Pod Insights Modern Wisdom The Future Belongs to People Who Think Like This - Cal Newport About this episode Cal Newport is a computer science professor at Georgetown University, a productivity expert and an author.
Has AI “workslop” damaged our ability to focus? When AI entered the workplace, many thought it would replace knowledge workers. Instead, we’re flooded with AI-generated noise that feels productive but often isn’t. In this new era, is the real competitive advantage simply the ability to focus?
Expect to learn what the future of work will be with major advancements in AI, what most people’s relationship with productivity is like at the moment, why your ability to focus is becoming increasingly more important, how people should deal with a lot of work messages, if new AI tools actually have been as transformative as they have claimed to be, if AI in the workplace has been a huge disappointment so far and why and much more…
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0:00 Did Cal Predict the Attention Crisis?
3:57 Why Distraction Is Exploding Right Now
9:56 Can You Actually Retrain Your Attention Span?
14:30 Cal’s Top Focus Strategies
22:56 Should We Have Shorter Work Weeks?
33:29 Is Workslop Destroying Productivity in the Workplace?
48:53 Can AI Reliance Create More Opportunities For Us?
01:00:31 Why AI Should Push Us Toward Hard Thinking
01:03:33 You Need to Work Smarter, Not Harder
01:13:27 Why Organisations Obsess Over Busyness (and How to Stop It)
01:27:53 Is Quantum Computing Actually Useful in AI?
01:32:46 Why Reading is More Important Than Ever
01:44:08 Where to Find Cal
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Transcript 21,827 words · 5 speakers
Speaker names marked ? are inferred from speaking time and the show’s known hosts — they are not voice-verified.
0:00 Chris Williamson? Dude, you must be feeling like Cassandra at the moment. So prescient, the distraction, the necessity of deep work, the inherent bombardment of our attention. Do you feel like you saw the future earlier than what even at the time maybe felt late with deep work and focusing on quality over quantity and stuff?
0:19 Cal Newport? I mean, I think part of what I noticed was the present was crazy to me and no one else recognized it. So it was less even predicting the future. I feel like there was a time, God, it's like 10 years ago now, where I was looking around and yeah, saying two things. One, social media doesn't make sense. Why are we all pretending like this is at the center of democracy and civic life and all business? We all have to be on here all the time. And two, email doesn't make sense. Not what was going to happen in the future. I'm just like looking at the way we're working today with email and Slack and Teams was coming. Like this completely does not make sense. You're switching your context once every two or three minutes. This is a terrible way to actually use your brain. So I never thought of myself as predicting the future as much as just telling people what was going on then, then it makes sense. And everyone thought I was crazy.
1:04 Cal Newport? And 10 years later, it just kind of jumped from I was crazy to it's common sense. So it's not even that interesting that I'm saying it anymore. So I kind of skipped the part where, where it sounded prescient.
1:14 Chris Williamson? Do you feel vindicated?
1:16 Cal Newport? I think certainly on a couple of issues. The social media issue was a big one because I used to get a lot of flack for that, for going out. And I wasn't even saying that social media was bad or that no one should use it. Really what I was pushing back on was just the idea of ubiquity, the idea that everyone had to use it. I said, this doesn't make sense. I get there are some people this makes sense for. There's a lot of technologies that have markets that make sense for it. But why is there this pressure for everyone to be on these services? This is not going to a good place. They're spending a lot of money to mine attention and they're going to get better at it, right? And at the time, this was considered crazy. What do you mean? Like you wouldn't use social media?
1:58 Cal Newport? I wrote a New York Times op ed back, I looked this up the other day, it was 2016. And it argued. Maybe social media is not the biggest thing for a young person to focus on if they're thinking about their career. That's what it was. It was like focus on your career instead of social media. Actually doing things well is what really matters. And you would think, you know, that I had just come on and said like, America has an idea is done and grandmother should be kicked. Like, people were upset about this. The New York Times commissioned a response op-ed two weeks later that was, that went through mine. I mean, and said, this is what is wrong about Cal Newport's op-ed or whatever, because it made such a fear to suggest it. And today, it's boring to suggest like, ah, you know, social media has problems and most people probably
2:40 Cal Newport? shouldn't use it. People, people agree with that. The one that upsets me, though, that one, I feel like people have come along to, and more and more people are being much more selective and minimalist about their social media. The distraction emails, Slack, constantly jumping back and forth between different things. That just got worse. I mean, I think people recognize it now. This is probably not a good way to work. But I thought because there was dollars and cents here, this is less productive from an economic productivity standpoint, to have all of your workers changing their attention all the time. You're just getting a really low return on all the money you're investing in these human brains. So I thought, oh, this is dollars and cents. This is the one that's going to change. Social media is fun. Like, that's gonna be hard to change people's behavior. But certainly, this hyper-distraction thing and
3:23 Cal Newport? knowledge work, that'll change because we're leaving money on the table. It hasn't changed at all. It's gotten worse. It's worse than it was. It's, I'm at the 10-year anniversary now of the book Deep Work. So this, like, this month is the 10-year anniversary.
3:35 Chris Williamson? Congratulations, dude. That's fucking seminal. Like, that, that has become a part of the lexicon. That's really, really cool.
3:41 Cal Newport? Yeah, but it's, it's got me a little bit depressed because I've been doing this 10-year reflection. Like, okay, it's been 10 years and the book was a hit and it's millions of copies, etc. And the issues I talked about are worse. They're like really worse than they were 10 years ago. So people know the problem. Nothing has changed.
3:57 Chris Williamson? What does the data suggest around the worseness of it now?
4:04 Cal Newport? I've been, the, the one I've been following, the study that I think is useful as a trend line, is Microsoft actually does this annual report where they gather data from Microsoft 365. So it's like Office and Word and PowerPoint and Excel. Nowadays, you use this sort of the web-based version of these is very common. So they can gather data from just tens of thousands of knowledge workers actually using all these different tools. And the latest report they put out in 2025 now has the interruptions on average once every two minutes. So it's just gotten out of control. So switching to a communication tool once every two minutes. They also found in the latest report, and this is depressing to me as well. There's one time in the week where they see a notable rise in the use of the non-communication.
4:49 Cal Newport? So actually using the core productivity tools like Word or PowerPoint. And it's Saturday and Sunday morning. So we've just put the work off until the weekend when there's no expectations of responses and spend the actual weekdays talking about work. Which I just don't get. Like, that is not economically productive. Like, companies are leaving money on the table, but it's just where we are. We really can't quit this behavior.
5:13 Chris Williamson? Isn't it interesting that you had to try and appeal to a very utilitarian approach for this? That you didn't say, this is probably making staff miserable. It's not a good use of time. We've got some really strong evidence that suggests that doing one thing and getting better at it over a protracted period of time actually makes you feel more satisfied. You get into a flow state, et cetera, et cetera. You look back on your day and you can look at the things that you did. None of that, which is the much more immediate experiential way that people interface with distraction. You tried to appeal to the bottom line, which you thought, well, incentives, incentives, align the fucking incentives.
5:54 Chris Williamson? And that didn't work, which obviously means also that people's level of administrative burden misery is also coming along for the ride at the same time. Yeah, it's a, it's a fucking mess, dude. And I think, you know, even with what I do, it's not a very big team, but Slack, Slack is like, it's so useful and invites so much chaos at the same time. It is, and it was Slack, Slack wouldn't have been that big during Deep Work, I'm gonna guess.
6:23 Cal Newport? It wasn't big, it wasn't out yet. I talk in Deep Work about these very early instant messenger tools that no longer exist, like HipChat. It was just emerging among the programmer class. I was basically saying, there be dragons, like, let's be careful about that. But I wrote an article about Slack years later, when Slack was bought. So I think Salesforce bought Slack. I wrote an article about it for The New Yorker. And I think the title of that article gets to the core of the issue you're talking about. The title was, Slack is the right tool for the wrong way to work. And I think what happened, here's my whole theory on Slack, is that when email arrived, it moved us to this new style of collaboration that I call the hyperactive hive mind, where we'll just figure things out on the go with ad hoc back and forth unscheduled messaging,
7:08 Cal Newport? just sort of like shooting messages back and forth. We'll figure things out like we're all just kind of connected all the time. That's a terrible way to work for all the reasons I talked about. It's distracting, it's context switching, you can't do anything deep, it's hard to produce value. But if that's the way you're going to work, email clients are not a very good tool for that. You have threads and it's clunky and it's hard to search through your email and find what you did before. So Slack came along and said, look, if this is the way you're going to work, hyperactive hive mind, constant back and forth, ad hoc coordination, we'll build you a better tool for that. So that's why people both love and hate Slack. It's a really good tool for that style of collaboration. It works really well, but that style of collaboration makes us miserable. So it's this weird love-hate relationship we have. Like, this works great. I hate the thing that is making you here.
7:53 Chris Williamson? Why does it make us miserable, that style of collaboration?
7:57 Cal Newport? Because our brain isn't meant to switch our target of attention that quickly. It just takes us a long time if we're talking about targets that are abstract and symbolic. It takes us a long time to switch from one to another. Physical world targets, we can switch quickly, right? We're wired for that. If there's a tiger's roar, I can boom, 100% attention, what's going on over there. But when we're thinking about abstract things, information, ideas, things that are symbolic and in our head, that's us. We're basically re-appropriating our brain hardware to do something we're not evolved to do. It takes a lot of effort to do symbolic thinking, to think about abstract concepts. And we know it takes 10 to 20 minutes to fully change our attention context from one abstract target
8:40 Cal Newport? to another. It takes a long time. That's why if you sit down to write something, everyone has this experience, the first five or 10 minutes, like, man, this is terrible. Like, I'm making no progress or whatever. And then after a while, you're like, oh, this is starting to flow, like, it's going better. That's because it took that much time for your brain to load up all of the relevant information and to inhibit all the unrelated circuits and get your brain really ready to do that activity. So if you now interrupt that brain once every two minutes, it never can lock in on anything. And what you feel then is this sort of diffuse cognitive friction that we begin to experience as fatigue, cognitive fatigue. And it's a really frustrating experience. It's why if you go to an email inbox, you're like, I have time. I'm going to empty this inbox. I'm going to go message by message. Here's the best way to do it, right?
9:25 Cal Newport? On paper, I'm going to go message by message and I'm going to answer these messages. Why does that get so hard? Why do you find yourself like jumping around and looking for easier messages? Because each message is a different context than the other, and that's torture for the brain. It's really, really hard to go from, all right, this is a complicated question one of my employees is asking me. And now this is a completely different issue, completely unrelated to that, where I have to think of like a good title for something. And now here's a completely different issue and you're trying to switch one after another. Our brains aren't wired for that. It really makes us unhappy.
9:56 Chris Williamson? What would you say to someone who wants to try and retrain that attention? Maybe, maybe they're gonna try and make some sort of a stand inside of Slack and say, I will only be available at certain times of the day. But regardless of the inbound, let's say that they fix the inbound because that's a totally separate problem. That's much more sort of structural. Unless you've got any advice for that as well. But how does someone go about re-appraising, retraining their mind away from that? Because we do become, we get like Stockholm syndrome, the Slack Stockholm syndrome, where our captor tormentor becomes the way that we operate.
10:40 Chris Williamson? We've got a favorite little ways of working and it feels like we've done. But then at the end of the day, we look back and have this sort of odd malaise thing about, well, what did I actually do today? What got done? Well, not much, not much got done.
10:57 Cal Newport? Yeah. Well, it's hard unilaterally. If you've changed nothing else about your workload or your communication protocols, if you just say, I'm not going to be on Slack from this hour to this hour. I only check my email twice a day, or whatever that standard advice was from 15 years ago. It doesn't work well, because if you're involved in a large number of projects that are timely, and the way progress is going to be made is with ad hoc back and forth messaging, you have to be in there checking. That's the brutal part of the hyperactive hive mind, is that it has defenses to its elimination built into its very nature. Because if this is how we're going to figure this out, like, we have to have five or six back and forth messages to figure out what we're going to do about this client coming tomorrow, and we have to get this done today.
11:39 Cal Newport? That means you have to see my next message right away, so that we have time for me to answer you and you to answer me, and for that ping pong match to happen. That means you have to be checking your inbox or Slack constantly. Otherwise, you're not going to see my next message in time for this whole game to unfold. So the very nature of that style of collaboration demands constant inbox checking, which is what I think people often get wrong about this. When I think about things like Slack or email, they think too often about either information, like, "Oh, I've got so many messages in my inbox that I don't need. I have all these newsletters and spam." That's not a problem. That's a minor problem. That's an easily solvable problem. It's like clutter. You know, that's not a big problem. The issue is actually, my collaboration style requires me to be in there, because if I
12:24 Cal Newport? miss messages in a timely fashion, everything falls apart. And so the issue is not, how do I interact with my inbox? It really has to be, how do I change the way the inbox is being used? I mean, so I ended up, I feel like, had three big ideas on this that spanned three different books, right? So in Deep Work, like, one of the big ideas was, you can train your personal ability to focus. Focusing is really important. Putting aside for now all the things trying to prevent you from focusing, you have to practice it. And if you practice it, you'll get better at it, and if you get better at it, you'll be a superstar, because like, that's what matters in the knowledge economy. Everything good comes out of focus. Then I wrote a book after that called A World Without Email.
13:06 Cal Newport? And in that book, I was arguing the way we, the thing I was telling you about, hyperactive high mind, communication is a problem. This is a real problem. The fact that we are using this method for coordination is causing all these trouble, is really causing problems. And I went through all the data and all the research and made the case, this is super nonproductive. I went back through the archives of the New York Times Business Session in the eighties and nineties to exactly document the rise of email and how people were talking about email when it first came onto the business scene. And I made the case, the way we work is arbitrary. This hyperactive high mind was not a plan. It wasn't seen to be more productive. We stumbled into it, so we really should change it. So that was that book. And then the, the most recent book, Slow Productivity, from a couple of years ago.
13:48 Cal Newport? In that book, I argued, oh, wait a second, workload matters too. The other issue of this problem is we don't put any limits or transparency on how many things we're working on. And if you pile too many things on your plate, too much communication interruption becomes unavoidable because they each have little issues they need you to deal with. So, so I've now, over this 10-year period, have kind of broken down this problem. There's like training yourself to focus, fixing your communication protocols, like how do I communicate in a professional context? How do we collaborate? And then managing workload to be more reasonable. All three of, and this might be why this problem's not solved. There's no one thing to fix, right? So all three of these things go into the, the issue and they're each complicated.
14:30 Chris Williamson? What, across those three books, all of which are great and everyone needs to go and check out, I think we've done episodes about each of them, so they can just go and listen to those.
14:37 Cal Newport? Yeah.
14:37 Chris Williamson? And then, and then buy the books. Looking back across this portfolio of productivity advice, what have you heard from readers or what has been the stickiest strategies for you? You, you look back and you go, okay, that's the 80/20 of, of what I've published over the last three books.
15:02 Cal Newport? To me, I think the the big two that give you the biggest results, and I'll tell you the one that's the hardest, and that's why this book probably sold the least. The big two that gives you the biggest results is taking focus seriously like a skill. That really does make a difference. Practicing focus, you get better at it, and it has a demonstrable difference. You sit down to work and you're just producing better stuff, or you're trying to pick up some complicated new thing like, oh, God, I can learn this faster. That makes a huge difference. And then the second one, which was more recent in my life, was, oh, you really got to control the workload. So much is downstream from how many things you've agreed to work on. You have to leave the mindset of everything I say yes to brings with it value. So saying yes to more things, it's just going to aggregate more value.
15:47 Cal Newport? That's not the right mindset. That's not the way it's a nonlinear, you know, reward function there. There's a certain point as you add more things, and not only does value stop growing, it begins to go down on the other side. And that there's a real saying no to many more things is actually a way to optimize reward and output, which is not natural. It doesn't make sense at first. It doesn't feel like common sense. So workload and focus training, you can control those more than you think, and you're going to have huge results from those.
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17:00 Chris Williamson? Mitopure is backed by over 15 years of research, over 50 patents, and nearly a dozen human clinical trials. It was recommended to me by my doctor, and that is why I've used it for so long, since way before I New who even made the product and best of all, there's a 30 day money back guarantee plus free shipping in the US and they ship internationally. So right now you can get a free sample or get up to 20% off by going to the link in the description below or heading to timeline.com slash modern wisdom. That's timeline.com slash modern wisdom. The learning to say no thing is interesting, especially as people progress inside of their career and they get better at what they're doing.
17:43 Chris Williamson? They have to learn to be able to say no to opportunities that they would have only begged to have had the opportunity to be in the room to have maybe said yes to.
17:51 Cal Newport? Yeah.
17:52 Chris Williamson? Only half a decade ago.
17:53 Cal Newport? Yeah.
17:53 Chris Williamson? In that time, you've had to go from needing that opportunity to actively being able to say no to something that's probably better than it. Alex, my friend taught me about, you remember in the matrix, the woman with the red dress? And Neo turns around and he says, well, you're looking at me, we're looking at the woman in the red dress looking again, and it's an agent with a gun in his face. And the analogy that Alex used was now imagine that she's not a 10 out of 10, but imagine a thousand hypothetical 1000s out of 10. And you need to be able to say no to them, which previously you didn't even know existed. So this, I think, the kind of, um, it's almost like reverse entropy or habituation.
18:38 Chris Williamson? You know, your opportunities get better, which means that your capacity to say no needs to get better more quickly than that. You can't be chasing your tail, trying to learn to be able to say no less quickly than the opportunities get more seductive.
18:52 Cal Newport? Yeah, it's almost perverse, the way that works. It's like when you have all the time in the world, all you want is opportunities. And then when you have opportunities, all you want is all the time free in the world. I had to change, I don't know what you do, but I had to change my rule at some point. This was hard for me to the default, no. Like, that's just how I have to operate now. Cause as soon as you try to have a triage rule. Well, look, I'm not going to do this opportunity unless I only do speaking gigs that have this much money or this, or I only going to go meet with someone if they're like this interesting or this or that. Eventually, the number of things that satisfy that criteria overwhelm me just as well. It's just so I've I I've just had to fall back on the default no.
19:36 Chris Williamson? And you're you're talking to somebody who came back from a two day trip to Qatar at the start of this week. So I spent as much time traveling as I did in the country to to give a talk. And as I looked around, there was this first, the first night dinner, there was maybe 300 people there. And I'm talking to Logan Paul and Stephen Bartlett's over his shoulder and the CEO of Qatar Airways is here and the Middle Eastern Director for Metis over there. And I was looking around thinking, everybody here wants to be here. It's very exciting. Everyone's really lovely. But also, everyone here can't say no. Everybody in this room is chronically incapable of saying no.
20:15 Cal Newport? I've said no to this one several times, by the way. I the amount of invites to Qatar and the UAE and other places. I have I have said no to many of those.
20:25 Chris Williamson? All right. Well, consider me a fucking consider me a slut compared to you, Cal, whatever, whatever it is. I must be easy and an easy booty call. They tried to get Cal Newport. We couldn't get Cal, so we'll ring Chris instead.
20:35 Cal Newport? The default no. Oh, man. Yeah, it's crazy the things you end up saying no to after a while. But I mean, there's a currency shift. For me, time to think is such a valuable that's a more valuable currency than money, right? You get to a point where you're like, oh, I'm doing fine. But if I don't have time to think, what's the point? And then that becomes this like really rare currency that's that's much harder to get a hold of. And that's the only way I can protect it now is anything that requires me to like go somewhere. It's a default no. And then I can talk myself out of it later. Right? I'm like, you know what? I could bring my family with that. We could have a trip. Right? So actually, you know what? I will do this. Or, you know, I just did a a masterclass course released this week.
21:17 Cal Newport? I spent a year and a half saying no to that. And then like eventually, I sort of talked myself, I talked to some people. They're like, we'll come to DC to do it. I talked to, you know, James Clear just done one and I had a good talk with him about it. And I was like, you know what? This is this will be interesting. And it took me a year and a half. But I finally talked myself into it. So I will say yes, but it just the default no means that you don't have to.
21:39 Chris Williamson? High standards.
21:40 Cal Newport? Yeah, you don't have to run it through the wringer. And then you're like, okay, if it really sticks with me, then maybe I'll be like, all right, all right, I'll do it.
21:46 Chris Williamson? How much should people actually be working?
21:49 Cal Newport? Well, it depends what you mean by work and what they're doing. Right? Because think about it, let's say you're an athlete. It's super well defined, like here's optimal training, here's optimal rest and like that's what you should be doing. Like you either the that's really clear. We don't have those limits as clear in the culture for other types of jobs that we probably should. If you're at a high wage hourly bill job, like a law partner at a big law firm. There the economic model is the more you work, the more profitable it is. And we'll we'll pay you big money to do this, but like you should basically work as much as you can that your body will take it. That's the economic engine. That's why I think those jobs are those jobs are scary. If you're a novelist, that writes literary fiction.
22:31 Cal Newport? So you're like, I really need to be award nominated for each book. Or I'm going to fall out of this like slipstream of because no one's going to read these books unless they're some of the best books. Then you should be doing like four hours in the morning and then just disappear. Right? Like you should be doing all very little more work than that because almost anything else will get in the way of you like sticking in that position. And so it all just depends on what on what you do, you know?
22:56 Chris Williamson? Didn't you look at some experiment of shorter work weeks?
23:01 Cal Newport? Yeah.
23:01 Chris Williamson? What what did you learn from that?
23:03 Cal Newport? There was a lot of these right around the pandemic, right before and then right after in Europe and Iceland. So some European studies, I think Germany did one, Iceland did one, UK did one. And they were looking at four day work weeks. So what would happen if we take away one one day? The interesting thing about those experiments is what they found is the whatever measures of productivity they came up with. They didn't get worse, which I thought was very interesting. They took a day away and yet the perceived productivity or the measured productivity didn't go down. And there's there's two ways to look at it. The one way to look at it is to say, oh, this means that like we should have a four day work week because things didn't get worse. And okay, maybe maybe, right?
23:44 Cal Newport? But to me, there's like a bigger observation that came out of that, which is like, wait, so what were we, what are we doing? During the workdays like this, there's something going on here that should really catch our attention. What does work mean? That we could take an entire day off the table with no other preparation? And the valuable stuff being produced doesn't change? This tells us that like whatever we're doing while we're sitting here in work is not just sitting down and trying to produce value. We're clearly have all sorts of other sorts of distractions going on. Context switching, time that's being devoured, Parkinson's laws at play. Work must be broke. To me, that was the more important observation is that like, if you can take away a day and nothing changes, then I don't think we're doing in the office what we think we're doing in the office.
24:29 Chris Williamson? Parkinson's law was on the tip of my tongue. Work expands to fill the time given for it. And if you give people five days, they'll take five. And if you give them four days, then they'll do it in four. And look, everybody knows just how much time they waste not doing the work, not doing the thing that they're supposed to do. And this isn't victim blaming. This is a lot of the time dealing with admin and necessary meetings. You can't get out of them. You have to be there for whatever reason. So it's not as if it's bottom up. A lot of it is top down dictated. This is the environment that you work in and you have to do this. But even outside of that, when you do have your one hour in between meetings,
25:09 Chris Williamson? your inability to not, I remember when I used to run nightclubs and I'd get in at 2:30 in the morning. The final part of the night was cashing the till. So this was before we switched to tickets, which was sort of the late teens, just before COVID. Digital tickets online, which meant that you didn't have to cash as much money in the till. But before that, it was all, you know, five pounds and 10 pound note and 20 pound notes and single pounds and all the rest of it. And I would go into the office with the manager of the venue and we would be counting the money. But this is the final task. It's the final bit of the night. It's fucking 2:15 or 2:30 in the morning. We've just taken the till off as it's called. Anybody that's coming in doesn't get to come in. We're not going to take any more money. And I'm sat up there doing.
25:54 Chris Williamson? Like light lift mental arithmetic, but for me, somebody who hadn't done math since I was 16, it was a relatively heavy lift. Flicking through the money, flicking through the money is like, you know, huge fluorescent overhead lights just before, and then I get to drive home and I'm like thinking about, and I gotta go put the money in the till and I gotta write it in the spreadsheet and then I get into bed. And as I go into bed, my eyes below my eyelids would start flicking left and right. I wouldn't be able to tune myself. I'm also doing this, let's not forget, in a sweaty beer stinking office, above a room going
26:29 Chris Williamson? I've had to walk through the club, I've had to shout at the hostesses, one of them's getting fingered on the dance floor, stop doing that, you're supposed to be at work, the DJ's pissed, I need to, you know, it's chaos. And I've tried to coordinate this orchestra of bullshit. And then I've had to do mental arithmetic and then I get to drive home and then I'm like, okay, chill out, brain. It doesn't want to. And that eyes moving left and right thing, I think, is the sort of optical equivalent, ocular equivalent of how people feel when they finally get a moment. It's okay, all of my stuff is done. And then they try and sit down to work on the thing that ostensibly that's actually there to do, right? Because all of the other bullshit, the meetings, you're not there to do the meetings, you're not there to do the Slack,
27:11 Chris Williamson? you're not there to do, all of that is foreplay to get you to do the thing that you're there to do. And then you sit down to do the thing you're there to do. And your eyes are moving behind your eyelids is the equivalent. You're swiping and moving across the screen and you've got a few different other, well, just check on this thing. Like, what the living fuck is going on? I've like trained, the environment that I work in has trained me out of being able to do my work.
27:36 Cal Newport? Well, we are meant to do, like, what would be the ideal work day in an office environment that would actually match the human brain? It would probably be you come in, you work on something hard for a while. Like, that's what you do in the morning, you have lunch, and then you like, catch up with Have some meetings, talk to some people, hey, what's going on and, you know, do some task and that's your day. Like, that's basically what we can do, like, two things. One big burst of like, let me focus on something hard. And then we can kind of come down the mountain after that with, let me chat with people, what's going on? Some decisions need to be made or whatever. That's probably about optimal. Instead, we juggle a dozen to two dozen tasks that all have their own demands. They all have their own communication needs.
28:18 Cal Newport? This is why the Microsoft data shows, oh, the work happens the Saturday and Sunday morning. It is really hard. You can't go from, and meetings are very hard as well. We think like, oh, I'm not actually doing work during meetings. But what you are engaging in a meeting is all the parts of your brain that deal with social interaction. And those are a large part of your brain. And that is a fraught and mental energy consuming activity to sit in a room or on a Zoom screen and try to manage all these different people and how do I look and what am I saying and what's going on here? And I have to say the right things. It's draining. And you come out of something like that. It's difficult just to jump right back into something else. And if you come out of something like that and there was a lot of obligations generated. Oh, we discussed in this meeting, things I need to do.
29:03 Cal Newport? And now you try to go straight from that meeting into another. Well, now that's really in the back of your head. What about this? What about this? We can't forget this. We just made our obligations. That, that feeling of fatigue, it's a, it's a really is fatigue is what it feels like, a mental fatigue. Like there's a sand in your brain, sand in the gears of your brain. That's the state that a lot of people who work in front of a computer screen, like that's the state they're in most of the day. And they don't even realize, oh, that's a bad feeling. That's a negative state. That's, that's not how it needs to feel because do you have nothing else to compare it to? Yeah, the, the amount of things we're doing, the amount we're trying to switch back and forth. I always thought that part of the problem was a lot of our current thought about work culture and hustling and what it means to produce
29:47 Cal Newport? was influenced by Silicon Valley in the nineties and 2000s because that was considered this very ascendant part of the economy, you know, through the 2000s, through the Steve Jobs era. We looked at Silicon Valley, like, these are the coolest companies. They're doing all the coolest stuff. Over there, I think they adopted a model of work that was very inspired by computer processors. Right? So because that was what was in the air in the eighties and nineties in Silicon Valley was the computer processor work. You know, the 386 versus the 486 versus the Pentium. And it was all about speed. And the thing with a computer processor, if you're a computer type. What matters is you never want the pipeline to be empty. Right? You want to always make sure you have stuff for that processor to do so it never wastes
30:31 Cal Newport? time. The processor will, every command you give it, it operates the same as any other. It can switch. It doesn't care what they are. It just sits there and operates one command after another. And the whole game with getting processors to be effective is like, don't have downtime. Like, the real fear, I can put on my computer scientist hat for a second. The real fear in computer processor design is that you sometimes get to a command that's going to generate a huge delay. So you say like, oh, go get something from memory. That takes a lot of time from the perspective of like a computer processor cycle. It's just sitting there, cycle after cycle, doing nothing while you're waiting for the memory bus or whatever. So we invented these processor pipelines, like, oh, while we're waiting to get something back from memory, here's some other stuff the processor can run so that it's never not working. And the idea was you want to move
31:16 Cal Newport? as fast as possible and you never want to have downtime. And that's how you get the most out of a computer processor. The human brain is like 180 degrees different. We can't just switch back and forth between unrelated commands. You switch me from one to another thing and boom, 30 minutes of my mind is fried. Humans operate very differently. But I think Silicon Valley associated, it said, here's the thing we're going to associate with being really good at your job. It might have used to been, I don't know, your skill. It was Don Draper in Mad Men. Remember that conception of, what does it mean to be good at your job? They weren't showing Don Draper grinding it out. Like, man, Don Draper is like in the office till, you know, 3am every night or whatever. Now, he took the 5 o'clock train back to, you know, Connecticut
31:58 Cal Newport? or whatever. It was, he was really, really good at coming up with ad copy. He was good at what he did. That's what you used to respect. And then after the 80s, 90s, Silicon Valley became pervasive. Like, no, what matters is you never have a no-op. You never have a down cycle. You might as well say yes to more things. You might as well get more emails. You never have time or you're not working. That's what productivity is going to be. And that was a disaster for the human brain.
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33:30 Chris Williamson? There's definitely an element of this that it's very public productivity. It's very obvious. Look at how hard I'm working, right? If you're the one that replies quickest on Slack or on email, then it's evident that you're the one, it looks like you're the one that's working hardest, because you're the one that's most responsive. Whereas the person who's silently working on their own, they can't broadcast it by design. They can't broadcast it to everybody else. So yeah, this obvious productivity, in a way, is way less sexy. So I think, you know, the new elephant in the room is AI, and how that is
34:09 Chris Williamson? enabling an increase in pace
34:14 Chris Williamson? of output, but almost certainly a decrease in quality. So.
34:19 Chris Williamson? Fold AI into your existing worldview because to me it just seems like a huge force multiplier for what already was pretty sloppy. Slack, email, async communication that's always on, people taking their work home with them, never being able to not context switch, not focusing on quality and instead focusing on quantity, not being able to dial themselves in to do deep work for one moment. And now that is enhanced and magnified even more by the use of LLMs to help you put out more, to help you think less. So your focus is actually, you're in Slack with your LLM.
35:00 Chris Williamson? It wouldn't surprise me if there is a LLM integration into Slack at some point in future. I don't know whether there is where you can just do it in there. So you're just talking back and forth in one fucking workspace. Talk to me, fold AI into this. You must have a million thoughts.
35:15 Cal Newport? There's a lot going on with AI. I mean, I think in its current instantiation, so we think about like an office worker, for the most part, put programmers aside, I'll get back to them, but non-programmers are really interacting with chatbots. Like, that's the main way they're integrating right now with AI. It's exaggerating exactly what you said. For a lot of people, it's exaggerating the problems that already exist. Now, there's a term for this that comes out of a Harvard Business Review article from last year. They call it work slop. They put together as one word. And they have some pretty compelling data on this.
35:45 Chris Williamson? So what's work slop? Define work slop for me.
35:47 Cal Newport? So work slop is AI-generated work products in the knowledge work sector. So like emails, reports and PowerPoints or what have you that are generated quickly by AI, but they're so low quality that they actually, it's very difficult to, they make everyone else's jobs harder. This seems to be, this is like the defining aspect of work slop. It's quick to produce, but it's so low value that it actually, no real progress is made. So like you get a work slop email from, you know, your boss or whatever. And like, this isn't useful to me. It's this weird wordy thing that's broken up into sections and it doesn't get to the core of the problem we have to solve. So you made that email quick. But in the bigger scheme of things, we made very little progress towards what we want to do.
36:31 Cal Newport? Or you put together a works lot PowerPoint presentation so that you would have something at the meeting. But now we're spending 20 minutes looking at this nonsense and nothing is not helping us. It's not helping us actually do things. So this is what's happening, or at least my fear. I mean, the reality is most people aren't using these tools in the office. Let's just set the reality, right? So but for the people who are using them right now, which is a healthy percentage, but it's not.
36:55 Chris Williamson? Do you know what the numbers are?
36:56 Cal Newport? Well, it's difficult because there's a lot of fudging of the numbers here. There's a lot of mistaking have used or experimented with with are regularly using them. So I see this mistake happen a lot. And so it's difficult to get good numbers. There was like famously, it may was an Ethan Mollick article where he was talking about in my world, like academia, the homework apocalypse. And he's like, look at this study, students just don't do work anymore. Nine out of 10 are just using chatbots now. But you look at that study and what it actually said was nine out of 10 had tried using a chatbot at least once. And if you looked at who's using them regularly, it was like two out of 10. Right? Because like for most of the students, it was wasn't helping them the way they thought it would. So I don't know what the numbers are.
37:42 Cal Newport? If you count like advanced Google use, I think it's larger. Like, yeah, I searched for information on this instead of going to Google. That's larger, but in terms of people who are actually making office work product out of it, I think it's smaller than the people who follow AI commentary or talk about it on AI Twitter, AI YouTube. I think it's a lot smaller than they probably assume, just because in their world is pervasive. But the people who are using it, this is the problem. They're trying to avoid, this is my theory on this is like, what, how is AI helping like an office worker now? Well, their brain is exhausted from all this context switching. So what problem are they looking to solve? They're looking to avoid having to do hard moments of cognition because their brain is so fried. It's really difficult to like solve the blank page problem. Oh, God.
38:25 Cal Newport? I gotta send this email. I gotta, it's a blank screen. I gotta start writing from scratch. That's really hard.
38:30 Chris Williamson? Yeah. And if I have some The inertia that they've been trained out of overcoming because of the primer. It's almost like a one-two punch.
38:38 Cal Newport? Yeah.
38:38 Chris Williamson? Humans were primed to not like heavy cog, well, we already didn't like heavy cognitive load. Then our ability to deal with it and get through that initial resistance was decreased through the context switching. And now we're, don't worry about it. Don't worry about, don't worry about it. Carbon-based life forms, the silicon-based life forms are coming.
38:57 Cal Newport? And let's throw in one, one other aspect in there also outside of work. We had these distraction machines in our hand that were further degrading our comfort with concentration. Because any possible moment of introspection, we would have had even outside of work. Why would I do that? When TikTok has like the perfect dash cam video of, you know, a Karen getting punched or something like, I gotta watch that, right? Uh, and so we've, we, we have that revolution comes along, plus the email revolution. We completely atrophy our ability to think and we exhaust our brain. So the other aspect of it, as we talked about, it's really exhausting to go through your day. Context switching. So like, I don't have any reserves left to write this PowerPoint. That seems impossible. And then AI is like, hey, hey, hey, hey, I can do it for you. It'll be fine. It'll be fine. It'll be good enough.
39:40 Cal Newport? It'll be good enough. And you're like, oh, okay. I can smooth over. I use this analogy in a New Yorker piece last year. It's like it takes, your effort graph looks like spikes, like an EKG or something like that. And AI smooths over those peaks. And so you don't have to, your peak concentration required can come down. Like, well, you can fill the blank page and then maybe I have to work with it a little bit. But that's easier than doing it from scratch. But the stuff being produced is no good. And so I feel like work slop, it's almost less of a, uh, it's less of a, um, critique of AI than it is AI making obvious a problem with the way we were already working. I think that's what's going on there. I think this is even happening with computer programmers.
40:24 Cal Newport? This is considered, you know, heretical right now. I guess I'm used to being yelled at. People are really excited by this workflow where I have seven or eight Claude code agents going concurrently, producing code and testing them. And I'm just a manager of all these different processes and they're all producing this code on my behalf. And it feels really cool and interesting. Like this has to be the future. I don't know that that is. I mean, I don't know the context. The problem is outside of like demos or internal tools or just having fun. That's not really code you can trust very well. And it does though, completely lower the peaks of being a computer programmer, those peaks of cognition.
41:05 Cal Newport? It's much, much easier to manage a bunch of Claude code processes than it is to come up with an algorithm. And then you have that same blank page. So I'm, I think the jury is still out on even where we're going to end up in the AI impact on programming. I don't know where it's going to end up. But the way it's being talked about in the last few months, after the latest Claude code update, which is sort of, I guess that's something humans don't do anymore. I don't think we're there ready to say that yet.
41:31 Chris Williamson? I get popped with Claude code ads. I get, I, I, you give me a terminal, I have no idea what to do. I'm like, I'm like, you know, someone's grandmother trying to use an iPad. I have no idea what's going on. So they are pushing very, very hard at the moment for this.
41:46 Cal Newport? It's, it's funny, but it's a little bit crazy, but it's my world, right? I'm a computer scientist is that for engineer, computer scientist types, they, they forget how technically advanced they are. So yeah, Claude code works in the terminal, right? And that's why it works so well. It exists in a world of text only, text, command line commands, like the old DOS command line. It's all text commands, um, which you can do a lot with. You can create and edit and compile a computer program. So it's very good at that. And it's a limited set of textual commands. That's perfect for a language model. And the engineers are like, oh, we can use this terminal based tool to do all sorts of other stuff. That's not computer programming. Great. This is the, this is solved. The, everyone's going to be doing this.
42:27 Cal Newport? Everyone is going to have these sort of personal assistants based on something on Claude code. I'm like, man, do you realize how foreign a command line interface is to people? You realize like how weird and nerdy and complicated your world is? You're like, yeah, this will be great. My grandma will just on the command line, understand that like the Claude code agent can bring up a bass script that's just going to cat those files over to the, the reg ex grep, you know, it'll be fine. They don't, no one knows how to do any of that type of stuff. So it's sort of funny seeing the engineers building these incredibly intricate, nerdy, wonderful tools they've custom built for Claude code to help them in their life. And they think the gap between that and everyone else having AI automate things in their life is like, oh, it's this real small thing. I'm like, oh man, I don't think you understand. I mean,
43:11 Cal Newport? People are still not quite sure about the right click. I think you still have a ways to go.
43:16 Chris Williamson? Have you seen this? I saw this tweet from Robert Frundlaw. Lawyer uses ChatGPT to help write a brief. ChatGPT hallucinates cases in quotations. Court sanctions lawyer and four co-counsel for not catching the errors. The lawyer who used ChatGPT has practiced for over 30 years. He prompted ChatGPT, write an order that denies the motion to strike with case law support. Told the court that he doesn't normally use ChatGPT and he used it this time because he was caring for his dying family members. Said no of his co-counsel were aware of this use of generative AI. Court says that because all five attorneys signed both documents that included these errors. And they admit that not one of them verified that the case law in those briefs actually exist.
44:00 Chris Williamson? Their conduct violates Rule 11B2.
44:04 Cal Newport? There's hundreds of those happening, right? I heard, I don't know where this site is. There's a site that tracks this. Lawyers getting busted for ChatGPT written briefs that just make things. Because it will for sure make up things if you ask it. Because again, what it tries to do is, you know, not to get, people know this, but right at the very bottom. What is a language model trying to do is trying to solve the word guessing game. That's how it was trained. It was given real text. You knock out a word and say, replace that word. Can you figure out what word was really there in the real text? So the language models just think they're trying to expand a real text that really existed. So they're trying to produce text that makes sense, given the prompt. They're not, there's not world models or structured reasoning in there of like, okay, this is a legal brief.
44:49 Cal Newport? And we have a notion of a citation. We don't know how it thinks about that. There's hundreds and hundreds of cases of this happening. I heard Scott Galloway talk about this on the Pivot podcast. That he tried, there's some site that tracks this that he keeps an eye on. And he says, it astounds you. You think it's a handful of people? It's not. It's all the time. I got, here's my story of getting burned by that. I sort of learned my lesson. I was working on, because the one way I'll use ChatGPT is just sometimes instead of Google, right? Especially if I want like instructions for how to, whatever, change settings on something. It's great. It has a lot of really useful.
45:22 Chris Williamson? Fucking spectacular for all of that stuff. If you want to use it as basically glorified Wikipedia, that's more instructive, like.
45:28 Cal Newport? Yeah. Yeah. And you can, like Wikipedia, you can ask questions of. Yeah. So, so I was using, I was writing an essay. And it was on Isaac Asimov's Rules of Robotics. This was a New Yorker essay. And I left my copy of iRobot. I was here at my studio and I left it at home. I was like, oh, I needed to add this quote, right? I left it. And I was like, oh, you know what? That, that story's in the public domain. It's all over the internet. And this seems like it would be perfect for ChatGPT. Like, hey, can you just grab a copy and find me that quote? And that'll save me a little bit of time. Like, yeah, here it is. Here's a quote. I was like, yeah, that's best roughly. I remember I put in, put in there. And then the fact checker was like, where's this quote from?
46:11 Cal Newport? I was like, yeah, it's from the story or whatever. I get the book. It had just hallucinated a quote that was more or less like what was said, right? Because again, it's kind of playing the game of this is the type of text it would make sense giving the prompt. But it wasn't the actual quote. It had full access to it, right? You can search this. It's in the public domain so that the actual story is everywhere. So I had just naively assumed if you ask it for some information that exists on the internet that, oh, it'll just go find it and format it for you. It didn't. And then I went through a whole dialogue with it where I was like, this is not the right quote. And it's like, yeah, you're right. You know what? I thought you meant paraphrase a quote. Here it is, made up. I was like, that's not the real quote. Can you go
46:53 Cal Newport? get the real quote and give it? At this point, I was experimenting. I'd already filled it in the article. And they're like, you're right. You know, I was being tasty. Here you go. I could not get it to give me the real quote. So anyway, so I learned my lesson. I was like, oh, don't assume even if it's common information that it has access to.
47:11 Chris Williamson? Dude, the desire, the desire to fucking reprimand an L L M. And I've shouted at them, capital letter, exclamation marks. It's like, what are you doing? What are you doing? What are you hoping to achieve by throwing your emotional distress at this fucking disembodied voice on the other side? Okay, we, bits aside, I fucking love chat G P T. I think it's been really, really fantastic for tons of things. What's important is learning the limits and not using it for case law. This episode is brought to you by Whoop. I have been wearing Whoop for over five years now, way before they were a partner on the show. I've actually tracked over 1,600 days of my life with it,
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48:35 Chris Williamson? you do not like it after 29 days, they just give you your money back. Right now, you can get the brand new Whoop 5.0 and that 30 day trial by going to the link in the description below or heading to join dot whoop dot com slash modern wisdom. That's join dot whoop dot com slash modern wisdom. What opportunities do you think an increasing reliance on A I opens up? Because I get the sense that as more people use L L M's to do the work for them, this will create advantages in some areas for people who don't need to be reliant. So have you thought about the holes, market openings that have will occur?
49:13 Cal Newport? It will. I mean, the way I think about L L M based A I versus more advanced A I that we don't know how to do yet is, you know, my theory is the What is being affected is going to be more narrow at first. It's going to be places where there's an exact match between what generative AI existing tools can do and existing market sectors. We saw this, actually, the week we're recording this, we actually saw this reflected in the stock market. It was this interesting paradox that was going on this week, where the stock price of software companies that deal with stuff that is well-suited for an LLM went down. There was, they call it the SaaS apocalypse, right? The software service apocalypse. So, you know, companies that do like legal advice,
49:56 Cal Newport? companies that do graphic design like Figma and Adobe, because a lot, you know, we have generative image generation is making, building images from scratch is less useful. Customer service, so companies that do a lot of customer service type software. We saw the stock was sliding on these very specific software industries because like, look, I think LLMs are going to be able to do this. It was triggered by Anthropic releasing some plugins that made it easier to integrate LLMs into your services without having to hire these other companies. But you would think that would be good news for the big tech companies building the AI that's going to replace all this. Their stock was sliding as well. And so the big tech companies had this big slide that at the end of the week we're recording this, there was a rebound at the end,
50:37 Cal Newport? but it was like a trillion dollars in market cap disappeared from the big tech companies at the same time. So what does that mean the market was betting on? What are investors betting on at that point? What was going to happen? And they were betting that in the near future, the next year or two, what we're going to see is selective impacts in specific fields from generative AI, but also that too much money is being invested in these AI companies as it already, which means they're betting that they're not about to automate most of the economy. They're not about to, you know, just one more iteration away from a huge economic disruption. They're not, they're not at this peak of like complete transformation because if they were, you would be trying to increase your holdings in these companies. Like, I don't care how much money they're investing.
51:21 Cal Newport? These companies are going to be worth an astronomical amount of money, but the market is betting. I think the impact is going to be more limited in the one to two year window than a lot of the commentary was seen. So I think that's important because talk is cheap, but tech stocks aren't. And so people, the way they spend their money actually often has more of, I think there's a lot of information in that versus just, I've been reading these articles online and my God, the vibe really seems to be saying this is a big deal. So that's, I kind of agree with the market's consensus right now. For sure, there's going to be industries that are affected, but it's not going to be one of these situations where you say, okay, any work that's not just the deepest creative work is all going to be automated
52:04 Cal Newport? in the next few years. So I better go learn how to like do art or something like that. I don't think it's going to be that broad at first. I don't think the current generation of AI technology can support as broad of impacts as people think. There's a lot of extrapolation from, well, if it can do this with code, certainly it could do this with all these other jobs. If it could do this with this industry, well, certainly next it'll do it for all these other industries. We have to be wary of those extrapolations.
52:26 Chris Williamson? Right. You, I think I read an article from you, what if AI doesn't get much better than this? Sort of if we have, I don't know, some sort of Flynn effect thing that kicks in but for AI where, you know, because I think a lot of people would agree, ChatGPT two to three, fucking hell, to four, four O, I know, is this, there's a whole furor on the internet about people that have got girlfriends or boyfriends that are virtual on four O and they're all getting upset and sad about it. And I don't understand, I don't think I use the tools sufficiently deeply to be able to test this and benchmark it. It's like my Fire TV sticks remote isn't working well. It was able to do that fucking
53:08 Chris Williamson? five years ago. But is your, your thinking is that we're maybe going to reach asymptote for what LLMs generally and transformer technology is able to do? And then it's going to be a new architecture entirely if we're going to actually get beyond this?
53:25 Cal Newport? Yes. Yeah. That's what that article is about. I think that was a very. Of the articles I've written, I think that was a really important one that came out in August. And the story it tells, and a lot of other people have told the story as well, you know, around that time and since. But the story it tells is basically what happened is there was this big paper that was published in 2020. The lead researcher Kaplan, Jared Kaplan, I think was at Anthropic at the time. And it was this paper where they said, hey, something weird is happening here. If we make L L M's bigger and we train them longer, they perform better. Technically, they're saying the loss decreased. That sounds kind of obvious, but in like machine learning circles, that was surprising because there's this idea of overfitting, where if you just make your model bigger, the performance goes down.
54:08 Cal Newport? So it used to be like, you have to find the perfect size model for your problem space. That's the way people thought about machine learning until this paper came out and like, I don't know, transformer based L L M's. They were using G P T two and they were systematically making it bigger. And they were seeing that the performance just kept going up. Like, this is interesting, so let's try it. And that was G P T three. All right, let's actually make this like 10x bigger. Surely this can't be right. And it was, it matched the Kaplan curve exactly like, oh, my God, this actually got way better just by making this bigger. Like, all right, well, certainly that must be the end of it. Let's try it with G P T four. They made it bigger, they trained it much longer, months and months they trained it. You know, Microsoft had to build these custom data centers to train it with new A C technology didn't exist before.
54:53 Cal Newport? And it fit the curve. It was like way better. And the thing G P T four did that really got, so G P T four set off the whole industry. The thing it did is it started showing abilities beyond just language. And that's where people got excited like, oh, wow. If you train a language model on enough language, it learns about things that isn't just producing language. It can play games, it can do math problems, it can do logic. I mean, this was super exciting. It was super exciting. So the assumption was do this two or three more times. You have A G I. So that's what the whole industry was based off of. When we went from three to four was this is legitimate justified excitement. Expand the size and the training duration two or three more times.
55:38 Cal Newport? And the economy is going to happen in a box. I mean, it was so, that's where all of, that was the, the engine for all this excitement. So they tried at OpenAI, it was called Project Orion. They made it bigger, modeled in four, they trained it even longer, like, here we go. And they tried it and they said, it's not much better. And this was this big, uh, brick wall surprise for the industry like, wait, it didn't get better. Everyone else tried as well, right? Grok, they tried this with Grok as well, the Colossus data center was like, we're going to have 200,000 GPU data center. No one's ever built anything this big and it was like a little bit better. Uh, Meta tried this. They had a model called Be myth. Like we built the biggest data is bigger than anyone we've had before.
56:22 Cal Newport? They didn't release it because it was marginally better than the last model that they had. And so this was a huge issue, right? You couldn't just make the models bigger and train them bigger. So what they did was they switched to what are other ways we can get, uh, performance increases? And can we get more narrow by what we mean with performance? And this is when we began to get all the alphabet soup models. Well, it's GPT oh, oh, three dash mini slash whatever. Uh, and they switched the focus from just, this is amazing if you use it to we have these benchmark graphs and look at these graphs. Things are going better on these benchmarks. It all became about benchmarks because these are very narrow things that you could train models to do well on. They weren't intuitive. GPT four was just awesome.
57:05 Cal Newport? By the time I got the GPT five, their whole launch, their launch page had 28 graphs of, uh, benchmark names that no one knew what they were. And so then they had to look for all these other ways to get improvement. And that's where you got like inference time compute. Well, what if we, we compute longer for harder questions? And they began really pushing fine tuning. Well, for specific types of problems, we can get data sets that have answers and, uh, questions and answers. And we can use reinforcement learning that try to take this pre-trained model and make it better at this particular type of problem. And then we can have a benchmark that shows us we got better at this problem. And my argument in that article is like, this is a way different game than we were playing when we went from two to three and three to four. We're no longer scaling to AGI.
57:49 Cal Newport? We're taking basically GPT four and we're doing all of this like tuning and adding extra stuff on top of it and around it. And, and measuring these very narrow benchmarks. And that's why people have this feeling ever since, like I, I guess they're better, but it's not in an obvious way. It's better in specific tasks, or if I vibe code this, it looks better, I guess, and it seems more narrow. Um, and so, yeah, we're, we're reaching an, that is a long answer to a short question, but we are reaching an asymptote on, um, just pure fine tuned L L M's as an engine for AI. We're going to need more architectures. It's going to take more time.
58:21 Chris Williamson? Well, presumably. ChatGPT six could come out and oh fuck, they just blew through the entirety of my prediction. This curve no longer curves flat in the way that I thought and shit, this is, this is a different universe now.
58:37 Cal Newport? Yeah, but that won't happen because they, they tried and it, they don't know how to do that. So it's not going to be just an L L M. I mean, my, my prediction of the future of AI is I think what we're going to see, I think L L M's are very powerful. But what we're going to see is much more of hybrid models that are custom, custom fit to particular problems. Where, okay, this system does this thing better than a human. And in its guts, there's like a, an L L M in there, not a huge frontier model, but one that's like souped up and optimized for this particular type of thing. But there's also like five or six other models and go, there's an explicit world model, there's a future predictor. There's a policy network trained through reinforcement learning to try to evaluate situations to see what's good or bad. There's a whole logic engine on top of this that hooks these together.
59:21 Cal Newport? These are what I think the, the AI systems of the future are going to be like, they're going to be bespoke and there's going to be a ton of them. So when we get the AGI, it's not going to be GPT seven can do everything you ask it as well as a human. It's going to be a world in which there's 10,000 different AI products and you realize everything I can think of now. There's some product out there somewhere that can do this better than humans, just like there's AI that can play chess better than humans. There's a different AI that can play Go better than humans. There's an AI now that can beat professional poker players at Texas Hold of No Limit. They're all different systems with their own pieces in them. And a lot of them have some language models in them as well, but a lot of other pieces as well. It's distributed AGI, that's what it's going to be like, where it's going to wake up one day and say,
1:00:02 Cal Newport? there's fewer and fewer things where we say humans can do this better than computers. And it's a different model than Hal 9000, there's one giant. It's a really inefficient way to imagine solving this problem. If we just have a big enough language model, it's going to do all activity, it's going to power all agents, it's going to automate all systems. That really doesn't make sense. I think it's going to be a much more distributed path towards AGI and AI.
1:00:31 Chris Williamson? Given what AI can and can't do and what the quality of work is that it puts out at the moment, what is some good advice for somebody who wants to work against the weaknesses that are going to be exposed in other people because of their reliance on AI by avoiding it themselves or by using it appropriately? What would you focus on? Because again, it seems to me like quantity is easier to achieve than ever before, quality is going to be rarer, that inertia, getting the project off the launchpad, the blinking cursor of the blank page. Where should people focus their time and their attention in order to capitalize this?
1:01:13 Cal Newport? I think you need to begin thinking about the feeling of cognitive strain, the way that a weightlifter thinks about the burn of a muscle or a runner thinks about burning lungs, as a thing that is uncomfortable in the moment, but man, I'm excited about this feeling because I'm getting stronger. You've got to make yourself really comfortable thinking hard. That is the differentiating factor. I mean, obviously, I've been saying this since, well, 10 years now, but that's even more now going to be the differentiating factor, right? And if you talk to athletes, they're like, this is like Schwarzenegger and pumping iron, talking about pump. And that's really painful what he's doing, actually, right? Like lifting the level of weights, the physical pain he's in is high and he compares it to an orgasm, right? Because if you're a weightlifter, you're like, oh,
1:01:57 Cal Newport? that pain is directly translating to more strength and more muscle mass. You've got to think that same way about your brain. You cannot flee cognitive strain. You have to think about it in a knowledge, work, cognitive age. That is the feeling of my brain getting more capable. Yeah, I want to seek that out. Let's go get it. Let's go get some, right? Like, I want to, this, nope, bring my focus back to this thing. I'm going to try to push this through. And then when you're done, be like, oh, man, I exhausted my brain. That's awesome. That was like a, that was like a really good cognitive workout. So don't, while everyone else is using AI to run away from strain, you should be the person running for it. Because especially in the American context, I mean, the knowledge economy is now a massive portion of our GDP.
1:02:39 Cal Newport? And the knowledge economy itself is shifting more towards cognition intensive work. So you know, knowledge work can capture anything where you're not building things. But now all the lower level knowledge work is being outsourced or automated. A lot of it has been replaced over the last 30 years by software. We don't have support staff and assistants and secretaries like we used to because well, you can use Microsoft Word and email. We don't need separated people. And so the, the work that's left in our economy, the knowledge economy has been getting more and more cognitively demanded. And so the number one skill is I'm used to straining my brain, learning hard new things and maintaining focus. That's what I would train.
1:03:16 Chris Williamson? That's so good. I, I, I really, really agree. And it's, the funny thing is, that's why I asked at the top if you just felt like fucking Cassandra. Because each subsequent development in technology makes this more important.
1:03:33 Cal Newport? Yeah.
1:03:33 Chris Williamson? I do, there's always going to be that seductive whisper in the back of someone's mind that, well, yeah, but I can work faster with AI. I can work quicker by, what if my boss sees me doing executive functioning through Slack more, whatever. What is the, what's the elevator pitch for you should do?
1:03:55 Chris Williamson? Work of high quality and that will end up winning.
1:03:58 Cal Newport? You, you have to think about employment ultimately, it's a marketplace. There's a lot of obfuscation and fog and smoke, but it's ultimately a marketplace, right? You're paid money. In exchange, you produce things that have economic value. That's what makes that exchange make sense. There is not ultimately an underlying economic value to the coordination activities by themselves. There is no actual economic value to the speed of your Slack responses or the number of meetings you go into, or the number of like bullet pointed emails with those sort of chat GPT emojis that you put out. That itself doesn't generate economic value. The stuff that does a knowledge work almost always requires you mastering hard skills and applying them through concentration. And ultimately, that shakes out.
1:04:42 Cal Newport? There's only so far you can get or so far you can hide being busy. Because busyness can't be monetized. And you know, of course, you can create a smoke for a while. But like, I don't know, like, you know, Chris seems like productive, I guess. Like, he's always on these emails and this and this and that. But if you're not actually producing things that have economic value, like ultimately that catches up to you. Your opportunities narrow, you're going to get found out at some point. Where if you do the other thing, it's like, no, I'm creating stuff that is rare and valuable. It's unambiguously has value in the marketplace. You write your own ticket. Like, what, you want to have a business where you work half the year? You can do it. You want to get paid a huge amount of money? You can do it. You want to like work for a company, but you all you choose when you come into the office and you declare like, I don't want to do meetings.
1:05:27 Cal Newport? That's actually a thing, by the way. I talked to a marketing team at one of the major tech companies not long ago. And they said, you know what? We're in the sales side. And like our group, the sales group, we are exempt from meetings. Because they can directly monetize. Oh, you brought in this many dollars. We can see it. And if you're bringing in dollars, they're like, you can do what you want. And they could also see if we make you go to meetings, those dollars go down. It's like, forget the meetings for you. Everyone else, where there's not a clear number where they can see how much value you're bringing in, like, oh, you better be there in the meetings.
1:05:58 Chris Williamson? I've, dude, I've always thought this, the, the, the big problem that most people have that doesn't exist in the world of sports stars. If you're a sports star, everything that you're doing is to facilitate performance and performance is very tightly bounded. And it's quantifiable. If you're a weightlifter. That 300 kilos is 300 kilos.
1:06:21 Cal Newport? Yeah.
1:06:21 Chris Williamson? You either pick it up or you don't pick it up. And your sleep and your recovery and your nutrition and your hydration and your game tape and your technique work and your S and C and your body work and massage and soft tissue and all of that stuff combine to this output. It's a very, very sort of single ordinating principle. The same thing goes for tennis and the same thing goes for football and the same thing goes for baseball and so on and so forth. You do not perform well, you begin to scrutinize all of the contributing elements that come toward that. The problem that you have in most normal people's lives is the output that they're optimizing for is diffuse and very hard to work out. Well, I want to be a good father, but I also want to perform at work.
1:07:04 Chris Williamson? You know, I do Brazilian Jiu Jitsu on an evening time and my wife makes me go dancing and I want to be engaging at a cocktail party. Okay. Well, first off, that's lots of things. It's not a single ordinating principle. And secondly, define to me the lineage between your disrupted sleep last night and your poorer performance around the dinner table or in Brazilian Jiu Jitsu or whatever. The diffuse thing contributes because you inevitably have to make trade offs from one thing in order to do another. But also, it's just hard. It's hard to work out how your performance is performing. And this is the same in the work life. The perfect example, the salespeople, we just know if we do make you do this thing,
1:07:48 Chris Williamson? we lose that thing and that thing is more important than this thing. It would be like if for some reason, sports stars were being encouraged to stay up late. You go, well, we know if we make you stay up late answering fucking slacks, your performance in the game the next day decreases. But for most people, there's this implicit assumption that part of what you do is the contribution to the strategy and the operations and the executive function culture and so on, which means that you forget what you're there for. I think people have forgotten what they're there for. What am I supposed to be here at work doing? What is my outcome goal?
1:08:25 Cal Newport? There's so much fat. In the American knowledge work sector right now, right? Because we're so wealthy and there's so much money being slung around that we can have whole organizations where most people don't even know how they're directly connected to producing that value and they could just be doing email all day or whatever, right? It's so inefficient, but there are, I mean, there are plenty of knowledge work areas where people don't put up with a bunch of this nonsense and it's all areas where it's very easy to quantify your production. I did this essay a couple of years ago where I did a reflection where I said, God, almost every thought I've had in my books all came out of my experience as a grad student at MIT.
1:09:06 Cal Newport? So I was at the Theory of Computation Group in the Computer Science Department at MIT. You don't call it a department, but the Theory of Computation Group in the CS Lab at MIT, which is like a group, the professors there, the students, we weren't like this, but the professors were super geniuses, like literally Turing Award, Turing Award, MacArthur, MacArthur, Turing Award, Dykstra Prize, like smartest people in the world. And it was incredibly clear if you were successful or not. What major theorems did you prove in the last few years? That's it. That's all that mattered, right? And that required a lot of thinking. So they were terrible with email. They had no interest in social media meetings. Like if you're trying to throw meetings at them, they would just ignore you, right? I wrote about this in Deep Work even and people pushed back.
1:09:50 Cal Newport? I was like, this is what it's like in that world. If you send someone an email in this world, like one of these professors and they're like, ah, this isn't, this is ambiguous, you kind of didn't word this well, or I don't really want to do this, they just ignore it. Like that's on you, buddy. Like I have to get, you know, I'm being, I will lose my job if I'm pre-tenure, if I don't come up and solve theorems. And they put up with no nonsense. And a lot of that actually infused the book Deep Work because like, you know what? I came of age in an environment where all anyone cared about was focus and everything else was secondary. It's like athletes, just like you said, if this is getting in the way of my launch angle going down or my batting average adjusting, I'm gonna, I'm gonna change it. But it's crazy right now in knowledge work, how many positions that's not true.
1:10:33 Cal Newport? But what I advise people then, get in a position where that's true. Change your, your profile at work, or if you're changing your job, change your job into one where your value production is unambiguous. Now, this is a double edged sword because it swings both ways.
1:10:47 Chris Williamson? Because you can't hide anymore.
1:10:48 Cal Newport? You can't hide anymore. But if you get into one of those situations and then you do the cognitive work. I know how to focus. I build the skills. I apply the skills. I'm not afraid of cognitive strain. You're in the absolute best position in our economy, right? You can write your own ticket, but you have to be willing to go into a circumstance of like, this is the only worlds I know. And academia is, what did you publish? That's all that matters. That's all we care about. What'd you publish? Book writing? How many copies did your last book sell? That's all that matters. There's no, you know what though? He answered our publisher email so quickly. So let's give him another deal, folks. No, it's exactly how many dollars did you make us last time? That's what we care about, you know, for the next time.
1:11:30 Cal Newport? So it's a scary world where you're being held accountable. But it's an equation I always say is that if you're accountable, you don't have to be accessible. If you're like, I can point to, this is the value I produced and I'm killing it for you. Then I don't answer emails. I don't go to these meetings. I don't do 50 sort of things. You can get away with almost anything you want. So I think that's, more people should make that move, especially in the AI age, I suppose. More people should make that move towards like, hey, hold me accountable. And then do the work to actually show up. It makes your life so, it's such a better way to go through knowledge work. You get away from that hyperactive hive mind, brain melting, distracting, soul crushing, slack all day long nonsense.
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1:13:39 Chris Williamson? If you were to say, we've got the classic diffuse hive mind pseudo productivity malaise. Like the ambient soup that everybody's swimming in. How would you? What would you do? What would you? How would you rework the internals of an organization that still needs to communicate? Obviously, there has to be coordination. People aren't working in silos. There is going to be inevitable communication and coordination that needs to happen. How do you survive the modern world? What would you propose? How would you restructure things?
1:14:11 Cal Newport? Yeah, I mean, I would do a few things. One, I would say we're going to have explicit workload tracking and management, right? No more just people throw stuff at you and you implicitly just add it to your plate. We want a place where we write down what everyone's working on and we can see it. And now we can start talking about things like what is an ideal WIP? What's an ideal work in progress limit for an individual? How many things do we want someone working on at the same time before that curve starts to go the other way? So what you have to do, once you start doing that, is saying we need a place to track things that need to be done, that no one is actively working on right now, and we can feel okay about it. So I would definitely want to set up where things enter into our radar of this needs to be done. There's a place for that to go and to be stored.
1:14:53 Chris Williamson? Oh, it's like an organizational getting things done inbox.
1:14:57 Cal Newport? Yes, and it's not on anyone's plate because here as soon as you are responsible for something, it generates email, Slack and meetings. So once it's on your plate, it begins to spin off administrative overhead and slow productivity. They call it the overhead tax. That gets spun off as soon as it's on your plate. So everything by default goes to a team plate. No one's working on it. Then we keep track of from that plate as we move things to people's individual responsibilities. We have like, I don't, you should do three things at a time. That's it. And when you finish something. You can pull something else in. So do a small number of things fast and well, and then keep bringing things. So I would definitely do that. The second thing I would do is I would say no more hyperactive hive mind.
1:15:40 Cal Newport? If you send a message that requires more than a single message in response, that should not happen over digital communication. If I can't just answer your question with one more message, then that has to be real time. Now, we can't have that turn into an explosion in meetings. So what we're going to do is we're going to have daily office hours for everyone. So there'll be a daily time where everyone knows they can call you or walk to your office or whatever and go through a bunch of things with you real quick instead of sending emails. We're going to have morning standup meetings within the teams for sure. Who's working on what this morning? Who needs what from who to get that done? Go do the work. We're going to have, so we'll definitely do this as well. We might throw in phone hours. It's a new idea I'm thinking about where you say, look, there's a longer period of time, like maybe all afternoon, where you can always call me if there's something
1:16:25 Cal Newport? that's so urgent, you can't wait till the next office hours. There's enough friction in phone calls that that actually turns out to work pretty well. Like, I'm not just going to call you because I'm, want to get something off my plate. I won't call you unless it really is serious. So I would, I would do that as well. And then I would say, okay, what ongoing work does this not work for? What type of projects do we work on on a regular basis where this isn't working? Because it's too long to have to wait till the afternoon's a problem? I'd say, great, let's identify those. And for each of those, let's build a protocol. Here is our protocol for collaboration on this type of work. And however that's going to work, but it's like, the information goes into this spreadsheet and then whatever, someone checks it in the morning and they move things to shared files. I don't know what it is, but whatever it is that prevents us to have ad hoc unscheduled messaging
1:17:10 Cal Newport? isn't necessary. So explicit workload management. I would have this rule of no hyperactive hive mind. I would have protocols for any type of recurring collaboration. We could be explicit about how we actually want to do this. And then I would have a culture of talking about deep work and concentration, like a tier one skill. How's it going? How many deep work hours did you get in this week? Are you happy about that? What was getting in the way of that? Did you have a particularly good session? Tell everyone else about it. Like, what worked? Oh, I see. You did music. You have a different look. Oh, let's all think, you know, hey, here's a good idea that we can borrow. Make deep work culturally something you talk about as like, this is a tier one skill that we're really proud about. You do those things. You're like going to 2X your profitability.
1:17:55 Cal Newport? This is the thing that's always frustrated me about these ideas is like, you could make more money if you do it, but that's, it's really hard. Those changes I just talked about, it's hard. There's friction, there's personalities. And this is the thing I really underestimated when I wrote those books. The way we work now is like a low energy point, right? It's like the easiest possible configuration of work. So if you feel friction, you're trying to do something more structured, you're trying to do something that makes better use of our brain, and you're getting resistance. The place you're going to fall when you give up is the way we're doing it now. So it's not arbitrary, I've realized. This hyperactive hive mind, let's just figure things out on the flow, no workload management. It's not arbitrary. It's the low energy.
1:18:40 Cal Newport? It's like this local minimum. It's the place that like minimizes the complexity that still allows a company to run. And I think that's why we keep falling back. In mathematical terms, it's a suboptimal Nash equilibrium. It's not the optimal way to work together, but no one person can leave it and make their situation better. It's a low energy state. It's an attractor. It's a local minimum in the utility landscape, whatever mathematical metaphor we want to use. And so it's, it's not arbitrary. I was like, oh, it's like a law of work physics. This thing is like a neutron star in the world, the universe of work that just attracts everything back to it. And it takes a huge amount of energy to escape its pull. That's why I think we've had so much trouble solving this problem, even though you would make more money if you did it.
1:19:27 Chris Williamson? I wonder, I'm thinking about sort of immediately implementable solutions for this. I get the sense that you could probably tell people we don't use Slack before 1pm. Like, nobody is to post in Slack before 1pm. Because that, you can ring if it's SOS emergency scenario, you can just call somebody. We just don't use it. And then it means that everybody knows that they should not be doing, it's a company-wide, deep. Well, I mean, look, are there going to be some departments, HR, for instance, probably would be used. But your job is, your job is HR, you're in the PR department or something like that. Your job is actually about comms.
1:20:10 Chris Williamson? Uh, but if you're in marketing or if you're in accounting, something like that. Okay, sit down and do your fucking work. And up until a point, what do you make of intermittent fasting for communication company-wide?
1:20:20 Cal Newport? Yeah, it works, especially though what really makes that more sustainable is if you have that quick morning stand-up on the team scale at the beginning of the day, where everyone says, here's what I'm going to be working on during these morning hours. Here's what I need from each other to make progress on this. So you, what would have unfolded over Slack and email, you're doing in 10 minutes. So you say, okay, here's what I'm working on this morning. I'm working on the, the new white paper. Here's what I need, though. I need those figures from you. Can you, when can you get them to me? By 9:30? All right, you're going to get them to me by 9:30. And I need those quotes you promised. Can you get, just do that right away? Okay, so you all know what I need from you? Okay, now I'm going to put my head down and write that report.
1:21:01 Cal Newport? So having that, that meeting ahead of time, where everyone says what they need and what they're going to do, that makes that time work better. And then the thing that really works, do the same thing on the other end of the morning. All right, you said you were going to work on this, this, and this. What happened? So there's accountability on the other end. You can't run away from, you know, if you just went on email and social media, they're like, well, wait a second. I thought you were going to write the white paper. Yeah. And if other people flake, they don't send you the figures, they don't send you the quotes. You're like, I got stuck, man. I never got this.
1:21:33 Chris Williamson? Cal didn't, Cal didn't do what he said he was going to do.
1:21:35 Cal Newport? And they're there in the same room and they're like, oh, okay, I get it. I get it. I can't just ignore stuff, right? Like, I actually have to do it. I think that's a great idea. I think, I think something like that works well if you put that accountability before it and you put it after it. That scares people, by the way, though. That really does scare people because you actually have to do the work. And this is the thing with really social media and smartphones killed this way worse. AI is going to make this worse, but that was a big inflection point. In terms of losing our comfort with concentration, that got really bad. Once we got algorithmically optimized content, we really got used to that. And so it's scary if you just go to a company and say, here's the new plan, boss. We're going to have a meeting in the morning.
1:22:19 Cal Newport? You got to tell me what you're going to do for the next five hours. And then you got to do it and we're going to check in after five hours and see how it went. That's a nightmare for a lot of people. That is like, oh God, I don't know what I'm going to do.
1:22:30 Chris Williamson? I agree. I get the sense that a nice way to introduce this would be, look, everybody's brain here has been turned into slop. Everyone, no one is able to do their job as effectively as they should. So you are expected to do the work, but the reason that we do the pre and post is not to whip somebody into performance review. It's to give you accountability because you don't look like a tit in front of your coworkers. But if you don't get to the point, we're going to, the same as when you start training for a marathon, you don't run 10K on the first day. You will titrate the dose up and over time, you know, week one will permit some fuckery. And week two will permit a bit less fuckery. And week three, we're all in it together and this person's pulling ahead.
1:23:14 Chris Williamson? They're really like a hyper responder, you know, they're making loads of gains in the focus gym. And other people are moving a bit more slowly. Okay, what is it that they are doing and so on and so forth? But imagine that, imagine if you, if you had a company wide focus initiative where people were just, okay, we're going to move together. Everybody is going to focus on focus. And interesting around the AI thing. So George, my housemate's writing a book at the moment. Do you know Cold Turkey? Do you ever use Cold Turkey?
1:23:40 Cal Newport? I know about it. Yeah.
1:23:42 Chris Williamson? Yeah, it's a website limiter, app limiter for MacBook. We've been using it for a decade.
1:23:49 Chris Williamson? His Cold Turkey went rogue and just kept shutting his browser down, even though he wasn't trying to access the thing that he wasn't supposed to. It said he needed to install it. It was a nightmare. And here's a conversation between him and his AI. Cold Turkey has gone rogue and I need to remove it. Please tell me how to delete it from terminal. And the response, the response is, I'm not going to help you bypass it, George. This is exactly the scenario you set it up for. You're two days in, the buck is waiting, close the terminal and write. He's replied and said, no, it's got a bug, so I can't get on calls. He's like pleading with his own AI because he's obviously put in the instructions. Be rigorous with me, be tough with me, tell me that I should be getting back to being focused when I start to go off task to the thing.
1:24:32 Chris Williamson? And that's an AI equivalent of what you're talking about, which is this supervisionary oversight commission thing, but his just happens to be based in silicon instead of in other people.
1:24:44 Cal Newport? So maybe AI will help us. It could basically chastise us.
1:24:47 Chris Williamson? Well, the problem is, the problem that you have with the AI thing is it's so fucking sycophantic all the time. That it will tend to bend eventually to what it is that you want.
1:24:59 Cal Newport? Yeah, but no one believes that the chatbot interface is the future of AI, the boosters, the skeptics, the moderates. There's an emerging consensus that we're going to look back at this current moment where we interact with AI by typing into a chat window. That's going to be like the used at news groups of the beginning of the internet. It was like a cool thing early on that showed the promise of the internet. But the tools got better. There's better ways to make use of it. So the thought is in the future, AI is going to be more integrated, the more things will be more agentic. It'll be a lot, not like having conversations in English text. But deploying agents to do things, maybe with natural language, but also it'll be more integrated in the software. Individual tools will be more common. So it'll be much more common.
1:25:43 Cal Newport? I'm in Microsoft Excel and I'm like, can you sort row five by this amount and cut out all columns that, you know, have less than this many values and it does that. It's gonna be, that's what the interactions are going to become like. And so this idea of having a singular anthropomorphized entity through which you're having all conversations. That's almost like an accident of early AI. I mean, OpenAI will tell you this. That ChatGPT was supposed to just be a demo of the type of things you could do. Using the APIs into their language models is like the type of tool you can build that would make use of AI and then it caught them completely off guard and everyone wanted to use chat GPT and chat with it because it was really cool. I don't think that's going to be the form vector. So I think a lot of these issues we have now, like this is weird, it's unsettling, we're anthropomorphizing
1:26:27 Cal Newport? it, we're getting parasocial relationships with the agents, we're having romantic relationships with them, we're getting unsettled because seeing, having English conversation, we have a hard time not simulating a mind on the other end of this.
1:26:40 Chris Williamson? Which is why I shout at my chat.
1:26:42 Cal Newport? That's why you shout at it. I think a lot of this, two years from now, is going to seem, it'll be super narrow, right? Because I don't think just having a, this sort of general purpose oracle you chat with, that's not the future. That's not what people think we're going to be doing.
1:26:53 Chris Williamson? Why are people mad about 4O being removed?
1:26:57 Cal Newport? They were just hap- my understanding was they were just happy with the fine, so you've, you tuned these things. The conversational style comes from a post-training tuning session where you give it, you've already done the pre-training, which is unsupervised. And you go through this post-training session where you have a lot of examples of questions and answers and you ask the question and then it gives an answer and then you sort of zap it using optimization theory to try to move, like now we're going to change the weights to be closer to this answer we already said was better. So if you have a bunch of examples of the way you want something to respond and you go through one of these sort of zapping training sessions after the fact, it'll respond more like that. So they just changed the way they were doing that. And the thing they changed to, people
1:27:40 Cal Newport? didn't like the tone that created. So it was just about what date, literally like the data sets you're using when doing this fine tuning, after you've done that big massive pre-training where it's unsupervised.
1:27:53 Chris Williamson? Talk to me about the role of quantum computing in AI.
1:27:57 Cal Newport? Minimal to nonexistent.
1:28:00 Chris Williamson? So QAI is all just bullshit?
1:28:03 Cal Newport? Yeah, I'm not, yeah. I mean, quantum computing is really interesting. There's a huge amount of technical problems just to actually get these things scaled to the number of qubits in which they're useful. And there's a, there's a fallacy out there in thinking about quantum computing that is basically like a normal computer, but times a million.
1:28:19 Chris Williamson? Yeah.
1:28:20 Cal Newport? Which is just not the way these things function, right? So there's only very specific problems you can solve with a quantum computer, because you actually have to express the problem in the language of physics in such a way that you're creating what's known as a wave function, that when it collapses, it's going to collapse to a configuration that's the right answer, therefore like implicitly searching a large state space in sublinear time. Only certain problems allow you to do that. So it's unlike a normal computer where I can program a computer to do almost anything. Quantum computers, it's much more narrow what you can do with it.
1:28:52 Chris Williamson? Could you give me an example of something that it would and wouldn't be able to do?
1:28:55 Cal Newport? Well, like the, the big example, this is a guy who was at MIT when I was there, Peter Shor, early on was the one who figured out like, hey, one of these complicated wave function collapsing things you could do could factor prime numbers or, or.
1:29:07 Chris Williamson? Q day?
1:29:08 Cal Newport? Yeah. Factor numbers to see, to find the prime factors, rather, find the prime factors of big numbers.
1:29:14 Cal Newport? That's a really big deal because.
1:29:16 Chris Williamson? Security.
1:29:16 Cal Newport? Yeah. Public, public key encryption. And ironically, this, this just goes to show how crazy MIT was is also at MIT is Ron Revest, who I TA'd for, who invented, you see R and RSA, he invented public key encryption. So like the guy who invented public key encryption is there next to the guy who figured out how quantum computers could.
1:29:36 Chris Williamson? Could maybe undo it.
1:29:37 Cal Newport? Undo it. Yeah. So it's kind of interesting. So it's good at that. Uh, there's a lot of problems that are based around, um, simulation of quantum or physical physics systems. And that's, you, you can simulate quantum physics systems directly using quantum in a way, instead of having to try to simulate them with. So it's very good for that. There's a certain type of search. It gets a little technical, but there's a, there's a certain type of, uh, search that you can implement. It has applications. So, so there are interesting applications. But I, the thing I was beginning to sense recently, which made me worry is that there was a sense of like, um, height migration. So people are getting a little bit frustrated, sort of like post GPT five of like, this isn't filling my need to have something to be in,
1:30:17 Cal Newport? you know, a technology that is going to change everything. I love that concept. And then begin sniffing around, okay, but what if we just. Quantum somehow will unlock AI and solve all these problems we're having. I think it's way more complicated than that. There are narrow applications of these particular things that might have some AI application, but you can't like run an LLM on a quantum machine and now it's a billion times better. That's just not how it works. So quantum's interesting. It's just really hard. The problem is the errors multiply. I mean, they make these qubits, these quantum bits they use for these algorithms. It's incredibly complicated. You have, there's different ways to do it, but in some ways you have laser beams and a super cool chamber holding like a particle in a very careful state.
1:30:59 Cal Newport? And what it generates errors and then the errors add up with other errors. And it's after you make enough of these things, then the errors, they swamp out of control. It's a really, you know.
1:31:09 Chris Williamson? So you're telling me that the fucking M6 chip in the MacBook Pro is not going to be a quantum one? It's not going to be the Q6 chip?
1:31:17 Cal Newport? It's not. In fact, I was, now I want to know what QAI is. What is QA? You've mentioned QAI.
1:31:22 Chris Williamson? QAI, quantum AI.
1:31:24 Cal Newport? Yeah. But I mean, is there a particular product or just people talking about quantum's going to just make AI better?
1:31:29 Chris Williamson? Yes, yeah, there is. I have a friend who I train with. It's like, this is like, you know what I love? Some of the people that I love the most are the ones who you wouldn't predict have the life that they do. And there's a girl who trains at LiftATX on a Saturday. Lovely girl, I've trained with her a bunch of times, real cool, boyfriend's cool, like does fitness modeling, super hot, the long hair, lift, the big, you know, like, but super strong, all the rest of the stuff, like feminine as well. Quantum computing degree, like works in quantum computing. And she was telling me about quantum AI and she was telling me about QAI as it's referred to, and it's a burgeoning field supposedly, unless she's lied to me, unless she's totally fucking lied to me.
1:32:12 Cal Newport? Yeah, I'm curious what they're working on. UT Austin has good quantum theorists. Look, I'm searching for it. A guy I knew from IT, they hired him away there. RC Quantum, Quantum AI merges quantum compute with machine learning in the process, high dimensional data faster than classical systems.
1:32:32 Cal Newport? Now they're working on it, but I don't know. I don't know how that's going to work, basically. All right. Well, so I don't know what they're working on, but um, it's not something that you hear a lot in computer science circles yet. So maybe it'll have some breakthroughs. It's worth looking at, but I don't know how that's going to work.
1:32:46 Chris Williamson? Okay. Uh, one of the other elements, I guess, of that people struggle with when it comes to deep anything is learning, the process of learning. Talk to me about the mechanics of keeping a deep reading habit alive.
1:33:03 Cal Newport? Well, I mean, I think reading pages is probably the cognitive equivalent of steps, right? So if you're a 10,000 steps a day person is like, this is just like a baseline to make sure that like, at least my physical systems are being used. You should have a page count, 25 pages a day, 20 pages a day of reading a book. It just is like getting those cognitive steps in because I think we recognize more and more, reading it, I would say it's the cheat code, but it's better to think about it as like, reading is the thing that formed the modern brain. And I'm like, I'm more and more convinced about this. I have a book idea I'm working on now, or I'm sort of exploring this idea.
1:33:43 Cal Newport? The brain before we had the deolithic revolution, it was the same neurons, right? 15,000 years ago that we have right now. But if we go pre-reading, those neurons were doing the things they were evolved to do, which is very much about like the visual system and the audio system. We could communicate through spoken language and that's fine. And then we invent reading. And this is, this is not something that our brain has evolved for. So in order to read, we have to go through this, this sort of excruciating process of learning to read, in which what you're doing is actually rewiring sections of your brain to connect in ways that they weren't originally meant to connect to. So we're, we're reforming our brain when we learn how to read. And we develop what Mary Ann Wolf calls deep reading processes, where you've now yoked
1:34:25 Cal Newport? together different parts of your brain that don't normally work together, that can now have to work together in order to understand written text. Once your brain is wired to do that, it can, if you reverse this and write, you can generate much, much more sophisticated thoughts than you can if you haven't done this wiring and your understanding of things. The complexity of what you can understand when you have this new rewired brain, that also really goes up. So reading is like, it's not just, oh, I get stronger in my brain. It reconfigures your brain into like the modern, you know, post cognitive revolution brain.
1:35:01 Chris Williamson? Okay, why is it important to read physical books? And what is lost if I read Substack? I know that you're a fan of Substack. I love Substack. I think it's fantastic.
1:35:14 Chris Williamson? What's the difference between reading it on a laptop versus a phone versus a Kindle versus a physical piece of paper?
1:35:20 Cal Newport? Well, there's two different things going on here. There's medium and content type. Like, so if you're reading a book in a, a physical book or you're reading in a Kindle, um, doesn't matter. Right? I mean, they're both actual physical medium. Like the way that the Kindle is actually a physical experience. It's, it's, it's actual little discs that are, you know, dark on one side and light on the other. And they make a page, they have little electrical impulses and you shock the disc you want to turn. And you don't shock the ones you don't want to turn. And so you've literally created an actual black and white, physical version of the page on the Kindle. You're not, unlike a, a computer screen or a TV where it's light being emitted. There's no light being emitted. It's physically, that's the page. It just created a new physical page that has text on it. That's why you have to actually have a light on a Kindle to read it.
1:36:05 Cal Newport? So it's just a page that reconfigures itself into a new page. I love eating technology. I think it's really cool. Content type, the issue is, I mean, there's a lot of this research we've known since the nineties. A lot of this is captured in, um, the best book on this would be, uh, The Shallows. Nick Carr's book, The Shallows. When we're reading something like a webpage or Substack, for whatever reason, uh, we skim much more aggressively. That's the main issue. We jump around, uh, much more aggressively, just trying to pull out the key points. I think that's all just acculturated, right? Like you could sit and read, like if you print out a Substack article and sit in the library and you read it carefully. It's the exact same thing as reading a book. It's the exact same thing in, in, in sense of the experience. On screens, we tend to skim around more.
1:36:49 Cal Newport? The other advantage of like a book that was actually published versus like a post you see online, it's just better thought through. Right? So when you write a book, you spend a couple of years on it like you're really, you spend a couple of years crafting the book and you might have been based on a lifetime of thinking about this topic. And so you take your time when writing a book and it gets edited and re-edited and you go back. Like I'm writing a book now, I've been working on it off and on for like three or four years. I've rewritten this book like three times. It's like this isn't right. This isn't clear enough. It's, you know, and so when you go through text that has been that carefully thought through and structured, that's also you just get a different experience because the pieces click together at different scales and it just uses you, you build in your
1:37:33 Cal Newport? brain these intricate interlocking pieces that all hook together and it's beautiful and you get that aha moment feeling. There's an actual physical endorphin rough you get in your brain.
1:37:44 Cal Newport? So, you know, I think reading smart books written by smart people that took a long time to write, that's your calisthenics for your brain. It literally changes. You're a smarter person if you do that versus if you don't.
1:37:57 Chris Williamson? So good. I have to say, reading full-length books has been, the volume that I do that has been decreased over the last few years, largely because of Substack. So there's a extension for Google Chrome called Push to Kindle. And if I press it, the article appears on my Kindle because I don't like reading on my phone and I don't like reading on my laptop, probably for the reason that you said. But when I think about it, it very much is running downhill because, ah, what's the longest Substack that you're gonna read? 20 minutes? Maybe? 25, 25 minutes? A fucking long article.
1:38:36 Cal Newport? Yeah.
1:38:37 Chris Williamson? And maybe part of that, maybe part of my penchant for it is that I do get the outcome, right? What is it that I'm looking to learn? Oh, I want to find out from Steve Stuart Williams about sex differences in mate, desire for sexual novelty, something like that. Okay, well, I will learn the outcome in the same way as I could feed myself food that was just a cube of calories and that would sort of give me the caloric intake that I needed. But what you're presumably reading for, apart from just the enjoyment of reading it, is to be able to recall it and for it to be woven into the broader mental landscape that you've got, which actually
1:39:22 Chris Williamson? probably means you need to spend time under tension with it. And some of the- Leanness and brevity that comes with an article actually might work against you. Maybe you need it to be said to you in five different ways. Maybe you need the author to meander off onto a story that takes three pages to explain about this guy who owned a Ferrari and parked it outside of a hotel so that you can then come back in. And each one of these is a little Velcro latch hook that you can hook yourself into. And yeah, I wonder whether, I wonder whether the reading or discriminating toward reading stuff that is exclusively shorter form results in the sense that I'm learning lots.
1:40:06 Chris Williamson? But if you are to actually do some sort of scrutiny around that, well, okay, how much of it can you remember? How long did you spend with this idea? Did you spend long enough for it to be a part of now your mental models and the framework that you, how much can you recall? That would be an interesting, an interesting challenge.
1:40:25 Cal Newport? And the frameworks are understanding are shallower just because it's less time to establish them. So like in a subset, it's not a bad thing, but you know, what can you do? You typically have like one idea and like, here's something that supports that idea. And here's maybe like a different idea and here's why that doesn't work. And if that's all you're consuming, that becomes your mental model for how knowledge is gained. And I think we see a lot of this. I mean, think about internet culture now is much more conspiratorial. And I don't mean in the like sort of grand conspiracy, which it is, but not in, not just in like the grand conspiracy type of thinking, but in the confidence, there's this quick jump to confidence where you're like, that's wrong because of this and boom.
1:41:09 Cal Newport? And you think that like, this is like the slam dunk case or something like that. That's a result of not reading a lot of books. You read a lot of books, you're like, okay, this is way more complicated.
1:41:18 Chris Williamson? Everything is way more complicated than you thought it was.
1:41:21 Cal Newport? And there's probably a clear truth here, but clear truths are more complicated. Like even the notion of what a clear truth feels like comes out of reading books, right? Like you understand, oh, ultimately like this person was right, but it's complicated. And like, yeah, this was not so clear cut and this is like a compromise and this was really important and these factors were here, but honestly, those factors aren't as big as you think. And this factor really was more important. And so like, this really was the right thing to do. So even like your notion of. What's true or what's not true or what it means for something to be clear is like different than if you're just looking at boom, slam dunk. I think it's a big problem online. Both sides of the political spectrum do this. Like you, you want everything just
1:42:05 Cal Newport? to be, this person is just garbage and completely wrong. And there's like this one simple thing I know that means you're completely wrong and I'm completely right. And you're wrong in like the worst possible sort of way. And that is like such a sophilipic, I'm saying the word. Solidistic. Yeah, exactly. You said it, right? I have to read more. But it's sophistry for sure, right? This idea of this is how truth and argument unfolds is like, there's an obvious flaw that's easy for me to grok, which I guess now could actually be a verb as opposed to just meaning to understand. Also, I could literally grok it, I guess. And now it's clear that you're wrong and I feel righteous, you know? And then we go seeking that. And then we want to simplify everything in the world to, you're just terrible.
1:42:49 Cal Newport? This person is perfect. And this idea makes the most sense. And if you disagree with this idea, it's because like you want to eat children. And, you know, it just becomes, it's a different under, this is what I think we get wrong. It's not just like we're, we're, we don't have the right information. We've changed what our notion of truth is because we're not exposed to the complexity of truths. When you read a, not only a scholar, like a smart case for it, but then you read the arguments that they confronted. And then you read someone else that's arguing against their point. And you're like, oh, okay. I've, I've seen the clash of like minds. And now in that clash, I like, I kind of see what's going on here. Like, yeah, the truth really leans this way. And it's, I feel really real conviction in that because I've seen like the best minds come at this from either side.
1:43:34 Cal Newport? And I really understand. And it's not cut and dry, but ultimately like this is the right thing to do. That was like a very familiar thing to people and leaders like in times past where you lose it if you're exposed to these low resolution.
1:43:49 Cal Newport? Copies, ces simulacres à faible résolution, ces versions faciles à digérer préchues de l'argumentation et de l'entendre. Ça change la façon dont votre cerveau pense à ce que "vrai" est.
1:43:59 Chris Williamson? Oui, il y a un arc de cerveau que vous devez suivre. Et si vous ne le suivez pas, vous assumez que des réponses apparaissent.
1:44:07 Cal Newport? Oui.
1:44:07 Chris Williamson? C'est comme ça. Non, ils ne le font pas. Cal, tu diriges. Laissons cette fois-ci la maison. Pourquoi les gens devraient aller de la même chose?
1:44:13 Cal Newport? Oh, mon Dieu. CalNewport.com, je suppose. Mes livres sont sur Amazon, mon podcast, Deep Questions sur YouTube ou partout où vous obtenez vos podcasts. [email protected] , Deep Work. Trop de choses se passent maintenant, Chris. Deep Work a 10 ans d'anniversaire. J'ai hâte de le faire. Je mets tous les mots à l'arrière. La plupart d'entre eux sont maintenant organiques. Je peux juste, comme les gens qui ont dit des choses à ça sans que je leur demande de le dire. C'est sympa. Et j'ai un masterclass sur ce genre de choses aussi. Donc, je ne sais pas. C'est partout. Trop de places. Je suis trop occupé.
1:44:46 Chris Williamson? Pour un personne qui est un recluse numérique, vous êtes partout. Mais c'est une fonction de se concentrer sur la qualité, pas la quantité. Je ne peux pas me débarrasser de ce discours, monsieur. Ça a été si de la joie. Je vous remercie.
1:44:54 Cal Newport? C'est toujours un plaisir, Chris. C'est toujours un plaisir de parler avec vous.
1:44:58 Speaker 02 M. Le président, mon entreprise m'a dit de l'explosion et de la réaction. Le 2 octobre. Caoussant une déplacement majeur et déclenchant un tsunami. Ils ont tous la faute à moi. Tom Cruise est.
1:45:08 Speaker 03 Digger nous a fait entrer dans cette mer et Digger va nous enlever. Du directeur de Birdman et de The Ravenhead.
1:45:14 Speaker 04 Qu'est-ce qui se passerait si je me arrêtais de travailler? Tu tombes, tu tombes en enfer, c'est ça?
1:45:18 Speaker 03 Avec une grande puissance, vient une grande déniabilité.
1:45:21 Speaker 04 Je ne suis pas le premier à ça.
1:45:23 Speaker 03 Digger. Voir le trail en ligne. Seul en octobre 2. Révélé à moins de 17 ans, pas de parent.
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