Why do India and Pakistan fight over Kashmir?

A dive into the history behind today's tensions. In this episode, Dan is joined by historian and journalist Andrew Whitehead to explain the historical context behind the ongoing conflict between India and Pakistan over the Kashmir region, stemming from the partition of India in 1947 to the present day. They examine the political and cultural complexities of this contested and heavily militarised region. Produced by James Hickmann and edited by Dougal Patmore Sign up to History Hit for hundreds of hours of original documentaries, with a new release every week and ad-free podcasts. Sign up at https://www.historyhit.com/subscribe. We'd love to hear your feedback - you can take part in our podcast survey here: https://insights.historyhit.com/history-hit-podcast-always-on. You can also email the podcast directly at [email protected] mailto:[email protected]. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy https://acast.com/privacy for more information.

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• 0:00Dan Snow?

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• 2:29Dan Snow?

  Welcome everyone, welcome to Dan Snow's History at. On the 22nd of April this year, 26 people, 25 of them Indians and one Nepali, in Indian-administered Kashmir, were killed by gunmen who opened fire on visitors near the popular tourist town of Bahalgum. There has been a long-running history of violence in this part of the world. There's been an active insurgency since 1989 in this majority Muslim region of India. It's claimed tens of thousands of lives. Initially, no group claimed responsibility for the attack, although the Indian Foreign

• 3:07Dan Snow?

  Secretary, Vikram Misri, would later say that the gunmen were members of Lashkar-e-Taiyi, a Pakistan-based militant group. The killings, well, I think they sparked enormous anger across India. The Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi vowed that the country would pursue these gunmen and their backers to the ends of the earth, and stated they would be punished beyond their imagination. The authorities in Pakistan denied any involvement in the attack, but in the immediate aftermath, India closed its main border crossing with Pakistan and suspended a watersharing treaty and expelled certain military diplomats. Two weeks later, on the 7th of May, India accused Pakistan of supporting the militants,

• 3:50Dan Snow?

  and they launched a series of military strikes on targets in Pakistan and Pakistan-administered Kashmir. The Indian Defence Ministry called this ‘Operation Sindoor’ and said it showed clear commitment to ‘hold accountable those responsible for the deadly terrorist attack’. Pakistan says it was not involved in the attack, and it called the strikes ‘unprovoked’. Prime Minister Shiba Sharif said the ‘heinous act of aggression will not go unpunished’. Both sides then traded statistics about the number of attacks and whether aircraft had been shot down or not, and whether those attacks had hit civilian, military, or militant targets. They were followed by several days of intense shelling, aerial incursions between the two

• 4:32Dan Snow?

  countries, with casualties on both sides. Fears grew that these tit-for-tat strikes would escalate into a broader, far more damaging war between the two nuclear-armed neighbours. The USA helped broker a ceasefire on May 10. But both sides have alleged violations. The Pakistani military have blamed India for orchestrating a tragic bus bombing on Wednesday the 21st of May in Bulokistan region that killed five people, including three children. There's no evidence for Pakistan's allegation. But at the time we recorded this podcast, on Thursday, the 22nd of May, 2025, the ceasefire did appear largely to be holding.

• 5:13Dan Snow?

  Now, as ever on this podcast, we want to do a deep dive on the history behind some of the major current events going on in the world around us. This recent standoff, these recent blows between India and Pakistan is just the latest in an ongoing conflict. India and Pakistan have fought several times over Kashmir since the partition of Britain's South Asian Empire in 1947. Both sides claim the region in its entirety. So why is this territory so hotly contested? Why, given all the blood and the suffering and the misery of 1947, of the partition, does this one area still generate, still have the capacity to cause such friction? Where to begin?

• 5:58Dan Snow?

  What might happen next? To give us some pointers here, we've got Andrew Whitehead, he's a brilliant historian, lecturer and freelance journalist. He's spent 35 years at the BBC as a correspondent and a presenter, editor of BBC World Service News. He's the author of A Mission in Kashmir, in which he gathered a huge range of firsthand testimonies. In that book, he provides a vivid account of the origins of the modern day Kashmir conflict in those final months of 1947. He's been to Kashmir many times, most recently in the last few months. Kashmir itself is ethnically diverse. It is a Himalayan region. It's very, very high, as you'll hear. The population is divided. Roughly about 10 million people live in Indian administered Kashmir.

• 6:41Dan Snow?

  Four and a half million people live in Pakistan administered Kashmir. There's also around 2 million people living in another area of Pakistan controlled but autonomous Kashmir, Gilgit-Baltistan. And then China, it also administers a little bit to the east of Indian administered Kashmir. Kashmir, that has been the cause of border disputes between China and India since the 1950s. So as you can hear, this is a contested region. It's a very mountainous region. The front lines, the notional national boundaries cross some of the inhospitable and savage terrain on earth. Glaciers where in the past, people weren't super concerned about the line of demarcation. So today, it remains one of the most contested and one of the most heavily militarized zones in the world. It gets its ethnic diversity

• 7:25Dan Snow?

  from, well, from its past, obviously. 300 B.C., so just after Alexander the Great, the area was conquered by Ashoka the Great. He was ruler of a vast Asian empire, huge proponent of Buddhism. And Buddhism is still practiced by people in Kashmir. In the first half of the first millennium, it was conquered by Hindu empires. It became an important centre of, well, actually of both Hinduism and Buddhism. And it was ruled by Hindu dynasties until the 14th century, until the medieval period. At that time, around 1320, it became part of the Muslim Mughal Empire until the 18th century. It was then ruled by the Afghans until the early 19th century, when it was conquered by the Sikhs.

• 8:08Dan Snow?

  So that ended centuries, about 400-ish years of Muslim rule. And as a result, the majority of the population there are Muslim. To tell us more about that deep history and to bring us up to speed on the last few decades, to give us essential context for what is going on in the world around us, here is Andrew Whitehead.

• 8:46Dan Snow?

  Andrew, thanks so much for coming on the podcast. Dan, it's a pleasure. First of all, you've spent us time there, you've talked to so many people there. Just describe it for us. What's it like being in, well, the area we might loosely call Kashmir? We'll come back perhaps and define it later on. Definition is quite important. I've been to the Kashmir Valley many times, most recently, actually, as a

• 9:04Speaker 05

  Tourist in March and in many ways it's enchanting. We're talking about a big, flat-bottomed valley in the Himalayan foothills. Srinagar, the main city, is more than 5,000 feet above sea level. So that's higher than Ben Nevis, for example. Lots of lakes, surrounded by mountains. One of the Mughal emperors, when he first turned up in Kashmir, he is reputed to have said, "If there is a paradise, this is it, this is it, this is it." It was a Persian couplet. And it has attracted tourists down the centuries and it still is breathtaking.

• 9:46Speaker 05

  And it's quite fertile land, so lots of saffron, but also apples, cherries, willow. So a lot of really good cricket bats are made from Kashmiri willow. Education levels are quite high and it has a very distinct both architectural sense and culture. The Kashmiri language, which is the mother tongue, isn't related to Hindi or Urdu. It's more Central Asian in origin. Kashmiri mosque design is not the couplet that you see in Pakistan or India. Traditionally, it's more pagoda-like and the mosques and the shrines are very striking. So as you can tell, I feel invested in the place in spite of all the misery that Kashmir has endured and

• 10:29Speaker 05

  continues to live through. I enjoy spending time there.

• 10:33Dan Snow?

  And let's talk now about its deeper history because people will have been hearing lots about it recently, but let's go all the way back. Well, as far as you like, really. Is it the fact that it's surrounded by these mountains? Is it remote? Or is it in fact on a very useful highway between north and south and east and west across the great Eurasian landmass?

• 10:52Speaker 05

  Yes, to a degree. But the Kashmir Valley, and there are many Kashmirs, and I'm talking particularly about the Kashmir Valley, which is the crucible of the Kashmiri language, Kashmiri culture. That didn't have all-weather road access until 1890, so really quite remote. It had a river going through it, the river Jhelum, which connected it to. What's now the plains of Pakistan Punjab. But it was quite remote, but it was also quite fought after. I mean, the British were always very jealous of maintaining control over that part of South Asia. Because part of the great game, they were trying to make sure that Russia didn't muscle in on the Indian Empire.

• 11:32Speaker 05

  And Russia is much closer to hand, there's no border, but Russia is closer to hand in Kashmir than it is in Delhi or Lahore or places further south. But its history has been quite complex. So the first time I went to Kashmir in the early mid nineteen nineties, I asked a professor of history there when the last time was that Kashmir was ruled by Kashmiris. And he said with great vigour, fifteen eighty six. And then he said, but don't quote me on that. So I mean, the Kashmiri narrative is that ever since fifteen eighty six, they've been ruled by outsiders, by Moghuls and then by Afghans, then by Sikhs,

• 12:16Speaker 05

  then by the Dogra ruling family, the Maharajas family, who were not Kashmiri speakers. And since nineteen forty seven by Delhi. It's not quite that simple, but that's part of the Kashmiri narrative that they've lost agency. They don't have control over their own homeland. And they've been denied that by a whole series of outsiders.

• 12:37Dan Snow?

  Let's go, well, all the way back really. So there is a substantial Hindu population there. Presumably it was at one stage ruled over by Hindu dynasties.

• 12:49Speaker 05

  So it's quite complicated. There's a substantial Hindu population in Jammu, which is Hindu majority, which was part of the Maharaja's domains. The Kashmir Valley had its own Kashmiri speaking Hindu population, quite small in numbers. But they almost all left thirty years or so ago. When a separatist insurgency broke out, they were really intimidated to leave. And I'm talking about two Kashmirans, and I should perhaps just explain what I'm meaning. So the bigger Kashmir is all the territory that was ruled by the Maharaja of Kashmir in nineteen forty seven, when India and Pakistan gained independence. And that would be now about twenty million people and

• 13:30Speaker 05

  a little bit more than two thirds is currently within India, the rest is with Pakistan. And that would be roughly three quarters Muslim all told. But within that, there's a much smaller area, which is the Kashmir Valley, which is really what India and Pakistan are fighting about. Whatever they say, that's the key issue, who controls the Kashmir Valley? At the moment, it's under Indian rule, all the Kashmir Valley is within India. And the population of the Kashmir Valley is seven and a half, eight million, so a little bit more than Scotland. And that, if you don't count soldiers and civil servants who are just passing through,

• 14:10Speaker 05

  that is round about ninety five percent or a little bit more Muslim and largely Sunni Muslim.

• 14:18Dan Snow?

  You mentioned the Maharaja of Kashmir, did it always have that sort of identity? Was it, albeit that the Maharaja might, that that might be absorbed by different empires, different times? Was there always a sort of, that was roughly speaking, the boundary of this Kashmir-y principality?

• 14:31Speaker 05

  No, the boundaries kept changing and what happened was, I mean,

• 14:36Speaker 05

  if it was simple, it wouldn't be sort of unresolved as a geopolitical issue for so many decades. So, and in eighteen forty six, when the British defeated the Sikh Empire, which was then based in Lahore, they were helped by basically a feudal warlord, a guy called Gulab Singh, who was a Hindu based in Jammu. And as a reward for his help, the British sold him the Kashmir Valley for seven and a half million rupees and an annual tribute of a few shawls and a few goats, which has led to the Kashmiri refrain that the Brits sold us out for a few goats. Not entirely true, but not entirely inaccurate either.

• 15:19Speaker 05

  And so Gulab Singh added the Kashmir Valley on to his initial domain, which was the Hindu majority area around Jammu. And then he managed to carry on. Agglomerating adjoining territories. So the Maharaja of Kashmir's territory in nineteen forty seven was, I think, the biggest princely state by area in South Asia, and I think the second biggest in population terms. But it was itsy bitsy. There was areas which were Hindu majority, areas which were Sunni Muslim majority, a small area which had a Shia Muslim majority, and a large area but with small population which had a Buddhist majority, didn't have a common language,

• 16:01Speaker 05

  it didn't have a common culture. The only thing they had in common was that they had the same Maharaja.

• 16:06Dan Snow?

  And we should say that the reason that people might be confused if it's part of this British South Asian empire, why has it got a Maharaja? Because bits of what we could loosely call India, but India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, bits of that, the British allowed Maharajas to rule as kind of client kings under that British imperial umbrella.

• 16:24Speaker 05

  That's right. Britain was the paramount ruler. But significant chunks of British India were ruled by Maharajas or Nizams or princely rulers. And they had a British resident, so a British basically diplomat, who kept an eye on what they did, but they were broadly in control of what happened within their domain. And in nineteen forty seven, when the Brits left India, technically it was up to the Maharaja to decide whether to accede to India or to Pakistan. In fact, most Maharajas had no decision to make because if you were surrounded entirely by the territory of one new state or the other, that's the one you had to join.

• 17:07Speaker 05

  Kashmir was one of the few states of any significance which had borders with both India and Pakistan, and therefore there was a real decision to be made.

• 17:16Dan Snow?

  Right, so this really is the big moment. So we've got the British are leaving the subcontinent. After plenty of debates, violence, I mean, all sorts of things, it was decided that the South Asian British Empire would be partitioned to majority Muslim and majority Hindu components, hence India and Pakistan. Kashmir is right on the edge. So how that line of demarcation was, or is it this Maharaja just making this decision?

• 17:44Speaker 05

  So Kashmir was affected by partition, particularly because refugees moving from parts of what had become Pakistan, moved through Kashmir to get to India. And there was some violence in the Jammu area, which was adjoining Sialcot in what became Pakistan. But broadly, the story of 1947 was rather different in Kashmir. There was violence and there were massacres, some allegedly involving the Maharaja's own army, massacres of Muslims in Jammu. But the bigger picture was which side was the Maharaja going to jump? It was his decision according to the India Act, which the British Parliament passed. He could opt for India or Pakistan.

• 18:30Speaker 05

  I think many people in the British India Office assumed that Kashmir would go to Pakistan because it was Muslim majority. The whole logic of partition was that adjoining Muslim majority areas become part of a new Muslim nation, Pakistan. And more than that, the commercial and transport routes with the Kashmir Valley really lay down the Jellum and to the west and southwest in what became Pakistan. On the other hand, the Maharaja was a Hindu, even though three quarters of his citizens were Muslims. And Hindus obviously felt much more comfortable in India than in Pakistan.

• 19:11Speaker 05

  What complicates it is the Maharaja actually hankered after the idea of independence. And he thought if he delayed a decision, perhaps nobody would really notice. And he would be in charge of an independent Kashmir. And he talked about Kashmir as a Switzerland of the East, by which he meant both mountainous, but also neutral between neighbouring powers and a sort of tourist paradise. And the British left in mid-August 1947 with Kashmir status unresolved. I mean, people would go up and have a chat with the Maharaja, but he would go out on a shooting. He was a great duck shooter, shooting trip to avoid awkward discussions. Or he would feign illness.

• 19:54Speaker 05

  And he tested the patience of Mount Batten and of various others. But nevertheless, he managed to delay making the decision.

• 20:03Dan Snow?

  And the British do leave in the summer of 1947. They have presided over this, one of the greatest migrations in history, as people are desperately right across Bengal and Punjab in particular. People are just, well, they're being forced out, there's violence, there's inter-communal violence, people are walking, taking trains, trying to find the right side of this border. There was meant to be a process, wasn't there, where a lawyer was Cyril Radcliffe, I think his name was, wasn't it, who was trying to sort of work it all out through demographic information, sense information on the map, but these facts were being made on the ground at the time, village to village, weren't they?

• 20:37Speaker 05

  Yeah, and Radcliffe, I mean, he did as good a job as he could, given that he didn't really understand the situation, the information he was presented with was less than complete. But of course, the line that he drew in Punjab in particular turned out to be somewhat arbitrary. And the uncertainty about where it would lie led to this huge migration of people and millions of deaths in terrible communal violence. The Kashmir Valley is partitioned today, but it wasn't partitioned by Cyril Radcliffe. So it wasn't part of that partition line that the British bequeathed to India and Pakistan. When the British left, Kashmir was one unit and the Maharaja was still to make a decision

• 21:21Speaker 05

  about which way to jump. And it wasn't seen as quite as important as Punjab. So I think basically the British, they just thought, okay, we've done our best, we can't tick off everything on our list of things to do, that's one that we will have to leave for another day, or we'll have to leave for others to sort out.

• 21:37Dan Snow?

  Yes, it's not going to be our problem, not entirely unlike what the British did in Palestine and with their mandate there after the Second World War, at a very similar time. We now know that the Maharaja's dream of independent Kashmir did not come to pass. Why not? What happened then?

• 21:52Speaker 05

  Well, he delayed. There were all sorts of signs, his choice of prime minister, for example, that he was cozying up to the idea of joining India if he couldn't become independent.

• 22:04Speaker 05

  The new Pakistan government felt deeply aggrieved because they felt they had a very strong case to Kashmir. And they did what Pakistan has done down the decades ever since, which is that they fought for Kashmir by proxy. They sent in an army, an armed force of tribesmen from the northwest frontier. So not soldiers in uniform, not the Pakistan army, but people who had been encouraged and perhaps equipped, certainly provided with trucks and petrol by sections of Pakistan's new authorities and said to them, go off there to Kashmir, do what you can, try and grab it for Pakistan and for Islam.

• 22:45Speaker 05

  And as soon as the tribal army entered the princely state, the Maharaja panicked and he did exactly what Pakistan didn't want him to do. He signed up, he signed a formal agreement, saying that his state would become part of India. And the Indian government then sent in an airlift of troops, and this is in late October 1947, so what, a couple of months after independence. And those Indian troops managed to repulse the tribal invaders who were on the outskirts of Srinagar at this time, so close to capturing the Kashmir Valley. They pushed them back, but not all the way out of the princely state.

• 23:26Speaker 05

  So basically Kashmir was informally divided within a few months of independence between India and Pakistan, and in different ways has remained divided between those two countries ever since.

• 23:40Dan Snow?

  Right, so that's fascinating. So that line, the line of division today, that is a sort of roughly a scar of this very early, reasonably brief 1947 war between, between these two sides.

• 23:53Speaker 05

  Yeah, so initially the Indian troops repulsed the invaders. Then Pakistan thought, well, if we're going to get pushed back, we might lose the whole of the princely state. So in early 48, Pakistan sent its army in, in uniform.

• 24:07Dan Snow?

  Ah.

• 24:08Speaker 05

  And then there was, for several months, there was a war, the first India-Pakistan war, fought about and in Kashmir. Cross Kashmir, a really quite vicious war. And then in nineteen forty nine, the United Nations actually drew up a ceasefire line between India and Pakistan. And that line remains not quite unchanged, but it remains what's now called the Line of Control, which divides the former Maharaja's principality between India and Pakistan. But with India having the larger part and having all of the crucial bit, the Kashmir Valley. The United Nations expected there would eventually be a plebiscite so that the people of Kashmir could vote to decide whether they did want to be part of India or whether they wanted to be part of Pakistan.

• 24:53Speaker 05

  But that plebiscite has never been held.

• 24:58Dan Snow?

  Listen to Dan Snow's History at Talk About Kashmir, more coming up.

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• 27:37Dan Snow?

  The Maharaja, presumably who briefly thought he might be presiding over the wonderful Switzerland of the East, once Kashmir was part of India, the Maharajas, they were allowed to keep their titles, I suppose, but they had no, no formal roles following that, did they?

• 27:50Speaker 05

  No, it became a bit more complicated because Nehru, India's first prime minister, appointed the Maharaja's son as, in effect, the governor.

• 27:59Dan Snow?

  Oh, interesting.

• 27:59Speaker 05

  Yeah, but what also happened is the Maharaja's nemesis within Kashmir was a radical, charismatic nationalist called Sheikh Abdullah. And Sheikh Abdullah, actually at the time, also supported Kashmir's accession to India because he saw India as more secular, more democratic, more radical. Pakistan was more conservative, more feudal minded in many ways. And Sheikh Abdullah became the Prime Minister of Indian Kashmir and was a great reforming figure.

• 28:29Dan Snow?

  He was a Muslim?

• 28:30Speaker 05

  He was a Muslim and a left-winger, but he was the Prime Minister. And actually, he presided over the most far-reaching measures of land reform anywhere in South Asia. They really changed the face of the Kashmiri countryside, and they were empowering for many small farmers and peasants and disempowering for the large landlords. And also helped up, I mean, Muslims had lower social status in princely Kashmir, so it helped to empower Muslims and in part disempowered large Hindu landowners. And Sheikh Abdullah actually got on really well with Jawaharlal Nehru. Nehru himself is a Hindu, but his forebears came from Kashmir. They're Kashmiri pundits, Kashmiri-speaking Hindus. Nehru didn't go a lot to Kashmir, but it meant a lot to him.

• 29:15Speaker 05

  And also to his daughter Indira Gandhi, she spent holidays in Kashmir. I think she went to Kashmir as a young bride. There's pictures of her with her father on horseback in Kashmir. So for the Nehru family, Kashmir was really quite important. That's one reason why Nehru was really quite determined that Kashmir didn't fall out of his and India's grip. But it's also true that Nehru was a radical, he wasn't a communist, you could describe him as a socialist. And Sheikh Abdullah, who at that stage had some communist leanings, felt that actually Kashmir would be safer with a progressive figure who would be more supportive of social

• 29:58Speaker 05

  justice, of land reform, and of genuine empowerment of the masses than it would be to have Kashmir as part of a conservative neo-feudal Pakistan, which is what Sheikh Abdullah feared might happen in Pakistan.

• 30:13Dan Snow?

  Interesting. Okay, so we have got the 1949 temporary end of hostilities. People are hopeful there might be some sort of plebiscite, but there is not one. And when is the next serious outbreak of fighting? Is it 65?

• 30:26Speaker 05

  Yeah, 65. By 53, Nehru decides that he doesn't want Sheikh Abdullah anymore because Sheikh Abdullah is actually making a bit of a fuss about maybe Kashmir's accession to India shouldn't be permanent and is sort of edging towards supporting a plebiscite himself. So he gets chucked out and then India starts a tradition which you could say has survived in large degree where actually the only people who get a chance to be chief ministers in Indian Kashmir are those that Delhi likes. If Delhi doesn't like you, you don't get the job. But the next conflict was in 1965. Pakistan thought that there was such disaffection within the Kashmir Valley

• 31:05Speaker 05

  towards India that if it sent in some troops to try and undercover, so to speak, to try and stir things up, there was a chance of a Kashmiri insurgency which would manage to evict India from the Kashmir Valley. So Pakistan staged what was called Operation Gibraltar. But the Kashmiris did not rise up against India and this became a wider conflict in which the Indian army actually crossed the border and started advancing towards Lahore, one of the principal cities of Pakistan, Punjab. So this was really quite a serious situation for Pakistan. But Kashmir was the trigger of it and was one of the main theatres of that conflict.

• 31:47Dan Snow?

  These wars, what is the effect on the people of Kashmir and its economy? Are they reasonably small surgical affairs or are they large-scale industrial grinding wars that are seeing destruction of property and people and criminality and all the rest of it?

• 32:00Speaker 05

  No, we're not talking about the trench warfare of the sort that we saw in the First World War. The level of conflict in terms of destruction and infrastructure and of industry was quite limited. So in 47, 48 was actually probably a little bit more in terms of damage. In 65 and in subsequent conflicts, not so much. So daily life in Kashmir in many ways carried I mean agriculturally, it is very fertile land, the base of the Kashmir Valley. It's got apples, cherries, willow, apricot, rice. So it's much more fertile than many areas of South Asia. And following land reform, basically rural Kashmir was more prosperous than many areas of North India or Pakistan.

• 32:45Dan Snow?

  So nine six five, another bout of fighting, there was a mediation, again a ceasefire, a compromise. But it wouldn't last long. When's the next round?

• 32:54Speaker 05

  Well, the next war between India and Pakistan is in nineteen seventy one. And that of the four wars that those two countries have fought to date, that's the only one that hasn't been principally about and in Kashmir. So that was when East Pakistan became Bangladesh and the Indian army supported the Muktibahini, the freedom fighters, as they style themselves in East Pakistan, to break away to form an explicitly Bengali nation of Bangladesh. But it did have an important implication for Kashmir because that was a unequivocal defeat of Pakistan. And in nineteen seventy two, in a conference in similar between the Indian and Pakistani governments

• 33:35Speaker 05

  to basically work out a peace deal, India and Pakistan also signed up to a treaty which related to or an agreement which related to the status of Kashmir. And there was supposed to be a secret section of that, which meant that actually Pakistan would drop its claim to that part of the principality which was controlled by India. So in other words, both sides would keep what they got, but wouldn't actively claim the other. In fact, if there was a secret paragraph, Pakistan didn't observe it. But the similar accord meant that both India and Pakistan acknowledged that the Kashmir dispute

• 34:14Speaker 05

  was simply a bilateral issue. The rest of the world had no stake in it. It was to be sorted out between India and Pakistan. Of course, it never has been sorted out, but ever since then, India's basically said, "Nations has got no real status in the Kashmir issue. Britain, the former colonial power, thank you very much, but you can keep out of this one." The Americans, well, thank you for your interest, but actually, we'll sort it ourselves." Which is actually why India is hopping mad now that President Trump has rather suggested that he will have a hand in sorting out this, as he called it, "thousand-year-long conflict." India basically says, "Uh-uh, no, no thanks."

• 34:56Dan Snow?

  So 1971 war, nearly all the fighting's in what is now Bangladesh, the forces of Pakistan, India, Bangladesh, free and fight, like hundreds of thousands of casualties at a terrible conflict. But reasonably quiet all along that border in Kashmir?

• 35:08Speaker 05

  Yes, reasonably quiet. As I say, the implications are much more with the similar record of the following year than with actually with the conflict itself.

• 35:16Dan Snow?

  And then does it move from former interstate warfare to more of that sort of late 20th century insurgency that we might recognise?

• 35:24Speaker 05

  Yes, I mean, this is again Pakistan fighting for Kashmir by proxy. So there were lots of grievances within Indian Kashmir, and there was something of a tradition of rigged elections in Indian Kashmir as well. So a lot of young Kashmiris felt that whoever they voted for, the people that India wanted, seemed to win the local elections. And in the late 1980s, a number of young and quite well-educated Kashmiris started moving over to Pakistan Kashmir, where they were trained in military-style camps to stage a low-level guerrilla war. And in 1989, some of them started to infiltrate back into Indian Kashmir

• 36:08Speaker 05

  and to begin an insurgency. And there's absolutely no doubt that Pakistan had a role in encouraging, arming and equipping those insurgents.

• 36:19Speaker 05

  And that insurgency started at a fairly low level, but it became quite a big movement. A significant number of young Kashmiris took up weapons. A larger proportion of the Kashmiri population in the Kashmir Valley were at least indulgent to what the armed Kashmiri separatists were doing. There were plenty who said, this is wrong, we do not support violence, whatever our view is about where Kashmir should lie geopolitically. But the insurgency became a really big problem. There were targeted assassinations, almost all Kashmiri speaking Hindus, who tended to be the professionals, the senior temple servants, the judges, the lecturers, the lawyers,

• 37:02Speaker 05

  left the Kashmir Valley because they were in fear of their lives. And the Indian army moved in in very large numbers, probably as many as a million people at the peak in uniform in Indian Kashmir, with a population, civilian population in the Kashmir Valley of, at that stage, probably six million. This is a huge presence. And when I started going to Kashmir in the early to mid nineties, it felt like a war zone. There was an informal curfew or a formal curfew every night in Srinagar. There were huge military convoys. Every substantial street corner had military posts and checkpoints, usually swathed in anti grenade netting and things like that. And you would see people being forced out of

• 37:48Speaker 05

  minibus and buses and dragoon, you know, in single file in front of military checkpoints where one assumes there was a local informer trying to identify or helping to identify people who were suspected of being separatists or sympathetic to the separatists. In military jargon, it was a low level insurgency. If you were in Kashmir, it didn't feel very low level. And the number of casualties over that period, we're talking about many tens of thousands of deaths.

• 38:17Dan Snow?

  Wow. And is that bombs, but also these targeted assassinations as well?

• 38:21Speaker 05

  It's all sorts of things. The insurgency initially, they had some level of training. I wouldn't say that they were a terribly effective guerrilla force, but it was improvised explosive devices. It was throw a grenade and run. And it was not so much sniper, but certainly use of guns as well. And then it was a very aggressive, Kashmiris would say, brutal response by the Indian security forces, clearly trying to close down an insurgency which they saw as being sponsored by their neighbour and regional rival. And as indeed, I think at that stage it clearly was. And there were persistent reports of human rights abuses. And I think it's, there's no doubt that some of the interrogation centres set

• 39:06Speaker 05

  up by India at that time in Kashmir were actually torture centres. I think that's fairly well documented.

• 39:16Dan Snow?

  There's more on Kashmir. Coming up, folks. Don't go away.

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• 40:41Dan Snow?

  Points of that line of control, where India and Pakistan faced off against each other, even if they're not fighting, but they're eyeballing each other across nomads, they're higher than humans have ever fought before. Just reminding ourselves that even the lowest point of this is still higher than the highest point of Ben Nevis, the highest mountain in Britain. We're pushing the bounds of military technology and endurance.

• 40:59Speaker 05

  Well, indeed, in the Siachen glacier, which is, you know, we're talking about 18, 19, 20,000 feet up, so very, very high. It's so remote and inaccessible that nobody actually bothered in detail pinpointing where the line lay, which is why there is now a conflict, a highest altitude conflict in the world, a standoff, military standoff, with thousands of troops on both sides in this remote Siachen glacier. But both are determined to deny it to the other. And the highest motorable road in the world, which I've actually been on, which goes up to, I think it's 17,000 feet, is the approach road on the Indian side leading to this Siachen glacier. Parts of this are really

• 41:43Speaker 05

  very remote mountain territory. Other parts, I mean, the ceasefire line in Jammu, it goes through rice fields. So it varies in different stretches of the line.

• 41:54Dan Snow?

  Remarkable. The insurgency is rumbling along. Is there a outbreak of a more formal war in 1999?

• 42:01Speaker 05

  Not a formal war, but again, this is Pakistan fighting for Kashmir by proxy. So in an area called Kargil, which isn't in the Kashmir Valley, but was part of the area ruled by the Maharaja, so an area which both India and Pakistan claim, the line is through such remote territory that India actually didn't keep troops at all its mountain lookouts during the winter. What's the point? How do you equip them? How do you get supplies there? So as soon as the snows started, they withdrew people from these mountain lookouts. Well, in 1999, basically with Pakistani military help...

• 42:41Speaker 05

  Some armed groups, Islamist armed groups which were active in Kashmir, basically took over lookout positions very high up on the Indian side of the ceasefire line while India wasn't looking. And it took India actually several weeks to work out that some of its posts were actually occupied by enemy forces. And of course, these posts, they're very high up. They have the advantage of height in terms of firing down and they're very difficult to dislodge. I mean, the Indians chose these as lookout posts because they were fairly impregnable. So once you've got enemy forces in there from India's point of view, they're very difficult to dislodge.

• 43:20Speaker 05

  So that fighting that India undertook to try and dislodge those infiltrators became, over a period of weeks and months in 1999, basically an undeclared war, which involved military aircraft and regular troops from both sides, with hundreds of casualties on both sides. It wasn't formally a war, but in practice, it was a war, and it was a war about Kashmir.

• 43:48Dan Snow?

  That line, there's just so much room for friction, so much opportunity for friction. Or any of these incidents, I suppose, could ignite a wider conflict between these two nuclear armed powers. It's come slightly close to the present. I mean, 2016, there was a remote Indian army base again was attacked?

• 44:04Speaker 05

  That's right. So on that occasion, an Islamist group active in Kashmir staged an attack on an Indian army base near a place called Uri, so just the Indian side of the ceasefire line in Kashmir. And it caused quite heavy casualties. And by that stage, India had a Hindu nationalist government. The current Prime Minister Narendra Modi was in power. And he's always used a more vigorous and more assertively nationalist rhetoric in terms of how to respond to any acts of violence for which he saw Pakistan as culpable. And he actually sent commandos across the line of control, across the ceasefire line, to attack a target in Pakistan.

• 44:46Speaker 05

  And that may have been done previously, but on this occasion, India made a big thing about it. So this set a precedent that if things, bad things happen in Kashmir for which we hold Pakistan responsible, we're going to go into Pakistani territory to carry out reprisal operations.

• 45:05Speaker 05

  We've seen that happen on a number of occasions since then. It happened in twenty nineteen when there was a car bomb attack in Indian Kashmir in which forty Indian servicemen were killed. That led into to take military action in Pakistan Kashmir, but also in what you might call Pakistan proper. So beyond the area that both countries claim. And that involved air attacks as well. So that was quite a big deal. And that was doused down partly thanks to American diplomatic involvement. And then we had the the Palgum attack much more recently in April where

• 45:45Speaker 05

  four gunmen basically attacked Indian tourists who were visiting a mountain meadow at seven thousand feet up, quite remote. But Indian tourists have been coming back to Kashmir in considerable numbers recently because the security situation had been a lot better. Last year, there were two million Indian tourists who visited Kashmir. When I was in Kashmir myself in March, even though it wasn't peak season, there were a lot of Indian tourists around. Hardly any international tourists, and indeed the British advices don't go, but there were a lot of Indian tourists. But these gunmen, they corralled the men among the tourists who were in the meadow.

• 46:26Speaker 05

  They seemed to have asked those men whether they could recite a Muslim prayer. And those who couldn't were assumed not to be Muslims and were killed, quite often shot dead in front of their families. And twenty five tourists were killed, and so was a Kashmiri guide who tried to protect the tourists he was accompanying. And this was by far the worst attack on tourists in Kashmir that there's been. And as you could understand, it caused outrage, I mean globally, but particularly across India. It was a terrible and appalling terrorist crime.

• 47:11Speaker 05

  India watchers and South Asia watchers knew straight away that India's response would include military action against targets in Pakistan, and that's what happened.

• 47:21Dan Snow?

  How have things changed in Kashmir? You mentioned the security situation, but what about the politics of Kashmir? Has it changed? Does it sit uneasily within Modi's New India where there's a more assertive identity around Hinduism? Certainly very different to that independence generation of Nehru and Gandhi. They believed in a more cosmopolitan, secular India. Modi is selling something slightly different. Has that changed the tone of debate within Kashmir?

• 47:47Speaker 05

  I think it has. So in the Jammu region, which is Hindu majority, the BJP is now the dominant party. In the Kashmir Valley, which is overwhelmingly Muslim, and as I say, is the area that matters most, the BJP has a presence. It has a structure. There are some Muslims who basically say the BJP's slogan for Kashmir of tourism, not terrorism, is one that would be good for local people and the economy. But broadly, the BJP does not have a foothold there. And in 2019, the BJP government, the Indian government, abrogated Kashmir's nominal autonomy within India's constitution.

• 48:25Speaker 05

  So after independence, India basically agreed to accommodate Kashmir by giving it a special status in this constitution. Those privileges have more or less become a dead letter over the intervening decades. But still, it was of totemic, symbolic importance to Kashmiris. But the BJP said, hang on, this is appeasement. Why should Kashmir have special status? It can't have special status because it's the only Muslim-majority state in India. That's not right. So it withdrew it and also withdrew state status. So it devalued the importance of Kashmir within India. And that really offended people in Kashmir. They still feel a deep sense of humiliation about that.

• 49:09Speaker 05

  And the way it was done was also very traumatic. So schools were closed, colleges were closed, the internet was switched off, all mobile telephony was switched off for a period. Tourists were told to leave straight away and thousands of Kashmiris were detained, including mainstream Kashmiri politicians.

• 49:30Speaker 05

  Three former chief ministers were held under house arrest or jailed, all of whom at various times had been allies of the BJP or in coalitions either national or state level. These were not people who were anti-India, not people who espoused violence, they were constitutional mainstream politicians and they were locked up too. And some human rights activists remain under detention and the Kashmiri news media, which had been fairly feisty and independent, was completely disemboweled and it really is now a shadow of what it once was. So I think a lot of that is resented, though also many Kashmiris have done well out of the increasing

• 50:12Speaker 05

  number of Indian tourists who are coming there. You see hotels being built, you pay more to have a car by the day in Srinagar these days than you would do in Delhi or in Mumbai. And when I was there, the striking thing is the number of huge mansions that are being built across the Kashmir Valley. When I say mansions, three floors, maybe 10 or 12 rooms, which seem to be being built by local Kashmiri families. Where they're getting their money from and how it's coming in, I don't know, but some people are clearly doing well in Kashmir and the land has always been good, so it doesn't feel poor. But do Kashmiris feel aggrieved? I would have to say I think they do.

• 50:54Dan Snow?

  Amazing. Thank you so much for taking us through the deeper history of this region and the competition between India and Pakistan for its sovereignty. Andrew Whitehead, thank you very much indeed for coming on the podcast.

• 51:06Speaker 05

  It's a pleasure. Thank you, Tom.

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• 52:40Dan Snow?

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