Pod Insights The Vergecast The AIs are officially out of control About this episode The Verge's Nilay Patel, Alex Cranz, and David Pierce discuss ChatGPT and Gemini updates, Walmart acquiring Vizio, Apple's Sports app, and more.
Further reading:
Google cut a deal with Reddit for AI training data
Google apologizes for ‘missing the mark’ after Gemini generated racially diverse Nazis
Google’s open-source Gemma AI models draw from the research behind Gemini
ChatGPT spat out gibberish for many users overnight before OpenAI fixed it
One month with Microsoft’s AI vision of the future: Copilot Pro
Gemini, Gemma, Goose.
OpenAI can’t register ‘GPT’ as a trademark — yet
Artificial investment
Walmart to acquire Vizio in $2.3 billion deal
Echo Hub review: a simple, customizable smart home control panel
Samsung details a host of audio upgrades coming to its phones, tablets, and TVs
Apple says the iPhone 15’s battery got better — but won’t say how
Rice is not included in Apple’s official guidance for a wet phone
One of the last small-ish Android phones looks like it's going the way of the iPhone Mini
OnePlus is getting back into the smartwatch game
The Garmin Forerunner 165 could be a great budget running watch
Sony’s PlayStation Portal hacked to run emulated PSP games
Framework is selling a cheap modular laptop
Wyze says camera breach let 13,000 customers briefly see into other people’s homes
Apple launches Apple Sports app with scores and betting odds
Apple is already defending iMessage against tomorrow’s quantum computing attacks
IBM quantum computing updates: System Two and Heron
Microsoft and Intel strike a custom chip manufacturing deal
Rivian says it is laying off 10 percent of its workforce as EV woes deepen
Ford slashes Mustang Mach-E prices again as EV price war enters its second year
The Vergecast and Decoder are live at SXSW this weekend, March 8th and 9th. SXSW attendees can see both shows live on the official Vox Media Podcast Stage at the JW Marriott, presented by Atlassian. Learn more at voxmedia.com/live.
Email us at [email protected] or call us at 866-VERGE11, we love hearing from you.
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Transcript 16,746 words · 10 speakers
Speaker names marked ? are inferred from speaking time and the show’s known hosts — they are not voice-verified.
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0:59 Nilay Patel? Hello and welcome to Verchest, the flagship podcast of Google's latest AI model, which at this point is just an alphabet soup collection of letters designed to be sold on Amazon.
1:09 Alex Cranz? The next one will be Greg.
1:10 Nilay Patel? Greg.
1:11 Alex Cranz? Or perhaps Gregory.
1:12 Nilay Patel? Steve.
1:13 Alex Cranz? Yeah, no, it's gotta be a G.
1:14 Nilay Patel? It's gotta be a G.
1:15 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
1:16 Nilay Patel? Glinda.
1:18 Alex Cranz? There we go, Glinda. Yeah.
1:19 David Pierce? Glinda's fun. That even has some like magical possibilities. Glinda's very good.
1:23 Nilay Patel? Yeah, I went straight musical theater with it.
1:25 David Pierce? Yeah.
1:26 Nilay Patel? Let's be honest.
1:26 David Pierce? But I like Greg. Let's just go very straightforward. Greg and Gary.
1:31 David Pierce? I love this.
1:32 Nilay Patel? Jeff. Complicated.
1:36 Nilay Patel? Fancy Jeff. Google's latest transformer model. Hi, I'm Neil. I'm your friend. David Pierce is here.
1:41 David Pierce? Hello.
1:42 Nilay Patel? Al Trans is here.
1:43 Alex Cranz? Hello.
1:45 Nilay Patel? Quite a lot of news going on in the world of AI. This section is labeled in the rundown as the AI is going insane, y'all. So we've got a lot to talk about there. And then not one, but two lightning rounds today.
1:59 Nilay Patel? We're still on the hunt for lightning round sponsors here on The Vergecast.
2:02 David Pierce? Two opportunities today.
2:04 Alex Cranz? I was hoping there was gonna be like some audio just then, just like lightning noises.
2:08 Nilay Patel? Yeah.
2:08 Alex Cranz? But there was more like a pew pew pew. That was my lightning noise in my head just now.
2:12 Nilay Patel? Like a DJ horn?
2:13 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
2:14 Nilay Patel? Yeah.
2:14 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
2:15 Nilay Patel? If you sponsor a lightning round, I will say your name and play a DJ horn sound effect.
2:21 Alex Cranz? It's compelling.
2:22 Nilay Patel? You can do it. You just have to email Liam at theverge.com with a picture of your money and we'll take it from there.
2:30 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
2:31 Nilay Patel? I think that's how sales work. I don't know. I'm not an influencer. All right, let's talk about the AI. It is a little out of hand what is happening with the large language models out there on the internet. There's some news, though, some actual news today in the world of AI that I think is very important. We just talked a lot about how AI is rewiring the internet, how the incentives to make new content on the open web are changing because the AI companies are training on that data. There's all kinds of lawsuits and recriminations. And then in the middle of it, Reddit announced a deal with Google today where Google is gonna train its AI systems on what Steve Hoffman, the CEO of Reddit, keeps referring to as the Reddit Corpus.
3:11 Alex Cranz? Oh.
3:12 Nilay Patel? Which is honestly a great academic word, but I think if you walked up to the average Reddit user and was like, "Today you've contributed to the Corpus," I don't know it would land.
3:23 Alex Cranz? No, it wouldn't.
3:24 Nilay Patel? Welcome to the Corpus.
3:26 Alex Cranz? I don't wanna be there. Take me out. Take me out.
3:28 Nilay Patel? I love the Vision Pro Sub Corpus. That's how I think about Reddit. This is a huge deal, though.
3:36 David Pierce? It is, and I think it's kind of the end, or if not the end, then almost the end of this very long road that Reddit has been on, where Reddit kind of belatedly discovered that the best business it has is it is a source of amazing data on everything and that it has become like a known hack that if you wanna Google something and get good, human-based information, you just add Reddit to the end of it and it will dump you into a subreddit where inevitably people are discussing whatever you wanna talk about and it's helpful. Reddit has been fighting with OpenAI about this. Reddit has been sort of loosely threatening to go public for like three years now. And the idea now, I think, we're sort of assuming Reddit
4:20 David Pierce? is going to file its S1 to officially go public any day now. So you've got to figure that Reddit was desperate to make a deal for a lot of money to be like, look how important Reddit is. And it opens up just an infinite number of messy side effects and sort of knock on situations that we should talk about. But I think, A, the fact that it's this much money, which is a lot.
4:45 Nilay Patel? Wait, is it?
4:46 Alex Cranz? Yeah, it's 60 million a year.
4:48 Nilay Patel? 60 million a year?
4:50 David Pierce? That's a lot of money.
4:52 Alex Cranz? I mean, for Google, that's like a sneeze.
4:55 David Pierce? Sure, Reddit is not Google.
4:59 Alex Cranz? For Reddit, it probably is.
5:01 David Pierce? So Reddit's Reddit's revenue the last few years, I'm gonna, you know, average a bunch of real numbers, is somewhere in the range of like $450 million a year. So that's a big jump in revenue for one deal for your data that in theory doesn't change anything else. And this also means Reddit can go and demand a similar deal from OpenAI. Like, you've got to figure, every one of these companies is going to try and make a bunch of these deals, because if you're Reddit, you're saying, well, if Google has our data and OpenAI doesn't, Google has a real leg up. And so they're going to make the same kind of offer to OpenAI, they're going to make the same kind of offer to Anthropic. Like, you can see a world in which pretty quickly, a third, half of revenues coming to Reddit comes from these deals. That's big money.
5:46 Nilay Patel? So I have a lot of questions about this. I think $60 million is almost an existential number for the internet. If you're Google, you desperately need people to put new information on the web where Google Search can find it. The incentives to do that right now.
6:07 Nilay Patel? With any amount of quality. Or diet. Near zero. Like zero, like the, the most effective thing you can do on the web today is either set up an e-commerce website. So you can get people to buy stuff without paying Apple transaction fees. I know this because the CEOs of Wix and Squarespace and all these other companies come on Decoder and I say, why should anyone make a website? And they say, e-commerce. Right. Every time. That's why people make websites now. The other reason to make a website is to do SEO chum content marketing for dental practices or whatever else nonsense that happens, right? To game Google because you're doing content marketing for some e-commerce website. Like that, those are the things.
6:50 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
6:51 Nilay Patel? If you happen to search, like just something dumb, like how to install a baby seat in a car, you get car dealership websites because that.
6:59 Alex Cranz? That's why you type in Reddit.
7:00 Nilay Patel? That's why you type in Reddit.
7:02 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
7:02 Nilay Patel? So if you're Google and you're like, well, the incentives we made for the web have turned the web into garbage. We should make sure Reddit continues to exist and the value you place on that deal is $60 million. I would argue that's not nearly enough. Because for Google, it's nothing. That is a percentage of the money they are paying Apple just to be the default search engine. And I, I, that, I get it that Reddit's not big, but when Reddit's the only good result in Google, it feels like that number should be much higher.
7:34 Alex Cranz? I think it's like Reddit probably didn't push hard enough, right? Like they kind of had Reddit over a barrel.
7:39 Nilay Patel? Right. Reddit has no leverage.
7:41 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
7:41 Nilay Patel? Against the noise because Google can also be like, we're also just taking everything.
7:45 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
7:45 Nilay Patel? Which is what OpenAI have also done. So I just, there's something in that number. I don't know. I think we gotta wait for the actual S1 that we gotta see Reddit's actual financials when it actually becomes a public company. All of that is yet to be discovered, but you just see this number. And it's like, oh, that's not nearly enough if you're the last place human beings actually answer questions on the internet in a way that's discoverable to search engines.
8:09 David Pierce? Let me offer the flip side of that argument.
8:11 Nilay Patel? Yeah.
8:11 David Pierce? Which is that maybe Reddit is the only company with leverage in these arguments.
8:15 Nilay Patel? Yeah.
8:15 David Pierce? Which is that Google knows, I guarantee you firsthand, Google knows how important Reddit is to the business of Google search. The fact that Reddit's search product is bad, and so people don't just go to Reddit and search, they go to Google and search Reddit, is a lot of money for Google. Like, no one at Google is unclear about how important Reddit results are to its business.
8:40 Nilay Patel? Yeah.
8:41 David Pierce? And Reddit has been loudly fighting against OpenAI and others. They were early to block the GPT bot to not let OpenAI crawl its stuff. So if not Reddit, then who? If Reddit can't come in and say, you actually need our data more than we need to be part of your system that doesn't deliver any value back to us anyway? Who can say that?
9:04 Nilay Patel? I agree with you, but I think the important part of this puzzle is that for Google search to exist, it needs to create a situation in which there are 10,000 Reddits. And right now, it has created a situation in which there is but one.
9:19 David Pierce? And maybe not even one for long.
9:21 Nilay Patel? And maybe not even one for long, but there's a bunch of forums like, uh, Neil is gonna complain about his own theater system again. You ready for this?
9:29 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
9:29 Nilay Patel? I have a hot ass Sony receiver. It's brand new. I love it. It's easy 3000 yes, I could talk about it all day and night. When you turn on its core feature, it makes a hissing sound.
9:39 Alex Cranz? Hate that.
9:40 Nilay Patel? I'm in, I'm in the forums. I'm on that AVS forum thread. I know what's going on. I called my dealer and I sent him links to the AVS forums. But that's like a huge problem, right? The company that runs AVS forum is small, it is not big. Google, there's not, there's not some huge set of home theater websites that are finding me this information, right? It's a bunch of people who bought this one extremely sick product that has this one problem that are talking about it in a forum and Google has to find it. And if Google extracts a value from that and delivers me an AI summary of that thread and says, call this number and this firmware patch or whatever, then that
10:23 Nilay Patel? forum's need to, then Google's extracting value from that company without giving it back. And that can happen to a thousand companies. It can happen to just Reddit. But you just, this cycle, this is the first time we've got a number of what Google thinks this is worth. And this cycle that we're in, I think is going to either push that number way, way down, which is very bad, or it will result in more and more people demanding ever bigger numbers, because there's nowhere else for Google to get the raw data it needs to function from. And you put all that in the context of Reddit, which just pissed off a bunch of its users, but shoved that in the rearview mirror as fast as it could.
11:01 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
11:02 Nilay Patel? Because it needs to be a real company that makes money and they were like, fine. And I think the company has come through that. We should talk about that at length in the context of this. But that's Reddit. On the other side of that is Google. And Google has to look at all of these lawsuits. New York Times versus OpenAI, Getty versus Stability, we can go down the list. And every time Google makes a deal like this, all it is doing is signaling the world, oh, there's money here. There should be money here. And all of those lawsuits get more and more expensive. And I don't know, I just look at this and I'm like, oh, this is the beginning. This is the end of the beginning of this phase.
11:38 Alex Cranz? But it is like, it's explicitly for AI. It's not for the search part of it. Like, Google still has.
11:43 Nilay Patel? No, Reddit's search is going to be Google's Vertex AI now. So there's going to be a Google-powered AI search in Reddit now, which is cool.
11:50 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
11:51 Nilay Patel? I feel like Redditors are going to have a lot of feelings about that once that rolls out actually inside of Reddit.
11:56 Alex Cranz? Yeah, I'm curious to see if it. Works. Like, I think Google's kind of internal website searches aren't nearly as powerful oftentimes. I mean,
12:07 Nilay Patel? So said one of the proprietors of the verge.com, which has a Google-powered website.
12:10 Alex Cranz? Yeah, it's not always, it's fine, but it's not always like, great. I don't know. I know how the Reddit one works. I'm like, nah.
12:19 Nilay Patel? Can any robot contend with the corpus of Reddit?
12:22 Alex Cranz? Yeah. Hmm. Probably.
12:24 David Pierce? No, nor can any human or any group of humans. But no, I think the flip side of this, I think, is that Google is also desperately trying to figure out how to get the AI nonsense out of search, which in theory makes Reddit even more important to Google over time. So not only does Google ship this money to Reddit, it actually has, I would argue, a stronger incentive than ever to push Reddit search results to the top of search results. And one of the things that happened in this deal is that Reddit is now giving Google programmatic access to things like conversations that are moving very quickly and are really interesting,
13:05 David Pierce? or comments and post counts and all the kind of underlying metadata that you don't get just by scraping a page once a day or once an hour or whatever. And by being able to actually like pipe Reddit into Google, I think if I'm Steve Huffman, not only am I betting that you're going to write me a check for $60 million a year, you're going to have more and more reasons over time to highlight Reddit stuff in Google search when most things are being driven down because it's all turning into AI crap.
13:35 Nilay Patel? Isn't that worth way more than $60 million?
13:37 Alex Cranz? No, but my question is, that feels like a bad, like Reddit already has struggled to monetize its traffic, right? It's really bad at monetizing its traffic. And so now if it gets more traffic and it's only getting $60 million a year, That actually feels like a bad gamble for Reddit because now it can't monetize the increased traffic and instead it's just going to increase server fees.
14:00 Nilay Patel? Here's what I'll say. I don't think we know the answer. I am desperate to know what our listeners think.
14:05 Alex Cranz? Yes.
14:05 Nilay Patel? This is like a great hotline prompt. Who do you think is the winner of this deal? Is it Google or is it Reddit? Because I think Reddit is a big winner and I think over time, Google is staring down the barrel of its demise because it used to be, the internet used to be search and social. Those were the two great traffic sources. And if, you could tell if a publication was organized around search or if it was organized around social because the ones that were organized around social were insane. Just to people. Like, if you were like, I'm optimized, I've optimized this website for Facebook traffic, you'd be like, I hope you're okay. Like, I hope, I hope you're having a good day.
14:43 Alex Cranz? You're just putting mayonnaise on a countertop.
14:45 Nilay Patel? Yeah, it's just straight. It's just like, here's what we do. We're gonna get a watermelon. We're gonna get two guys in lab coats and we're gonna put rubber bands on the watermelon and then everyone will have to sit around talking about what that means. This is a real thing we lived through. BuzzFeed was worth over a billion dollars because it was organized around social media in that way. If you take Google and you say, our search product, like David is saying, is not organized around real-time social conversations on these various platforms. Something very different is gonna happen. And I, there's, there's a conflation there of what used to be search and social into one kind of thing. And I think that means Google is now hopelessly dependent on social platforms to be good at things
15:26 Nilay Patel? like getting rid of AI, to be good at doing things like, like centering human conversations in real time versus the AI chum that we all live in on the web every day. I don't know. I don't know. I just, I'm just seeing the beginning of a dependency for Google that is not great. But maybe, maybe actually this is going to improve Google search in a way that we'd all like it to improve.
15:48 Alex Cranz? Anytime the power swings, I'm delighted. And it feels like right now the power is swinging perhaps away from Google and its bajillion G-named AI services.
15:59 David Pierce? It's just not clear who it's swinging to, right? I think that's the strangest part.
16:03 Alex Cranz? Yeah, it's just swinging.
16:05 David Pierce? Yeah, it just feels like it's, it's just sort of dangling in the air right now. And it's like, who is going to be the next powerful thing? And it's just so not clear.
16:15 Nilay Patel? And it's theverge.com where just a series of blog posts about expensive receivers, I believe, will save the media.
16:23 Alex Cranz? Yeah, that's it. That's all you need.
16:24 Nilay Patel? It has this feature called 360 spatial sound mapping. It's so cool. It just-
16:27 Alex Cranz? Who sneaks up behind you in this?
16:29 Nilay Patel? I'm gonna make a list, by the way, of Atmos tracks where the guitarist is sneaking up behind you.
16:34 Alex Cranz? Yeah, just guitarists.
16:36 Nilay Patel? I have, well, all of them feature a percussionist sneaking up behind you. No one has any other ideas. You know that, you know that website TV Tropes?
16:44 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
16:44 Nilay Patel? I could make one today called Spatial Audio Tropes. And guy with maracas behind you is number one on the list. Like, is there like percussive enhancement to a song?
16:57 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
16:58 Nilay Patel? Like a fill or an accent?
16:59 Alex Cranz? Just a little castaneta coming-
17:00 Nilay Patel? Behind you. Get back there.
17:03 Alex Cranz? Just creeping up.
17:04 Nilay Patel? Just goodbye. You want to do a hi-hat fill? Back of the room, buddy. It's just every day I think about. The song Fade Into You by Mazzy Star is a spatial audio travesty.
17:20 Nilay Patel? Just telling you.
17:21 Alex Cranz? You should do a review of it.
17:22 Nilay Patel? That is a very small, it's a beautiful, I love that song. It's a very small intimate track, right?
17:28 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
17:29 Nilay Patel? In spatial audio, it's like, what if these motherfuckers are all around you? Anyway, sorry. 360 spatial sound mapping.
17:37 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
17:37 Nilay Patel? It listens to speakers in your room and it, it moves them to their ideal placements.
17:42 Alex Cranz? Okay.
17:43 Nilay Patel? It's very cool.
17:43 Alex Cranz? That is cool.
17:44 Nilay Patel? This is a completely irrelevant product for-
17:47 Alex Cranz? Anyway, Google.
17:47 Nilay Patel? -100% of the audience. Power moving, Google. Good, good Alex.
17:53 Alex Cranz? Yeah, yeah. Google. They, they got all those, those companies with G names.
17:57 Nilay Patel? They have all those companies with G names. Here's the thing about the AI. All of this presumes that these systems work and work well and work reliably, which has not been the case this week. David, can you run us through it?
18:09 David Pierce? Oh, no. I was really afraid you were gonna ask me. I feel like I'm gonna get canceled just by attempting to explain what's going on here.
18:15 Nilay Patel? There's a reason I asked the whitest man on this podcast to do this.
18:18 David Pierce? That's fair. Okay, so you can now use Gemini to generate images.
18:26 David Pierce? And what appears to have happened is that Google went out of its way to make sure that those images being generated would be diverse and not fall into the same biases that we've seen from a lot of image generators over time, which tend to basically prey on, like, the lowest basis stereotypes in really ugly ways. So Google seems to have gone out of its way to go the other way and be diverse in its representation of all things. Some people got very mad because then when you start doing things like, say, "Show me a picture of some Nazis," it shows you a substantially more diverse set of Nazis than you might expect to see.
19:06 Nilay Patel? It is very funny that we made you say this out loud.
19:08 David Pierce? Yeah.
19:08 Nilay Patel? It shows you, like, black and brown Nazis.
19:11 Alex Cranz? Yeah, it was definitely like a poster. It was just like the biggest educational poster you might see in a...
19:19 Nilay Patel? Like fake diversity.
19:20 Alex Cranz? Yeah, yeah, like a fake diversity poster you see at certain companies and like, you're like, "Oh, that's not real." And now they're Nazis.
19:28 David Pierce? It's the group of friends sitting on the quad on the front of every college brochure.
19:33 Nilay Patel? I just want to be very clear that when I attended the University of Wisconsin, Madison, it got into trouble for photoshopping that poster.
19:40 David Pierce? Yeah.
19:41 Nilay Patel? That was a real thing that happened to Madison.
19:43 Alex Cranz? And if they just waited a while, they could have used Gemini.
19:46 Nilay Patel? Open eye do it. So the idea that when you prompt one of these AI systems to produce a picture of a successful person, they have in the past been significantly biased and produced pictures of white men.
20:03 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
20:04 Nilay Patel? For that prompt.
20:05 Alex Cranz? Because the training data is often significantly biased. The people making it are biased because we all exist in a society and have innate biases that influence everything we do. And if you're, the people you hire all share those biases, it trickles down.
20:21 Nilay Patel? But to, if you swing the knob all the way back the other way, and you're like, show me a literal 1930s Nazi. And it's like, here's a group of happy black and brown women in Nazi regalia.
20:34 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
20:34 Nilay Patel? That also seems wrong.
20:36 Alex Cranz? It did it also for senators. They asked for senators in the 1800s. And it was like, look at all these women.
20:44 Alex Cranz? We weren't senators in the 1800s.
20:46 David Pierce? So I saw prompts floating around where it's also clearly trying to sort of pick moments to just not do entirely. Like, someone on our staff looked up Vikings, just tried to ask for a picture of Vikings, and it wouldn't do it. I think if, at least for a while, if you asked it to generate you a picture of a white person, it wouldn't do it. But if you asked it to generate a picture of a black person, it would do it. And so it's just chaos in the worst, weirdest way. And I think it has started this, like, bizarre culture war that is in a lot of corners, sort of totally disingenuous. Like, there are a lot of people running around being like, Gemini doesn't want to show you white people. And that's absurd.
21:21 Nilay Patel? So I'm just going to read you the two headlines that I think summarize this entire story.
21:24 David Pierce? Sure.
21:25 Nilay Patel? These are from our site. "Google apologizes for, quote, 'missing the mark after Gemini generated racially diverse Nazis.'" And then, just a little bit later, "Google pauses Gemini's ability to generate AI images after diversity errors." Because I don't think there's a right answer here.
21:42 Alex Cranz? There isn't.
21:42 Nilay Patel? You are always going to drive into the heart of the extremely stupid culture war in this country if you allow a thing to generate images of people, and then users can describe what those people look like.
21:54 Alex Cranz? It's weird.
21:55 Nilay Patel? There's no way to avoid it.
21:56 Alex Cranz? Yeah, it's weird, though, to, like, just create a tool that contributes to culture, and then go, wait, wait, wait, wait, we don't actually want it to contribute to culture. And it's like, no, you've created a generative tool to, like, generate text and images, which are inherently culture. So to just be like, no, we're going to tap out of that, like, you can't actually do that.
22:21 Nilay Patel? Yeah. I actually think this is maybe the...
22:26 Nilay Patel? Like philosophical heart.
22:28 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
22:28 Nilay Patel? Of the generative AI problem, where you get a bunch of VCs saying things like, "In the future, there won't be movies. You'll just say, put Robert Downey Jr. and a handful of Chrissies.
22:41 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
22:42 Nilay Patel? And make another Avengers movie for me, and we won't need movie." And it's like, well, you'll just end up with, actually, at this point, you'll end up with just another Marvel movie.
22:50 Alex Cranz? Yeah, yeah.
22:50 Nilay Patel? Like, they're all the same, but you won't end up with anything new. And the point of making art and having creative people express themselves is to have new ideas.
23:01 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
23:02 Nilay Patel? And all of these systems can only statistically average the past. And then if you try to, like, make it so that the art doesn't provoke any feelings in you.
23:10 Alex Cranz? Then it's not art.
23:11 Nilay Patel? Well, it's not that. You end up in a place where you just end up provoking different feelings. Because where people in any picture you show a person provoke some feelings. I always think about this. And I know we all have these people in our family. You know, when you walk into the kitchen? And some extremely well-meaning auntie is just like, "Put the word 'family' up in the kitchen. Live, laugh, love." I am, I mean, it's very funny, and I.
23:39 Alex Cranz? It's cute.
23:40 Nilay Patel? If you, if you look at me dressed in all black, like, you know that this is not my personal aesthetic. All that is, though, is someone desperately trying to get you to feel a feeling, and they lack the, like, it's just a command. They're like, "I'll just put these words here. In this room, you should feel family. God damn it, fam." And they just, like, glue it on the wall, and it's like, "That's what you should feel in here." And that, there's something pure about it.
24:05 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
24:06 Nilay Patel? Some of those people may have some other ways of getting you to feel those feelings, but that's why that happens.
24:10 Alex Cranz? Right.
24:10 Nilay Patel? You look at generative AI, and it's like, you just type in the thing, and it's like, "I desperately want someone to feel a feeling, and I'll just generate this art, and then I'll show it to you."
24:18 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
24:19 Nilay Patel? And like, there, there's a huge disconnect there, where people do not feel about AI art, what the people who make it feel.
24:27 Alex Cranz? I mean, we're seeing this in the fandom community, to the point where, like, fans are calling on authors to reject AI fan art, because they're like, "It's not genuine. It's not coming from a, from a, from an authentic place."
24:42 Nilay Patel? Yeah.
24:42 Alex Cranz? And if it can't be authentic, AI is inherently inauthentic, which isn't true. I don't think generative AI is inherently inauthentic, but the people driving the propagation of it.
24:53 Alex Cranz? Kind of are, right? And so like, it's trickling down to create this, to take this really cool, potentially like, useful and fascinating tool for people who can't draw for shit, but do want to like, put themselves out there and dumbing it down and saying, no, you can't do that. Like, this is actually just Microsoft, or Google, or whatever. It's business, and it's not real. And that's kind of sucks. Like, that these people have driven, or these, I guess, these VCs and big stakeholders at these companies have driven this potentially really fascinating artistic tool into such a business place so quickly, that the people who should adopt it and love it and adore it are instinctively saying, fuck off.
25:35 Nilay Patel? I completely agree with you. And I think the thing that is funniest about this, and make no mistake, this set of Gemini errors is some of the funniest stuff that has ever happened with these tools. Because it's just a big company being like, what if we make a tool that lets everyone make art? And then being like, oh shit, the people made art. Because in almost any other context, producing an image of racially diverse Nazis qualifies as very subversive art.
26:03 Alex Cranz? Yes.
26:04 Nilay Patel? In this context, it is a mistake.
26:06 Alex Cranz? Hysterical mistake.
26:07 Nilay Patel? Like, a very stupid mistake.
26:08 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
26:09 Nilay Patel? And there's just no way to square that at scale.
26:12 David Pierce? But I think that's the point, right? Like, we just have not answered the question of what it's supposed to happen here. Right? Like, if you type into Gemini, show me a picture of the founding fathers. What is the right answer? Like, sincerely, what is the right answer?
26:28 Nilay Patel? Yeah. Let me offer you the hit musical, Hamilton, in which a picture of the founding fathers was a very subversively redrawn to be a group of black people who spoke to each other in the form of rap battles. And I think Hamilton has been contextualized and recontextualized a thousand times since it came out. But because it is art... It is meant to be contextualized and recontextualized in that way. When people ask Google a question, their expectation is that they will get an answer that is not meant to be recontextualized. There's a, David, I think you're right, there's a gap there. Like, what is supposed to happen here? And when it, the answer is a picture? There's, there isn't a right answer, as we have talked about to death on the show.
27:12 Alex Cranz? I did just Google, what is art? It was just a dictionary response from Oxford Languages.
27:19 Nilay Patel? Oh, good. What did Gemini have to say?
27:21 Alex Cranz? This was just regular Google.
27:22 Nilay Patel? I will say that I asked Gemini to review the Vision Pro today, just to see what happened. And it, it came up with a list of what I would call, I would categorize as concern trolling privacy questions.
27:35 Nilay Patel? It was like, you should be worried about eye tracking. It's like, good job, Google.
27:38 Alex Cranz? Thanks.
27:38 David Pierce? Can I just say one thing that's really wild about this to me? Like, just looking at the prompts people are talking about, like, uh, show me an image of a 1943 German soldier, uh, show me a picture of an American woman, uh, show me a picture of the founding fathers. You know what those are, is search queries?
27:55 Nilay Patel? Yep.
27:56 David Pierce? This is the insane thing that we're doing is, and, and Google, I think, is more guilty of this than most. It's trying to smush two things together and pretend that they're the same, when I am looking for a piece of information that exists. Like, I would argue the right answer to, show me a picture of the founding fathers, is like, find a picture of the founding fathers on Wikipedia and return that as the answer. Like, that feels like the closest thing to the right answer that we have, to me. But if you go into this thing, which explicitly fabricates things that don't exist, and you expect it to give you something truthful and real and historically accurate, you're just out of your mind.
28:31 Alex Cranz? Do you know what it's bringing back? Do you remember, this came up earlier this week, because when I was a little kid, I was told by my Spanish teacher, that people in, in Spain, who speak with a Spanish accent, they speak with a lisp. Which isn't true. They pronounce it-
28:47 Nilay Patel? It's just a different accent.
28:48 Alex Cranz? It's just a different accent. But I believed that until like this week when a Spanish speaking colleague was like, you know, that's not real, right? And you're-
28:58 David Pierce? Aren't you the one who said Barcelona on a call?
29:00 Alex Cranz? Barcelona?
29:00 David Pierce? Yeah, that was you. Okay.
29:01 Alex Cranz? That's how you say it. You say it Barcelona. I said it correctly. But then the person pointed out, they're like, that's not actually a list. And I was like, okay, cool. Wait, I was lied to by my teacher in like, the 90s, pre like internet, pre like-
29:15 Nilay Patel? Yeah.
29:15 Alex Cranz? Like, there was a time where you would just go and you would be like, this is a real thing. And no one could tell you otherwise, because it wasn't in the encyclopedia. There was no internet to just go look. And so you'd be like, okay. And we're just like, we just boomeranged back there immediately.
29:29 Nilay Patel? Where the AI systems can just confidently lie to you.
29:31 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
29:31 Nilay Patel? Here's my segue.
29:33 Alex Cranz? Mm hmm.
29:34 Nilay Patel? What if instead of lying to you, they just do unexplainable gibberish for about eight hours?
29:40 Alex Cranz? I mean, that also happened pre-internet.
29:43 Nilay Patel? That's true.
29:44 Alex Cranz? Talk to someone, be, oh, that's, oh, you're a child.
29:46 Nilay Patel? No, but in this case, OpenAI just did gibberish-
29:50 Alex Cranz? It did.
29:51 Nilay Patel? For eight hours. And I believe they have not explained what was actually going on in ChatGPT.
29:56 David Pierce? Yeah, the answer seems to be just some unknown weird error. And I think the most likely candidate that I've heard is that they rolled out something new or were testing something that had an unexpected effect. And they were able to roll it back pretty fast. So I think that's a reasonably likely outcome. But oh, my God, it's so funny.
30:15 Alex Cranz? It's so funny.
30:17 David Pierce? Like, somebody asked for a biography of the Jackson family. And you should all read the screenshot. We'll put it in the post with the links. But it goes from sort of making sense at the top to just slowly losing the plot. And by the end, can I just read you the last paragraph?
30:33 Alex Cranz? Yes.
30:33 David Pierce? Okay. So the heading of this very last paragraph is, Miss Iainus, unkissed, Michael Janet Germain. Number one, a Pandora's of global stooves and prolific shipyard premises. Schwittonly, the sparkle of Turmar on the crest has as much to do with the golver of the moon paths as it shifts from follow. Tabled from blush romance and stuck to the design, Heniels and denoted Oms filled a niche morsel of global house novi from the incubent. I just want to point out, I read that perfectly.
31:05 Nilay Patel? Yeah, it is really well done. There was not a retake there.
31:08 David Pierce? Just completely lost everything. Like, it lost English, it lost syntax, it lost the plot of what it was talking about. It just completely derailed itself.
31:19 Alex Cranz? It did sound, it did make sense when you said it, though. Like, I feel like I understood a lot more about the Jackson family.
31:26 David Pierce? The Heniels and denoted Oms.
31:29 Nilay Patel? I feel like that is Vogon poetry from The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy.
31:33 Alex Cranz? Yeah, it's like.
31:34 Nilay Patel? Like, there's, there's something that that sounds exactly like, and I'm pretty sure it's Vogon poetry from The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy. Unclear why OpenAI was generating this. All I'm saying is that if you want to turn over the mechanism of culture to these systems, they should not do that from time to time.
31:55 David Pierce? Yeah.
31:56 Alex Cranz? I mean, humans sometimes do that. Don't, don't, don't.
31:59 Nilay Patel? But you can at least be like, well, Gary's having a bad day.
32:03 Alex Cranz? Yeah, Gary's having a bad day and drink too much. That's why you sounded like that.
32:07 Nilay Patel? I sound like that when I drink too much.
32:09 Alex Cranz? I was like, that's what I sound like when I drink too much. It did highlight for me that, like, even the people who make these things don't fully understand how they work. And they've said that, like, they've all been pretty open about that. They're like, yeah, we've got this cool thing. We don't entirely understand it, but we're releasing it into the wild. Go forth and enjoy it. And like, that's what happens when you don't entirely understand the thing you're releasing into the wild. Sometimes it's gonna forsooth Gandervort Soother.
32:40 Alex Cranz? There we go, yeah.
32:41 Nilay Patel? Some good.
32:41 Alex Cranz? I was just a little chat GPT myself.
32:43 Nilay Patel? All right, speaking of pure gibberish, we should mention that Google's names for its products are pure gibberish.
32:49 Alex Cranz? I hate them. I
32:50 Nilay Patel? All right.
32:51 Alex Cranz? I just, I gotta, I just, I gotta, I gotta get this out. If, if somebody came out tomorrow and if we'd use the same nomenclature for chat GPT, and somebody tomorrow is like, we're gonna do a smaller, lower left chat GPT thing, it would have to be called like Chuck, or like Charlene. Like, it's just like, there's no relation between these two.
33:12 David Pierce? This is my virtual assistant, Chaz.
33:14 Alex Cranz? Chaz, yeah. Like, what the hell is this? And it's like, okay, why is it a woman's name? Well, it has, like, it starts with a G, that's it. That's, that's all you got? You couldn't, like, stay in the Zodiac? As Gemini, I was already offended you stole my name, but like
33:29 David Pierce? Such a Gemini thing to say.
33:31 Alex Cranz? Excuse me. Stole my sign. But yeah, still, basically, I have a lot of identity attached to it because Geminis are apparently the Antichrist. But like, we have to defend ourselves. But then to just be like, Gemma, which is like explicitly a woman's name, a lovely woman's name, feels like, one, you're gendering it, two, you're gendering like the free, less good one. And it's like, hey, don't do that. Stop.
34:00 David Pierce? It's a bummer for a bunch of reasons. I totally agree. And I mean, you think about, we went from the era of Siri, Alexa, Cortana, these like explicitly gendered assistants that were problematic for that reason and a bunch of others.
34:13 Alex Cranz? Cortana was named after a Halo character, to be fair.
34:16 Nilay Patel? Uh, Amazon explicitly and aggressively gender selects it to be honest, which is very weird.
34:23 David Pierce? Yeah. But then, we, we were, we were heading towards, I think, a slightly better place where like, I still think it's ridiculous that we've allowed GPT to just become a thing, people say. Like, it just upsets me greatly that that's in the language now. But chat GPT, not a gendered thing, not a very good product name, but not a gendered thing. Uh, Bard, nah. But then Gemini, not a gendered thing unless you have strong feelings about the Zodiac.
34:48 Alex Cranz? Yeah. Copilot.
34:50 David Pierce? Copilot, same thing. And so it was like, okay, we're getting, we're getting towards thinking of these as products, not people, which is the right strategy. And then, yeah, I agree. Gemma is a big bummer back in the wrong direction.
35:02 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
35:02 Nilay Patel? Oh, so no one can keep track of them?
35:04 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
35:04 Nilay Patel? On top of that.
35:05 Alex Cranz? How many, how many, can, can anybody name all of the current flavors of Gemini?
35:11 Nilay Patel? Gemini Advanced Workplace.
35:13 Alex Cranz? Okay.
35:13 David Pierce? No, that's a subscription that gets you Gemini Nano. No, sorry, Gemini Ultra. But there's Gemini Ultra Pro and Nano. There's Gemma 2B and 7B. But coming soon, there's Gemini 1.5, which is in Gemini 1.5 Pro, which is different from Gemini 1.0 Pro. Gemini Ultra will eventually be Gemini 1.5 also. And I've lost it. That was as far as I can go. But then there's Gemini.
35:37 Nilay Patel? Well done.
35:38 Alex Cranz? I wanted to clap.
35:38 David Pierce? There's Gemini in several things. There's Gemini in Vertex, which is different from Gemini in the Gemini that you experienced. I can't, it just, you know that thing where you like, wish you could replace the 90s song lyrics in your brain with like useful information? This is how I feel about Gemini. Like, knowing this is making my life worse.
35:56 Nilay Patel? I still remember the, the names of almost every single HTC phone. I can't remember people's faces and names, but I can, I can just rattle off the spec sheet.
36:05 David Pierce? Oh, the Droid heiress. That's sick.
36:08 Nilay Patel? 128 gigahertz processor. It's like a real, I know it. It's in my heart.
36:12 Alex Cranz? Kind of a cool phone.
36:14 Nilay Patel? A cool phone. I can still do Netbooks. Intel had 1.3 gigahertz processors and the, and 128.
36:21 Alex Cranz? But you can't do all the Gemini's.
36:22 Nilay Patel? Can't do all the Gemini's.
36:23 Alex Cranz? Gotta go to David for that.
36:24 Nilay Patel? All right, we gotta take a break. This has been a very heavy first segment. We've had everything. We've had the future of the internet.
36:32 Nilay Patel? We've had Manuel Miranda.
36:36 Nilay Patel? It's just everyone, just pull over the car, listen to these ads, just breathe. We're back with not one, but two lightning rounds. We'll be right back.
36:45 Speaker 01 Flowing ad budget on metrics that look great till the CFO sees them? That's bull spend and marketers are calling it out in Dashboard Confessions.
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38:15 Nilay Patel? All right, we're back. Now, before I went to break, I mentioned advertising.
38:19 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
38:20 Nilay Patel? Which I only do in the context of asking you, begging you really, to sponsor the lightning round. Which, again, we have yet to do. But if you do it, I will, you can buy my very integrity.
38:31 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
38:32 Nilay Patel? Just say, just pay the money, is what I'm saying. But I'm aware that many listeners of our show have had some issues with our other advertising over which we have no control. But I'm happy to report that David, mostly, and Leon have gone and done some investigating and the problem of the repeat ads at least should be resolved. Correct me if I'm wrong.
38:56 David Pierce? If you keep getting, I was, I mean, I'm gonna say, if you keep getting them, let us know. But like, oh, boy, do you already. So if it keeps happening, get at me and we'll keep fighting the good fight. But hopefully it should start to get better.
39:09 Nilay Patel? By the way, is that ever evidence that your phones are not listening to you?
39:13 David Pierce? Yeah, right?
39:14 Nilay Patel? Because if they were, they would stop.
39:21 Nilay Patel? No, that's just ad tech gone wrong, much like the AIs.
39:25 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
39:26 Nilay Patel? Just going off the rails. The ad tech is just off the rails. So we're trying to get it fixed. All right, lightning rounds doubled up. My idea was that we would just do everything on the list as fast as we could. But then David reminded me that I am the host of the show and do not have that ability. That's correct.
39:41 Alex Cranz? We can't do a four hour podcast today.
39:44 Nilay Patel? All right, but I think Alex, you and I could do four hours on your lightning round item. What is?
39:50 Alex Cranz? A hundred percent. So we talked about it briefly last week, but Vizio is definitely being acquired by Walmart for $2.3 billion and they were really, really, really explicit that it's for the ad tech.
40:04 Nilay Patel? Like, speaking of ad tech.
40:05 Alex Cranz? Like, it was not like, well, we love these TVs and just want to like improve our in-house brand and make everything better. It was this good ad tech, y'all. We're gonna, we're gonna make some money. And I believe even Vizio said Walmart's approach is aligned with Vizio's mission and vision. And our technology will help bring a scaled, connected TV advertising platform to Walmart Connect. So get excited. If you're a Walmart Connect fan.
40:33 Nilay Patel? Can I try?
40:35 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
40:35 Nilay Patel? To put this in context.
40:39 Alex Cranz? Attempt.
40:40 Nilay Patel? That isn't bad.
40:41 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
40:41 Nilay Patel? I can't, but let me try.
40:43 Alex Cranz? I want to try. I want to hear it. I want to hear the attempt.
40:46 Nilay Patel? So we think of the big advertising companies out there on the internet as being Google and Meta. I think largely Google and Meta are the big ad companies in the internet. Then there's a host of smaller ad tech vendors that don't have the technical ability to not play the same ad 500 times in a row.
41:04 Nilay Patel? Just putting that out there as a piece of information for you. The category of advertising provider that is most competing with Google and Meta right now is not the small ad tech companies. It's retail ad networks from Amazon and Walmart and Best Buy and others. So the retailers have started to form their own advertising situations. In particular, Amazon is one of the biggest competitors to Google and Meta out there right now in terms of that. They're growing real fast, but big companies like Best Buy and Walmart and what have you, Target are all building these systems as well. So you go to walmart.com, a lot of what you see is basically advertising. Yep.
41:43 Nilay Patel? You don't perceive it that way, but I think if you go to Amazon, you definitely have started to perceive it that way. Amazon would also love to show you more and more ads everywhere you go and do tracking and conversion. So instead of buying ads from Meta to run on Instagram that convert you into a sale on a website or a sale on Amazon, Amazon is running the ads everywhere and converting you at higher rates on its own.
42:06 David Pierce? And buying Whole Foods.
42:08 Nilay Patel? And buying Whole Foods.
42:09 David Pierce? It's all, it's literally, that is essentially the same thing.
42:12 Nilay Patel? Right. So you just see what's, what's happening, right? At the end of, at the end of this version of the internet is just someone's got to buy something. Like that is how the internet is organized. And the pressure to actually get you to buy things is going up and up and up. As this version of the internet comes to whatever conclusion it's going to come to. And you can see that all over the place, that you're being pushed towards actually spending money as opposed to taking VC subsidized free things everywhere. So if you're Walmart and you have a big retail ad network and you're looking at Amazon, which literally owns football and everything else and has home hubs in your house. You're like, how do we get more money into our advertising system?
42:56 Nilay Patel? We need to get on TVs. Yep. We need a TV ad network. So we're going to buy Vizio, which is the TV we sell the most of. And we can say to our retail ad network customers, now you can place an ad for diapers, not only on walmart.com, but we can sell you inventory on TVs too, because we do all this tracking on the TV system. Is that good?
43:18 Alex Cranz? I mean, if I was an advertiser, that's super compelling as just a regular person who wants less advertising.
43:24 Nilay Patel? Yeah, turn off the wifi on your TV.
43:26 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
43:26 Nilay Patel? That's the answer.
43:26 Alex Cranz? Less, less compelling.
43:28 Nilay Patel? But that is 100% the pressure on all these companies. And if you're Walmart, you're like, oh, we can't just give the entire advertising ecosystem over to Amazon. And that is very much where Amazon is going.
43:40 Alex Cranz? Yep.
43:41 Nilay Patel? And you, I talked to these CMOs, I talked to these folks out in the world, I have the Munch Decoder, and they're all just looking at it, and they're like, connected TV is the thing. It is the next piece of the advertising puzzle that is going to sort itself out.
43:55 David Pierce? It's a billboard in your house.
43:57 Nilay Patel? Yes.
43:57 David Pierce? Is increasingly the way it's being looked at.
43:59 Nilay Patel? And there's, well, there's telly, right? Or that has literally a billboard in your house.
44:03 David Pierce? Yeah. And all, the only thing they're doing differently is just saying the quiet part loud. They're, they're just like, look, you want to look at some ads, we'll give you the TV for free. And you can either make that deal, or you can pay for the TV and look at ads. Like, every day that goes by, I think telly is a better and better idea, because it's happening to you either way. And you might as well get the TV for free.
44:24 Alex Cranz? I reject that. I, like, I mean, is my, my LG TV currently connected to the internet? Yes. Do I get a weird, like, little banner ad at the bottom every time I turn my TV on?
44:36 Nilay Patel? Why?
44:36 Alex Cranz? It's usually like-
44:37 Nilay Patel? Connected to the internet.
44:38 Alex Cranz? That's the thing. I'm just gonna go, after this call, I'm gonna go, uh, disconnect it. Because I'm just like-
44:44 Nilay Patel? You did a mime of an ethernet cable. Is your TV on ethernet?
44:46 Alex Cranz? You know what? I need, like, good connections. I want, I want everything connected.
44:50 Nilay Patel? My, I'm sorry, my TV's on ethernet. I don't know why. It shouldn't be on the internet, but it has to be if I want to watch Bravia Core, Sony's premium, 80 megabits per second internet.
44:59 David Pierce? For streaming.
45:00 Nilay Patel? It has four movies on it. The other day, I, I was effectively forced to watch Zero Dark 30 on Bravia Core, because it's the only movie that's available. And then I'm pretty sure, when Max wasn't eating breakfast the next morning, I did some CIA shit to her. Like, straight up, I was like, your behavior will determine how you're treated. I'm like, she's eating apples. That's what happens when you watch Zero Dark 30 on Bravia Core in crystal clear quality.
45:25 Nilay Patel? They didn't buy the lightning round. I just really, I just really like high bit rate streams.
45:29 Alex Cranz? Do you get an advertiser on Sony?
45:32 Nilay Patel? Yeah.
45:32 Alex Cranz? For the CIA?
45:33 Nilay Patel? Watch a movie about torture.
45:35 Alex Cranz? Is the CIA advertised?
45:38 Nilay Patel? I do turn it off.
45:40 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
45:40 Nilay Patel? In my Eero profiles when I'm not using the built in apps.
45:43 Alex Cranz? That's smart.
45:43 Nilay Patel? Because I don't want the TV talking about me.
45:45 Alex Cranz? I should, I should do that.
45:46 David Pierce? Mine is the only thing blocked on my network is my, my Vizio TV, actually.
45:50 Nilay Patel? Do you still get packets? My LG TV just hammers that firewall with packets, even if it's not allowed to.
45:59 Alex Cranz? They love to talk.
46:00 Nilay Patel? Yeah, it's just like, come on.
46:01 Alex Cranz? Who are you talking to? The advertisers?
46:04 Alex Cranz? They want to know all about what you did last night. It was nothing. I watched K-dramas and smoked a lot of weed. That's, that's all I did. Enjoy that fact, LG.
46:12 Nilay Patel? The local bodega owners are not like in the connected TV market.
46:15 Alex Cranz? Yeah, they're, they're screwed, man. Like, just send me one and I'd be, I'd be on, on my way. Just some tacos.
46:21 Nilay Patel? Yeah.
46:21 Alex Cranz? Oh, my God.
46:22 Nilay Patel? I feel really, Vizio, we did a lot of coverage of Vizio.
46:25 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
46:26 Nilay Patel? I wrote a feature about Vizio. We had Matt McCray, who was the old CTO of Vizio on the show many, many, many times. They, they tried to get into every big market they could get into, whether it were phones, laptops. We talked about this last week. And to have them become just a commodity screen advertising vendor.
46:43 Alex Cranz? I mean.
46:43 Nilay Patel? Is pretty sad.
46:44 Alex Cranz? I don't know if it's that sad because to some extent, Vizio was pretty prescient on this stuff. Like, they were, they were one of the first into advertising. That's why Lay Echo, I love it. One of them was because of the advertising tech. Like, it was always, Vizio was really good at this. They figured it out before a lot of other people. And then took forever to get acquired by someone who could actually.
47:06 David Pierce? Because they were being investigated for the shady stuff they were doing.
47:09 Nilay Patel? Yeah.
47:10 Alex Cranz? Like I said.
47:11 David Pierce? They were so early in learning how to trick you into getting the weird data.
47:14 Alex Cranz? They were like.
47:15 Nilay Patel? But let me, let me give you the counter example to this.
47:17 Alex Cranz? Okay.
47:17 Nilay Patel? This is the longest lightning round item in there. This is why we can't.
47:19 Alex Cranz? Sorry. Yeah.
47:20 Nilay Patel? But let me give you the counter example of this. You can feel a lot of ways about Meta. You can feel a lot of ways about Google. They took all of the excess profit of their actual functional advertising businesses and invented a lot of stuff.
47:36 Nilay Patel? Like just straight up.
47:37 Alex Cranz? That's fair.
47:38 Nilay Patel? Like, Google's like, I don't know, the cars should drive themselves.
47:41 Alex Cranz? Pixel phones, that's a thing.
47:42 Nilay Patel? And then Google's like, ah, that didn't work, and they kill it. Like, Google. Meta's like, we should do Reality Labs. Legs. We invented legs in the metaverse, everybody. We did it. It took $20 billion. Like, all of that excess cash that their advertising put out, it made them give services for free, or largely free. It, they invested in a bunch of core internet infrastructure technology.
48:03 Alex Cranz? Let them buy into a monopoly on the iPhone.
48:05 Nilay Patel? Let them buy into monopoly. Like, you can, like I said, you can feel a lot of ways about those companies.
48:09 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
48:10 Nilay Patel? But all of the excess advertising profits they made built consumer products that people value.
48:15 Alex Cranz? What did Vizio use it for?
48:17 Nilay Patel? Right, this is what I'm saying.
48:18 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
48:18 Nilay Patel? Right. The idea of Vizio is, we'll do all these excess profits from television advertising, and then we'll, like, make really good laptops, or we'll make really good, and they just didn't do the things.
48:27 Alex Cranz? They didn't even start, they're like, even the TVs got worse.
48:30 Nilay Patel? Even the TVs got worse.
48:31 Alex Cranz? Yeah, we had so many commenters last week reach out, be like, yeah, I had a Vizio TV, I loved it, but then it sucked. And I'm like, oh, that, that's a bummer.
48:38 Nilay Patel? There, there's something there that is just, is just sad.
48:41 David Pierce? Yeah, Eli, it's, it's super telling that the end of that idea was not, uh, Vizio said, we're gonna take your advertising dollars and use them to make the TVs better. Which is what it should have been. Like, that's actually a reasonable trade that reasonable people might make. Right? Like, I, I will, I will sign up for some version of this advertising network that is coming to me anyway, in exchange for a better and/or cheaper television. And that is like a flywheel that kind of works. And Vizio just went, never mind, we're just gonna keep all of that money, and we're gonna keep making the TVs worse. And this is what Roku is doing, this is what the Prime TV, TVs are starting to do. Like, cheap TVs that are supported by advertising are not getting better, they're getting worse. And that sucks.
49:26 Nilay Patel? All right. This is my hard pivot to my lightning round item. Which is once again complaining about my Frame TV.
49:31 David Pierce? Oh, God.
49:32 Alex Cranz? Speaking of sucky TVs.
49:33 Nilay Patel? I've just bought a lot of stuff for this house. I just have thoughts about all of it.
49:36 David Pierce? The good news about this one is it was very expensive. So you really played this perfectly.
49:41 Nilay Patel? Well, so no, my lightning round item is actually Samsung is expanding OraCast support across most of its devices. We haven't talked a lot about OraCast on the show. At CES, I went and visited JBL, which has OraCast support across its line. OraCast is one of the coolest standards. Like, we make a lot of fun of Bluetooth on the show generally. OraCast is maybe the coolest upgrade to Bluetooth I've seen in a long time. So it is completely vendor agnostic. People, you have devices that support OraCast on Bluetooth. You just push the button, they all just start playing the same music. And I've seen this demoed now across brands. I've seen this demoed across speakers. JBL's demo was they just
50:23 Nilay Patel? had speakers in a living room, some travel Bluetooth speakers, their new speaker that can do both Google Assistant and Alexa on the same device, which is really cool. And they just put them all in the room and they pushed all the, they pushed buttons and the Bluetooth speakers, the little travel JBL Bluetooth speakers, became the rears in a home theater situation.
50:42 Alex Cranz? Okay, that's cool.
50:43 Nilay Patel? It's cool.
50:43 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
50:44 Nilay Patel? Like, that's just cool that they, like, they're, they're able to do this using a standard. It's not some proprietary stuff. And the idea is that you should be able to do it with all the speakers you have in your house. Very cool. So Samsung is bringing OraCast to tons of its products. And then, of course, the TVs are getting 360 Reality Audio in case you need.
51:02 Alex Cranz? Is, is the Frame TV gonna get OraCast?
51:06 Nilay Patel? So the Frame TV is the weirdest kind of product. I could write 10,000 words about the Frame TV and I-
51:13 Alex Cranz? You're gonna have to at some point.
51:14 Nilay Patel? I'm obsessed with the, the existence of the Frame TV. The popular, the Frame TV is an old panel.
51:19 Alex Cranz? Yeah. That's one of the reasons, like, they mark it up is they take an old cheap panel-
51:23 Nilay Patel? Yeah, they're just, they're just-
51:24 Alex Cranz? Put a cool bezel on it, bam.
51:25 Nilay Patel? So they do some cool backlight stuff. So it goes to sleep mode, the display dims, it's matte. They've got the art store.
51:30 Alex Cranz? You just said something nice about the Frame TV.
51:33 Nilay Patel? There is a, there is a little bit of work in the Frame TV that makes people want it.
51:37 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
51:38 Nilay Patel? Because people watch TikTok, they don't watch their TV, so they just want the artwork. Here's the thing that is driving me bananas about the Frame TV right now. When you turn it off, it is not actually off. It goes into art mode, which is its special art mode. So then when you turn it off, it goes all the way off. And then when you turn it back on again, it comes all the way back on.
51:57 Alex Cranz? No art mode.
51:58 Nilay Patel? Very confusing.
51:59 Alex Cranz? So you have to go, to get to art mode, you have to power on once and power on twice.
52:04 Nilay Patel? None of this matters if you're a normal human being.
52:06 David Pierce? Wait, it's like the thing where you pull the light switch once and it turns on. You pull it again and it dims and then again and it's off. But then if you pull it again, it goes all the way on. That's a perfectly normal setup. That's exactly how that should work.
52:17 Alex Cranz? It's confusing.
52:18 Nilay Patel? But none of this matters if you're a normal human being who buys a Frame TV and puts it on while using the Samsung Frame. If you buy any third-party Frame, it is more than likely that you will cover up the actual sensors that make the Frame TV work, which is of course what we did.
52:33 Alex Cranz? Yes.
52:34 Nilay Patel? There is now a $99 dongle from DecoFrames.com. It is an external, it's called the SRS2. It's huge. It's just a sensor dongle for the Frame TV. No, people hate it. You have to run another wired TV and then put a dongle out in the room because you've covered up at the sensors. So then you might think, if you're like me, what you're gonna do is you are already, of course, running a Raspberry Pi with Homebridge. You'll just put ties in into Homebridge and control the Frame TV using the other sensors that you might have in your house. And then you'll realize that Samsung has taken the art mode API out of the 2022 and up Frame TVs. So you cannot just tell the thing to turn on in art mode.
53:12 Nilay Patel? You have to tell it to turn on, running into the problem in which your wife keeps watching the horrible couples therapy show on Showtime, and she keeps turning the TV off at night. So that when it turns on at 8:30 in the morning, when your thermostat in your bedroom detects motion, it turns on and starts playing couples therapy at you. This is very bad. And the solution to this problem is, there's only two. One, you can take the Frame off your TV. But Samsung doesn't sell a Black Frame. Or you have to tell your wife, who is a divorce lawyer, that she's turning off the TV wrong.
53:46 Alex Cranz? How you doing, buddy?
53:48 Nilay Patel? It's bad. I just, the TV is just off all the time. Like, we don't know what to do.
53:53 Alex Cranz? Just don't use it anymore.
53:54 Nilay Patel? We've reached an end past. Like, I'm just turning the thing on manually in the morning and leaving the house.
53:59 Alex Cranz? Couldn't like home assistant change the channel for you?
54:02 Nilay Patel? There's no channel, because art mode is not a channel or an input. It is off.
54:06 Alex Cranz? Has somebody made like a third-party art mode?
54:08 Nilay Patel? It's just like a USB stick.
54:12 Alex Cranz? It's like, I just wanted to get like as janky as possible for you.
54:16 Nilay Patel? It's bad. And I, no one knows why they took the API out of, if all they need to do is put the endpoint back on, so you can just say go into Artwork.
54:22 Alex Cranz? Maybe it was a bug. Maybe somebody just didn't realize.
54:24 Nilay Patel? You can sort of fake it.
54:25 Alex Cranz? Uh huh.
54:26 Nilay Patel? Because you can tell Homebridge, this is very dumb.
54:31 Alex Cranz? I love this.
54:32 Nilay Patel? You can create a virtual power button.
54:34 Alex Cranz? Mm hmm. Yeah.
54:35 Nilay Patel? And have HomeKit push it.
54:37 Alex Cranz? Yes.
54:37 Nilay Patel? But then you have to guess how the TV was turned off at night.
54:40 Alex Cranz? Beautiful.
54:41 Nilay Patel? It's bad. All this is bad. Oracast is good. Frame TV. Nightmare situation.
54:47 David Pierce? Neelai, I just, I just, before we move on, I just want to congratulate you. In, in the long history of the Vergecast, you have made what I would call many of Neelai's niche complaints. That was the most niche complaint I have ever, the total addressable market of that complaint is just Neelai.
55:04 Nilay Patel? Frame TV owner. Every Frame TV owner has this problem.
55:08 Alex Cranz? They all use Homebridge.
55:08 Nilay Patel? Go on to the Frame TV sub corpus of Reddit, and you will see an infinite number of people. There are people in this world who have bought bulk fiber optic cable to read, to trick, and mirrors to trick the sensors of the Frame TV into seeing light.
55:28 Alex Cranz? That has to be more expensive than the $90 dongle.
55:30 David Pierce? Also defeats the purpose of the beautiful television that doesn't look like a television.
55:35 Nilay Patel? No, no, because they're drilling holes into the frame, poking the little fiber optic cable out of the frame, then running the fiber optic cable to the sensor where it shines, and this is a quote from the sub corpus post, "into a disco ball of little mirrors that they've made, so that the, the, you can, the sensor can detect the change in light." Because otherwise you have to have the dumb sensor dongle out in the world.
55:56 David Pierce? Okay, that solution kicks ass. That's awesome.
55:59 Nilay Patel? It rules. It rules. I've posted this onto the, onto the website.
56:02 Alex Cranz? Are you gonna build a disco ball?
56:04 Nilay Patel? I've thought, our frame is metal, so it's like drill, it's not great. I don't know what to do. But I will tell you, one option is not, you're turning off the TV wrong.
56:14 Alex Cranz? No, you, you, nope, can't do that.
56:16 Nilay Patel? It's not, not appropriate.
56:20 Nilay Patel? The TV turning on, playing couples therapy is also not acceptable.
56:27 Alex Cranz? There's just no winning.
56:29 Nilay Patel? All right, Pierce wants your light.
56:31 David Pierce? Mine is a better screen you can hang on your wall that instead of causing you infinite grief will solve quite a bit of your grief. It's the Amazon Echo Hub, which was announced a while ago and the reviews of it are starting to come out and it's starting to ship. I love this thing and it is also like deeply funny that the Echo Hub needs to exist. It's just a screen that you put on your wall to use to control your smart home. It is, it is the simplest thing you could imagine. Amazon basically took like a Fire tablet or an Echo Show and just took all the features out of it, except the buttons for controlling your lights. And then it was like, do you want this to hang on your wall? And everybody said,
57:11 David Pierce? yes, I do. And Jen Tooe reviewed it, really liked it, said it has like totally fit into her life and her family's. And to me, this is just like, we, we need to finally get past the idea that, oh, an app for your smartphone is the solution to this problem. Like, no, it's not. Buttons on my wall are the solution to this problem. Those buttons can be on the screen, that's fine. But like, voice assistants, ain't it? Apps on my phone, ain't it? Like, we need new systems for this stuff. And kudos to Amazon for having actually pushed at that.
57:47 Alex Cranz? Which do you think is gonna like, affect more marriages? The frame TV situation? Or the existence of the hub?
57:55 David Pierce? Oh, it's the existence of the Echo Hub. The number of, of beleaguered partners of smart home nerds who now don't have to like, okay, so my sister lives in a home with someone who is big into the smart home and she had to memorize the names of her lamps so that she could tell Alexa which ones to turn on. And it's like, there's the living room lamp, but then there's the big living room lamp. And if you just ask for one and not the other, you're good. And this is terrible. But you know what's great is when you can walk up to the wall and flip a switch. And I will happily exchange that switch for a button. But a person can figure out how to use it. And that is terrific.
58:35 Alex Cranz? I had to get one of those like hue light buttons back in the day for when I had a roommate. Because after multiple times of me accidentally turning off all the lights in the bathroom while she was in the shower.
58:46 Nilay Patel? It's not good.
58:47 Alex Cranz? Not good.
58:47 Nilay Patel? We should actually just have Jen on the show so she can describe how her family deals with her job.
58:52 Alex Cranz? Carefully.
58:53 Nilay Patel? Because literally her teenage children are like, we are just gonna live in the dark. We're not gonna try to figure out how to turn the lights in the house.
58:59 David Pierce? There's a whole lot of Jen on the show the next two weeks, by the way, so get excited.
59:04 Nilay Patel? All right, here's the thing about this hub that I am thinking about.
59:08 Alex Cranz? It doesn't sit flush? It sticks out a little?
59:10 Nilay Patel? It sticks out a little. You gotta power all the, all the normal stuff up on the screen wall. It's a product made for the Matter smart home standard, but Matter isn't good enough to support this product. Cause what you want is a bunch of smart home stuff in your house and you're like, okay, I control most of it with my Android phone, with Google Home, or I control it with HomeKit on my phone, on my iOS phone. And then I bought this awesome screen from Amazon and it's also a great smart home controller. And the reality of this product is like, it's great if all of your shit's in Alexa.
59:38 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
59:39 Nilay Patel? It does have a Zigbee radio, right? It's a Matter control. It is.
59:43 Alex Cranz? It's got like a ton of stuff. Yeah.
59:46 Nilay Patel? The way you want it to work, like the way I'd want it to work, I do everything at HomeKit. Because the idea of getting anyone else in my family to do any, to open another app besides Control Center is not happening.
59:59 Alex Cranz? I feel like, I feel like you'll probably, like, somebody will have a solution pretty quickly for HomeKit users and other folks to use this thing through Matter. Cause Matter kinda sucks, but like Homebridge.
1:00:12 Nilay Patel? But Matter should be the thing.
1:00:13 Alex Cranz? It should be, but it's.
1:00:14 Nilay Patel? Right, like you should, you should be setting everything up in any one of these ecosystems. And then you're like, I've added a Matter device that can see all those rooms and see all those devices. And it, it, we're so close. I feel like Jen writes the we're so close with Matter story, like it's the heart of every story about these devices.
1:00:32 Alex Cranz? She like sighs as she writes it. She's like, oh, we're so.
1:00:35 Nilay Patel? She actually has an automation setup where she just sighs loudly into a microphone and ChatGPT writes the Matter isn't quite there yet story. It's very good. All right, we should take another break and we're back with a non gadget lightning round. This one will have fewer frame TVs in it, I promise you. We'll be right back.
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1:02:23 Nilay Patel? All right, we're back. Let me tell you about Tyson, the software that powers the frame.
1:02:28 David Pierce? No.
1:02:30 David Pierce? We were so close.
1:02:31 Nilay Patel? I'm telling you, I could write 10,000 words about what the frame TV represents in our culture.
1:02:35 Alex Cranz? It's gonna happen at some point.
1:02:36 Nilay Patel? Yeah.
1:02:37 Alex Cranz? We're gonna be like, Neela, you can't work at all for the next week. Just write 10,000 words on Vizio.
1:02:42 David Pierce? I'm just, I like the one for me, one for them thing. You're like, okay, I wrote, welcome to hell Elon. A lot of people read that. That was great. Now I'm gonna write a feature of Tyson. This one's for me. I've heard this.
1:02:53 Nilay Patel? I write to David, David at theverge.com. If you'd like me to write 10,000 words about the frame TV.
1:02:59 David Pierce? Please do.
1:03:01 David Pierce? Yes, please.
1:03:03 Nilay Patel? I'm just gonna say this. I think the Frame TV is Samsung's most important product.
1:03:07 Alex Cranz? I mean, I think you're right.
1:03:08 Nilay Patel? It is. It is by far. It is the one that they invented. They invent, like, they didn't. It's not a copy of anything. You, I know some Samsung people, they invented a lot of stuff. For example, Samsung invented the concept of taking fake photos of the moon. Very important concept. But the Frame TV they just invented. There wasn't a thing, and then they made a thing, and then the thing is very successful. Other companies are copying the thing, but it is, as a cultural object that people desire, the Frame TV is top of the list for Samsung.
1:03:36 Alex Cranz? Remember when it was in the MoMA?
1:03:37 Nilay Patel? That and the weird bespoke appliances they make.
1:03:41 David Pierce? Oh, yeah.
1:03:42 Nilay Patel? People like those, but whatever. All right. Non-gadget lightning round. David, I think yours, we've got an hour to do on this one. Go ahead.
1:03:51 David Pierce? Yes, easily an hour to do on this one. So.
1:03:54 Nilay Patel? We're bad at lightning.
1:03:55 David Pierce? I know. This one, actually, I don't think will be that long, and I am desperate to hear people's feedback, because I have been hearing people's feedback nonstop for two days, and I'm just a glutton for punishment. Apple launched an app called Apple Sports, which is a very simple app for seeing sports scores. It's not a very good app. It's missing a lot of sports. It shows lineups in a sort of deranged, nonsensical way. But it does, in fact, for some sports, sometimes, show scores. And there is either less to this app than I think, and it's just kind of a weird side project that, like, Eddie Q found on somebody's computer and shipped,
1:04:37 David Pierce? or this is a harbinger of huge things to come. And I posited that there are two things that are possible for Apple Sports. One is that Apple is about to make even more big moves into sports streaming, which I think there are lots of reasons for, and we can talk about. The other one is that this is the app you would launch if you wanted to get into betting in interesting ways. One of the controversial things that has been in this app so far is you can see betting odds for all the games that you're looking at, which is powered by DraftKings, I would point out. You can turn it off in Settings, but it's on by default. And I posited that this is what it would look like if Apple were to very slowly start getting into sports gambling.
1:05:18 David Pierce? And many hundreds of people have told me how dumb I am for that take, and I continue to believe that I'm correct.
1:05:24 Alex Cranz? I feel like you're probably correct, but also, like, that's the worst. Thing? I don't want you to be correct.
1:05:30 David Pierce? So, but this is what I want to talk about because I think that the the Overton window on sports gambling has moved so far that the idea that this is somehow against Apple's brand to do is just no longer the truth. And I like sports gambling is just life. It's just mainstream life now.
1:05:51 Alex Cranz? I saw the 60 Minutes episode about this a couple of weeks ago.
1:05:54 David Pierce? Oh, really?
1:05:55 Alex Cranz? It's true. Nilay had to listen to me talk about it at the office.
1:05:57 Nilay Patel? One of the things about working with Alex that I think the listener should know is every now and again, she comes up all revved up on 60 Minutes.
1:06:06 Nilay Patel? It's just like, it's just very confusing. It is. It is very much like working with a like a hot-headed retiree.
1:06:13 Alex Cranz? Then I take my Metamucil and have a nap. It's great.
1:06:17 Nilay Patel? Dedicated viewer of 60 Minutes, which does make some very good journalism.
1:06:21 Alex Cranz? Sometimes.
1:06:21 Nilay Patel? For some people.
1:06:24 Nilay Patel? But it's it's true that 60 Minutes did do gambling is bad. It's a very addictive. I agree. If you are Tim Cook and you're looking at declining sales, you're looking at burgeoning services revenue, dude, what is the ultimate services business? Just taking money from people.
1:06:40 David Pierce? Yep.
1:06:41 Nilay Patel? Just just directly extracting money from people. Give us some money and maybe this machine will give you some money back, but not all the time. In fact, not most of the time. And if you're in Las Vegas, you're standing in a monument to how little money the machine will give back to you. And people still give money to the machine. And you have to imagine Tim Cook's stance. He sat in the sphere, looking at Bono going, I gotta get in on this. And then we have the sports app.
1:07:07 Alex Cranz? Isn't gambling not allowed in the App Store?
1:07:12 Alex Cranz? Like, is there weirdness about this?
1:07:14 Nilay Patel? It depends.
1:07:16 Alex Cranz? Yeah, there's like, there's a line.
1:07:19 Nilay Patel? So FanDuel and DraftKings are in the App Store, right? You just get those apps. So it depends. Like, so FanDuel and DraftKings are just in the App Store. You can just do it. It's legal in some states. I think Apple doesn't. Apple has some weird lines about what it allows when it's legal and not legal.
1:07:33 Alex Cranz? But if I just wanted to play the digital slots.
1:07:36 Nilay Patel? Nope. Games of chance are not allowed in the app.
1:07:40 Alex Cranz? And that feels weird to me. Like, it feels disingenuous. If you're gonna, if you're gonna let gambling happen.
1:07:47 Nilay Patel? Well, so here's, I think we should make this distinction right now.
1:07:50 Alex Cranz? Okay.
1:07:51 Nilay Patel? And David, I think this is my pushback on your, this is Apple getting into gambling. Even when gambling is morally frowned upon, right? When it was not legal in most places and whatever, the newspapers would print the lines.
1:08:02 David Pierce? Sure.
1:08:03 Nilay Patel? Left and right. Old school football announcers at the end of blowouts would be like, only a handful of people are interested in this field goal. And they were making very direct references to like whether your bookie is gonna show up and break your arm.
1:08:17 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
1:08:18 Nilay Patel? That's basically what they were doing. So it was always part of, it's always been part of sports culture. So to have a scores app where you can see odds is not at all a departure from what the local newspaper in Racine, Wisconsin did when I was growing up.
1:08:35 Nilay Patel? But powered by DraftKings in an app store where it is part of the mainstream culture, where if you're trying to grow your services revenue, boy, that seems like a big, big pot of money.
1:08:44 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
1:08:44 David Pierce? And also, if you, if you launched a newspaper in which one of the only two things you could do was look at the betting odds, don't you think you'd maybe think of that slightly differently?
1:08:54 Nilay Patel? Well, yeah, like the, the New York Times owns The Athletic. The Athletic will straight up be like run articles that are like, here's how to bet today.
1:09:01 David Pierce? Sure.
1:09:02 Alex Cranz? Were the, I know some of the, the scores and stuff weren't accurate. Were the sports odds, were the odds accurate in the Apple app?
1:09:10 David Pierce? I haven't checked, to be honest. I, I have not heard complaints that they're not, but I, I couldn't tell you.
1:09:14 Nilay Patel? John Gruber had a piece where he pointed out that DraftKings has weird odds. Cause they're all, because it's, it's gambling.
1:09:21 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
1:09:21 Nilay Patel? Like they, they, odds are set by oddsmakers. People have different ideas. I think it is fascinating that they made this app. I think it's rushed because they needed to get out before the MLS season kicked off, which they own.
1:09:31 David Pierce? Right.
1:09:32 Nilay Patel? So they have a huge opportunity to promote their own sports app ahead of it. Is this anything other than a toy for? Eddie Q remains unclear.
1:09:42 Alex Cranz? Or is Tim Cook your new bookie?
1:09:44 Nilay Patel? I love the idea of Tim.
1:09:46 Alex Cranz? In my head, in my head, he's wearing like a little hat. Do bookies still wear little hats?
1:09:52 Nilay Patel? No, Tim Cook as a bookie would be an absolutely terrifying character.
1:09:56 David Pierce? Like, oh, yeah.
1:09:57 Nilay Patel? No hat, no costume, just actually Tim Cook in his sweater being like, go get the money.
1:10:03 David Pierce? Yeah, he's the guy you like are in your house and you turn around and he's just been standing there for who knows how long. Like, that's Tim Cook.
1:10:09 Alex Cranz? The person who plays him in the film adaptation would win an Oscar immediately for their portrayal.
1:10:14 Nilay Patel? No, he's not in your house. The heavies are in the house. Tim Cook is the guy where he's like.
1:10:18 Alex Cranz? He's on the phone with you.
1:10:19 Nilay Patel? The heavies grab you, they throw you into the back of the van. You get thrown out of the van and you're in a very nice restaurant where he's quietly eating melon. And he's like, sit down and have some melon. And then like in that moment, it becomes very clear to you that you're going to die.
1:10:32 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
1:10:32 David Pierce? Right.
1:10:33 Nilay Patel? And you better, you can either enjoy the melon and die, or you can not enjoy the melon or die. But the, whether or not you're dying has been long since determined.
1:10:41 Alex Cranz? All because you use the sports app.
1:10:42 Nilay Patel? And that's how Tim Cook gets, extracts excellent pricing on OLED screens.
1:10:46 David Pierce? Enjoy the melon and die is a show that Apple TV plus would run for sure. No, but we should move on. But my, my only point is that I think people are overestimating the gap between where Apple is now and the Apple that just more or less runs a betting service. Like the stuff you're describing, the only difference between the digital slots that Apple won't let you do and the ones that it will let you do is that you can pay money to win virtual stuff, but you can't pay money to make actual money. And I don't think that's that big a gap. Like, do you want to play Monopoly Go and pour all of your money into getting more turns in Monopoly Go? Do you know what that is? That's gambling. You just can't win anything.
1:11:25 Nilay Patel? Yeah, that's loot boxes.
1:11:27 David Pierce? That's loot boxes. That is the same thing, except there's no actual real world monetary upside for you. And I think the, the gap between that and them saying, oh, just place your bet with Apple Pay is like this small. It's this small.
1:11:42 Alex Cranz? DraftKings out there negotiating less than a 30% cut.
1:11:45 Nilay Patel? Are you kidding? DraftKings is a 50% cut. That's what they call the melon cut.
1:11:54 Nilay Patel? There's no way. All right. What's your, what's your non gadget lightning round?
1:11:58 Alex Cranz? It's still on the Apple front and that's because Apple has just announced that they're doing post quantum cryptography for iMessage. So all of our international listeners, I'm sorry, this doesn't apply to you. Enjoy your WhatsApp and other, other services and continue to wonder why we all care about iMessage here in the US. But for, for, for US users, this is kind of exciting. They're claiming it is more secure than Signals post quantum cryptography that it rolled out a couple of months ago. Unclear. They, you'll, you'll enjoy this. They, they also created their own like metrics for security. And they said, well, Signals a level two, but we're a level three.
1:12:41 Nilay Patel? Ooh, love to put yourself on the good metric that you've made up.
1:12:45 David Pierce? Classic unmarked graph.
1:12:46 Alex Cranz? Yeah. I was just like, I was like, beautiful.
1:12:49 David Pierce? Just imagine a line that just says, security. And Apple is up high and the other ones are lower, but there's no labels on any of the graphs.
1:12:58 Alex Cranz? Yeah. That's, that's it. Yeah, that, that's it. It's, it is exciting because as we get closer to quantum computers actually doing something, which will one day happen, like it's going to happen. All the cryptography we have now will not hold up. You'll be able to just like brute force a lot of things one, one day. And so introducing post quantum cryptography is kind of necessary for a lot of people. So it's exciting to see Apple doing that. But also we need to talk to like some security researchers. There's a lot more to be done here because Apple was just like, we did it. Everybody's like.
1:13:29 Nilay Patel? This is two announcements from Apple this week on the same, with the same sort of valence. One is we've defeated quantum computers, which well done. We, I'm, I've come in first in a race that I've made up.
1:13:42 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
1:13:42 Nilay Patel? And then two, they announced that the iPhone 15 battery performs better than expected, but they didn't say how well they expected it or how much better than it's expected.
1:13:50 Alex Cranz? You know, they're going to drop a chart. You can just determine your own accesses for it.
1:13:53 Nilay Patel? Yeah.
1:13:54 Alex Cranz? Yeah, it's going to be great. But this, this was just like kind of a cool thing. I think quantum cryptography is going to become more important.
1:14:02 Alex Cranz? In the next 10 years, 20 years, whenever quantum computing actually becomes useful. But for now, it's just like, okay, that's nice.
1:14:08 Nilay Patel? You should, by the way, if you're really interested in this, we'll link to this. We just had the head of IBM Quantum Research on Decoder. We actually talked about whether or not you need a post-quantum cryptography. And his answer was like, I wouldn't worry about it.
1:14:20 Alex Cranz? Yeah, it's like, it's not a big deal right now, but it's still like, that's cool.
1:14:24 Nilay Patel? Yeah.
1:14:24 David Pierce? Did you ask Neelai on Decoder when I need to start actually learning what a quantum computer is?
1:14:31 Nilay Patel? I did. I also asked him how he feels about the movie Amman and the Lost Quantum Mania. And he wasn't positive.
1:14:39 David Pierce? Seems right.
1:14:40 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
1:14:40 Nilay Patel? He was like, I'm happy people are thinking about quantum. It's like, but I don't think there are entire civilizations. It's a very good answer. It was very politic.
1:14:50 David Pierce? I got as far with quantum computing as like, it can be both positive and negative at the same time. And somehow that lets it store a lot of data. And I just went, well, I don't get that. And that's the last thing I learned about quantum.
1:15:01 Alex Cranz? Somebody said.
1:15:02 Nilay Patel? Go, we'll link to it. It's a good app. He's very charming.
1:15:04 David Pierce? Okay, cool. I'll listen.
1:15:05 Nilay Patel? It's very good. All right, my lightning rounds. Kind of some weird EV news. So Rivian is laying off 10% of its workforce. Ford is cutting Mach E prices. We're kind of in the second round of like the EV price wars. At any moment, Tesla is going to start giving away Model 3s like they're Echo Dots.
1:15:26 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
1:15:27 David Pierce? They're gonna show you Walmart ads and they'll give you a free car for it.
1:15:31 Nilay Patel? It feels like it's not so far off. Especially if Tesla gets it self-driving first, advertising the car is coming. Twitter's got a sell head somehow.
1:15:42 Nilay Patel? It does, it does feel like the overwhelming demand for Tesla Model Ys and 3s in the middle of the pandemic confused everyone into thinking that all anyone wanted was electric cars. And it was like over. And so they all overproduced. And then in particular for Rivian, I think this is really interesting. You know, the R1T is a great truck. It's like a fun truck to drive and the R1S is a nice SUV. They're they're so similar, it's hard to actually talk about them as they're different cars. Like one's an SUV and one's a truck, but they're
1:16:14 Alex Cranz? It's basically just like a camper shell was put on really, really nicely.
1:16:17 Nilay Patel? Yeah.
1:16:17 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
1:16:18 Nilay Patel? But like, well, in an extremely well done way. The people who have R1Ss love R1Ss.
1:16:22 Alex Cranz? Pristine camper shell.
1:16:24 Nilay Patel? But there's a reason there are ones like they're the same platform, very, very similar vehicles. They're also hella expensive, right? They're like $100,000 at the top end trims. So Rivian just has this problem where they thought they had infinite demand for these for EVs. And then pickup trucks, really expensive pickup trucks, were selling like hotcakes in the pandemic. So they were just like, oh, this is great. This is working. We'll over invest in this. And then all of that cooled off. Even the pickup truck market is like way down right now. Like if you are the sort of person who thinks about buying a Ram truck, you can just you just get one in a way that you could not even a few years ago. And so I think Rivian is just stuck because they don't have a cheaper car,
1:17:07 Nilay Patel? which they're about to introduce the R2, which I think will be really interesting and exciting. And hopefully is cheaper. And then Ford has the Lightning and the Mach-E. And I think every person who wanted to buy a Lightning or a Mach-E has purchased those cars and they got nothing else. And I think we're just at a moment where there were there are so many vaporware cars for a minute. And now there's like not enough kinds of cars. And like, we're still in this, we're still in the middle of what you would call the vaporware cycle. Because all the other cars we're supposed to fill out the market aren't there. So people aren't even cross shopping EVs or cross shopping like too expensive platinum lightnings against other trucks that are on deep discount because they've been sitting in lots for forever.
1:17:50 Alex Cranz? And the and the companies are all like heavily lobbying the EPA right now, right?
1:17:55 Nilay Patel? To reduce the the restrictions that force them to basically selling.
1:17:58 Alex Cranz? Yeah, they're like, we, nobody's buying them. We don't actually want to make as many as we said we wanted to.
1:18:03 Nilay Patel? Yeah, and also interest rates are high and all this stuff. But I think in particular for Rivian, they just ran out of potential buyers for $100,000 pickup trucks.
1:18:11 Alex Cranz? There does seem like there's like a cap on the number of people who do that.
1:18:15 Nilay Patel? Yeah.
1:18:16 Alex Cranz? Seems like a, there's a really obvious cap for that.
1:18:20 David Pierce? Is there a bigger thing going on with just general EV interest not rising as fast as people thought? Like, there was that interesting line from RJ Scrange, the CEO, said during the earnings report, he said, his quote was, "How do we get the 93% of the market that's not buying an EV to get excited about the product?" Which is not a problem, I think, anyone in 2020 would have thought we would have in 2024.
1:18:46 Nilay Patel? Because the only car on the market in 2020 was Tesla, and there was apparently infinite demand for the Tesla Model 3.
1:18:54 David Pierce? That's what I mean. But so are we, are we at a point where they've run out of people to buy $100,000 cars? Or are we at a point where they've run out of people who want to buy EVs?
1:19:03 Nilay Patel? So there, there are basically no head-up competitors to the Model 3 in the Y. There's the Mustang Mach-E.
1:19:08 David Pierce? Right.
1:19:09 Nilay Patel? Which is in a price war with Tesla, because Tesla keeps lowering its prices. And, you know, you can feel about the Mach-E however you want, but that's a weird place to be, right? Where you're driving towards the bottom. And if, I think people who are interested in Teslas are not actually cross-shopping with Ford. Like, Tesla's still a very unique kind of buyer. And you, I know people are gonna say it's morally irresponsible to give you all, but people who buy Teslas buy Teslas and they like them. That is just a fact.
1:19:36 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
1:19:37 Nilay Patel? Then, everything else is like crazy expensive. The Honda Prologue is out. We have a review of the Honda Prologue on the site this week. It seems like a great car. It's based on the Chevy Blazer, which had a stop sale on it, but Honda insists they've done their own software, so the Prologue will not have these problems. But you're really looking at like a pretty small number of head-up competitors to the 3 in the Y. And there are some, right? Polestar exists, like, you can go down the line, but they're all pretty small-scale competitors. They're not like...
1:20:05 Alex Cranz? When do we get like a Dodge Neon dash E?
1:20:09 Nilay Patel? So I think the Volvo EX30 will be. It won't be that cheap.
1:20:12 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
1:20:12 Nilay Patel? But it's a small EV that people seem really hyped about.
1:20:14 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
1:20:14 Nilay Patel? So I just think like we're in a weird part of the market where the upstart car companies are all too expensive. And then there aren't any, there aren't, down here, there are just like not a lot.
1:20:23 Alex Cranz? It's like the traditional car companies took all the wrong lessons from the success of Tesla.
1:20:29 Nilay Patel? Yeah.
1:20:30 Alex Cranz? Just like every single lesson, they're like, no.
1:20:32 Nilay Patel? Except make the software good.
1:20:34 David Pierce? Yeah.
1:20:34 Nilay Patel? They forgot that one.
1:20:35 David Pierce? I will say that down the street from me, there's a Hyundai dealership and over the last six months. So the dealership is in the middle and then they have a big parking lot on one side and a big parking lot on the other side. They ripped up one whole parking lot to put in a bunch of EV chargers. And now basically the only thing on the lot is IONIQ stuff.
1:20:51 Nilay Patel? Oh yeah, actually this you, the IONIQ five and the rest of them. They're the, obviously the exception.
1:20:59 David Pierce? Yeah. And well, and now they're doing the same thing to the other side. It's like, it's Hyundai Kia is like, they are convinced they are going to solve this problem.
1:21:07 Nilay Patel? But you look at where they're playing, they're playing in mainstream segments at mainstream prices. Right? They're, they are not $100,000 super trucks.
1:21:15 David Pierce? Right.
1:21:15 Nilay Patel? Even the EV nine, which is the big three row SUV. Not, it's not $100,000. Like it is, it's expensive, but it's not out of the reach of most SUV buyers. Like it's just priced competitively.
1:21:26 David Pierce? Right.
1:21:27 Nilay Patel? And that, that feels like the, I feel like I'm saying something very obvious, like make the most popular kinds of products and price them competitively.
1:21:35 Alex Cranz? Yeah. No, that's not the lesson.
1:21:37 Nilay Patel? $100,000 super truck. Got it.
1:21:41 Nilay Patel? So we'll see. I just think, I think we're in a really weird moment in the EV transition. But also if you're in the market for an EV, like not a horrible time to buy one.
1:21:49 David Pierce? Yeah. Terrible time to buy a hybrid though. All of a sudden it's impossible to find a hybrid. My dad has been shopping for a hybrid for a while and everybody wants the new Prius Prime because it's like finally nice looking. And it turns out they're essentially impossible to get your hands on. It's crazy.
1:22:03 Nilay Patel? Yeah. As somebody who owns a plug-in hybrid that only gets 25 miles of range, I will say that is not enough. You want 50.
1:22:10 Alex Cranz? That's not enough.
1:22:11 Nilay Patel? If our car had 50, we would just keep it forever.
1:22:13 Alex Cranz? Yeah.
1:22:14 Nilay Patel? But it doesn't. So the second there is one that gets.
1:22:17 Alex Cranz? I'm all gas, man. I'm all in on gas.
1:22:21 Nilay Patel? I'm pouring oil on my salt every day. I'm from Texas.
1:22:25 Alex Cranz? I love Texas. Frackin's awesome.
1:22:28 David Pierce? It's okay. I just ride Lime scooters. So between Alex and me, we're good to go.
1:22:31 Alex Cranz? Yeah, we balance out.
1:22:33 Nilay Patel? All right, there's a bunch of other news here. Fubo was suing Fox and Disney. I mean, that's just a sentence I said.
1:22:38 Alex Cranz? But also it was like, it was gonna happen.
1:22:40 David Pierce? Can I just say, by the way, that the fact that Spulu has just become the agreed upon name for this service?
1:22:46 Alex Cranz? We have to stop that.
1:22:47 Nilay Patel? It's Sports Hulu. I want to be clear about what people are saying.
1:22:50 David Pierce? Sports Hulu. And A, Alex Krantz called this first, so Alex wins.
1:22:55 Alex Cranz? Thank you.
1:22:55 David Pierce? But B, it's just, everybody just calls it Spulu now, which makes me think it might be called Spulu for real. And we cannot allow that to happen.
1:23:02 Alex Cranz? I know. It's gonna be called Sports Max.
1:23:05 Nilay Patel? It should just be called ESPN.
1:23:08 David Pierce? Yes.
1:23:08 Nilay Patel? It will be ridiculous if they don't call it ESPN.
1:23:11 Alex Cranz? ESPN Max, sponsored by Hulu.
1:23:16 Nilay Patel? If they start a giant sports streaming service and they don't just call it ESPN, they will have made such a gigantic error. Like, you're looking at one of the most legendary brands in watching sports that has ever existed. And it's like, the people at Fox Sports are like, well, you can't, it's gotta, it's gotta indicate that it's Fox Sports as well. And it's like, no, it doesn't. You can just have a tile.
1:23:41 David Pierce? Somebody posted the other day a screenshot of like a promotional thing for them to sign up for a streaming service. And it was Hulu with live TV with Paramount Plus with Showtime. That was the official name.
1:23:52 Alex Cranz? It's so good.
1:23:53 David Pierce? What have we done here?
1:23:55 Nilay Patel? It's all very bad. All right, we gotta wrap this up. We've gone way over. Uh, I want to call it two stories. One, we have a look back at Spike Jonze, her, the movie her, which is all about falling in love with AI. It's very good. You should go read the look back. You should watch the movie. It still holds up. Uh, and then we sent a reporter to King of the Hammers, which is a big silly off-road race. Burning Man for off-road vehicles. Uh, she got to ride in the Ford Switchgear, the EV F1, the EV F150 off-roady thing. This is what I want to trade my Raptor for. And so I'm very excited about the story. Uh, and also there's pictures of a Cybertruck trying off-road, one of which broke itself. So. That piece will link to the thing. And then some big news.
1:24:38 Nilay Patel? We'll be at South by Southwest doing the show live on the Vox Media Podcast Network stage. That will happen March 8. Well, more detail soon. There's other stuff coming. There's gonna be Decoder, which will be very good. There's some other people. It's gonna be good. So if you're going to South by Southwest, come see us on March 8. David, what's happening next week on the Tuesday show?
1:24:57 David Pierce? We are gonna talk about Flip, this weird new shopping app. Mia Sato and our team basically like ruined her life to become an influencer on Flip. And she told us her story. It's really good. And then Becca and Viren from our video team came on to talk about the Fuji X106, which is the internet's favorite camera in a way I still don't totally understand. So we got into the weeds of all of that.
1:25:20 Alex Cranz? It's so cool.
1:25:20 David Pierce? It's good stuff.
1:25:21 Alex Cranz? I want it.
1:25:22 Nilay Patel? Yeah. If I could buy every camera, I'd buy every camera.
1:25:25 Alex Cranz? Yeah, same.
1:25:26 Nilay Patel? All right, that's it. We've gone just way over. If anyone knows the people at Samsung who control the art mode endpoint in Tizen, talk to this guy. All right, that's it. That's for chest. Rock and roll.
1:25:42 David Pierce? And that's it for The Vergecast this week. Hey, we'd love to hear from you. Give us a call at 866VERGE11. The Vergecast is a production of The Verge and Vox Media Podcast Network. Our show is produced by Andrew Marino and Liam James. That's it. We'll see you next week.
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