physical infrastructure, real-world assets as well. But first, a moment to talk about some of these fantastic sponsors that make this show possible. Mantle, formerly known as BitDow, is the first DAO-led Web3 ecosystem, all built on top of Mantle's first core product, the Mantle network, a brand-new, high-performance Ethereum Layer 2 built using the OP stack, but uses Eigenlayer's data availability solution instead of the expensive Ethereum Layer 1. Not only does this reduce Mantle Network's gas fees by 80%, but it also reduces gas fee volatility, providing a more stable foundation for Mantle's applications. The Mantle Treasury is one of the biggest DAO-owned treasuries, which is seeding an
39:55 David Hoffman? ecosystem of projects from all around the Web3 space for Mantle. Mantle already has sub-communities from around Web3 on board, like Game7 for Web3 gaming, and Bybit for TVL and liquidity and OnRats. So if you want to build on the Mantle network, Mantle is offering a grants program that provides milestone-based funding to promising projects that help expand, secure, and decentralize Mantle. If you want to get started working with the first DAO-led Layer 2 ecosystem, check out Mantle at mantle.xyz and follow them on Twitter at @zeroxmantle. Are you launching a token? Is it already live? How are you managing the legal and tax obligations for providing token grants to your team? It's no secret that token management gets complicated. Between learning all the legal language and tax obligations in every country that your team is in, token grant management can feel like an obstacle course.
40:40 David Hoffman? But it doesn't have to. That's where Toku steps in. Toku provides practical tools to handle token grants, allowing for effective oversight of token distributions and payroll tax compliance for employees, contractors, advisors, and investors. They also handle tax withholdings through their real-time tax calculations that can be done by Toku or integrated into any payroll EOR providers in any jurisdiction. Toku is a trusted provider of Protocol Labs, DYDX Foundation, Mina Protocol, and many more. Get started for free and make token compensation simple at toku.com/bankless. Cello is the mobile-first, EVM-compatible, carbon-negative blockchain built for the real world, driving real-world use cases like mobile payments and mobile DeFi. And with Opera MiniPay as one of the fastest-growing Web3 wallets, Cello is seeing a meteoric rise with
41:25 David Hoffman? over 300 million transactions and 1.5 million monthly active addresses. And now, Cello is looking to come home to Ethereum as a Layer 2. Optimism, Polygon, Matter Labs, and Arbitrum have all thrown their hats in the ring for the Cello Layer 2 to build upon their stacks. Why the competition? The Cello Layer 2 will bring huge advantages like a decentralized sequencer, off-chain data availability secured by Ethereum validators, and one-block finality. What does that all mean for you? With Cello Layer 2, gas fees will stay low, and you can even pay for gas natively using ERC20 tokens, sending crypto to phone numbers across wallets using social connect. But Cello is a community-governed protocol. This means that Cello needs you to weigh in and make your voice heard. Join the conversation in the Cello forums, follow Cello on Twitter, and visit cello.org to shape the future of Ethereum.
42:10 David Hoffman? The oldest pastime in crypto, the alt Layer 1 trade, it never dies. New Layer 1 blockchains come online every single year, every single bull market. We have been producing new blockchains in the crypto space ever since Litecoin and Dogecoin. These new blockchains, they all attempt to gain some sort of adoption via technological innovation, charismatic leaders, really good memes. It has been the narrative that has
42:36 Ryan Sean Adams? High transactions per second, right?
42:38 David Hoffman? Yeah, that's a great line. Great, yeah.
42:40 Ryan Sean Adams? Very cheap.
42:41 David Hoffman? Yes, train, yeah. We're the chain for mainstream consumer adoption. That's a very hot line that many, many have leveraged. Something we've seen like, oh, we're the real world asset chain. We'll talk about that narrative in a second. They're all narratives. Understanding how each one captures attention and why others win is definitely like a dark art. It's definitely like, there's no real rhyme or reason to it. Some projects just figure it out better than others. But just overall, big emphasis on like, this has always been a narrative of crypto. Every single bull market, there is a new type, new flavor of alt layer ones. Right now, this cycle seems to be the meta of the parallelized virtual machine layer one. This was set by the success of Solana from last cycle.
43:26 David Hoffman? And so now there are a bunch of copycat, parallelized virtual machine layer ones coming online. Sui, Sei, Aptos, Monad, and then also the honorable mention, the Eclipse Layer 2 on Ethereum, also a parallelized virtual machine on Ethereum as a layer 2. But this will also be in addition to the many other types of layer ones that come on scene. Ever since Bitcoin came about and we made blockchains, people are like, oh, I can make a blockchain. Also, I'm going to make a blockchain that's going to be worth a billion dollars. And so it's a speculative fund venture for layer one founders. It's a speculative venture for venture capitalists who will fund these things. And it's even a very favorite pastime for retail speculation.
44:10 David Hoffman? It's very, yeah, it's speculation through and through and through. Every once in a while, one works and that's what keeps the game going.
44:16 Ryan Sean Adams? In all these things, you've got to be very careful about token lockups, of course. So all of these chains, this follows with many of the infrastructure investments we were just talking about as well. They raised a whole bunch of money from VCs. And the VCs are looking for an exit at some point in time, right? And so retail can be that exit for them. And so you have to be very careful about tokens when they're unlocking and, you know, the net selling pressure in some of these assets. I do agree with you, David, on the alternative layer ones, like the big theme this year, it seems to me. And for the next two years is going to be parallelized alternative layer one chains.
44:58 Ryan Sean Adams? So MONAD has is probably the first project that's going to come online that will actually have a parallelized EVM. So so far, the big virtual machine in town has been Solana and the SVM. Well, MONAD is doing that with the EVM. So if you are deployed like via the EVM, it can take advantage of some of the Ethereum virtual machine network effect. And SUI is a parallelized VM that is based on the move VM. So that's another flavor of it. And I think those are the projects that are going to catch a bit. There's also this blending, though, David. We're talking about this in terms of alternative layer ones, just because that's a category. So they are not using Ethereum. They are
45:40 Ryan Sean Adams? bootstrapping their own validators, right? And that's what makes it an alternative layer one. But there's this blending because they're all chains at the end of the day, right? And so what is the difference between these alternative layer ones and the layer twos that we're talking about? Well, the only difference is the layer two settle on top of Ethereum, whereas the the layer ones are kind of bootstrapping their own validator set on their own and they're kind of like settling on kind of their own base layer. Do you see any distinction there? Or it's like, why is alternative layer ones? Why are they a separate narrative? Why aren't they all just chains?
46:16 David Hoffman? For some reason, as a layer one, the market valuation of your token just gets the layer one premium. A layer two, in my opinion, I think in our opinion, has much stronger fundamentals because as a layer two, they simply don't have to pay for their own network security. That's what a layer two is. They leverage Ethereum for security and Ethereum secures all of its own layer twos. But then if you're a layer two, you don't necessarily have the same market comparable valuation of like the Solana or Ethereum itself, or even Bitcoin itself. So there's always just this incentive pull towards being a layer one because people perceive layer ones to be more valuable, even though being a layer one is harder and
46:58 David Hoffman? you're less, you're more likely to fail. In the short term, you can Attract a higher market cap.
47:04 Ryan Sean Adams? So it's kind of a narrative trade because you can comp against something like Ethereum. So if Ethereum is worth $400 billion, right? Well, we have.
47:10 David Hoffman? I should be at least $4 billion.
47:13 Ryan Sean Adams? Exactly, because we're going to capture just X percent of Ethereum and we're not a layer two, we're not settling on Ethereum. We are an alternative to Ethereum. That's why this class has often been called in the past the Ethereum killer type class. Because at some layer, they have to go against, in order to get the valuation that they kind of want, they have to go against King Ethereum in this narrative category and knock them out. And some have actually had some reasonable traction doing this, like Solana, I would say.
47:42 David Hoffman? Solana extended the alt layer one trade by like another 10 years.
47:46 Ryan Sean Adams? Bought it some time.
47:47 David Hoffman? Because it worked.
47:49 Ryan Sean Adams? I've also had a thesis, I don't know how this will play out, but over time, some of these will switch categories. You might see a layer two like transform, become an alternative layer one, and you might see alternative layer ones become layer twos. In fact, we have seen many like former class of 2021, alternative layer ones now actually migrate and become layer twos, like Cello Network is one of these. They were going off on their own and now they're in Ethereum layer two. Also, Near has become much more kind of Ethereum aligned. It's not a full layer two, I would say, but it's providing, it's pivoted into like DA.
48:25 Ryan Sean Adams? Exactly. So very interesting. Do you have any takes is basically your assessment that look for parallelized alternative layer ones in this category?
48:36 David Hoffman? This is the category that has definitely captured attention now. Because like I said, the Solana has set in stone the parallelized virtual machine meta. And so now there are a bunch of like Solana copycats trying to wedge themselves between Solana and Ethereum. And so this is why both Say and Monad are doing parallelized EVM, not the Solana virtual machine, but the Ethereum virtual machine, which has the massive developer ecosystem. I will say that layer one trade can be dangerous because you might fall into the trap of buying into a VC ghost chain. And so you do not want to buy the tokens of some sort of like VC hyped chain that doesn't
49:17 David Hoffman? have any users and just has fake hype excitement from the venture capital community.
49:22 Ryan Sean Adams? That's the base case. That's generally how it plays out.
49:25 David Hoffman? That's where it starts.
49:26 Ryan Sean Adams? Expect that.
49:27 David Hoffman? Capturing a community and building a community is like the next hardest thing for an alt layer one to actually gain like real users and real adoption. And so like the thing is you can become a multi-billion dollar VC ghost chain. And what I mean by ghost chain is that like it's a ghost town, like there's no one there, there's no one using it, there's no GDP there. But you can, for some reason in crypto, especially in bull markets, you can still like command like a five, 10 billion dollar market cap, even though no one's using your shit. And so generally, those investments don't do very well in bear markets. I mean, nothing really does very well in bear markets, but those investments tend to go to zero in bear markets, whereas the ones with actual community adoption and actual like economic vitality on the chain actually tend to stick around.
50:09 Ryan Sean Adams? Yeah, I'll also say there's a danger here in this parallelized virtual machine category is definitely something that layer twos are pursuing as well. And why parallelized virtual machines? It's because you can max out transactions per second on these things. And so layer twos will also compete against this category in the of alternative layer ones. All right, David, let's get to you with the next one. We're almost done here. Number six.
50:34 David Hoffman? D-PIN, decentralized physical infrastructure networks. The meme of this one is coordinate the world's computer resources together using crypto so we can build novel use cases. So the D-PIN narrative actually has been around for a long time. It's just recently.
50:53 Ryan Sean Adams? Or foam, was it foam? Not, sorry, not helium.
50:55 David Hoffman? Yeah, foam. Helium is like the one that's working. Foam actually still around. Also, like a Golem. Golem was a 2017 project where we're like, oh yeah, like we, people who want to use collective GPU power from like consumer GPUs can tap into Golem. And so you, as a GPU owner, can contribute your GPU hash power to this like cloud of GPUs. And then GPU power consumers can like leverage that and pay for that and it'll pay you for it. So it's a decentralized way to coordinate the physical infrastructure of the world. And so this narrative has been around since 2017. Just now in 2024, we actually have a name for it because it has been unlocked by very fast, cheap transactions that can, is what's needed to kind of coordinate global resources.
51:41 Ryan Sean Adams? I mean, would you also say that like something like, and this is where CoinGecko classifies it, Filecoin would be deep in.
51:46 David Hoffman? Sure. Yeah, you could really open up the line to what deep in it could be, yeah.
51:49 Ryan Sean Adams? But this new class of deep in, can we get into that? It's, um, it's not Filecoin. It's, um, like, what does helium do? For, for, for instance?
51:59 David Hoffman? Yeah, helium, I think, is perhaps like the thing that really kickstarted this. Helium is just like a decentralized data. And so you can buy this helium node that local cell phones in your area can tap into your node for data. And this is like very proximate. So like, we're not talking like miles here. We're talking about just like, you know, maybe a hundred meters. If you are nearby to someone's like helium node, you can use their helium node to get data for your phone. And so it's kind of like a mesh network, uh, much more localized mesh network to receive data. And so you spin up at your helium node, you get paid helium tokens for providing data to your local surroundings. And then consumers of that will pay your node for its data.
52:41 David Hoffman? And so it's a way to like, kind of route around the large like data providers, like the Verizons, the T-Mobiles, et cetera. And so it's like, it's like data, internet, uh, cell phone data, by the people for the people. A lot of the themes are going to be like by the people for the people because that's what crypto does. But that's, this is just like the first of like many deep in networks that have like started up.
53:01 Ryan Sean Adams? And as I was mentioning, Filecoin also render is here, which has kind of like a
53:05 David Hoffman? That's the AI project, right?
53:06 Ryan Sean Adams? A cross section, right? So it's like deep in meets AI plus crypto, right? And, uh, so no wonder these things are doing quite well. What's your overall take? I know we're not really weighing in on the fundamentals here, but I gotta confess, I've been somewhat skeptical.
53:22 David Hoffman? Yeah, I'm a skeptic on this category.
53:23 Ryan Sean Adams? Some of these projects, like just because, um, you are really maxing out, uh, token incentives. And it works really well when number goes up. And generally, these types of things work a lot, a lot less well when number is going down. Like, I, I, I wouldn't necessarily put this in the category of, of deep in, but like something like stepping, where you get like paid, uh, tokens for just like walking and like running, right? To me, that is just like not a very sustainable game. And, uh, it went up very high and now it's kind of like come back down and. The whole deep in category has some of these vibes. I wouldn't say so so much of for Filecoin, but some of these other projects like definitely have that vibe.
54:04 David Hoffman? Well, the problem I think that you're articulating is that like just slapping a token onto these like infrastructure networks doesn't mean that there's demand for the token. So there's a difference between producing a token and having that token be like truly investable, investable in like the fundamental sense of the word. It's like, well, who's who's going to be the net buyer of these things? And of course, the answer is just like, well, the consumers of those resources. But the thing is, like, all of these deep in things are like commodities. They're supposed to be highly commoditized. And like if we're going to talk about like coordinating the compute resources of planet Earth, well, then we're competing with like Amazon AWS, which is already extremely commoditized and cheap. So like, just because it has a token, doesn't mean that it has like strong longevity associated with it.
54:49 Ryan Sean Adams? But look at us, we're using the F word again. This is not how you should view any of these narratives, right? It's not necessarily about the
54:54 David Hoffman? I would say the deep in narrative is perhaps the most fleeting that I can identify in this category.
54:59 Ryan Sean Adams? AI, I could see a lot of fluff in the AI for sure, too. All right, let's get to the last one, David. What is this? Something very tangible, something very real.
55:08 David Hoffman? Right. Real world assets are WAs. Also, a narrative that has been in crypto since the inception of crypto. But as we are becoming more mainstream as an industry, as there are more suits in our industry, as people like BlackRock and Franklin Franklin Templeton are playing around on chain, there is a growing excitement around the world of real world asset tokenization. There is this world in the TradFi space called a securitization, where you take some sort of value and you wrap it into a financial asset, and that is called the securitization process. In crypto, we have tokenization. So there are a lot of assets and there's a lot of value that are not on blockchain rails that we could put on blockchain rails through the process of tokenization.
55:53 David Hoffman? It's non trivial, but it's definitely exciting. There's a lot of value out there and we need more value in crypto. There's like roughly a gazillion dollars of securitized wealth out there, and we've only been really able To successfully tokenize dollars and we call these things stable coins. So the question for the real world asset narrative is can we tokenize more? And whoever can tokenize more off chain value can certainly become very wealthy as like a project founder or leader or whatever. And so I know right now the meta has shifted beyond stable coins because that is a very successful real world asset tokenization endeavor. And now we are in the world of tokenized treasuries, which is like the next hardest thing after tokenized dollars.
56:36 David Hoffman? Real estate has always been a focus of many startups. Many startups have come and gone trying to tokenize real estate. But then after that, like kind of the world is our oyster. Who can crack the real world asset tokenization nut? Cause that's a hard nut to crack, but there's a lot of value to be had for whoever does.
56:54 Ryan Sean Adams? There's a lot of projects in this category too, some of which are kind of like a private and startups. So Mountain Protocol is a treasury tokenization project, but it doesn't yet have a public token. Ondo is one that's doing something similar with US treasuries. It does have a token, so you could see fully diluted value of Ondo is 5.6 billion. And then there's projects that have been through multiple cycles here, like Centrifuge. You remember that was a previous, previous cycle. Darling at one point, Maple as well, Goldfinch. These are folks that are like tokenizing various debt, various, various credit. It's, it's a hard game and I kind of wonder in this category, who's going to win? I, I do think David, that some of the incumbent players from big finance who are entering like,
57:38 Ryan Sean Adams? we haven't yet seen what BlackRock is going to do in this space and Larry thinks said the future is tokenization.
57:45 David Hoffman? Huge token boner. He's got a huge token boner.
57:47 Ryan Sean Adams? Yes, he is very excited about this and he has all of the assets that can be tokenized inside of BlackRock, right? He has all of the connections. So I sort of think that there's going to be some successful startups here, but edge to the incumbents when they start to kind of enter this space. One project that never gets any love that is so interesting is a real world asset project from my perspective is Maker. Maker Dow. That's actually their stablecoin is based.
58:16 Ryan Sean Adams? Based on real world assets. They've just recently added a PayPal coin, actually, to kind of back the output of DAI. You know, a lot of it's been USDC based, so there's some things going on there. It's also has an insane PE ratio. It's something like 10, right? In terms of price to earnings. So, you know, some, if you're looking at this from a fundamentals perspective, would say that's very undervalued. But again, the narrative has not yet shifted to Maker Dow, so it cannot catch a bid, which is really interesting. So David, as we close this out, we've gone through all seven. We didn't touch on everything, I'll say, right? There are some narratives that we just can't see right now, that we just didn't have time to cover, like we didn't-
58:55 David Hoffman? There are some narratives that are so large that they deserve their own episode.
58:59 Ryan Sean Adams? Like what? Like GameFi, yeah. Gaming, GameFi-
59:01 David Hoffman? Gaming, we should totally have gaming here. It's just such a large category and it's, it's just too real. You know, these are narratives. Gaming, extremely real.
59:09 Ryan Sean Adams? Yeah, it is real. And there'll be narratives inside of gaming that are sub-narratives of GameFi. There's also NFTs. Are they gonna make a comeback? There's also SocialFi, which seems to be poking its head up in various ways. We talked about Farcaster, for instance. There could be a, you know, friend.tech had a brief blip, maybe something like that could make a comeback. So there's narratives beyond the scope of what we've, you know, covered today. But if you had to pick, like, one particular thing that you are most excited about, are you able to pick? And, you know, you use your own criteria for picking. It could be like the narrative you think is gonna pump the highest, or the one that has the most kind of like, you know, fundamentals, or like, what is it? What sticks out in your mind?
59:49 David Hoffman? I've made my selection. I made my choice long ago. I am a big restaker narrative player. Like I said at the very beginning, you need to find the narrative that speaks to you the most and double, triple down your knowledge. That's how you, I think, how you play this game the best. I have elected to double down on restaking. So I am farming LRTs, because I have my ETH in the LRT space. I am expecting the Aigen airdrop. I'm expecting the airdrop of the LRT that I have my ETH into. And then I'm expecting to farm all the airdrops of all the AVSs. And so there are the players of these narrative games that like to move fast, they like to hop around narratives, they like to play the meme coin. We didn't even talk about the meme coin, which has zero fundamentals, which is the point.
1:00:36 David Hoffman? Did an entire episode on that. But the thing is, is like, I'm a busy guy. I make a lot of content, and so I can't be touching stuff all the time. And so to me, restaking, it's the continuation of the arc of the monetary policy and monetary effects of Ether, the asset, which I find extremely interesting. It is yield, which I also find great. It's airdrops. It's, most importantly, passive airdrop farming.
1:01:02 Ryan Sean Adams? It's Ether, David. It's Ethereum.
1:01:05 David Hoffman? It's all of these airdrops is using Ether, the asset that I denominate in. It's the one that speaks to me the most.
1:01:12 Ryan Sean Adams? Yeah, I'll agree on that. And I'll also add a plus one to modular infrastructure. I mean, we've been long-term proponents of this as a direction for crypto. So there's a whole bunch of, you know, like, space for infrastructure that I didn't really know we needed. And now I sort of know that we need, given all of these changes. Shared sequencers is a, you know, a fantastic category, for instance. So, guys, we hope that was helpful. Those are seven narrative themes for 2024. Good luck out there. I got to end with this, as always. Crypto is risky. You could lose what you put in. Oh, my God, narratives are super risky. But we are headed west. This is the frontier. It's not for everyone, but we're glad you're with us in the bankless journey. Thanks a lot.
Previous Memecoins: Good or Evil with Ledger & Stephen Cesaro Next Is Crypto a Scam? with Crypto Skeptic Patrick McKenzie Page updated October 25, 2026 · transcript and summary are machine-generated